1. Core Point Analysis
1. Upper Support Level: 147 (Bullish/Bearish dividing line)
- Function: Key support at the 4-hour level; if the price stabilizes at this level, it indicates bullish dominance, and the probability of an upward trend continuation is high; if it falls below, it indicates a short-term weakening, and a pullback should be noted.
- Operational Reference:
- If not broken: Can rely on 147 for light long positions, target towards the upper resistance levels.
- Break below: Short-term long positions should stop loss and exit, primarily observing, waiting for a stabilization signal at lower support.
2. Upper Resistance Levels
- First resistance level: 150.3: The first obstacle for recent upward movement; a breakthrough may open space up to 153.2.
- Second resistance level: 153.2: Upper boundary of previous fluctuation range, a breakthrough requires volume support; if successful, look towards 157.2.
- Third resistance level: 157.2: Medium to long-term target, requires market sentiment and liquidity to resonate and push.
3. Lower Support Levels
- First support: 144: Initial pullback target after breaking 147; if it stabilizes, a rebound can be anticipated.
- Second lower support: 141.3: 4-hour trend line support, key level for medium-term layout.
- Third support: 138: Strong support area, low probability of breaking below, suitable for long-term low-risk buying.
2. Operational Strategy
1. Bullish Strategy (if holding 147)
- Entry: Price stabilizes near 147 (e.g., bullish candlestick rebound), light long positions, stop loss at 145.5.
- Target: Sequentially look at 150.3, 153.2; a breakthrough of 153.2 may keep positions to aim for 157.2.
- Note: Observe for signs of stagnation (such as long upper shadows) when approaching resistance levels, and take profits in a timely manner.
2. Pullback Strategy (if breaking below 147)
- Observation: Do not enter after a break; wait for the performance of lower support levels.
- Gradual Layout:
- If 144 stabilizes (e.g., double bottom pattern): Light positions for long, stop loss at 142.5, target 147.
- If 141.3 stabilizes: Medium-term long positions, stop loss at 139, target 150+.
3. Risk Control
1. Stop Loss Discipline: Uniform stop-loss for long positions set below upper support (e.g., exit if breaking 147) to avoid deep losses.
2. Position Management: Individual position ≤5%; can reduce positions near resistance/support levels to lower volatility risk.
3. Emotional Management: Avoid chasing highs and selling lows; wait for clear signals (such as breakthroughs/stabilization candlesticks) before taking action.
Summary
Today's SOL market revolves around 147:
- Upward logic: If 147 holds, it will attack resistance levels of 150.3-157.2, mostly relying on support for low-risk buying.
- Pullback risk: A break below 147 may lead to a drop towards 144-138; wait for stabilization signals before making plans.
- Key Actions: Closely monitor the 4-hour candlestick patterns and trading volume; decisively stop loss on breaks, and decisively follow up on stabilization.$SOL #SOL走势