比特币牛市

Why do some people think that the bull market is over at this stage! Please don't worry too much! I think: May may be the last time to pick people up at a low level! The decline of Bitcoin in May is limited. It is very likely to choose a downward trend in May. In May, there will be another bottoming out to confirm the bottom and stop the decline and stabilize (it is difficult to break the 59,600 position again). In the end, there is a high probability that the main upward wave will usher in the market! We are still in the process of a bull market, and the bull market will last at least 9 months, and the bull market will last at least until January 2025! #比特币牛市

3.7 Today’s Bitcoin price trend: Bitcoin is currently near the previous high, and has experienced diving and repairing sideways fluctuations. Historically, the washout after breaking through the previous high is normal, and the amplitude is usually between 20% and 30%. The cost of institutional holdings is above 50,000, which is far less than the expected increase in institutional buying.

Historical bull market performance: In the bull markets of 2015, 2017 and 2020, Bitcoin plunged to varying degrees after breaking through the previous high position, but then achieved substantial gains. The current diving range is relatively small, and a breakthrough is a matter of time.

Ethereum’s compensatory rise is fierce, so don’t go short. It is also wise to lay out altcoins with low multiples. Many currencies have reached the neckline position and are still in the consolidation zone, which can be regarded as the bottom position. After a breakout, many coins are expected to continue rising.

#BTC #比特币减半 #比特币牛市

Is it a return? ? ?

Bitcoin soared in the short term, breaking through the $60,000 mark, with a daily increase of more than 4%. But before that, Bitcoin continued to fall. As of now, the trading price of Bitcoin is still about 20% lower than the historical high of $73,500 set this year.

Let's talk about the factors that affect Bitcoin:

Macroeconomics and monetary policy: The global macroeconomic situation and the monetary policies of central banks of various countries (such as interest rate adjustments, quantitative easing, etc.) have a significant impact on it. For example, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, especially the expectation of interest rate cuts, have an important impact on market sentiment and the prices of risky assets such as Bitcoin. Although interest rate cuts are generally seen as good news, they may also be accompanied by concerns about economic recession. This dual impact has exacerbated market uncertainty.

Market supply and demand relationship: The supply of Bitcoin is fixed, but its demand will change with market conditions. If the market demand for Bitcoin increases, such as investors' increased interest in Bitcoin and more institutional investors entering, it may drive prices up; conversely, reduced demand may lead to price declines.

Market sentiment and investor expectations: Investors' expectations of Bitcoin's future price, market panic or greed, etc., will be reflected in price fluctuations. For example, the "September effect". From historical data, Bitcoin usually performs poorly in September. In the past 13 years, 9 Septembers have seen declines. This seasonal effect has gradually formed a psychological expectation among investors.

Technological development and innovation: The development of blockchain technology, the improvement of Bitcoin's own technology, or the emergence of related new technologies may affect the market's confidence in Bitcoin and its long-term value expectations.

Behavior of large institutions and investors: The buying and selling behavior of large financial institutions and whales (investors holding a large amount of Bitcoin), changes in positions, etc., will have a greater impact on the market.
#热门话题 #比特币牛市 #比特币挖矿难度创历史新高 $BTC

🚀The Bitcoin market continues to heat up, and the number of wallets of large-capital investors surges by 10%

The Bitcoin market has been really hot recently. Big-money investors have entered the market one after another, and the number of 'shark and whale' wallets has surged by 10%. According to Santiment’s on-chain data, the number of Bitcoin addresses holding at least 100 BTC has increased significantly since the start of this bull market. This means that more and more large investors are joining the ranks of Bitcoin.

At the latest exchange rate, holding 100 BTC is equivalent to owning nearly $10.6 million in assets, which is not a small amount. Therefore, those who can enter this range are investors with strong funds. And the more tokens they hold, the greater their influence on the market.

The trends of these large players, especially their supply distribution trends, are worthy of attention. While their actions don't always directly impact asset prices, they can provide us with sentiment information about these giants.

Additionally, a Bitcoin supply distribution chart shared by Santiment shows that data in the 100+ BTC range is rising. On October 10, this indicator was 16,062 and has now risen to 17,644. In just nine weeks, there were 1,582 more shark- and whale-sized wallets.

Interestingly, many of the increases of more than 10% only occurred this month, indicating that many investors bought Bitcoin at the recent high price. As BTC prices continue to move higher, the growth of this indicator is accelerating, which is a positive sign that big-money traders believe that Bitcoin is still worth buying even at current price levels.

Bitcoin’s rally appears to show no signs of stopping, given the fear of missing out (FOMO) that has developed among large investors. The asset price once again reached new highs, this time also surpassing the $106,000 mark.

💬 What do you think of this wave of large investors entering the market? How long do you think the Bitcoin bull market can last? See you in the comments section!

#比特币牛市 #大户入场 #加密货币趋势

🌐 Bitcoin's bull market signal MSI indicator appears, indicating a potential doubling opportunity?

🚨 Bitcoin flashed a key bull market signal for the first time-the integrated global liquidity momentum model (MSI). This signal has always been a key indicator for Bitcoin to double in the short term in the past. Now, MSI has appeared for the first time in nearly a year, which may mean that we are at an important turning point.

🔮 In historical trends, whenever the MSI indicator appears, the price of Bitcoin will double in a very short period of time. This is not just a simple signal indicator, it may represent a cumulative outbreak of market depth and investor sentiment.

📊 On August 15, Jamie Coutts said through an X tweet post that his integrated global liquidity momentum model (MSI) predicts that Bitcoin will usher in a sharp rise. He said that the MSI sent a bullish signal for the first time since November 2023, and Bitcoin rose 75% from November to April before the mechanism turned bearish.

🤔Coutts also mentioned that the current bullish signals for Bitcoin are the same as those before Bitcoin's price surged 19 times in 2017 and before the price of gold doubled sixfold in 2020. However, when bullish information appears in 2024, he estimates that Bitcoin will grow 2-3 times.

🔄 Although past performance cannot guarantee future results, the emergence of the MSI indicator has undoubtedly injected a shot in the arm for long-term holders and investors of Bitcoin. Market participants are closely watching this indicator for potential buying or accumulation opportunities.

💰At the same time, some analysts have boldly predicted that Bitcoin may reach a record high of $100,000 by the end of this year. Although this goal seems ambitious, considering that Bitcoin is currently in a period of rapid growth in history, this prediction may not be impossible.

👇 So, are you optimistic about Bitcoin's MSI signal? Does it affect your investment decision? Are you optimistic or cautious? Share your insights in the comments section!

#比特币牛市 #MSI指标 #BecomeCreator

The current market is not a real bull market, and it is most likely caused by capital speculation

The reasons are as follows:

• The current market is not in a bull market, but the price of Bitcoin has risen due to the capital speculation of Wall Street, giving people the illusion of a bull market.

• The inflow of new funds is limited, and the market activity is not as good as during the bull market.

• The real bull market is expected to come after the Fed cuts interest rates, when a large number of new users and funds will flow into the market.

• Most of the current participants in the market are experienced investors, which is completely different from the situation during the bull market when a large number of novice investors poured in.

The interesting thing is:

The people who are still playing in the currency circle are all old-timers, like monkey spirits, neither blindly following the trend to sell, nor easily betting on the market! #币圈  #比特币牛市

Do you agree? Please express your views~

Regulatory Breakthrough Imminent? Bitcoin May Welcome Institutional Funding "Tsunami"

Dennis Porter, co-founder of the Satoshi Act Fund, believes that the upcoming market structure legislation will open the "floodgates" for capital into Bitcoin.

In a WeChat post on April 15, Porter noted that this legislation will have a huge impact on Bitcoin's price, as it will attract more capital into the market and pave the way for a bull market for BTC.

According to Fox News, Tim Scott, chairman of the U.S. Senate Committee on Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs, stated that the government plans to officially legislate the cryptocurrency market bill by August 2025. Porter expressed optimism about this, believing the White House is expected to complete the legislation before August, and we will see.

The cryptocurrency market structure bill, also known as the "Cryptocurrency Market Bill", aims to build a clear regulatory framework for digital assets to define the regulatory responsibilities of federal agencies and establish a registration classification for crypto intermediaries such as exchanges and brokers.

If the bill is passed, it will eliminate regulatory uncertainty in the cryptocurrency space, attracting a large number of institutional investors, enhancing capital liquidity, and indicating that the cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin, may welcome a bull market.

With the surge in institutional adoption and the influx of new participants, the demand for Bitcoin is expected to further increase. At the same time, considering that Bitcoin's supply is fixed and limited, a significant increase in demand will strongly drive its price to new highs.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin's price has recently continued to strengthen, breaking through the $85,500 mark, with a weekly increase of over 8%. Some analysts believe this is only a prelude to the market; once the bill is enacted, traditional financial institutions such as pension funds and hedge funds may likely include Bitcoin in their asset allocation portfolios.

Conclusion:

However, the clarification of the regulatory framework is a double-edged sword. Because while institutional entry enhances liquidity, it may reshape the inherent "decentralized" characteristics of the Bitcoin market.

Therefore, retail investors must remain highly vigilant about the potential risks of increased market volatility while embracing opportunities.

After all, when Wall Street heavily enters this once "wild" market, the volatility logic of Bitcoin may undergo profound changes.

#加密货币立法 #比特币牛市 #市场结构法案

I like a sentence very much recently
"Before going out to sea, fishermen don't know where the fish are. But they still choose to go, because they believe they will return with a full load"

Many times, it is only when you choose that you have a chance, and it is only when you believe that you have a possibility. Life is the fruit of thinking, and the source of all power comes from the firmness of your heart.
Don't underestimate the inner belief, which contains 90% of the subconscious power of the human body. The daily persistence is not to impress anyone, nor to prove to anyone. But I know that running all the way is much better than standing still.

Many things seem hopeless, but please believe that life is always valuable in persistence and success in diligence. All we have to do is to stick to our original intentions and do what we should do now, and believe in ourselves.

Be simple, work harder, be more optimistic, and be more open-minded, and you will have more surprises#比特币牛市

Why is this bull market more difficult to operate than before?

The reason for this phenomenon is that various roles have joined, causing the long-short game to become more and more complicated. Since the establishment of BTC, various roles have been constantly joining. In the past two years, there have been funds from US stock ETFs, funds from listed companies, national reserve funds, etc. And behind the US stock ETFs themselves are a large number of different institutions and funds in the US stock market.

None of the above is a big shot with huge funds. When there are more people, there will be more games. Some people want to smash the market to absorb chips, and the other party will directly buy the chips that smash the market. Some people want to continue to pull the market, but they may be smashed by the other party. In addition, in the capital market, there are no eternal friends or eternal enemies. Today's buyers may become sellers tomorrow. Just like everyone is used to ETF net inflows, suddenly one day there is a huge outflow of ETFs.

When there are more roles in the market, the control of any party over the market becomes very low. Therefore, even the dog dealers don’t know whether it will rise or fall next. They are all cautiously testing the market and waiting for the reaction of other parties in the market before deciding on the subsequent operations. Sometimes, the dog dealers may have to stop losses in time. #比特币牛市

Ready to Go: Bitcoin Addresses on Exchanges Hit 8-Year Low, Signs of a Bull Market Emerging?

The Bitcoin market has recently shown notable positive signals, with several key indicators suggesting that the market may be gearing up for a new bull market.

On-chain data indicates that the number of deposit addresses on exchanges has dropped to its lowest level since December 2016, a phenomenon strikingly similar to the situation before the major bull market in 2017.

Analyst Axel Adler points out that since 2022, the 30-day moving average of deposit addresses has fallen to 52,000, not only below the annual average of 71,000 (365 days), but nearly 60% lower than the historical average of 92,000. This continued three-year decline in deposit addresses has reduced the potential selling pressure in the market by a quarter.

Essentially, this trend reflects an enhanced HODL sentiment, significantly alleviating market sell-off pressure and laying a solid foundation for future growth.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin's price performance also corroborates this positive trend. Since April 9, Bitcoin has risen over 25%, currently stabilizing above $93,000, with less than an 8% fluctuation from the psychologically significant $100,000 level that the market is closely watching.

Notably, against the backdrop of escalating global geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin has demonstrated a decoupling characteristic from traditional risk assets. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices have come under pressure due to market risk aversion, Bitcoin has managed to rise to $94,000 during this round, further reinforcing its market positioning as "digital gold."

From a technical perspective, the current market structure is relatively favorable for bulls. $95,000 is a key resistance level; if effectively broken, it could accelerate the price towards the $100,000 threshold. Meanwhile, the 200-day simple moving average at $88,000 serves as significant support, and as long as it stays above this level, the short-term bullish trend will not change.

In summary, market observers generally believe that this continuous decline in exchange stock and the rising proportion of long-term holders, combined with the gradually improving technicals, are creating extremely favorable upward conditions for Bitcoin.

Do you think this data indicates that a new bull market is about to start? Can Bitcoin's upward momentum be sustained amid global macroeconomic uncertainty?

#比特币牛市 #链上数据 #加密货币 #数字黄金

$BTC  5.2 Bitcoin price today: Bitcoin has recently fallen below $60,000 again, causing panic among many partners.

Previously, we recommended a mid-term long position strategy, with an expected price of around $59,000. The lowest price fell to around $56,300, which was lower than expected. However, the general bullish trend remains unchanged, and the long-term target is $300,000, which is expected to be achieved around November next year.

The community has added long positions three times, with the increase range being approximately within 10 points.

#大盘走势 #BTC下跌分析 #比特币牛市

📊Bull Market Countdown? Bitcoin may迎来高光时刻in the first half of 2025, then enter a downtrend

According to predictions from CryptoQuant analysts, this bull market may end sooner than expected. They believe that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) will peak in the first quarter of 2025, or at the latest, in the second quarter.

This judgment is based on Bitcoin's performance since January 2023, just a few weeks after the FTX collapse. Since then, the price of Bitcoin has rebounded significantly from below $20,000.

Since that time, thanks to investment tools such as Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the top cryptocurrency has attracted the attention of major players in the financial world.

Analysts state that the bull market cycle has lasted about two years, during which the price of Bitcoin has risen significantly, so there is reason to believe that the market is now in the later stages of this cycle.

Currently, Bitcoin accounts for 36% of trading in the past month, significantly lower than the peak values of previous cycles. Therefore, it is expected that this indicator will rise before the end of the bull market, leading cryptocurrency experts to predict that the first or second quarter of this year will be the climax of the cryptocurrency market.

Like this analyst, many in the industry believe that cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin will experience rapid growth this year. One of the factors driving this optimistic prediction is the imminent inauguration of Donald Trump as the 47th President of the United States. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency enthusiasts optimistically believe that his administration will introduce various initiatives to promote Bitcoin adoption.

As for price trends, CryptoQuant analysts emphasize that this year's rise may take a different form. They believe that the price of Bitcoin is unlikely to surge all at once; instead, it may rise sharply 2 to 4 times, usually leading to severe overheating, followed by a bear market cycle. Therefore, analysts encourage the crypto community to expect significant price increases for Bitcoin and altcoins in the short term.

So, everyone should closely monitor market dynamics to see what happens next! What are your views on this bull market and the future of Bitcoin? Feel free to leave your opinions in the comments!

#比特币牛市 #CryptoQuant分析 #行情观点

If you believe the bull market is still on, analyze various cryptocurrencies; the growth potential for quality assets is left with ETH.

This bull market has the Bitcoin halving trend (often starts six months after the halving), institutional entry of ETFs (U.S. stock market institutions leading, fund institutions making decisions and executing purchases of Bitcoin spot ETFs need six months), the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, new highs in the U.S. stock market and gold, the U.S. presidential election (with pro-crypto Trump likely to be elected), and various sentiments supporting the approval of Ethereum ETFs.

In a bull market, the market is tense, and there are often "teachers" leading people to jump ship; while it might avoid a temporary decline, it's hard to compensate for the missed profits. If you believe the bull market is still ongoing, hold onto quality chips tightly, and when FOMO peaks, as voices in and out of the market shout for $200,000 for a Bitcoin, quietly exit and say goodbye. 👋👋 #比特币牛市 #ETH #加密货币