As someone whose account peaked at 17 million dollars but has now withdrawn to over 500, I’d like to offer some advice. 这是回撤之后的持仓!
Videos cannot write long articles; I will write in the next article and reference this one. These are my reflections and insights from the past few months, explaining why we are in the current situation.
The video is from March 2024, when $ICP made a significant profit. If there are critics who want me to record a screen with over 10 million dollars in holdings, I wouldn’t be able to do it because my current position is not that large anymore.
However, I am very confident that I can return to my peak and even surpass it. I spent three months reflecting on this mistake and realized that no matter how much I lost, it was a valuable lesson.
Open -- Contract -- Today's Profit and Loss -- Funding Fees and Transaction Fees. You can see your fees for the past year. If you should spend, save what you can!
Use my link to automatically reverse 20% and manually reverse 15%, which means you can reduce 35% of the fees, which should be the highest in the entire network. The manual reverse part is settled once a month. Don't underestimate the fees. Even if you are a small retail investor, the fees you incur in a year are unimaginable! If you trade frequently, you may save enough to buy a BBA in a year.
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$BSW I personally think it can break the previous high again. Last time it touched 0.06 and began to retract, and I didn't have time to take profits. This wave has started to rise again. My plan is to set a cost protection to continue holding until I can double my principal; if I can take a risk, I might as well give up this 40% profit.
This coin is worth a gamble. I don't expect it to pull dozens of times like alpacas in a week; a few times would be fine too. Lastly, I want to emphasize that if you lose this 40% profit, don't blame your home; after all, this 40% profit was also brought by me. My original intention is to maximize everyone's profits!
Elom新
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This $BSW is also about to be on the delisting list, all of which have activated contracts and then have a small market value.
Last night, Bitcoin once again broke through to 978, and the funds that exited the market returned to gamble. Ultimately, Bitcoin encountered resistance and fell back. Currently, there are signs that both long and short positions are starting to exit;
How do we explain this data phenomenon of declining positions due to short-term exits? If there isn't a significant breakout or breakdown, these short-term exiting funds are in profit, meaning this is actually the profit-taking operation of the bears who entered later and the bulls who entered before the breakout;
Finally: We need to attribute the trend of 74-97 to a trending market, because the large range oscillation data is ineffective in the 85-97 stage. If there was a pullback between 85-87 at that time, it would have initiated a standard oscillation market. Therefore, if this trending market is approached with an oscillation mindset, it is almost impossible to make a profit. If leverage is high, a liquidation is almost inevitable. However, if one continues to adhere to the trending market, this wave of market will yield significant profits;
The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is slowly shrinking on one side, while the Treasury is inflating the TGA account, leaving the real cash in the market to only move sideways. When you think about it—net liquidity is down a whole trillion compared to 2021, which is not even in the same league as the 'massive monetary easing.'
Stablecoins are showing the same face: USDT barely ticks up a bit, while USDC has seen a net outflow since April 24. Over the two months, only a few billion dollars have trickled in, which is nothing compared to the hundreds of billions during last year's peak in just one month. The water level isn't rising, so altcoins naturally have no chance, and even trying to push BTC up is difficult.
Big money is simply opting to buy 'insurance'—stacking BTC, watching policies, and waiting for interest rates to genuinely drop before considering deploying cash downstream. To truly turn the page, we need to see four lights turn on together: 1) Reverse repos hitting the bottom, 2) TGA being hammered down by the Treasury, 3) Stablecoins surging by tens of billions in a month, 4) The Federal Reserve clearly ending the balance sheet reduction or cutting rates first.
Without these, don't expect altcoins to flourish.
So a more realistic approach: keep the main position in BTC or stable assets that generate cash flow, and reserve the altcoins for that 20% 'gambling money' to play around with. Once all the lights are on, then we can talk about a major rotation.
Sometimes it's really not your fault for not making money; some people are just stuck for a day. The news notifications are just something to glance at, and more news is like smoke.
Also, the time cost doesn't stand on the side of another part of the people! Most people work, study, and live, so when do they have time to watch the market day and night or keep an eye on the chain?
The gap in ability becomes a flowing heart's outlet; if everyone is ordinary, then what's high intelligence? Ordinary people are ordinary because they have average intelligence and lead a lazy life, which over time becomes a habit (this point is for self-reflection).
The limitation of cognition is high; why do I say this? How many people do you think know about the big pie? Do they manage to hold on to it every round? Human nature likes short-term stimulation and hates waiting. I want to get rich quickly, but in the end, I only earn a little change; long-term indecision and short-term incompetence can only lead to getting lost in the cycle. Don't talk about the pie circle; even with the long bull market in US stocks, not many people truly make index returns!
It seems that only foolish methods are more suitable for us ordinary people. For those who can't work full-time on news and can't interpret well, it seems that foolish methods aren't that foolish after all. I once saw a saying that goes quite well: "My thoughts have never made me a lot of money; it's always my persistence that earns me big money. It's not surprising to judge the market correctly; it’s rare to judge correctly and remain steadfast at the same time. I find this is the hardest thing to learn." Protecting the principal, participating all the time, and being persistent will eventually lead to making money!
Regularly reviewing and continuously iterating: track the gains and losses of every operation to see your true ability boundaries. Reflecting on my own investment career, the reasons for losses are mostly due to not understanding the targets I bought, and then I start to pray for Lady Luck to come. Only by truly exercising the ability to perceive the market can you truly make decisions on your own; the only one who can really make you money is yourself; relying on others is not feasible or sustainable! You must establish your own research system and judgment!
Finally, if you have confidence in the industry, try to move less during the winter. Regular investment + compound interest; Einstein once said that compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. The above content is not any advice; it's just some nonsense to laugh about.
A single image can reveal what BlackRock has been thinking lately: AI, cloud, computing power, all tightly embraced. Apple and Microsoft are sitting in the center position, their size resembling two mountains, with an annual increase of around 30%, steady as reliable 'parents'. NVIDIA bursts forth like an energy drink, directly surging 170%, placing itself among the trio of giants. Amazon, Google, and Meta, these traffic players, each increased by thirty to sixty points, indicating that the old script of advertising, e-commerce, and social media is still quite effective. Hardware manufacturer Broadcom also benefited from the AI boom, doubling without hesitation; Tesla, while only mid-tier, still saw a rise of over sixty points, quietly riding the wave. The only 'non-tech face,' Eli Lilly, sneaked in with a weight loss miracle drug, adding some defensive flavor to the whole platter. Looking at it, you'll find that BlackRock actually aims for one thing: to gather the companies that are the best at making money and telling stories around one table, leaving the rest to time and compound interest to handle slowly.
Several 'Hidden Rules' of On-Chain Pumping and Short Selling Ambushes
Small Market Cap on Chain → Must Douse After Pumping on CEX
The most typical in the SOL ecosystem: the chain rises to a dizzying height, and it becomes an ATM upon entering the exchange;
BSC is slightly more stable, as buying pressure is weak and chip control is high. Occasionally, after entering the exchange, it can both protect and pump, but 90% of the time it’s still 'douse first and talk later'.
VC coins open high upon listing on Binance
Retail investors are given a few days of 'pump benefits' at the opening, and then the price and volume take a turn, signaling the project parties to sell;
The key is to look at K-line + trading volume; if the volume surges while the price stagnates, that’s the dousing point.
Korean Wave Drivers + Upbit Plot
If the project party has real substance and the Korean community is highly vocal, they will queue to list on Upbit;
To maintain appearances, they usually guard the order book tightly before listing on Upbit;
The day of listing is the 'best short' — after achieving their goals, large buy orders become the support buyers, and if the market makers don’t douse, it’s unreasonable. (Review Kaito Virtual Sign to understand.)
Special Case: Layered Long-Term Pumping
First, douse with a wave to lighten the load, then start the second phase of the market;
After the first wave of shorts is done, switch to a new target; don’t follow the market makers into the second wave.
Three Things for Bears to Enter
Market Sentiment: High panic, weak rebounds; high greed, loose chips.
Liquidity: High water level, more volatility, quicker profits.
Fundamentals + Opening Price: The more outrageous the valuation, the more apparent the market-making scheme.
Conclusion: Watch the chips, focus on volume and price, and pay attention to events. Don’t get emotional with the 'market support myth'; market makers never show mercy when dousing.
This $MOVE has been delisted by cb and has been continuously dropping; with such a large market value, it is impossible to pump it like a small-cap, I think bn should label this coin, either as risky or mark it for delisting.
Otherwise, it’s hard to tell the retail investors who buy in, and then see it drop every day when others are unloading, who can handle that? This can be seen as a way to protect the rights and interests of their users, right?
I advise my brothers not to think about trying to gamble on a rebound or anything like that, the risks outweigh the rewards, and one careless move could lead to a severe beating.
The 'Invisible Script' of the Crypto World in Recent Years
Decentralization? It increasingly resembles a tool. A statement from the highest levels of power in the United States, 'Crypto = Chamber Pot,' can stir the market, showing that under the banner of 'decentralization,' the rules are still written by a few.
Bitcoin has become a religion, while others are mere offshoots. The reason? There is no reason—faith does not require justification.
The number of clones is increasing, but the money hasn't increased, resulting in a natural downward trend. The water level is limited, while the currency printing is limitless, leading to a long downhill road.
Meme coins are still a PVP red sea. When a new narrative emerges, the retail investors rush in before they even understand it—this is human nature.
On-chain DeFi is eroding the hegemony of CEX. Just look at those flash-in-the-pan garbage coins on Binance: the centralized entities are digging their own moats.
There is an important methodology: diligently observe the successes of others and then learn.
There is an even more important methodology: diligently observe the failures of others and then avoid them.
Everyone has the right to choose their own life, but some obviously unfortunate lifestyles are envied, even pursued, and fantasized about by many.
For example, a big brother I know, indulging in drinking, gambling, and pleasure, acting on whims and anger, lived life however he pleased, and died in an embarrassing situation before reaching 50.
You've already seen it, yet you want to learn from it, emulate it, and believe that wealth means indulging in excess and being reckless.
That indeed is choosing a path destined for misfortune.
Learn more from the successes of others, and even more so, avoid how others have failed.
The GDP growth rate of the United States in the first quarter of 2025 is -0.3%, lower than the expected 0.2%, and down from 2.4% in the fourth quarter of last year, indicating a significant economic decline. Trump's tariffs have shrunk the entire U.S. economy. According to economic principles, two consecutive quarters of negative growth indicate a recession, making the second quarter data crucial. However, the current negative growth is not too severe, which is exactly what Trump wanted. The door for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve is about to open, and in the short term, it will definitely have some negative implications. $BTC
I see that chess is not far from being taken down, and there will be a new concept called the take-down section that will become the mainstream for your ambush. $CHESS