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《Powell's Latest Remarks: Economic Uncertainty Increases, Federal Reserve Not Rushing to Predict the Future》
Today, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated in his speech that "there is a high degree of uncertainty in the current economic situation," and pointed out that the Federal Reserve will base its decisions on actual data rather than making overly confident predictions. He further stated that he does not wish to provide excessive forward guidance.
This statement undoubtedly reflects the current instability of the U.S. economy, especially in multiple areas such as inflation, employment, and international trade. Powell emphasized that the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will remain flexible and will be adjusted based on the latest data, rather than making predictions about the economic trend in the coming months out of thin air.
"Future trade agreements may impact interest rate cut decisions"
Powell also mentioned that future trade agreements could become an important factor for the Federal Reserve to consider when making interest rate cuts. If trade agreements lead to the anticipated economic slowdown or further impact inflation, the Federal Reserve will be more likely to adjust interest rates.
The impact of this statement on the market:
Uncertain economic outlook: The market may respond poorly in the short term, especially concerning interest rate expectations and capital flows in financial markets.
Increased expectations for interest rate cuts: Powell's remarks may lead to rising market expectations for interest rate cuts, and investors may reassess the risks and returns in the capital markets.
Greater future policy space: The Federal Reserve's flexible policy space also means that financial markets may welcome more adjustment opportunities.
The latest speech from the Federal Reserve Chairman once again conveys uncertainty about future policies, which serves as a signal for investors: risks and opportunities coexist. In the coming months, market performance will rely more on data changes and the global economic situation, rather than just the Federal Reserve's expectations.
