降息预期

Powell ignored Trump and directly threw cold water on the July rate cut,
Everyone pay attention to your positions, there may be a slight pullback,
Rate cut in December?? Another bombshell dropped, trying to deceive is not going to work. ​​​
#降息预期

#ETH #BTC

《Powell's Latest Remarks: Economic Uncertainty Increases, Federal Reserve Not Rushing to Predict the Future》

Today, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated in his speech that "there is a high degree of uncertainty in the current economic situation," and pointed out that the Federal Reserve will base its decisions on actual data rather than making overly confident predictions. He further stated that he does not wish to provide excessive forward guidance.

This statement undoubtedly reflects the current instability of the U.S. economy, especially in multiple areas such as inflation, employment, and international trade. Powell emphasized that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will remain flexible and will be adjusted based on the latest data, rather than making predictions about the economic trend in the coming months out of thin air.

"Future trade agreements may impact interest rate cut decisions"

Powell also mentioned that future trade agreements could become an important factor for the Federal Reserve to consider when making interest rate cuts. If trade agreements lead to the anticipated economic slowdown or further impact inflation, the Federal Reserve will be more likely to adjust interest rates.

The impact of this statement on the market:

Uncertain economic outlook: The market may respond poorly in the short term, especially concerning interest rate expectations and capital flows in financial markets.

Increased expectations for interest rate cuts: Powell's remarks may lead to rising market expectations for interest rate cuts, and investors may reassess the risks and returns in the capital markets.

Greater future policy space: The Federal Reserve's flexible policy space also means that financial markets may welcome more adjustment opportunities.

The latest speech from the Federal Reserve Chairman once again conveys uncertainty about future policies, which serves as a signal for investors: risks and opportunities coexist. In the coming months, market performance will rely more on data changes and the global economic situation, rather than just the Federal Reserve's expectations.

#鲍威尔半年度货币政策证词
#降息预期

#RARE Air Force is enjoying it! The market is being grasped tightly!

Don't open positions casually, when you do, it must be with confidence! Four times profit-taking, the fans' wallets are getting fatter, how about your wallet?

Follow my steps, let's grasp the market together and ambush the divine elixir!

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#币安HODLer空投NEWT #降息预期 #加密市场回调

After yesterday's hearing, the market's general expectation for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts in 2025 still indicates that the probability of no rate cut in July is the highest, with September possibly being the first rate cut of 2025, and the second possibly in December. #降息预期

Mid-Year Review of the Cryptocurrency Market in 2025: Where Will the Next Opportunities Lie?

As we reach mid-2025, the cryptocurrency market has experienced a quiet yet pivotal first half of the year. Although it is not as lively as in the past, many significant changes are quietly taking place.

Bitcoin is increasingly recognized by institutions. Since the approval of the spot Bitcoin ETF in the United States in 2024, a number of traditional financial companies have begun to invest, bringing not only new capital but also elevating Bitcoin's status. It is no longer merely a speculative tool favored by retail investors; it is gradually becoming the 'digital gold' in the eyes of institutions.

Ethereum is also undergoing continuous upgrades. With the rollout of new technologies, its transaction processing speed has increased, and costs have decreased. Many projects are migrating operations to sidechains while Ethereum focuses on settlement and security. In decentralized finance, its role is increasingly resembling that of a 'underlying financial system.'

The tokenization of real-world assets has also become a hot topic this year. U.S. treasury bonds, gold, carbon credits, and other assets are beginning to issue digital versions via blockchain, establishing more connections between the cryptocurrency market and traditional finance. This not only expands application scenarios but also attracts more stable funds. However, this also means that compliance requirements are becoming increasingly stringent.

On the technical front, the integration of AI and blockchain is beginning to materialize, with some projects already launching decentralized computing networks. Meanwhile, privacy protection and more flexible blockchain architectures are also advancing rapidly.

The global regulatory environment is becoming clearer. Regions such as the European Union, the United States, Hong Kong, and Singapore are formulating more explicit policies; projects that aim for long-term development must meet basic compliance and transparency requirements.

Overall, the cryptocurrency market is transitioning from 'speculating on concepts' to 'focusing on strength.' While 2025 may not be the most bustling year, it is likely to be one filled with the most opportunities, suitable for serious planning. What truly deserves attention are those projects that are technically robust, compliant, and capable of solving real-world problems. The next wave of opportunities is likely brewing slowly within this period of consolidation.

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#香港加密概念股 #下一任美联储主席人选 #降息预期

Dog Zhuang just loves to play with expectations, hyping up the interest rate cut in July, so there will be a rally before that.

When July arrives and there is no cut, they will smash it hard, and then the interest rate cut in September will become a sure thing.

The next script is:
A strong rally before the July interest rate cut, then a big crash when it doesn't happen.
Slow rise in August, and in September, the announcement of the interest rate cut will trigger a month-long crazy rally in the market.

Until around early October when the bull market ends, large-scale funds exit, and new retail investors come in to take over and get trapped for another four years.
$BTC
#降息预期

Recently, everyone has been discussing the possibility of interest rate cuts in July. Although two officials from the Federal Reserve hinted that the earliest rate cut could be in July, the data observed from the Federal Reserve indicates that the probability of maintaining the interest rate in July is 79.3%. Therefore, the first interest rate cut in the second half of this year is expected to occur in September #降息预期 ​​​​

Interest rate cuts + ceasefire, the market is set for a surge, the small circle successfully bottoms out

Last night the market was very dramatic:

Iran retaliated: attacked U.S. military bases in Iraq and Qatar.

The result was unusual: the stock market and cryptocurrency not only did not fall, but instead surged; oil prices plummeted.

The market regarded this Iranian attack as a 'performance'—both sides seemed to have given advance notice, and the real purpose seemed to be 'putting on a show', not genuinely wanting to escalate the war.

Sure enough, in the early morning, Trump announced a ceasefire, and the market generally rose.

Additionally, the Federal Reserve indicated that it might cut interest rates in July, releasing more dovish statements. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman stated that she might support a rate cut in July. Her remarks echoed those of Federal Reserve Governor Waller from last Friday. Subsequently, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee stated that inflationary pressures are not significant, which could lead the Fed to consider cutting rates again. The market believes there is a 23% chance the Fed will cut rates next month.

These two points combined are enough to drive the market up again; buying at low levels may be a long-term hold. Friends who have not bought at the bottom or are in the red, the small circle will provide the latest strategies
$HIFI $MOVE $BTC
#加密市场反弹 #以色列伊朗冲突 #降息预期

6.21 Thoughts

Reviewing last night's market, it is clear that there is no rush to cut interest rates, and the inflation brought by tariffs is a significant risk.
I expect interest rate cuts to come in September.

Last night, Israel used powerful bunker buster bombs to destroy Iran's nuclear reactor.
[Allow Sadness]
Now, let's calm down. ​​​

#降息预期

Federal Reserve Inflation Alarm Sounds 📢 Interest Rate Cut Expectations Change

Hey everyone, there’s big movement in the financial world again! Former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Richard Clarida recently issued a warning that the Federal Reserve's battle against inflation is far from over.

Since January, the inflation data seemed more optimistic than expected, but Clarida reminds us that the lagging effects of companies stockpiling goods and the impact of new tariffs have not fully manifested in the data yet. Currently, the actual tariff rate faced by American consumers in June has soared to 15.6%, the highest since 1937, which could likely push inflation into the 3% range in the short term.

Now turning our attention to the Federal Reserve, at the March meeting when predictions were made, the “Liberation Day” tariffs had not yet disturbed the market. Now everyone is anxiously watching whether the Federal Reserve's original plan for two interest rate cuts this year will “shrink” to one. The market is in turmoil, and investors are urgently adjusting their investment strategies, fearing they might miss the rhythm.

For us ordinary people, inflation and interest rate cuts are closely related to our wallets. High inflation leads to rising prices; interest rate cuts will also affect loan rates and investment returns. We need to keep a close eye on this news and prepare in advance~

#美联储利率决策即将公布 #通胀控制 #降息预期 #金融知识

FOMC Outlook: The Federal Reserve Will Hold Steady, Multiple Factors Influence Interest Rate Policy Direction

On June 19 (Thursday) at midnight, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate decision, and the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to maintain the federal funds rate in the range of 4.25%-4.5%.

This expectation is based on the complexity of the current U.S. economic data and policy environment. Although there are signs of cooling in the job market, it has not significantly deteriorated; inflationary pressures have eased somewhat but remain above target levels. At the same time, geopolitical tensions and uncertainties in tariff policies add more considerations to the Federal Reserve's decision-making.

Although the market generally expects the Federal Reserve to hold steady, the future policy path is still influenced by multiple factors;

First, the tense situation in the Middle East has caused fluctuations in oil prices, which, although there has been a brief decline, may still push up inflation. Second, the tariff policies of the Trump administration have increased economic uncertainty, which has a lagging impact on inflation and employment. In addition, the U.S. economy faces the risk of “stagflation,” with slowing consumer spending, weak manufacturing output, and declining retail sales potentially having impacts.

According to the dot plot from the March FOMC meeting, most members expect two 25 basis point rate cuts before the end of 2025, but the latest forecasts may have been adjusted. The Federal Reserve is expected to lower its economic growth forecast for 2025 while raising its inflation and unemployment rate expectations. The market generally believes that the Federal Reserve may cut rates by 25 basis points in September and December, but if economic data performs better than expected, the rate cut expectations may be retracted.

The Trump administration has recently pressured the Federal Reserve to cut rates, claiming that high rates are harming the U.S. economy. However, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell has repeatedly reaffirmed the independence of the policy, emphasizing that decisions will be based on economic data rather than political pressure.

San Francisco Fed President Daly believes that the current policy is “good,” and inflation will continue to decrease, but it needs to wait. Meanwhile, Dallas Fed President Logan feels that the effects of Trump's policies will take time to manifest, and rates may need to be maintained for longer.

In summary, the Federal Reserve is likely to hold steady in June, but multiple complex factors will influence its future decisions, especially the uncertainties in geopolitical and tariff policies. Investors need to closely monitor Powell's press conference statements to gauge the rate cut path and economic outlook.

#FOMC #降息预期 #美联储

On June 27, 2023, a large amount of high-value options will be settled, with the maximum pain point at 99500. If tonight's news maintains the interest rates unchanged, the BTC price might reach 995-975 within 10 days. You can use the stop-loss money from the contracts to buy the 100,000 put options expiring on June 27, #期权 #降息预期 #BTC走势分析
78380532560

The Fed's September rate cut is a foregone conclusion, President Powell has spoken!!!

As the comments of Fed officials have solidified expectations of a September rate cut in the United States, investors have flocked to gold as a safe-haven asset, and spot gold has hit a record high. Bart Melek, head of commodity strategy at TD Securities, said: "Now the probability of a September rate cut by the Fed has reached 100%, and Fed Chairman Powell's comments yesterday are driving the gold market up." Phillip Streible, chief investment strategist at Blue Line Futures, also said, "We will see two rate cuts (this year), one in September and one in December, because expectations for a September rate cut have risen to 100%.#美联储何时降息？ #降息预期 #降息9月至11月 #山寨季何时到来？ #以太坊ETF批准预期

#降息预期 $MUBARAK this might be the big guy! It can be a key focus!

#杰克逊霍尔年会
Fed: If inflation continues to fall, it will support rate cuts !!!

Fed Governor Bowman said she remains cautious about the policy shift because there are still upside risks to inflation, but if price growth continues to slow, it would be appropriate for the central bank to begin to gradually lower interest rates.

Under the current policy stance, inflation should continue to fall, and if future data continue to show that inflation is continuing to move toward our 2% target, it would be appropriate to gradually lower the federal funds rate to prevent monetary policy from becoming too restrictive.

Bowman believes that "further progress has been made in reducing inflation" in recent months, but upside risks remain due to "increased geopolitical tensions, additional fiscal stimulus measures, and increased housing demand caused by immigration."

It is worth noting that on Wednesday, Eastern Time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the preliminary report on the non-farm employment and wage census for the first quarter of 2024. Economists at JPMorgan Chase expect that the non-farm downward revision for this year will be about 360,000, but Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo expect at least 600,000 downward revisions.

If the downward revision of employment exceeds 501,000, it will be the largest in 15 years, indicating that the cooling of the labor market will take longer and may be more severe than previously thought. The data may also affect the tone of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. #美联储何时降息？ #降息预期 #新币挖矿DOGS

No interest rate adjustment in November, no increase or decrease#非农人数大幅升温 #降息预期
The Fed's interest rate decision has an important impact on global markets, including cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin. Interest rate cuts usually increase market liquidity, encourage more people to invest in high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies, and drive their prices up. For example, after the Fed cut interest rates in 2020, the price of Bitcoin rose by 1,600%. Conversely, interest rate hikes reduce liquidity, making high-risk assets such as Bitcoin less attractive. For example, during the Fed's interest rate hike in 2022, the price of Bitcoin fell by about 65%.

Bitcoin is often seen as a tool to fight inflation because its fixed supply makes it less susceptible to currency depreciation. As institutional investors gradually include it in their portfolios, the price of Bitcoin is expected to continue to rise. Although it will be affected by interest rate changes in the short term, in the long run, analysts predict that Bitcoin may reach new highs by the end of 2024, and may even break through $100,000.

Interest rate cuts are good for Bitcoin, while interest rate hikes are not. However, Bitcoin's long-term potential remains strong, especially in the current inflationary and macroeconomic environment, where many people regard it as a safe-haven asset.
$BTC

❤️Yesterday, May 28, the Nasdaq index closed above 17,000 points for the first time. Nvidia's stock price exceeded $111 billion, with a total market value of $2.8 trillion, only $100 billion less than Apple. Goldman Sachs data shows that the so-called seven sisters of the US stock market currently account for about 20.7% of the total net exposure of hedge funds to single stocks.
European Central Bank Governing Council member Knott said: According to the forecast in March, the ideal situation is to cut interest rates 3-4 times this year; Holzmann said: Up to three times.
#降息预期 $BTC $ETH $BNB

#降息预期 From the data just released, the Fed will definitely cut interest rates in May-June! The big one may really be coming! $BTC
$ETH
$SOL

The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is good news for the financial markets, and the Trump administration may also stop creating so much market uncertainty once everything settles down.

A new cryptocurrency catalyst has emerged, and the biggest rebound in this cycle has been driven by two significant past events: the launch of the spot Bitcoin ETF and Trump's election victory.

Even in the face of negative news, BTC and altcoins are showing strong performance—this indicates that sellers' tokens are about to run out.

When these signals appear in the market, it is a good time to accumulate at lower prices. The mini altcoin season will still occur; it is just a matter of time. If you are still interested in altcoins and do not want to spend too much time and energy on project research or participating in PVP games, then focus on uncovering projects with strong fundamentals, such as those that can generate continuous revenue, have good token economics, and are capable of sustained development with a vision for growth.... The simplest method is to select directly from the top 100 by market capitalization.#降息预期