The price of #BTC remains around 107,000 USD. According to CoinAnk data, the holding ratio of long-term holders (LTH) to short-term holders (STH) is showing a recovery trend. Looking back at past market cycles, similar accumulation phases usually last 4 to 8 weeks. If combined with a conservative 1.6 times price increase prediction model, Bitcoin's future price is expected to rise further. Historical data indicates that significant accumulation by LTH often serves as a precursor to price breakthroughs, for example, at the levels of 28,000 USD and 60,000 USD, the increase in LTH holdings catalyzed the price to jump to 60,000 USD and 100,000 USD, respectively.
From a research interpretation perspective, the growth of the LTH/STH ratio reflects a recovery of market confidence. LTH continues to accumulate, reducing the circulating supply and supporting Bitcoin's upward potential. However, it is necessary to be cautious of key resistance levels such as 99,900 USD that may trigger profit-taking. Strong buying pressure is needed to absorb selling pressure in order to maintain the upward trend. If STH demand can match LTH supply, Bitcoin is expected to break through the 100,000 USD mark, further driving the sentiment of the entire cryptocurrency market. Historical cycle analysis has pointed to a target of 126,000 USD, suggesting potential upside space, but external risks such as regulatory changes or liquidity fluctuations must be considered. For the cryptocurrency market, a strong breakthrough by Bitcoin will boost altcoins and derivatives trading volume, strengthening bullish expectations, but short-term pullback risks such as miner sell-offs or macro factors need to be closely monitored.