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Bullish
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#BTC has rebounded to the supply zone, which is a strong resistance level. If it cannot break through, there is a risk of another sell-off, especially since this week is still data week. If any negative news triggers panic selling in the market, it could easily drop to around 108-107. Currently, the open interest has not significantly rebounded, indicating that a large portion of capital is actually on the sidelines. This is not meant to encourage you to short, but for the bears, this is indeed the best shorting range. For the bulls, it is necessary to control risks, reduce leverage or decrease positions. When volatility is high, reduce leverage; when volatility is low, increase leverage. {spot}(BTCUSDT)
#BTC has rebounded to the supply zone, which is a strong resistance level. If it cannot break through, there is a risk of another sell-off, especially since this week is still data week. If any negative news triggers panic selling in the market, it could easily drop to around 108-107. Currently, the open interest has not significantly rebounded, indicating that a large portion of capital is actually on the sidelines.
This is not meant to encourage you to short, but for the bears, this is indeed the best shorting range. For the bulls, it is necessary to control risks, reduce leverage or decrease positions. When volatility is high, reduce leverage; when volatility is low, increase leverage.
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Bullish
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In fact, this kind of market trend occurs every once in a while. Refer to the trend in the chart at the end of June; it's basically identical. It broke through the major channel - broke through the range - broke through the moving average - subsequently recovered - consolidated for a few days - long positions stopped out - long positions chased shorts - violent surge - shorts trapped - shorts bleeding heavily - ...😃 As soon as you open your phone, what greets you is: "Black Swan," "Bear Market," "Doomsday," and then retail traders start staring at the market 24/7, hedging and locking positions, borrowing to add margin, looking everywhere for analysts to analyze the market, seeking help to break even, keeping an eye on insider news, searching for the wealth code, looking for strategies to get rich. 🤣 It's just the market's manipulation methods. As more and more Wall Street institutions enter the market, it's becoming increasingly difficult for retail traders. If you don't get off the bus, they won't drive it up, and they even have to grind it until you want to chase the shorts before they push it up. That's why I never recommend high leverage and heavy positions unless you have your own closed-loop trading system; otherwise, you will definitely fall before dawn. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
In fact, this kind of market trend occurs every once in a while. Refer to the trend in the chart at the end of June; it's basically identical.
It broke through the major channel - broke through the range - broke through the moving average - subsequently recovered - consolidated for a few days - long positions stopped out - long positions chased shorts - violent surge - shorts trapped - shorts bleeding heavily - ...😃
As soon as you open your phone, what greets you is: "Black Swan," "Bear Market," "Doomsday," and then retail traders start staring at the market 24/7, hedging and locking positions, borrowing to add margin, looking everywhere for analysts to analyze the market, seeking help to break even, keeping an eye on insider news, searching for the wealth code, looking for strategies to get rich. 🤣
It's just the market's manipulation methods. As more and more Wall Street institutions enter the market, it's becoming increasingly difficult for retail traders. If you don't get off the bus, they won't drive it up, and they even have to grind it until you want to chase the shorts before they push it up. That's why I never recommend high leverage and heavy positions unless you have your own closed-loop trading system; otherwise, you will definitely fall before dawn. $ETH
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Bullish
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There are still a few hours until the monthly line closes, and the breakthrough is inevitable. For other garbage coins, it is advisable to switch to ETH to recoup losses; in the future, BTC is BTC, ETH is ETH, and altcoins are altcoins. There are very few coins that can outperform ETH. BTC, which started as dirty money from the dark web, has now become a globally recognized financial revolution and strategic reserve. Each accumulation and integration is a cleanup and absorption of market liquidity by Wall Street capital and large institutions. As for ETH's recovery, it has just begun. Before Ethereum steps into a new era, it will push all retail investors off the bus. ETH will be the next coin that retail investors cannot afford. For the past two months, I have only focused on a one-sided bullish trend for ETH with a 100% win rate, blocking anyone who encourages you to short; they are either foolish or malicious. $ETH #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #上市公司加密储备战略 #ETH重返3800 {spot}(ETHUSDT)
There are still a few hours until the monthly line closes, and the breakthrough is inevitable. For other garbage coins, it is advisable to switch to ETH to recoup losses; in the future, BTC is BTC, ETH is ETH, and altcoins are altcoins. There are very few coins that can outperform ETH. BTC, which started as dirty money from the dark web, has now become a globally recognized financial revolution and strategic reserve. Each accumulation and integration is a cleanup and absorption of market liquidity by Wall Street capital and large institutions.
As for ETH's recovery, it has just begun. Before Ethereum steps into a new era, it will push all retail investors off the bus. ETH will be the next coin that retail investors cannot afford. For the past two months, I have only focused on a one-sided bullish trend for ETH with a 100% win rate, blocking anyone who encourages you to short; they are either foolish or malicious. $ETH #以太坊十周年 #美联储利率决议 #上市公司加密储备战略 #ETH重返3800
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Bullish
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The last time the Square made a post urging to buy, BMNR's holding cost was still at 3642. Now, BMNR has already accumulated 625,000 ETH, with an average holding cost of $3755. SBET bought another 77,000 last week, with an average purchase price of $3756. Currently, SBET plans to accumulate 1 million, progress at 43.8%. BMNR plans to accumulate 5% of the supply, progress at 10%. This is why I don't engage in bilateral markets; in the past two months, my success rate for buying Ethereum has been 100%. The fundamentals are there, you just need to find a comparable entry point. The current market situation is that simple: large funds are concentrated in the market, following institutional cost layouts, short-term pressure tests market patience, holding means profit, and if you get washed out, just slap your thigh in frustration. $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)
The last time the Square made a post urging to buy, BMNR's holding cost was still at 3642. Now, BMNR has already accumulated 625,000 ETH, with an average holding cost of $3755. SBET bought another 77,000 last week, with an average purchase price of $3756.
Currently, SBET plans to accumulate 1 million, progress at 43.8%.
BMNR plans to accumulate 5% of the supply, progress at 10%.
This is why I don't engage in bilateral markets; in the past two months, my success rate for buying Ethereum has been 100%. The fundamentals are there, you just need to find a comparable entry point. The current market situation is that simple: large funds are concentrated in the market, following institutional cost layouts, short-term pressure tests market patience, holding means profit, and if you get washed out, just slap your thigh in frustration.
$ETH
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Bullish
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Historically, altcoin trading season usually begins on August 1st🔥 Next week, #山寨币 may explode, potential coins will show a parabolic trend Here is a list of some highly potential tokens I have compiled👇🧵 Artificial Intelligence: RENDER Risk-Weighted Assets: ONDO Infrastructure: RVN Infrastructure: SUI DePIN: ATH Infrastructure: $THETA DeFi: $HYPE $DOGE #山寨季開始
Historically, altcoin trading season usually begins on August 1st🔥
Next week, #山寨币 may explode, potential coins will show a parabolic trend
Here is a list of some highly potential tokens I have compiled👇🧵
Artificial Intelligence: RENDER
Risk-Weighted Assets: ONDO
Infrastructure: RVN
Infrastructure: SUI
DePIN: ATH
Infrastructure: $THETA
DeFi: $HYPE
$DOGE
#山寨季開始
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The strategies issued in the afternoon live trading have all been closed with profits, 20 points stop loss, 200 points profit 🚀, what about this risk-reward ratio if you don't take action?
The strategies issued in the afternoon live trading have all been closed with profits, 20 points stop loss, 200 points profit 🚀, what about this risk-reward ratio if you don't take action?
單循
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Bullish
The long position entry point of $ETH has been reached.
EMA200, bottom of the range, triple support at the bottom of the channel.
Enter long position.
Stop loss: Hourly chart breaks below 2480.
First take profit: Around 3630, top of the channel.
Second take profit: 3780.

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Bullish
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The long position entry point of $ETH has been reached. EMA200, bottom of the range, triple support at the bottom of the channel. Enter long position. Stop loss: Hourly chart breaks below 2480. First take profit: Around 3630, top of the channel. Second take profit: 3780. {future}(ETHUSDT)
The long position entry point of $ETH has been reached.
EMA200, bottom of the range, triple support at the bottom of the channel.
Enter long position.
Stop loss: Hourly chart breaks below 2480.
First take profit: Around 3630, top of the channel.
Second take profit: 3780.
See original
ETH is preparing to impact 4000, but there is 600 million selling pressure at 4000, the largest ever, so the time to absorb the selling pressure will be longer than before.
ETH is preparing to impact 4000, but there is 600 million selling pressure at 4000, the largest ever, so the time to absorb the selling pressure will be longer than before.
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Bullish
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Daily ETH production: 2,008 Daily ETF demand: 231,000 Derivatives open interest: 50.3 billion 29.7% of supply is staked OTC supply is exhausted This is the fundamental of Ethereum, supply and demand imbalance, ETH is being driven up by two invisible hands, OTC and options, and now there is no inventory left in the OTC market, ETH at 3,400 is in short supply, while BTC still has continuous turnover. You think this is the top, but ETH has not fully entered the value discovery phase yet, but the main force is now clearly buying. The last time the main force clearly bought was when BTC was at 50k. But ETH doesn't need to wait too long, just wait until the US interest rates drop below the ETH staking rate, and that's when ETH will be great again. 🚀 {spot}(ETHUSDT) $ETH
Daily ETH production: 2,008
Daily ETF demand: 231,000
Derivatives open interest: 50.3 billion
29.7% of supply is staked
OTC supply is exhausted
This is the fundamental of Ethereum, supply and demand imbalance, ETH is being driven up by two invisible hands, OTC and options, and now there is no inventory left in the OTC market, ETH at 3,400 is in short supply, while BTC still has continuous turnover. You think this is the top, but ETH has not fully entered the value discovery phase yet, but the main force is now clearly buying. The last time the main force clearly bought was when BTC was at 50k. But ETH doesn't need to wait too long, just wait until the US interest rates drop below the ETH staking rate, and that's when ETH will be great again. 🚀

$ETH
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Bullish
See original
Currently, the spot premium of $BTC is still declining, and there is no longer a phenomenon of premium and price running in the opposite direction. The negative impact of tariffs is gradually being digested. The continuous decline in premium represents the supply of the spot market, but it also opens up space for premium increases to create new highs later on. The US stock market corrected yesterday due to negative tariff signals and has now returned to yesterday's value zone. I believe the rebound will continue, and I remain bullish. The market may experience high-level fluctuations, using consolidation to replace declines until the negative factors are fully realized, with the spot premium rebounding from the bottom and breaking upwards to create new highs #大而美法案 #美国加征关税 #马斯克计划成立美国党 {spot}(BTCUSDT)
Currently, the spot premium of $BTC is still declining, and there is no longer a phenomenon of premium and price running in the opposite direction. The negative impact of tariffs is gradually being digested. The continuous decline in premium represents the supply of the spot market, but it also opens up space for premium increases to create new highs later on. The US stock market corrected yesterday due to negative tariff signals and has now returned to yesterday's value zone. I believe the rebound will continue, and I remain bullish. The market may experience high-level fluctuations, using consolidation to replace declines until the negative factors are fully realized, with the spot premium rebounding from the bottom and breaking upwards to create new highs #大而美法案 #美国加征关税 #马斯克计划成立美国党
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LiquidityLiquidity refers to orders waiting to be executed in the market, which are divided into market orders and limit orders. Liquidity in the market is mainly provided by Makers (market makers), while price fluctuations are facilitated by Takers (takers). Maker orders include pre-orders for execution at specified prices and stop-loss orders for breakthroughs or price drops, which have a significant impact on market prices. Liquidity = the ability of a market to handle large transactions without causing large price fluctuations High Liquidity: For traders: it means lower transaction costs (smaller spreads), faster order execution, smaller slippage, and easier entry and exit at expected prices.

Liquidity

Liquidity refers to orders waiting to be executed in the market, which are divided into market orders and limit orders. Liquidity in the market is mainly provided by Makers (market makers), while price fluctuations are facilitated by Takers (takers). Maker orders include pre-orders for execution at specified prices and stop-loss orders for breakthroughs or price drops, which have a significant impact on market prices.
Liquidity = the ability of a market to handle large transactions without causing large price fluctuations
High Liquidity:
For traders: it means lower transaction costs (smaller spreads), faster order execution, smaller slippage, and easier entry and exit at expected prices.
See original
Yesterday, those who followed my advice on holding long positions have already profited. The main forces have been suppressing prices for three consecutive days while opening long positions during the weekend, which is clearly a behavior of accumulating and washing out positions. Yesterday, I added 5 coins, and publicly issued two long positions that all took profit.
Yesterday, those who followed my advice on holding long positions have already profited. The main forces have been suppressing prices for three consecutive days while opening long positions during the weekend, which is clearly a behavior of accumulating and washing out positions. Yesterday, I added 5 coins, and publicly issued two long positions that all took profit.
單循
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Bullish
Hold on to the long positions you have; I just noticed that since 109, the main force has been continuously executing TWAP sells. The behavior of TWAP selling is either distribution or accumulation, but if the main force wants to offload, they would not choose a low liquidity holiday period. TWAP selling is meant to avoid detection; offloading during low liquidity can easily be noticed. Last night, while monitoring, I only saw a continuous outflow in the spot market, but I just realized that while the main force was selling the spot, they opened many contract long positions. The accumulation behavior is very obvious; selling in the spot market suppresses prices, establishing long positions in contracts, and can also lure retail investors to short and take over the positions, perfectly combining with yesterday's negative news. #大而美法案 #比特币巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
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The first take profit 152 has been reached, leave a bottom position to let the profits run
The first take profit 152 has been reached, leave a bottom position to let the profits run
單循
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Bullish
Buy near SOL 146-145, set a stop loss if the hourly level entity breaks 144.
If the four-hour level W-bottom forms, the 1:1 distance will reach the previous high resistance level around 167.
Of course, one should not fantasize about the trend; SOL is currently not showing an independent market, and its movement completely depends on Bitcoin's performance. Take profits gradually at resistance levels to secure your capital.
If this position hits the stop loss, directly reverse to short and monitor the previous low. #美国加征关税 #比特币巨鲸动向 #Solana质押型ETF
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Bearish
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Previously, 2 million USDT was frozen for 9 months, and OKX provided no explanation. My OKX account was previously subjected to unwarranted risk control, the account was frozen, and I was unable to trade or withdraw funds, yet the platform still allowed deposits. When I asked customer service for a reason, they simply said 'system automatically triggered', with an expected review period of 60 working days. During this time, I cooperated fully with OKX's compliance process and was willing to accept reasonable scrutiny. I provided detailed proof of work, business income, transaction statements, and other materials as required. The cumbersome source of funds verification was also completed during this period, but that does not mean my time and funds can be indefinitely detained and ignored. If a platform cannot provide a clear mechanism, definite timeframe, and processing standards for 'risk control', it ultimately took me sending 20 tweets to get my issue resolved. Legally, it follows the presumption of innocence; an offshore trading platform used an inexplicable reason to freeze over 2 million of users' assets for more than 9 months. Is this not illegal seizure of user assets? If there is concrete evidence, then produce the law enforcement documents and cooperate with law enforcement—there's no issue with that. Thus, I say that OKX's reputation is really declining and severely violates the original intention of decentralization. #马斯克计划成立美国党 #OKX. #OKX不让提币
Previously, 2 million USDT was frozen for 9 months, and OKX provided no explanation. My OKX account was previously subjected to unwarranted risk control, the account was frozen, and I was unable to trade or withdraw funds, yet the platform still allowed deposits. When I asked customer service for a reason, they simply said 'system automatically triggered', with an expected review period of 60 working days. During this time, I cooperated fully with OKX's compliance process and was willing to accept reasonable scrutiny. I provided detailed proof of work, business income, transaction statements, and other materials as required. The cumbersome source of funds verification was also completed during this period, but that does not mean my time and funds can be indefinitely detained and ignored. If a platform cannot provide a clear mechanism, definite timeframe, and processing standards for 'risk control', it ultimately took me sending 20 tweets to get my issue resolved. Legally, it follows the presumption of innocence; an offshore trading platform used an inexplicable reason to freeze over 2 million of users' assets for more than 9 months. Is this not illegal seizure of user assets? If there is concrete evidence, then produce the law enforcement documents and cooperate with law enforcement—there's no issue with that. Thus, I say that OKX's reputation is really declining and severely violates the original intention of decentralization. #马斯克计划成立美国党 #OKX. #OKX不让提币
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Bullish
See original
Hold on to the long positions you have; I just noticed that since 109, the main force has been continuously executing TWAP sells. The behavior of TWAP selling is either distribution or accumulation, but if the main force wants to offload, they would not choose a low liquidity holiday period. TWAP selling is meant to avoid detection; offloading during low liquidity can easily be noticed. Last night, while monitoring, I only saw a continuous outflow in the spot market, but I just realized that while the main force was selling the spot, they opened many contract long positions. The accumulation behavior is very obvious; selling in the spot market suppresses prices, establishing long positions in contracts, and can also lure retail investors to short and take over the positions, perfectly combining with yesterday's negative news. #大而美法案 #比特币巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
Hold on to the long positions you have; I just noticed that since 109, the main force has been continuously executing TWAP sells. The behavior of TWAP selling is either distribution or accumulation, but if the main force wants to offload, they would not choose a low liquidity holiday period. TWAP selling is meant to avoid detection; offloading during low liquidity can easily be noticed. Last night, while monitoring, I only saw a continuous outflow in the spot market, but I just realized that while the main force was selling the spot, they opened many contract long positions. The accumulation behavior is very obvious; selling in the spot market suppresses prices, establishing long positions in contracts, and can also lure retail investors to short and take over the positions, perfectly combining with yesterday's negative news. #大而美法案 #比特币巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税 #BTC走势分析
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Bullish
See original
Buy near SOL 146-145, set a stop loss if the hourly level entity breaks 144. If the four-hour level W-bottom forms, the 1:1 distance will reach the previous high resistance level around 167. Of course, one should not fantasize about the trend; SOL is currently not showing an independent market, and its movement completely depends on Bitcoin's performance. Take profits gradually at resistance levels to secure your capital. If this position hits the stop loss, directly reverse to short and monitor the previous low. #美国加征关税 #比特币巨鲸动向 #Solana质押型ETF
Buy near SOL 146-145, set a stop loss if the hourly level entity breaks 144.
If the four-hour level W-bottom forms, the 1:1 distance will reach the previous high resistance level around 167.
Of course, one should not fantasize about the trend; SOL is currently not showing an independent market, and its movement completely depends on Bitcoin's performance. Take profits gradually at resistance levels to secure your capital.
If this position hits the stop loss, directly reverse to short and monitor the previous low. #美国加征关税 #比特币巨鲸动向 #Solana质押型ETF
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Bullish
See original
BTC 4H level has formed an ascending wedge, is it going back to 100k again? An ascending wedge is typically seen as a bearish pattern, but certain specific conditions must be met for it to have a higher success rate: 1. The initial segment of the wedge must be a strong downward move; 2. During the gradual rebound process of the wedge, the highest point should not exceed the 0.618 retracement level of the left downward segment. 3. The flatter the slope of the upper and lower edges of the wedge, the higher the bearish efficiency; the steeper the slope, the poorer the bearish effect; In some large range fluctuation structures, the trend structure maintained by the ascending wedge is the standard higher lows and higher highs. If the left side of the market has not formed a clear bearish trend, then the logic of the ascending wedge as a continuation pattern becomes untenable. Instead, at the end of the wedge, the price breaks through both the upper boundary of the range and the upper boundary of the wedge, leaving behind a large number of trapped shorts that become fuel for the price to move out of the trending market. The essence of the wedge is structural expression; the root of market logic is the key. Blindly chasing shorts carries risks; trading below the right side is advisable. #比特币巨鲸动向 #合约挑战 #BTC走势分析 #大而美法案 #美国加征关税
BTC 4H level has formed an ascending wedge, is it going back to 100k again?

An ascending wedge is typically seen as a bearish pattern, but certain specific conditions must be met for it to have a higher success rate:
1. The initial segment of the wedge must be a strong downward move;
2. During the gradual rebound process of the wedge, the highest point should not exceed the 0.618 retracement level of the left downward segment.
3. The flatter the slope of the upper and lower edges of the wedge, the higher the bearish efficiency; the steeper the slope, the poorer the bearish effect;

In some large range fluctuation structures, the trend structure maintained by the ascending wedge is the standard higher lows and higher highs. If the left side of the market has not formed a clear bearish trend, then the logic of the ascending wedge as a continuation pattern becomes untenable. Instead, at the end of the wedge, the price breaks through both the upper boundary of the range and the upper boundary of the wedge, leaving behind a large number of trapped shorts that become fuel for the price to move out of the trending market.

The essence of the wedge is structural expression; the root of market logic is the key. Blindly chasing shorts carries risks; trading below the right side is advisable.
#比特币巨鲸动向 #合约挑战 #BTC走势分析 #大而美法案 #美国加征关税
See original
Some Experiences to Optimize Your Trading1. Core Concept Optimization Market Essence: Probability Game Correct Thinking: Trading is a Repeated Game of 'Positive Expectation', Combining Win Rate with Risk-Reward Ratio through Technical Analysis, Capital Management, and Emotional Control for Long-Term Positive Returns. Correcting Misconceptions: Avoid 'Technical Universalism' (e.g., Trusting a Single Indicator) or 'News Determinism' (e.g., Blindly Following News). Patient Waiting: Only Trade High Certainty Opportunities Correct Thinking: Being Flat is a Proactive Strategy, Only Open Positions During Technical Patterns (e.g., EMA Breakouts, FVG Fill), Liquidity Resonance (e.g., Institutional Stop Loss Areas).

Some Experiences to Optimize Your Trading

1. Core Concept Optimization
Market Essence: Probability Game
Correct Thinking: Trading is a Repeated Game of 'Positive Expectation', Combining Win Rate with Risk-Reward Ratio through Technical Analysis, Capital Management, and Emotional Control for Long-Term Positive Returns.
Correcting Misconceptions: Avoid 'Technical Universalism' (e.g., Trusting a Single Indicator) or 'News Determinism' (e.g., Blindly Following News).
Patient Waiting: Only Trade High Certainty Opportunities
Correct Thinking:
Being Flat is a Proactive Strategy, Only Open Positions During Technical Patterns (e.g., EMA Breakouts, FVG Fill), Liquidity Resonance (e.g., Institutional Stop Loss Areas).
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Bearish
See original
ETH Today's Strategy $ETH dropped below the channel line after a surge and pulled back to 0.618, starting to consolidate in a range. The liquidity over the weekend is too poor, so there shouldn't be any major fluctuations. Just high sell and low buy within the consolidation range. Long Position: Enter around 2380, stop loss at 2360. Short Position: Enter around 2436, if it reaches around 2480, add to the short position, stop loss at 2505. #ETH #策略 #价格趋势分析 #分析行情 {future}(ETHUSDT)
ETH Today's Strategy
$ETH dropped below the channel line after a surge and pulled back to 0.618, starting to consolidate in a range. The liquidity over the weekend is too poor, so there shouldn't be any major fluctuations. Just high sell and low buy within the consolidation range.
Long Position: Enter around 2380, stop loss at 2360.
Short Position: Enter around 2436, if it reaches around 2480, add to the short position, stop loss at 2505. #ETH #策略 #价格趋势分析 #分析行情
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Bearish
See original
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