Conditions for maintaining bullish trend
- Support level: 2000 is the short-term strong-weak dividing line; if not broken on pullback, the upward structure is maintained.
- Target level:
1. Previous high resistance level 2070 (breaking through opens upward space);
2. Secondary pressure zone 2105-2152-2195 (requires volume support for a breakout).
Pullback risks and support
- Break signal: If unable to break the previous high and falls below 2000, a pullback will occur on the 1-hour level.
- Support level:
1. First support 1953 (recent low);
2. Second support 1895 (50-hour moving average);
3. Strong support 1855 (daily key support).
Operational advice
- Aggressive: Light position long near 2000 on a pullback, target 2070, stop loss below 1980.
- Conservative: Wait for a breakout above 2070 or a drop below 2000 before following up, avoid chasing highs.
Summary
ETH's night price movement revolves around the 2000-2070 range with a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. 2000 is the watershed point, determining the short-term trend direction. The current market is supported by favorable upgrades (such as the Pectra upgrade improving Layer 2 performance) and capital inflows, but caution is needed for overbought pullback risks (RSI close to 70). It is recommended to use the watershed loss and gain as a signal; if the previous high is broken, chase the rise; if the support is broken, wait or try a small short position, and strictly maintain stop losses to avoid chasing highs and killing lows. Pay close attention to Ethereum ecosystem dynamics and the Bitcoin linkage effect, preventing linked liquidations.$ETH #ETH走势分析 
