After CROSS crashed 12% intraday, can the 0.21 value anchor area fight back? Short-term bulls and bears are at life and death speed!

CROSS fell 12.8% in 24 hours, and the price has fallen below the lower edge of the 70% value area and is approaching the 0.21 POC high density area; if 0.305 LVN is lost in the short term, it may drop to 0.25, and if it holds 0.21-0.20, it is expected to pull back to 0.36. Aggressive bulls can place a small position at the current price of 0.329, stop loss 0.300, target 0.360, and profit and loss ratio ≈3.4; shorts can follow the trend and short if it breaks 0.300, with a stop loss of 0.320.

【Key interval structure and trading volume distribution】

1. Value anchoring zone: POC 0.2102 (2.3 billion transactions) is the largest trading zone in 11 days, and the upper 0.199–0.221 continuous HVN constitutes a strong support zone, and the lower edge LVN 0.247–0.249 is a potential acceleration gap.

2. 70% trading volume coverage area: 0.1399–0.3658, the current price of 0.329 is slightly below the central axis of this zone, and it is not yet extremely oversold.

3. Momentum verification: Up/Down Volume ≈59/41% near POC, slightly better buying; 0.31–0.32 HVN Down Volume is dominant (≈60%), and the short-term is still bearish.

4. Bollinger Bands: The price is close to the bottom of the middle track (37.9%), RSI 46.5, not extreme, but MA200 deviates from +20%, and the demand for callback is still there.

【Market Cycle】

The contract position in the past 7 days was -10.13%, and the funding rate remained at +0.005%. Combined with the rapid reduction of high leverage, it is judged to be the "high-level long deleveraging" stage, with a high probability of oscillating downward, and it has not yet entered the main decline of the bear market.

【Trading Strategy】

• Long (aggressive): small position trial at the current price of 0.329–0.330, stop loss 0.300 (outside HVN below + ATR), first target 0.360 (upper track/previous high), profit and loss ratio = (0.360-0.329)/(0.329-0.300)=3.4.

• Short: If it falls below 0.305 LVN and the volume increases (Down Volume>60%), chase the short, stop loss 0.320, target 0.250, profit and loss ratio ≈2.1.

• Conservative: Wait for the retracement of 0.210–0.215 POC band to show PinBar+Up Volume>60% before intervening, stop loss 0.200, target 0.250/0.285.

[Risk Warning]

1. If the contract position continues to decline or the funding rate turns negative, the selling pressure will increase.

2. If 0.300 is lost, the 0.25–0.247 LVN gap below may be traded instantly, with a high risk of slippage.

3. Sudden changes in macro sentiment or news from the project party may cause the strategy to fail. Be sure to control the single risk ≤1% and avoid low liquidity periods.

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