Daily Market Analysis in Crypto (05.22)

Summary:

1. Hold onto long positions in natural gas and short positions in the US dollar with patience.

2. Discuss the current significant risks in the US stock market.

3. The relationship between US Treasury yield, the US dollar index, and US stocks.

4. The market is indeed showing somewhat extreme movements, but no unexpected situations have occurred.

5. From a larger perspective, starting from 74500, there should only be a second buy in the weekly chart and no third buy.

6. The time and space of this bull market.

7. From a smaller perspective, the rise indeed lacks logic. Current indicators have diverged multiple times, and the volume-price relationship does not support a continuous rise.

Operations:

1. Short-term:

There are no long plans at this position, short at $BTC 113000, should be around 2764 at $ETH , and around 184 at $SOL . Once in, do not move anymore; the current market has become quite extreme. For those already in short positions, hold on a bit longer, manage your position and leverage well.

2. Medium-term:

This daily-level downward movement will inevitably occur, and Bitcoin will at least reach the MA250 line on the daily chart. Over time, this position is likely to rise to between 89000-90000, with Ethereum/SOL in sync; Ethereum will likely reach around 2100, and SOL will likely reach around 130.

3. Medium to long-term:

Buy spot at the MA250 on the daily chart, and allocate 1% of the position for a 100x leverage long position. Allocate another 1% for a 100x leverage long position at EMA250, and another 1% for a 100x leverage long position at MA350.

Do not set take profit for the long positions; if the weekly closing entity breaks below the weekly MA/EMA60, manually stop loss.

Spot allocation: Bitcoin 50%, SOL 30%, Altcoins 20%

Altcoin targets: JTO, ONDO, SUI, SEI, STX, MKR, AAVE, TAO, RENDER, XLM, LINK, RENDER, VIRTUAL, SWARMS

4. Long-term:

During the consolidation phase after the main upward wave in Q3, gradually build long-term short positions, with long-term shorts taking profit at 82500.

Lottery numbers to keep: 05/15/20/22/26 06/09 ; 13/14/23/24/33 04/11

These two sets of numbers can likely be held until mid-August.