三思宁
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Bitcoin's rapid decline today
It's about to come to an end, a rapid V-shaped rebound near 92600, bouncing back around 11000, the time to buy the dip on altcoins is approaching. If Bitcoin forms a quick rebound, just close your eyes and enter.
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The Fluctuating Market is Coming to an End
The two weeks of the fluctuating market are about to end, and the rapid decline at the end is coming soon. However, after the decline, the market will quickly recover. The pressure wash is often the final shakeout.
It is true what they say: holding onto your coins is like guarding a harem; don't expect any market activity during the fluctuations. Just watch patiently, and if you don't understand, just hold on. Treat investing in the secondary market as a job; getting rich overnight is impossible. If you truly have the ability, you will continuously make money over time. If you don't have the ability, no matter how much capital you have, you will eventually lose it all. Keep a calm mindset; earning money in the secondary market requires enduring the passage of time.
It is true what they say: holding onto your coins is like guarding a harem; don't expect any market activity during the fluctuations. Just watch patiently, and if you don't understand, just hold on. Treat investing in the secondary market as a job; getting rich overnight is impossible. If you truly have the ability, you will continuously make money over time. If you don't have the ability, no matter how much capital you have, you will eventually lose it all. Keep a calm mindset; earning money in the secondary market requires enduring the passage of time.
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The second low point of fluctuation is about to be reached
BTC continues to fluctuate downwards, and the second low point will be reached in 2 days. After that, we just need to observe whether it 'establishes a bottom'. The consolidation for the second low point will take another week. The second low point is around 92800.
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The volatile market will continue for another two weeks
BTC hourly level 98600 is the hourly high point, and it continues to retreat and fluctuate after the high point.
Four-hour level:
Daily level:
The wide box oscillation will continue for two weeks, forming a W transition platform. There will be no sharp rise or fall. During this period, some altcoins will emerge, and each cycle is like this (Bitcoin oscillates, some altcoins soar, or Bitcoin sucks blood, and altcoins go sideways). The general pattern of altcoin rotation is meme or game, L1L2, infrastructure, storage, defi, and public chain ecological currency (sol ecology is the most prominent).
Four-hour level:
Daily level:
The wide box oscillation will continue for two weeks, forming a W transition platform. There will be no sharp rise or fall. During this period, some altcoins will emerge, and each cycle is like this (Bitcoin oscillates, some altcoins soar, or Bitcoin sucks blood, and altcoins go sideways). The general pattern of altcoin rotation is meme or game, L1L2, infrastructure, storage, defi, and public chain ecological currency (sol ecology is the most prominent).
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How many people will still become the abandoned children of this era?
I haven't written articles lately because I know the market has entered a phase of wide-ranging fluctuations. This phase is long and the market behavior is erratic, with fluctuations often reaching 40% to 50%, so I have not published any opinions. The last article emphasized that the market will not surge wildly, nor will the bull market end; the time for mental torment has arrived.
Knowing what stage we are in will provide a bottom line; we will not be swayed by the up-and-down movements of the candlestick charts. The digital currency market will certainly thrive because the excessive money has nowhere to go. The bulk market, stocks, real estate, gold, funds, etc., are already constrained and have little room for speculation. The digital currency market will become the largest and most fertile reservoir for fiat currency.
Knowing what stage we are in will provide a bottom line; we will not be swayed by the up-and-down movements of the candlestick charts. The digital currency market will certainly thrive because the excessive money has nowhere to go. The bulk market, stocks, real estate, gold, funds, etc., are already constrained and have little room for speculation. The digital currency market will become the largest and most fertile reservoir for fiat currency.
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A great man is a great man
In this small world, there are a few flies hitting the wall. Which great man said this? We all know that a great man is a great man.
Don't panic, don't make blind guesses, the cryptocurrency market will also be stable after Trump takes office. It's not like a group of people are smart and say that the good news will be bad news, nor is it like a group of people say that the big bull in the cryptocurrency market is coming. Individual stocks in the secondary market will be influenced by KOLs, but the overall market will not be turbulent because of one person.
It is still unknown whether Trump will mention digital currency when he takes office. Even if he does, Trump has followers and counterparties. The secondary market does not belong to him or him personally.
Don't panic, don't make blind guesses, the cryptocurrency market will also be stable after Trump takes office. It's not like a group of people are smart and say that the good news will be bad news, nor is it like a group of people say that the big bull in the cryptocurrency market is coming. Individual stocks in the secondary market will be influenced by KOLs, but the overall market will not be turbulent because of one person.
It is still unknown whether Trump will mention digital currency when he takes office. Even if he does, Trump has followers and counterparties. The secondary market does not belong to him or him personally.
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When will Europe submit, and when will digital currency come to the main surge?
2025 will truly be a year when the US and Europe engage in a war without gunpowder. The US merges with Mexico and targets Iran, aiming to raise oil prices. The regions most affected by rising oil prices will be Japan and South Korea and the EU, which has suffered a defeat in the bulk market.
The EU and the US are competing for the stablecoin market. The EU announces the delisting of Tether and actively promotes stablecoins pegged to the euro. Although Tether still firmly holds its position in the stablecoin market, the EU's actions will definitely cause harm. The Americans counter with their moves: you delist USDT, and I agree to sell Silk Road Bitcoin worth $6.5 billion, which consists of 69,000 Bitcoins. How many Bitcoins does the EU government have combined? The US government has over 200,000 plus the 69,000, directly locking you down. The EU suffers another defeat in the digital currency market.
The EU and the US are competing for the stablecoin market. The EU announces the delisting of Tether and actively promotes stablecoins pegged to the euro. Although Tether still firmly holds its position in the stablecoin market, the EU's actions will definitely cause harm. The Americans counter with their moves: you delist USDT, and I agree to sell Silk Road Bitcoin worth $6.5 billion, which consists of 69,000 Bitcoins. How many Bitcoins does the EU government have combined? The US government has over 200,000 plus the 69,000, directly locking you down. The EU suffers another defeat in the digital currency market.
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usual0.86 has arrived, those who dare can come!
V反？0.86 I checked this position a few days ago, today I'm daring to try it out, let's see how it goes.
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94000 entry, I want to sleep
BTC, you just need to reach 94,000, did you hear me? Here comes the familiar formula~~~
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Wait and see
BTC consolidated for three hours without a breakthrough, and the rise was not decisive, so I left the market and waited.
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Disk signal analysis
Don’t chase the rise of ACX. This is the second market signal I want to share.
Whether it is falling or rising, as long as the resistance level is broken, the support level will not be lingering. The black frame is the fall breaking the support level, which is basically a continuous fall. The yellow frame is lingering, which is not a breakthrough. The continuous new highs are due to retail investors' fomo buying, not the main traders' breakthrough. I may not make you make money, but I will not make you lose money. Waiting and watching is also a necessary trading mode. I think ACX will pull back to 0.59, and then it will be a good time to get on board.
Whether it is falling or rising, as long as the resistance level is broken, the support level will not be lingering. The black frame is the fall breaking the support level, which is basically a continuous fall. The yellow frame is lingering, which is not a breakthrough. The continuous new highs are due to retail investors' fomo buying, not the main traders' breakthrough. I may not make you make money, but I will not make you lose money. Waiting and watching is also a necessary trading mode. I think ACX will pull back to 0.59, and then it will be a good time to get on board.
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Introduction to disk signals
People who play in the secondary market have heard of the diagonal support level, but many do not know how it is formed or what it means.
I use ACX as an example. ACX forms a very obvious diagonal support, as shown in the figure below.
This oblique support is formed by two layers of chip concentration areas. The first layer is supported at 0.556 in the figure below.
The second layer, as shown below, is supported at 0.566
These two layers of support form a diagonal support level, as shown in the first figure. The decline is unilateral, the main force will suppress, and the buying and selling are dominated by the seller. If the market goes sideways after the decline, with yin and yang interlaced, it means that the turnover rate between buyers and sellers is very high, the volume may not be large, but the buying and selling are very frequent, which is the so-called chip concentration area.
I use ACX as an example. ACX forms a very obvious diagonal support, as shown in the figure below.
This oblique support is formed by two layers of chip concentration areas. The first layer is supported at 0.556 in the figure below.
The second layer, as shown below, is supported at 0.566
These two layers of support form a diagonal support level, as shown in the first figure. The decline is unilateral, the main force will suppress, and the buying and selling are dominated by the seller. If the market goes sideways after the decline, with yin and yang interlaced, it means that the turnover rate between buyers and sellers is very high, the volume may not be large, but the buying and selling are very frequent, which is the so-called chip concentration area.
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The trend is becoming clearer
The trend has been unstable these two days, and I really can't make a move. I follow an iron rule in trading: if I don't understand the market, I won't move until I can understand it. I really can't understand Btc these two days, it seems to go up and down. During these two days, I denied myself many times, and I didn't move when I found myself confused.
Let me first say the conclusion: Today's trend has become gradually clear. BTC will rise to around 103,500 today, and then enter a sideways consolidation again.
At present, BTC's 4-hour level line has come out of a base similar to an arc. I think it has begun to move to the right half. The decline depends on the rate and continuity of the decline. It stopped abruptly after a negative line yesterday. This is not a signal of a stage top. There is obvious market protection behavior. The consolidation near 96,000 has caused a phenomenon of both up and down, but the 15-minute level line has a signal of the center of gravity moving up. Moreover, the appearance of Yin and Yang staggered, the bottom of the four-hour level line is a rising three-method
Let me first say the conclusion: Today's trend has become gradually clear. BTC will rise to around 103,500 today, and then enter a sideways consolidation again.
At present, BTC's 4-hour level line has come out of a base similar to an arc. I think it has begun to move to the right half. The decline depends on the rate and continuity of the decline. It stopped abruptly after a negative line yesterday. This is not a signal of a stage top. There is obvious market protection behavior. The consolidation near 96,000 has caused a phenomenon of both up and down, but the 15-minute level line has a signal of the center of gravity moving up. Moreover, the appearance of Yin and Yang staggered, the bottom of the four-hour level line is a rising three-method
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ACX is poised for action, pay more attention, and get on board once it launches.
A few days ago, unichain announced the launch in early 2025. ACX is the cross-chain technology support for unichain. After rising to 1.8u, it went live on bn and has been declining since then. Currently, the left half has completed its movement and has entered the bottom-building stage, while the right half is poised for a one-sided upward trend. The bottom-building situation has completed the trial line and has begun the 'ants climbing the tree' zipper rise to elevate the bottom. The project is good, the market is clean, just waiting for the launch!
Keep a close eye on ACX, keep a close eye on ACX. As long as it detaches from Bitcoin's correlation, the upward momentum will increase, so don't hesitate.
Keep a close eye on ACX, keep a close eye on ACX. As long as it detaches from Bitcoin's correlation, the upward momentum will increase, so don't hesitate.
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$USUAL Continue from the previous article, which said that as long as the oblique support is not broken, it will rise back to around 1.15. At present, there is a cannonball pit on the market, commonly known as a cannonball wash. I know this, but I don’t know if you have any idea. I opened a position at 1.03 on Zhima, because I went to play Soon. Screenshots are not allowed here, and they will be blocked. I have a position at 1.03. I think this platform is a bullish platform, so I judge it to be a cannonball wash. You can learn about various wash methods, you can ask me, or you can check it yourself.
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$USUAL fell to around 0.94u and is fluctuating to build a platform. Whether this platform is an ascending platform or a descending platform can only be determined at the nodes. I like to write articles well in advance, and I estimate it will likely be an ascending platform. The key point at the bottom of this platform is getting higher and higher, which is also the main basis for assessing whether it is an ascending platform. If the diagonal support key point is broken, one can continue to observe. Additionally, the price will impact 1.125, forming another trial line, and then retreating to 1.05. If this line is formed, we can see whether after 1.05 the price rebounds or breaks down. If it rebounds, the price will rise above 1.32. The price increase cannot be separated from the consolidation of the platform. The purpose of the consolidation is to raise the overall holding cost of retail investors (for example, if you bought at 0.2 and sold at 1.1, it doesn't matter if you made money or not; if 1.1 has other retail investors taking over, then the overall holding cost increases). It doesn't matter whether you made a profit or not, as long as the retail investors' holding cost rises along with the K-line trend, that's a successful operation.
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$USUAL usual Don't panic for now, normal trading, if it doesn't break 0.94, there's no need to panic. The black arrow indicates the testing line, which is usually how trading is done: first to test selling pressure, second to test the enthusiasm for buying on the rise. You might not even remember the trends of other markets; recently, move has been trading this way, so check what the testing line is.
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GSR you are awesome, no matter which coin you are the market maker for, all the coins will have callbacks. . . You made the market for tai, you made the market for rsr, you made the market for ACX, you made the market for move, and now you are making the market for usual, you really remind me of the time when xrp plummeted. $USUAL
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Do you know what position you are in?
Originally, I didn't want to say anything because there was no practical value in discussing this, but the recent launch of these coins is unacceptable to me. This is blatant 'cooperation'. Cooperation is a good term, but why put it in quotes? Retail investors must have a deep understanding of this.
Retail investors are at the very bottom, which everyone knows, but do you know how many layers there are above you? Let me briefly explain.
Level One: Regulators. This identity represents power capital. Regulators have absolute authority over whether all secondary market activities can be conducted. Think about why regulators can allow centralized exchanges to operate.
Retail investors are at the very bottom, which everyone knows, but do you know how many layers there are above you? Let me briefly explain.
Level One: Regulators. This identity represents power capital. Regulators have absolute authority over whether all secondary market activities can be conducted. Think about why regulators can allow centralized exchanges to operate.
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