1. Macroeconomic data:
1. Dollar index: Finally up 0.23%, reported at 106.65
2. Treasury bond prices: The two-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.157%, and the ten-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.275%
3. Gold price: Finally up 0.89%, reported at $2,717.44 per ounce
4. WTI crude oil: WTI crude oil rose by 2.62%, reported at $69.96 per barrel
5. Stock market: Dow Jones fell 0.22%, S&P 500 rose 0.82%, Nasdaq rose 1.77%
6. USDCNY: 7.27
7. Rate hike expectations: According to the Federal Reserve Rate Monitor, the probability of maintaining the rate at 4.50 - 4.75 in December is 5.9%, while the probability of a cut to 4.25 - 4.50 is 94.1%.
8. Cryptocurrency: Overall market value increased by 5.21% to $3.62T, with a 24-hour trading volume down 34.18% to $224.42B, stablecoin market value rose by 2.7% to $195.16B
2. ETF holdings data:
Updated on December 11:
10 Bitcoin ETF net inflow: +5,459 $BTC (+$538.45 million) #BlackRock inflow 3,071 $BTC ($302.89 million), currently holding 530,832 $BTC ($52.36 billion).
9 Ethereum ETF net inflow: +81,254 $ETH (+$302.91 million) #Fidelity inflow 63,500 $ETH ($236.73 million), currently holding 406,250 $ETH ($1.51 billion)
3. Yesterday's macro news:
1. The U.S. November unadjusted CPI year-on-year growth rate rebounded further, rising for the second consecutive month to 2.7%. The core consumer price index in the U.S. increased by 3.3% year-on-year and 0.3% month-on-month in November, all in line with expectations. The market strengthened expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.
2. South Korean police, public prosecution office, and the Ministry of National Defense jointly established an emergency martial law investigation team, with a special investigation team raiding the presidential office regarding the martial law incident; it is reported that former South Korean Defense Minister Kim Yong-kyun attempted suicide in prison. The impeachment case against South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol is expected to be voted on again in the National Assembly at 5 PM on the 14th.
3. Damascus, Syria lifts curfew, and the airport will reopen.
4. Hungary, the rotating presidency of the EU, stated that EU ambassadors agreed on Wednesday to impose a 15th round of sanctions on Russia for its military actions against Ukraine. These sanctions are said to restrict the activities of third-country vessels, and the EU will add more individuals and entities to the sanctions list. The sanctions plan may be formally approved at the EU Foreign Ministers' meeting next Monday.
5. U.S. officials: Russia may launch another experimental 'Hazelnut' missile at Ukraine in the coming days.
6. A minister of the interim government of Afghanistan was killed in an explosion in Kabul.
7. OPEC lowered its global oil demand growth forecast for this year and next for the fifth consecutive month. OPEC currently expects demand to grow by 1.61 million barrels per day and 1.45 million barrels per day this year and next, respectively, down from previous estimates of 1.82 million barrels per day and 1.54 million barrels per day.
8. It is reported that Bank of Japan officials are open to a rate hike in December. The yen fluctuated significantly by nearly 100 points upon hearing this news.
9. The Bank of Canada lowered the policy rate from 3.75% to 3.25%, marking the second consecutive month of a 50 basis point cut, but hinted at slowing the pace of rate cuts.
10. German Chancellor Scholz confirmed plans to move elections forward to February 23 next year.
11. The Central Bank of Brazil raised interest rates by 100 basis points.
12. To prevent arterial embolism, Brazilian President Lula will undergo surgery again on the 12th.
