[TUT Surge Before the Night? 0.063 Heavy Resistance to Break, Short-term Short to Long Switch Imminent!]
Summary: TUT is approaching the 0.063 sell wall after continuous volume above POC 0.0619, with RSI at 73.5 indicating overbought + 8.4 times sell orders suppressing the market. A short-term pullback to 0.061–0.0606 HVN may be the last buying opportunity; if it breaks through 0.063 with increased volume, it targets 0.065. If it loses 0.0606, it will quickly drop to 0.058, with a risk-reward ratio of 2.3:1, strictly controlling the position to 1%.
Key Range Structure and Volume Distribution
1. Value Anchoring Zone: POC 0.0619 (539 million in trading volume, Up 57%) is the core cost for bulls, with prices oscillating around its upper edge for the last three days, indicating that the main force is still holding.
2. High Volume Zone: The 0.0606–0.0617 four consecutive HVNs accumulated 1.5 billion in trading volume, forming a pullback buffer; the upper 0.063–0.0635 is also an HVN, but the sell wall of 300,000 USDT forms a short-term ceiling.
3. Low Volume Gap: The 0.0532–0.0538 LVN range only has 13–24 million in volume; if the price breaks below 0.058, it will quickly slide to this area.
4. 70% Value Area: 0.0551–0.0675, the current price is at the upper edge, slightly overbought in the short term, but still in a bullish channel in the medium term.
Momentum Verification
• The last 6 hourly candles above POC show Up Volume at 62%, with buying dominating; however, 4.78 million large sell orders at the 0.063 sell wall indicate Down Volume at 65%, which needs to be digested with increased volume in the short term.
• Contract holdings increased slightly by 0.04% in 24 hours, with the long-short ratio at 5.57 → 5.50, indicating a slight reduction in longs without panic.
Market Cycle
In a high-level consolidation period after a medium-term rise, holdings decreased by 8.98% over 14 days while prices increased by 6.92%, indicating a change in positions. If it breaks through, the trend may continue; otherwise, it may enter a period of oscillation.
Trading Strategy
Aggressive: Enter long if the pullback at 0.0619–0.0620 does not break and 15m Up Vol > 60%, with a stop loss at 0.0605 (outside the HVN), targeting 0.065 (2×ATR), with a risk-reward ratio of 2.3:1.
Conservative: Wait for a volume breakout above 0.063 and 15m trading volume > 1.5 times the average of the previous 20 candles to chase long, with a stop loss at 0.0619, targeting 0.065–0.066, with a risk-reward ratio of 2:1.
Cautious: If it breaks below 0.0606, short on a rebound at 0.0614 with resistance, with a stop loss at 0.0623, targeting 0.058, with a risk-reward ratio of 1.9:1.
Risk Warning
• If the sell wall of 300,000 USDT remains, the probability of a breakout failure is high.
• The funding rate of +0.005% is low, but crowding in longs may trigger a short-term reverse spike.
• Sudden regulation or project negative news could directly breach 0.058 LVN, triggering a rapid pullback.
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