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VIX Soars, Oil Prices Surge, Federal Reserve Space Limited, Can the Crypto Market Stand Alone?
1. U.S. stocks undergo a comprehensive correction, and market risk appetite sharply contracts.
On June 13, 2025, after the U.S. stock market opened, the four major stock indices collectively weakened, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices experiencing simultaneous corrections, while the Russell 2000 index, dominated by small-cap stocks, led the decline with particularly noticeable losses. Overall, market risk appetite has rapidly cooled.
Investor concerns about the current geopolitical tensions have heated up, directly pushing the market volatility index—VIX panic index has risen to 20.82, marking the market's official entry into a high volatility zone. Meanwhile, the Fear and Greed Index has also dropped to around 52 points, indicating a shift in market sentiment from previously positive to more conservative and cautious.
On June 13, 2025, after the U.S. stock market opened, the four major stock indices collectively weakened, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices experiencing simultaneous corrections, while the Russell 2000 index, dominated by small-cap stocks, led the decline with particularly noticeable losses. Overall, market risk appetite has rapidly cooled.
Investor concerns about the current geopolitical tensions have heated up, directly pushing the market volatility index—VIX panic index has risen to 20.82, marking the market's official entry into a high volatility zone. Meanwhile, the Fear and Greed Index has also dropped to around 52 points, indicating a shift in market sentiment from previously positive to more conservative and cautious.
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BlockBeats news, on June 14, Kaito AI founder Yu Hu posted on X stating that over 90 million dollars worth of tokens have been distributed to holders and users. The more value the network helps to distribute, the more value the network captures, leading to continuous improvements and innovations, primarily guided by the community. Currently, Boop and Loudio are the main sources of Total Value Distributed (TVD) for Kaito Eco.
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According to the latest data from PeckShield, the Ethereum Foundation made an internal transfer of 1,000 ETH (worth approximately 2.5 million USD) to the associated wallet address 0xc061…0B6d. This transaction highlights the foundation's ongoing asset management within the Ethereum ecosystem, reflecting its strategic allocation of funds. Industry analysts closely monitor such movements to assess the operational focus and liquidity management in the decentralized finance sector. This transfer demonstrates the foundation's continued commitment to maintaining robust financial control and transparency in digital asset management.
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1% liquidity = 20% Bitcoin increase? Top analysts interpret the driving forces behind the bull market!
In the recently concluded second quarter, Bitcoin performed strongly, rising over 40% since April. Jamie Coutts, Chief Cryptocurrency Analyst at Real Vision, believes this surge is not coincidental but closely related to the historic expansion of global liquidity.
He stated: 'For every 1% of liquidity injected into the system, it should theoretically drive Bitcoin up by 20%. And this is just the beginning.'
The global liquidity index reached a historical high, with Bitcoin rising in resonance.
Coutts published an analysis on X (formerly Twitter) pointing out that its proprietary **Global Liquidity Index (GLI)** broke a historical high on April 10, signaling the end of a three-year consolidation period. In just nine weeks since that moment, Bitcoin's price surged in tandem, increasing by about 40%.
He stated: 'For every 1% of liquidity injected into the system, it should theoretically drive Bitcoin up by 20%. And this is just the beginning.'
The global liquidity index reached a historical high, with Bitcoin rising in resonance.
Coutts published an analysis on X (formerly Twitter) pointing out that its proprietary **Global Liquidity Index (GLI)** broke a historical high on April 10, signaling the end of a three-year consolidation period. In just nine weeks since that moment, Bitcoin's price surged in tandem, increasing by about 40%.
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BlockBeats News, on June 13, according to Lookonchain monitoring, a certain whale/institution (possibly related to ConsenSys) address purchased 2,825 ETH (approximately 7.48 million USD) through OTC again 4 hours ago.
In the past two weeks, this address has received a total of 160,736 ETH (approximately 421 million USD), with an average cost of about 2,620 USD.
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In the past two weeks, this address has received a total of 160,736 ETH (approximately 421 million USD), with an average cost of about 2,620 USD.
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CPI positivity overshadowed by geopolitical storms? Bitcoin BTC technical divergence intensifies, altcoins frequently caught in short-lived trends!
The latest US CPI data released in May was all below market expectations, which should have provided strong support for the stock market and crypto assets. However, sudden geopolitical negative news diluted the positive expectations. Especially after former President Trump publicly expressed increasing doubt about the Iran nuclear deal, concerns about escalating tensions in the Middle East emerged. Risk aversion sentiment suddenly escalated, and combined with the market being at a high level, Bitcoin's price quickly fell that night, momentarily breaching key support levels, resulting in increased short-term volatility.
Geopolitical interference is limited, but market sentiment is clearly under pressure.
Geopolitical interference is limited, but market sentiment is clearly under pressure.
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Bitcoin's strong performance in April and May has reignited market hopes for a major bull market breakout. From April 9 to May 22, the price of Bitcoin surged by 46.32%, with an increase of 18.48% from May 5 to May 22. The price rebound also boosted its Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), signaling a revival of market optimism.
As prices rebounded, BTC's compound annual growth rate skyrocketed.
Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr recently highlighted the significant surge in Bitcoin's four-year compound annual growth rate. In April 2025, this growth rate had dropped to just 7%, reflecting Bitcoin's volatility earlier in the year. In January, Bitcoin's price rose by 9.54%, but then fell sharply in the following months—down 17.5% in February and down 2.19% in March. In April, Bitcoin's price even dipped to a low of $74,446.79.
However, the market rebounded strongly. By June 2025, Adler reported that Bitcoin's compound annual growth rate had rebounded to 31%.
Adler stated, "This strong rebound indicates that long-term trends can quickly shift when strong buying momentum enters the market."
However, he noted that a 31% compound annual growth rate is still below historical bull market peaks, indicating there is still significant room for growth.
Will BTC's price reach $168,000 by October?
Axel Adler Jr predicts that, assuming the futures market and leverage continue to maintain their growth momentum, Bitcoin's target price could reach $168,000 by October 2025.
He made this prediction based on observed accelerated growth during previous bull markets and historical patterns.
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As prices rebounded, BTC's compound annual growth rate skyrocketed.
Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr recently highlighted the significant surge in Bitcoin's four-year compound annual growth rate. In April 2025, this growth rate had dropped to just 7%, reflecting Bitcoin's volatility earlier in the year. In January, Bitcoin's price rose by 9.54%, but then fell sharply in the following months—down 17.5% in February and down 2.19% in March. In April, Bitcoin's price even dipped to a low of $74,446.79.
However, the market rebounded strongly. By June 2025, Adler reported that Bitcoin's compound annual growth rate had rebounded to 31%.
Adler stated, "This strong rebound indicates that long-term trends can quickly shift when strong buying momentum enters the market."
However, he noted that a 31% compound annual growth rate is still below historical bull market peaks, indicating there is still significant room for growth.
Will BTC's price reach $168,000 by October?
Axel Adler Jr predicts that, assuming the futures market and leverage continue to maintain their growth momentum, Bitcoin's target price could reach $168,000 by October 2025.
He made this prediction based on observed accelerated growth during previous bull markets and historical patterns.
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According to CryptoQuant's on-chain data, on June 11, over $151 million worth of XRP flowed out of Binance, marking one of the largest single-day outflows in recent years.
The withdrawal amount the previous day was only $23 million, while this time the withdrawal amount suddenly surged, indicating that XRP holders are intent on changing their strategy.
A large-scale withdrawal from exchanges typically indicates increased investor confidence.
Are whales accumulating XRP?
When tokens are delisted from trading platforms, they are often moved to private storage, indicating that holders are not in a hurry to sell. In this case, the scale and speed of the exit are striking—growing more than sixfold within 24 hours.
The motivation behind this move remains unclear, but such behavior often occurs ahead of anticipated price movements.
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The withdrawal amount the previous day was only $23 million, while this time the withdrawal amount suddenly surged, indicating that XRP holders are intent on changing their strategy.
A large-scale withdrawal from exchanges typically indicates increased investor confidence.
Are whales accumulating XRP?
When tokens are delisted from trading platforms, they are often moved to private storage, indicating that holders are not in a hurry to sell. In this case, the scale and speed of the exit are striking—growing more than sixfold within 24 hours.
The motivation behind this move remains unclear, but such behavior often occurs ahead of anticipated price movements.
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Is Bitcoin BTC on the verge of a breakthrough? Robust structure, undercurrents in a calm market!
Bitcoin is consolidating above 100,000 USD, with market confidence coexisting with cautious sentiment.
After Bitcoin (BTC) stabilizes above 100,000 USD, the market enters a delicate phase of negotiation. Despite multiple instances of profit-taking-induced volatility, BTC continues to demonstrate strong resilience, with its market structure appearing more mature and less reactive to short-term sentiment than before.
Current volatility is at a historical low, and with the key support zone still intact, the market is beginning to ponder a key question: is this sideways movement just a 'calm period' before a new round of significant gains?
After Bitcoin (BTC) stabilizes above 100,000 USD, the market enters a delicate phase of negotiation. Despite multiple instances of profit-taking-induced volatility, BTC continues to demonstrate strong resilience, with its market structure appearing more mature and less reactive to short-term sentiment than before.
Current volatility is at a historical low, and with the key support zone still intact, the market is beginning to ponder a key question: is this sideways movement just a 'calm period' before a new round of significant gains?
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Nasdaq recently submitted a rule change proposal under 19b-4 to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), formally applying for the listing of a spot SUI ETF led by 21Shares. This application is a critical procedural step to initiate the SEC's regulatory review, which is essential for any new exchange-traded product to receive trading approval in the U.S. The significance of this application lies in its potential to bridge the gap between traditional financial markets and the emerging SUI blockchain ecosystem.
By enabling a spot ETF, investors can directly participate in the price fluctuations of SUI tokens without the complexities of holding and safeguarding cryptocurrencies themselves. This convenience is particularly attractive to institutional investors and retail investors who prefer regulated investment tools. This application also reflects Nasdaq's strategic positioning to expand its cryptocurrency product offerings in the context of the growing demand for diversified digital asset investments.
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By enabling a spot ETF, investors can directly participate in the price fluctuations of SUI tokens without the complexities of holding and safeguarding cryptocurrencies themselves. This convenience is particularly attractive to institutional investors and retail investors who prefer regulated investment tools. This application also reflects Nasdaq's strategic positioning to expand its cryptocurrency product offerings in the context of the growing demand for diversified digital asset investments.
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BlockBeats News, on June 12, the stablecoin project Plasma's newly added deposit limit of 500 million USD sold out in 30 minutes, with a current total limit of 1 billion USD. Users can start earning unit shares by depositing stablecoins into the vault, and the unit shares determine users' subscription shares in the XPL public sale. Deposits earn returns on Aave and Maker through the Veda audited vault contract. After the lock-up period ends, all assets will be converted to USDT.
On June 9, a certain address spent 39.15 ETH (worth about 100,000 USD) in gas fees to become the first address to make a Plasma deposit, successfully staking 10.17 million USDC to Plasma.
Plasma previously received strategic investment from Peter Thiel's Founders Fund and announced the completion of a 24 million USD financing round in February this year (20 million USD in Series A financing and 4 million USD in seed funding), led by Framework Ventures, with participation from cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex, venture capitalist Peter Thiel, and Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino.
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On June 9, a certain address spent 39.15 ETH (worth about 100,000 USD) in gas fees to become the first address to make a Plasma deposit, successfully staking 10.17 million USDC to Plasma.
Plasma previously received strategic investment from Peter Thiel's Founders Fund and announced the completion of a 24 million USD financing round in February this year (20 million USD in Series A financing and 4 million USD in seed funding), led by Framework Ventures, with participation from cryptocurrency exchange Bitfinex, venture capitalist Peter Thiel, and Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino.
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Chainlink (LINK) has jumped to the forefront of cryptocurrency development, attracting new investor interest, recently surpassing Ethereum (ETH) in GitHub activity.
This momentum aligns with Chainlink's interoperability protocol CCIP, which successfully facilitated the exchange of Hong Kong's CBDC with the Australian dollar stablecoin. This initiative was successfully implemented under Hong Kong's e-HKD+ pilot program.
Meanwhile, the second week of June sparked momentum for LINK, with a 12% intraday rise following the announcement, pushing the price above $15.00, marking a more than 20% increase since June 6.
CCIP has become a core advantage for its ecosystem's growing presence in the real world. This has reignited optimism about the long-term value proposition of the LINK token. As a result, experts remain optimistic, with some predicting its price will soon reach $30.
Chainlink has outpaced RWA development in the past 30 days.
According to a recent sentiment study, Chainlink is the leading RWA tokenization infrastructure provider among the top 10 cryptocurrencies. It ranks first in development, with a development activity count of 449 in the past 30 days, while the lowest-ranked Chainlink development activity count is 43.27.
Furthermore, the latest insights shared on June 11 show that LINK's development activity has risen by 7.7% in the past 30 days, while ETH increased by 6.3%. This is encouraging, as both LINK and ETH experience explosive growth driven by development activity. In the past 30 days, LINK ranked second in GitHub events, while ETH placed eighth.
As LINK deepens its connections with major financial institutions and implements high-profile pilot projects, its dominance on GitHub continues to rise, and its top position among RWA providers suggests an optimistic outlook for LINK against the backdrop of an increasingly bright future for the entire cryptocurrency industry.
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This momentum aligns with Chainlink's interoperability protocol CCIP, which successfully facilitated the exchange of Hong Kong's CBDC with the Australian dollar stablecoin. This initiative was successfully implemented under Hong Kong's e-HKD+ pilot program.
Meanwhile, the second week of June sparked momentum for LINK, with a 12% intraday rise following the announcement, pushing the price above $15.00, marking a more than 20% increase since June 6.
CCIP has become a core advantage for its ecosystem's growing presence in the real world. This has reignited optimism about the long-term value proposition of the LINK token. As a result, experts remain optimistic, with some predicting its price will soon reach $30.
Chainlink has outpaced RWA development in the past 30 days.
According to a recent sentiment study, Chainlink is the leading RWA tokenization infrastructure provider among the top 10 cryptocurrencies. It ranks first in development, with a development activity count of 449 in the past 30 days, while the lowest-ranked Chainlink development activity count is 43.27.
Furthermore, the latest insights shared on June 11 show that LINK's development activity has risen by 7.7% in the past 30 days, while ETH increased by 6.3%. This is encouraging, as both LINK and ETH experience explosive growth driven by development activity. In the past 30 days, LINK ranked second in GitHub events, while ETH placed eighth.
As LINK deepens its connections with major financial institutions and implements high-profile pilot projects, its dominance on GitHub continues to rise, and its top position among RWA providers suggests an optimistic outlook for LINK against the backdrop of an increasingly bright future for the entire cryptocurrency industry.
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BlockBeats News, on June 11, the US May unadjusted CPI annual rate recorded at 2.4%, market expectation was 2.5%. The US May unadjusted CPI monthly rate recorded at 0.1%, market expectation was 0.2%. The US May adjusted core CPI monthly rate recorded at 0.1%, market expectation was 0.3%. The US May unadjusted core CPI annual rate recorded at 2.8%, market expectation was 2.9%.
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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to approve an ETF that tracks a broad cryptocurrency index, which is an important milestone for the digital asset ecosystem. These ETFs are designed to provide investors with diversified investment in various cryptocurrencies, reducing the risk of individual assets while capturing overall market growth opportunities. Given that the approval deadline is set for July 2, analysts estimate that the likelihood of these products receiving regulatory approval is as high as 90%, reflecting the SEC's evolving stance on cryptocurrency investment tools.
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Bitcoin's open contracts shrink, does the exit of traders signify that $106,000 is coming?
In the past day, Bitcoin [BTC] broke through consolidation and rebounded to the $110,000 level. However, shortly after, the market slightly retreated and eventually stabilized at $109,162.
This sudden pullback has caught the interest of CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, who predicts that Bitcoin will fall further based on open contracts.
It is worth noting that Bitcoin's open contracts have significantly decreased by $1 billion. Such a large decline indicates massive liquidations and reduced leverage as investors strategically exit the market.
The decline in open positions resulted in a negative net recipient count, reflecting the dominance of sellers in the market, which caused prices to retreat from $110,000.
This sudden pullback has caught the interest of CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler, who predicts that Bitcoin will fall further based on open contracts.
It is worth noting that Bitcoin's open contracts have significantly decreased by $1 billion. Such a large decline indicates massive liquidations and reduced leverage as investors strategically exit the market.
The decline in open positions resulted in a negative net recipient count, reflecting the dominance of sellers in the market, which caused prices to retreat from $110,000.
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BlockBeats News, on June 11, according to Bitcoinmagazine, Michael Saylor, the Executive Chairman and CEO of Strategy, commented in a recent interview with Bloomberg about the company's aggressive Bitcoin strategy, emphasizing that Bitcoin will not go to zero, but will rise to $1 million per coin. Saylor stated: 'I believe we are in a digital gold rush, and you have ten years to acquire as much Bitcoin as possible before it runs out.' 'This competition is a positive competition.' Saylor also mentioned that Bitcoin will no longer experience bear markets, and its price will reach $1 million per coin. He said: 'Winter will not come again.' 'We have already passed that stage. If Bitcoin does not go to zero, it will rise to $1 million. The President of the United States is determined to support Bitcoin, the cabinet supports Bitcoin, Treasury Secretary Basant supports Bitcoin, and SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has also shown his passionate belief in Bitcoin and digital assets... Bitcoin has already passed the most risky period.
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According to the latest data from EmberCN, a well-known whale or institutional investor acquired 114,300 AAVE tokens through Wintermute, investing approximately 30 million dollars, with an average price of 262 dollars per token. This strategic acquisition is in line with the ongoing bullish momentum in the AAVE market. As of today, the market value of this holding has surged to an estimated 86.48 million dollars, reflecting an impressive unrealized gain of nearly 40.68 million dollars. Since March 2023, this investor has steadily increased their holdings, having deployed approximately 45.8 million dollars in total, and currently holds 280,600 AAVE tokens. This continued accumulation highlights a strong belief in the long-term potential of AAVE in the decentralized finance ecosystem.
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Future Fluctuations in Bitcoin BTC Price? – Signals to Watch Around $109,000!
Since exiting the low-risk accumulation zone, Bitcoin [BTC]'s 60-day actual market value variance (RCV) has triggered a market reassessment.
Previously, when RCV levels were negative and price momentum was strong, buy signals would become active.
Now, even though the yellow buy flag has disappeared, sell triggers have not yet emerged, as the 30-day momentum remains strong. This transitional state reflects that the market is shifting from the optimal accumulation phase to a more cautious phase.
As of the time of writing, BTC trading price surpassed $109,000, with the market showing bullish momentum, but the continuously rising RCV levels indicate a decrease in the return potential for new bullish entries in the future.
Previously, when RCV levels were negative and price momentum was strong, buy signals would become active.
Now, even though the yellow buy flag has disappeared, sell triggers have not yet emerged, as the 30-day momentum remains strong. This transitional state reflects that the market is shifting from the optimal accumulation phase to a more cautious phase.
As of the time of writing, BTC trading price surpassed $109,000, with the market showing bullish momentum, but the continuously rising RCV levels indicate a decrease in the return potential for new bullish entries in the future.
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The current upward momentum of Bitcoin is attributed to its continuous breakthroughs of key resistance levels. Notably, once the Bitcoin price broke through $106,500, it quickly surged to the $110,000 mark, a prediction accurately made by analyst Michael Van de Poppe. According to him, breaking through $108,900 further accelerated the price movement, with the current highest price expected to be $110,561.
As seen in the past, a brief consolidation trend often occurs after such parabolic moves. This may imply that Bitcoin could hover around current levels or experience a slight pullback before reaching new highs. The RSI indicator on the hourly chart suggests that the market is temporarily weak, but the structure remains bullish.
The ideal buying range remains between $107,000 and $108,000, with this support level having strong sustaining potential. If the price retraces further, the liquidity pool below $105,500 may also become a rebound area. If the current momentum continues and the dip remains shallow, then it is not only possible but highly likely that Bitcoin will break its all-time high within the next 24 hours.
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As seen in the past, a brief consolidation trend often occurs after such parabolic moves. This may imply that Bitcoin could hover around current levels or experience a slight pullback before reaching new highs. The RSI indicator on the hourly chart suggests that the market is temporarily weak, but the structure remains bullish.
The ideal buying range remains between $107,000 and $108,000, with this support level having strong sustaining potential. If the price retraces further, the liquidity pool below $105,500 may also become a rebound area. If the current momentum continues and the dip remains shallow, then it is not only possible but highly likely that Bitcoin will break its all-time high within the next 24 hours.
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MetaplanetBTCPurchase
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💥 BREAKING:
🚀 Metaplanet issues *210 MILLION* in **0% BTC!
🤑 Basically, they’re borrowing *interest-free* to stack Bitcoin — talk about confidence!
🔍 *What it means:*
- Big players are doubling down on BTC
- Expect more institutional buying pressure soon
- This could help push Bitcoin towards new highs
📈 *Prediction:*
- BTC could test *180K+* if demand keeps growing
- Strong support likely around *$165K*
💡 Pro tip: When smart money moves like this, it’s a sign to pay attention!
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