🎯「0.31 USD Lifeline」! TRX Short-Term Hunt: Huge Short Positions Lurking, Do You Dare to Bottom-Fish at the LVN Gap?
30-Second Overview
Current price 0.3145, currently at the lower Bollinger Band, RSI 33 at the edge of oversold, 24h contract positions decreased by another 1.6%. Heavy selling pressure above the value anchor POC 0.301, but the 0.307-0.308 LVN gap + spot buying may become the only launch pad for short-term bulls. Aggressive: Buy on retest of 0.308, stop loss at 0.305, target 0.317, risk-reward ratio 2.2. Conservative: Wait for a breakout above 0.317 to chase. Risk: If it falls below 0.305, shorts will drive it straight down to 0.29.
Key Ranges and Trading Volume
• Value Anchor POC: 0.301 (1101M traded), balance between long and short, above Down Vol 51%, still slightly bearish.
• HVN Buffer: 0.300-0.303 (885M-1010M), preferred for short-term pullback; 0.325-0.328 (779M-836M) as distant resistance.
• LVN Gap: 0.307-0.308 (90M traded, Up Vol 100%), low liquidity + net inflow of 14M USDT in spot, a potential launch pad for bulls.
• 70% Value Zone: 0.283-0.331, current price at the lower edge, not overbought.
Momentum and Positions
• 1h contract net outflow -8.2M, price down -0.27%, showing volume-price divergence; 8h cycle net inflow 14M, price up 0.85%, short-term capital inflow.
• Long-short ratio decreased from 1.67 to 1.59, shorts are more proactive in adding positions.
• MA200 0.311, current price only +1% deviation, trend neutral; lower Bollinger Band at 0.310, lower band support unbroken.
Trading Strategies
• Aggressive Long: Enter when a 5min bullish candle (Up Vol > 60%) appears within 0.308-0.309 LVN, stop loss at 0.305 (below HVN 0.304), take profit at 0.317 (recent HVN), risk-reward ratio 2.2.
• Conservative Long: Chase after breaking 0.317 and holding for 15min, stop loss at 0.314, take profit at 0.325.
• Counter-Trend Short: If it falls below 0.305, short on a bounce to 0.307, stop loss at 0.309, target 0.295, risk-reward ratio 2.0.
Risk Warning
• Falling below 0.305 may trigger long liquidation, potentially sliding quickly to 0.29.
• If the US stock market weakens overnight, capital may continue to flow out of high Beta assets.
• Single position ≤ 1%, avoid volatility during UTC+8 08:00 delivery.
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