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Yangfei News 2025.2.28

【Market Data】
Bitcoin Market: $84665 (Market Share 59.74%)
Ahr999 Indicator: 0.87 (Regular Investment 0.45~1.2)
Greed Index: 16 (Extreme Fear) #比特币价格走势分析 $BTC

Yangfei News | Analysis of Key Bitcoin Market Indicators on February 28, 2025
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【Core Data Insights】
1. Price and Dominance
- Current Bitcoin Price: $84,665 (Market Cap Share 59.74%), short-term rebound does not change the downward trend, the market is still in the “bear market inertia” phase.
- Historical Comparison: Current price has retraced 23% from the January 2025 peak ($110,000), approaching the early levels of the 2024 bull market.
2. Ahr999 Indicator: 0.87
- Interpretation: Within the “Regular Investment Range” (0.45~1.2), long-term allocation value is prominent, but caution is needed for short-term indicator dulling risk (if it drops below 0.8 or accelerates to the bottom).
3. Greed Index: 16 (Extreme Fear)
- Signal Significance: Reached a new low since the 2022 LUNA crash, retail selling pressure is close to its peak, a contrarian investment window may have opened.
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【Three Key Contradictions】
| Contradiction Dimension | Bearish Logic | Bullish Logic |
| Macroeconomic Policy | Strong Dollar suppresses risk asset valuations | Panic sentiment may force a shift in Federal Reserve policy |
| Capital Flow | $2.4 billion outflow from ETFs in a week, institutions withdrawing | On-chain whale addresses increase their holdings to a three-month high |
| Technical Analysis | Daily chart breaks below 200-day moving average, bearish trend strengthens | Weekly RSI approaches oversold territory, rebound demand accumulates |
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【Simplified Operation Strategy】
- Short-term (within 1 month): If the price stabilizes above $82,000, consider light long positions; if it drops below $78,000, stop loss and observe.
- Long-term (6 months+): Monthly regular investment (Ahr999 < 1.2), focus on allocating Bitcoin + compliant AI tokens (like FET).
- Risk Hedging: Hold 5%~10% stablecoins to guard against the risk of consecutive exchange liquidations.
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Data Verification: The Greed Index deviates from price to reach historical extremes, with an average return rate exceeding 180% in similar situations over the past 10 years after 6 months.
Warning: The current leverage liquidation dense zone is $88,000~92,000, and a rebound to this area may trigger a new round of short squeezes.
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*Note: Data is compiled from CoinMarketCap, Glassnode, TradingView, strategies are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice.

Yangfei News 2025.2.27

[Market data]
Bitcoin market: $84276 (accounting for 60%)
Ahr999 index: 0.87 (fixed investment 0.45~1.2)
Greed index: 10 (extreme panic)

Investor strategy suggestions:
1. Short-term cautious operation: pay attention to the support level of $80,000. If it falls below, it may trigger a chain sell-off; if it stabilizes and rebounds, it is necessary to observe whether the trading volume rises simultaneously.

2. Long-term layout window: Combined with the Ahr999 index and the panic index, the current market sentiment is extremely depressed. Long-term investors can gradually make fixed investments to diversify cost risks.

3. Risk warning: Macroeconomic uncertainties (such as global monetary policy adjustments) and regulatory policy changes (such as crypto asset taxation or ETF approval delays) are still potential negatives.
$BTC #比特币价格走势分析

$ETH $ADA $SNX value undervaluation, firmly bullish

Yangfei News 2025.2.26

【Market Data】
Bitcoin Price: $88588 (Market Share 60.47%)
Ahr999 Indicator: 0.96 (Regular Investment 0.45～1.2)
Greed Index: 21 (Extreme Fear)

【Market Analysis】
The current price of Bitcoin remains at $88,588, with a market share of 60.47%. The Ahr999 indicator is at 0.96, which is in the upper range of the regular investment interval (0.45～1.2), indicating that the market valuation is relatively reasonable. The greed index is at 21, suggesting that market sentiment is in an “extreme fear” state, which may imply short-term overselling. Investors should cautiously assess risks and opportunities.

【Suggestions】
- For long-term investors, the current Ahr999 indicator still supports regular investment strategies.
- Short-term investors need to pay attention to changes in market sentiment and be wary of volatility risks.

【Risk Warning】
The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile. Investments should be made with caution, and it is advised to allocate assets based on personal risk tolerance.

Borrowing a classic saying from the stock god, Mr. Buffett: When others are greedy, I am fearful; when others are fearful, I am greedy!#加密市场回调

Yangfei News 2025.2.25

[Market data]
Bitcoin market: $91453 (accounting for 60.94%)
Ahr999 index: 1.03 (fixed investment 0.45~1.2)
Greed index: 25 (extreme panic)

[Data analysis]

1. Short-term strategy:
- The current market sentiment is extremely panic, and the greed index is 25, indicating that investors are generally pessimistic and the market may continue to be under pressure in the short term.
- It is recommended that short-term investors wait and see, avoid blindly buying at the bottom, and wait for market sentiment to stabilize or there is a clear rebound signal before taking action.

2. Medium- and long-term strategy:
- The Ahr999 index is 1.03, which is within the fixed investment range (0.45~1.2), which is suitable for medium- and long-term investors to build positions in batches.
- It is recommended to adopt a fixed investment strategy to diversify investment risks and avoid one-time investment.

3. Risk Warning:
- The current market is volatile, and the intraday decline of Bitcoin prices exceeds 3%. Be alert to the risk of further decline.
- Highly leveraged investors should strictly control their positions to avoid the risk of liquidation.

4. Emotional Analysis:
- The greed index is 25, indicating that the market is in a state of extreme panic. Similar situations in history are often accompanied by staged bottoms, but a comprehensive judgment based on technical and fundamental factors is required.

Yangfei News 2025.2.24

[Market data]
Bitcoin market: $96231 (accounting for 59.85%)
Ahr999 index: 1.14 (fixed investment 0.45~1.2)
Greed index: 49 (neutral)

[Data analysis]
1. Short-term strategy
- The current market sentiment is neutral, and investors are advised to remain cautious and pay attention to key support and resistance levels.

2. Long-term strategy
- The Ahr999 index is in the fixed investment range, which is suitable for long-term investors to build positions in batches. Institutions are generally bullish on the market in 2025, and can consider deploying Bitcoin and related ecological projects.