CYCLE

Introduction
In recent years, the growing attention to cyclical analysis in financial markets has rekindled interest in a discipline as old as man himself: astrology. Although often considered a pseudoscience, financial astrology is gaining credibility among some analysts and investors who note surprising correlations between planetary movements and market cycles, especially in the cryptocurrency sector, known for its volatility and emotional sensitivity. One of the most discussed astrological events is Mercury retrograde, often associated with confusion, slowdowns and trend reversals. But how much truth is there in all this?

Let's talk about how to squeeze the most out of your spot portfolio and still not go to the bottom of the next cryptowinter with them.

The entire cryptocurrency market is heavily dependent on bitcoin. Bull runs have historically started for a variety of reasons, but one factor has consistently played a decisive role, and that's halving. The next halving of block rewards will happen in less than 2 months - they will drop to 3.125 BTC.
Historically, this period is very important. Often a flash crash happens a few months before halving, BTC drops 50-60%, providing an opportunity to buy. Then (about 7 months after the halving) BTC reaches the previous ATH, and 10 months later experiences a parabolic rise. At least that was the case in 2016 and 2020.

A chart known to many can be used to assess the current stage of the market:

The strategy is simple: buy on depression, sell on euphoria. There is a view that we have now entered the optimism stage, the bullrun is finally in the same room with us. Corrections are still possible, but the uptrend is becoming obvious to everyone.
If your capital does not exceed $100 thousand, it is better to focus on altcoins. When BTC crosses the price of $100 thousand, i.e. makes 2 X from the current ones, competently selected altcoins can give tens and hundreds of X. Study the market, identify the most promising in your opinion, and bet on the top 5-10.
The main thing is to wait for the euphoria on BTC, because most likely it is after that your alts will show real growth.
How does it work?
We follow the growth of BTC and then consolidation.ETH should demonstrate strength against BTC and start outperforming.This is a signal for the growth of large-caps and then the rest of the alts.
Save yourself this cheat sheet:

Your goal is to wait for the right time. But don't forget to lock in profits little by little as your portfolio grows. When you start looking at houses and yachts (or anything else you couldn't afford before) - close at least some of your positions.
Profit, everybody!
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