“AAVE breaks 342! Missed the DeFi bull market? This VPVR strategy teaches you how to accurately bottom out and escape without missing out”
Quick Overview
The price is running along the upper Bollinger band but leaves a vacuum area above the POC—bulls seem to be celebrating, but in reality, they are quietly handing off chips to the 'greater fool'.
Key Interval Structures and Volume Distribution
1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC 302.5, the largest intra-day trading stack, UpVol 60%↑, serves as the bull's stronghold.
2. High Volume Zone: 296.9-303.2 (HVN band), 60% of the turnover in the past two weeks was completed here, a pullback will provide a cushion.
3. Low Volume Gaps:
• Upper LVN 354.7-356.1, only 37,000 volume, a breakthrough can quickly surge to the 360-375 sell wall.
• Lower LVN 341.9-343.4, the current price is hovering here, a drop may accelerate the probe to 335.
4. 70% Volume Coverage Zone: 284.2-327.9, the current price is at the upper edge, nearing short-term overbought.
Momentum Verification
UpVol near LVN 354.7 = 0%, indicating a vacuum; UpVol 60% above POC, bulls still dominate. 1h positions -2.2%, short-term funds slightly retreat, beware of false breakouts.
Market Cycle
The medium-term ascending channel is intact, and the short-term is in the “pullback confirmation after a rise” phase, which can be viewed as a healthy consolidation in a bull market.
Trading Strategies
• Aggressive: Place a breakout long above the current price of 342.6, target 354.7 LVN, stop loss at 339 (below HVN 341.9). Risk-reward ratio ≈ 3.8.
• Conservative: Wait for a pullback to the POC 302.5-303.2 area, enter when a bullish candle + UpVol > 60% appears, target 327.9, stop loss at 298. Risk-reward ratio ≈ 4.5.
• Cautious: If it breaks down significantly below 339, reverse to short, target 335/330, stop loss at 342.8. Risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.2.
Strategy invalidation: Daily close below the middle Bollinger band at 311.
LP Market Making Suggestions
It is recommended to place orders in the high trading zone of 296.9-303.2, with sufficient bilateral depth and high fee income; at the same time, pre-position thin orders above 354.7-356.1 to capture acceleration on breakouts.
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