美联储议息会议
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Will BTC reach 100,000? SATS performs a sky needle, not even performing! AI concept coins soar! PARTI surges 54 times! The MEME trio stands up! Is BlackRock going to open an exchange?
PARTI, which was ambushed around 0.17 earlier, is currently up 80%. Should we continue to hold or cash out? This will be announced in a small circle.
The next strategy will be publicly laid out soon. All viewers are welcome to observe.
Today’s focus: layer, parti, t, lrc, icx.
#美联储议息会议 #每日一词 #币安LaunchpoolSXT
PARTI, which was ambushed around 0.17 earlier, is currently up 80%. Should we continue to hold or cash out? This will be announced in a small circle.
The next strategy will be publicly laid out soon. All viewers are welcome to observe.
Today’s focus: layer, parti, t, lrc, icx.
#美联储议息会议 #每日一词 #币安LaunchpoolSXT
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The Federal Reserve Meeting Approaches: Rate Cut in May? Cryptocurrency Market Surge?
#非农就业数据来袭
I. Federal Reserve Meeting: Market Expectations and Policy Logic
The Federal Reserve will hold its third meeting of the year from May 6 to 7, with the market generally expecting this meeting to keep interest rates unchanged, maintaining the benchmark rate in the range of 4.25%-4.5%. This judgment is based on multiple economic data supports:
- Labor Market Resilience: In April, non-farm employment increased by 177,000, the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, and core hourly wages rose by 0.2% month-on-month, indicating that the labor market has not significantly deteriorated.
- Repeated Inflation Pressures: Core PCE inflation rebounded to 3.5% in the first quarter, exceeding the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, leaving insufficient momentum for rate cuts in the short term.
I. Federal Reserve Meeting: Market Expectations and Policy Logic
The Federal Reserve will hold its third meeting of the year from May 6 to 7, with the market generally expecting this meeting to keep interest rates unchanged, maintaining the benchmark rate in the range of 4.25%-4.5%. This judgment is based on multiple economic data supports:
- Labor Market Resilience: In April, non-farm employment increased by 177,000, the unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, and core hourly wages rose by 0.2% month-on-month, indicating that the labor market has not significantly deteriorated.
- Repeated Inflation Pressures: Core PCE inflation rebounded to 3.5% in the first quarter, exceeding the Federal Reserve's target of 2%, leaving insufficient momentum for rate cuts in the short term.
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#美联储议息会议
There is a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, which is favorable for gold, silver, U.S. stocks, and cryptocurrencies. The outflow of funds from traditional finance will partially flow into the crypto space. This month, Bitcoin will surge above 110,000 without a doubt. Be cautious of high leverage before and after the meeting to prevent excessive volatility and liquidation, remember!
Let me know if you are bullish or bearish, leave me a message, follow me, and you won't get lost in a bull market! #加密市场盘整
There is a high probability of a 25 basis point rate cut, which is favorable for gold, silver, U.S. stocks, and cryptocurrencies. The outflow of funds from traditional finance will partially flow into the crypto space. This month, Bitcoin will surge above 110,000 without a doubt. Be cautious of high leverage before and after the meeting to prevent excessive volatility and liquidation, remember!
Let me know if you are bullish or bearish, leave me a message, follow me, and you won't get lost in a bull market! #加密市场盘整
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Based on the results of the Federal Reserve's meeting, the Fed made the following policy adjustments and statement highlights:
1. Maintain the benchmark interest rate unchanged
The Federal Reserve keeps the target range for the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.5%, in line with market expectations. This is the second consecutive pause in rate adjustments following the start of the rate cut cycle in September 2024, reflecting a cautious attitude towards current economic uncertainties.
2. Slow down the pace of balance sheet reduction (QT Taper)
Starting April 1, the Fed will lower the monthly redemption cap on Treasury bonds from $25 billion to $5 billion, while keeping the balance sheet reduction cap for agency debt and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) unchanged at $35 billion. This adjustment is viewed as a 'technical operation' aimed at addressing debt ceiling and liquidity issues in the financial markets, rather than a change in monetary policy stance. Governor Christopher Waller voted against this, advocating for the original pace of balance sheet reduction.
The Federal Reserve keeps the target range for the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.5%, in line with market expectations. This is the second consecutive pause in rate adjustments following the start of the rate cut cycle in September 2024, reflecting a cautious attitude towards current economic uncertainties.
2. Slow down the pace of balance sheet reduction (QT Taper)
Starting April 1, the Fed will lower the monthly redemption cap on Treasury bonds from $25 billion to $5 billion, while keeping the balance sheet reduction cap for agency debt and mortgage-backed securities (MBS) unchanged at $35 billion. This adjustment is viewed as a 'technical operation' aimed at addressing debt ceiling and liquidity issues in the financial markets, rather than a change in monetary policy stance. Governor Christopher Waller voted against this, advocating for the original pace of balance sheet reduction.
倒计时！全球投资者聚焦9月议息会议
美联储9月议息会议将于当地时间9月17日至18日召开，亚洲时间9月19日凌晨2:00将公布会议声明和经济预期摘要，2:30召开货币政策新闻发布会。
据悉目前市场已100％定价9月降息，对降息幅度观点不一，市场反复交易美联储降息和经济衰退预期。对此你有何预期？作为9月最重磅事件，你会如何把握投资机会？
“美联储降息多少 bp 概率更大？”
#美联储议息会议
美联储9月议息会议将于当地时间9月17日至18日召开，亚洲时间9月19日凌晨2:00将公布会议声明和经济预期摘要，2:30召开货币政策新闻发布会。
据悉目前市场已100％定价9月降息，对降息幅度观点不一，市场反复交易美联储降息和经济衰退预期。对此你有何预期？作为9月最重磅事件，你会如何把握投资机会？
“美联储降息多少 bp 概率更大？”
#美联储议息会议
25bp
55%
50bp
45%
173 votes • Voting closed
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15000u start order diary day 33
Current: 56460u
Didn't open a position during the Mid-Autumn Festival. I went out with friends last night. It's a pity to miss a wave of gains. The spot price didn't rise much.
At 2 a.m. today, the Federal Reserve announced a decision to cut interest rates. At present, the market seems to have slowly accepted the 50 basis point cut. It has to be said that the power of the US megaphone cannot be underestimated.
However, if the interest rate is really to be cut by 50 basis points, Powell should give a reasonable explanation, that is, "why" the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points. If no reason is given, the market may worry about a recession.
Nick, the US megaphone, dared to say 50 basis points before the interest rate cut. Do you think he was instructed by someone? It's obvious.
Let's see what Powell says tonight. It's better to do less. In addition, Bitcoin has also reached the resistance level. It's hard to say whether it is long or short. Wait for the signal. #比特币 #以太坊 #美联储降息周期 #美联储议息会议
Current: 56460u
Didn't open a position during the Mid-Autumn Festival. I went out with friends last night. It's a pity to miss a wave of gains. The spot price didn't rise much.
At 2 a.m. today, the Federal Reserve announced a decision to cut interest rates. At present, the market seems to have slowly accepted the 50 basis point cut. It has to be said that the power of the US megaphone cannot be underestimated.
However, if the interest rate is really to be cut by 50 basis points, Powell should give a reasonable explanation, that is, "why" the interest rate is cut by 50 basis points. If no reason is given, the market may worry about a recession.
Nick, the US megaphone, dared to say 50 basis points before the interest rate cut. Do you think he was instructed by someone? It's obvious.
Let's see what Powell says tonight. It's better to do less. In addition, Bitcoin has also reached the resistance level. It's hard to say whether it is long or short. Wait for the signal. #比特币 #以太坊 #美联储降息周期 #美联储议息会议
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The result for #美联储议息会议 is out, meeting market expectations, no interest rate cut, maintaining the previous interest rate of 4.5% unchanged.
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