🚀“UNI Rocket Ignited Again? Hidden Dangers Above 10.5, Short-term Long and Short Positions All Caught!”
Summary: After a strong breakout of the UNI daily line above MA200, it is now overbought (RSI 81). Spot buying is still active but contract positions have seen a continuous 4-hour net outflow of -376,000. In the short term, it may pull back to 10.0–9.8 before attempting to reach 11.0; if it breaks below 9.7, the bullish structure will be damaged.
Key Range Structure
• Value Anchor POC: 8.94 (Max Transaction 39.5M), Daily Bullish Bottom Line
• High Volume HVN: 9.05–9.27 (Transaction 35M+) = Pullback Buffer Zone
• Low Volume LVN: 10.88–11.0 (Transaction <2.5M) = Breakout Acceleration Zone
• 70% Value Area: 6.90–10.78, Current Price is Close to Upper Edge, Short-term Overbought
Momentum Verification
• Up Vol above POC 60–65%, Still Buyer Dominated
• Past 4h Contract Net Outflow -376,000 and Slight Price Increase, Volume Price Divergence, Beware of Pullback
Bollinger Bands + Positions
• 1h Bollinger Upper Band 10.72, Current Price 10.53 is Only 1.8% from Upper Band, Compression Space
• MA200 9.29, Deviation 13.3%, First Pullback Demand Strengthened
• 8h Positions +2.42% but Long-Short Ratio Dropped from 5.18 to 5.03, Retail Investors Chasing Long
Order Book Anomalies
• Distant Buy Orders 21.64M vs Sell Orders 10.39M, Overall Volume is Bullish
• Near Term -93,000 Sell Pressure, 10.9–11.0 Stacked Orders 1.2M, Breakout Requires Volume Increase
Market Cycle
Mid-term Bull Market Continues, Short-term Entering “Rally - Pullback” Second Phase
Trading Strategy (15m–1h)
Aggressive: Current Price 10.53 Lightly Short, Stop Loss 10.72 (Bollinger Upper Band + Distant Sell Wall), Target 10.0/9.85, Risk-Reward Ratio ≈2.1
Conservative: Wait for Pullback to 9.90–9.85 LVN + HVN Overlap Zone, Enter Long if Up Vol >60% and 15m Bullish Candle Engulfs, Stop Loss 9.70, Target 10.50/11.00, Risk-Reward Ratio ≈2.8
Cautious: If Volume Breaks Out Above 11.0 and Stabilizes, Lightly Chase Long on Pullback to 10.95–11.0, Stop Loss 10.88, Target 11.50, Risk-Reward Ratio ≈2.4
Risk Warning
• Breaking Below 9.7 Invalidates Bullish Structure
• Funding Rate is Only 0.01%, Short Position Cost is Extremely Low, Easy to Trigger Squeeze
• Major Macro News or BTC Flash Crash Will Amplify Volatility
Risk Control: Single Risk ≤ 1% of Account, Avoid High Volatility Periods During U.S. Stock Market Open.
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