海绵讲币
专注于币圈一、二级市场。致力于研究一级市场暴涨币种、二级市场优质潜力币。 (公众号-海绵讲币 / HTXD928 )
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When you all look down on it is the time to buy boldly
The core idea is: Ordi has been on so many major exchanges, no matter how the inscriptions turn out in the future
It will follow the overall market. And for those coins that have already broken out of the circle, as long as they perform, there will be no shortage of funds coming in, so another wave of wealth is on the way.
The core idea is: Ordi has been on so many major exchanges, no matter how the inscriptions turn out in the future
It will follow the overall market. And for those coins that have already broken out of the circle, as long as they perform, there will be no shortage of funds coming in, so another wave of wealth is on the way.
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In the past month, Ethereum ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with tens of thousands of ETH flowing in almost every day. Based on this influx of funds, Ethereum could very likely return to above 4000 next month.
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Shiba Inu (SHIB) skyrockets 18 million times in five years; can the burn mechanism trigger the next bull market? Can the myth be replicated in the future?
Shiba Inu (SHIB) is undoubtedly one of the best-performing cryptocurrencies in the past five years. If you invested $1,000 in Shiba Inu (SHIB) in August 2020, that investment would now be worth over $18 million. According to Changelly's ROI calculator, your investment would have grown by 1,841,652% (1,841,652 basis points).
In October 2021, the price of Shiba Inu (SHIB) reached an all-time high of $0.00008616. If you sold $1,000 worth of tokens at the peak price of Shiba Inu (SHIB), you would have made up to $103 million in profit. In this case, your investment would have grown by 10,303,317% (103,033.17%).
In October 2021, the price of Shiba Inu (SHIB) reached an all-time high of $0.00008616. If you sold $1,000 worth of tokens at the peak price of Shiba Inu (SHIB), you would have made up to $103 million in profit. In this case, your investment would have grown by 10,303,317% (103,033.17%).
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Ethereum is in a larger cycle, looking at the daily chart, it has already reached previous highs. This is definitely a profit-taking zone, not a zone for chasing after breakouts. Regardless of how many people see 4500 or above 10000, I also feel that the cost-effectiveness here is very low.
So my view remains unchanged, treat the resistance level of 3740-4110 as a high-level fluctuation. Without any strong upward momentum, neither bulls nor bears have a clear pattern. Let's wait until one day it breaks through 4110 to discuss further.
So my view remains unchanged, treat the resistance level of 3740-4110 as a high-level fluctuation. Without any strong upward momentum, neither bulls nor bears have a clear pattern. Let's wait until one day it breaks through 4110 to discuss further.
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From the current market observation, Bitcoin's adjustment and repair trend over the weekend appears particularly strong.
Generally speaking, the weekend market is mainly characterized by fluctuations and adjustments, but this round has strongly surged to around 119,000, nearly recovering all previous losses.
However, it is important to note that there is still significant resistance at the upper integer level of 120,000. Considering the current release rhythm of bullish momentum, the probability of a breakout in the short term is low.
On the four-hour level, the overall structure is still a wave-shaped decline, with high points gradually moving downward and support levels continuously being broken. Although there has been a three-day consecutive rebound, the trading volume has not effectively increased, and the sustainability of the rise still needs to be observed.
On the hourly chart, the market is in a phase of range-bound fluctuations, and it is expected that a directional choice may only come after the opening of the U.S. stock market in the evening. The daytime is likely to maintain a fluctuation pattern within a thousand points.
In terms of operational strategy, maintain a high short and low long strategy.
Resistance range: 119,800-119,300
Support target: 118,000-117,500
Generally speaking, the weekend market is mainly characterized by fluctuations and adjustments, but this round has strongly surged to around 119,000, nearly recovering all previous losses.
However, it is important to note that there is still significant resistance at the upper integer level of 120,000. Considering the current release rhythm of bullish momentum, the probability of a breakout in the short term is low.
On the four-hour level, the overall structure is still a wave-shaped decline, with high points gradually moving downward and support levels continuously being broken. Although there has been a three-day consecutive rebound, the trading volume has not effectively increased, and the sustainability of the rise still needs to be observed.
On the hourly chart, the market is in a phase of range-bound fluctuations, and it is expected that a directional choice may only come after the opening of the U.S. stock market in the evening. The daytime is likely to maintain a fluctuation pattern within a thousand points.
In terms of operational strategy, maintain a high short and low long strategy.
Resistance range: 119,800-119,300
Support target: 118,000-117,500
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Even in a bull market, the money you earn is not from the big players; you earn it from the opposing players and the 'late entry funds'. One is a cognitive gap, and the other is a time advantage.
'Late entry funds' do not necessarily refer to new retail investors; veteran investors may hesitate and delay their entry. By the time they finally decide to jump in, it is typically already at the tail end of the bull market. They are there to take over your position.
Now, regarding the opposing players. I can now calmly view opinions that disagree with mine, even comments that directly insult me—these are all my opposing players. I go long, you go short, and there is ample liquidity.
Learn to dance with the big players instead of standing in opposition. How you view the big players is not important; what matters is how the big players view the retail investors. Standing from their perspective allows you to see more.
A very important basis for judging this bull market is the movements of the counterfeit big players. Everyone collectively starts taking action, issuing good news, and testing the market. Those with courage directly begin to soar. If this isn't a bull market, what is? Their judgment is far above ours.
'Late entry funds' do not necessarily refer to new retail investors; veteran investors may hesitate and delay their entry. By the time they finally decide to jump in, it is typically already at the tail end of the bull market. They are there to take over your position.
Now, regarding the opposing players. I can now calmly view opinions that disagree with mine, even comments that directly insult me—these are all my opposing players. I go long, you go short, and there is ample liquidity.
Learn to dance with the big players instead of standing in opposition. How you view the big players is not important; what matters is how the big players view the retail investors. Standing from their perspective allows you to see more.
A very important basis for judging this bull market is the movements of the counterfeit big players. Everyone collectively starts taking action, issuing good news, and testing the market. Those with courage directly begin to soar. If this isn't a bull market, what is? Their judgment is far above ours.
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Next week's turning point? Bitcoin plummets and rebounds! Ethereum faces 12 billion in selling pressure! Will Ethereum crash? Where is the best top exit timing? Will the Federal Reserve cut rates next week?
When others panic, I am greedy! Bitcoin plummeted by 114,700 yesterday, and altcoins crashed! Today Bitcoin surged back, and the altcoin market is all in the green! Yesterday, Sponge clearly reminded in the article (Bloodbath! The reason for Bitcoin's crash exposed! Has Bitcoin hit the bottom? Can we buy the dip now? HELL, NXPC, ERA made a 20% profit! How to operate next?) : 'Points for placing long orders in batches: 115,055, 113,855, 112,850 (extreme low), defend at 112,000. Do not short at this level, it can recover quickly, and it is very difficult to short at high levels, you can hold on, at most it will pull back a small portion of profit.' Fans who followed Sponge's long orders made a killing, earning over 3,000 oil, and those who kept up can choose to take profits in batches.
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XRP has fallen back below the January high after breaking through it, and from a volume-price relationship perspective, this pullback gives a less optimistic signal.
According to CryptoQuant data, Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen has sold approximately $200 million worth of XRP in the past 10 days. This clearly indicates a signal for the main force to offload.
Overall, the upward trend of XRP is also nearing its end.
According to CryptoQuant data, Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen has sold approximately $200 million worth of XRP in the past 10 days. This clearly indicates a signal for the main force to offload.
Overall, the upward trend of XRP is also nearing its end.
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Let's talk about CHR based on the K-line.
1. The pattern is also a descending wedge.
2. Fibonacci AB=CD is oversold.
3. The unit price is below 1 dollar.
Meets the possible trend of the $OM scenario, can enter at market price, stop loss at the red dashed line (0.0857), target price around 0.89, timeframe looks to the fourth quarter of this year.
1. The pattern is also a descending wedge.
2. Fibonacci AB=CD is oversold.
3. The unit price is below 1 dollar.
Meets the possible trend of the $OM scenario, can enter at market price, stop loss at the red dashed line (0.0857), target price around 0.89, timeframe looks to the fourth quarter of this year.
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SUN
Broke through the key resistance line
Now stabilizing upwards
The overall trend is still upward
Continue to be bullish
Buy on dips
Broke through the key resistance line
Now stabilizing upwards
The overall trend is still upward
Continue to be bullish
Buy on dips
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Bitcoin's low point has broken the structure and turned bearish, but there is a short-term expectation of a rebound. Pay attention to the central axis of the structure to suppress the trend.
✅ The line is declining; if it breaks upward, it may continue to rise above 120,000. If the trend line holds, it may lead to a choppy downward trading approach:
✅ Pay attention to the performance of pressure testing the green area during the rebound, as well as the pressure from the trend line. If resistance is encountered, consider shorting; if resistance breaks, turn to long.
✅ The line is declining; if it breaks upward, it may continue to rise above 120,000. If the trend line holds, it may lead to a choppy downward trading approach:
✅ Pay attention to the performance of pressure testing the green area during the rebound, as well as the pressure from the trend line. If resistance is encountered, consider shorting; if resistance breaks, turn to long.
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After the breakout, the replicas are mostly near the support level. Compared to the previous two situations, the first surge will pull back for 4-5 days. If I calculate it right, it should be around today or tomorrow, and there should be a batch rebound. BTC.D continues to maintain a downward trend.
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Bloodbath! Reasons for the Bitcoin crash exposed! Has Bitcoin hit the bottom? Is it time to bottom fish now? HELL, NXPC, ERA made a profit of 20%! What’s the next move?
Today's market highlights:
1. ASP has launched; before launch, a key was roughly calculated at about 0.7 dollars, but it started to drop immediately upon launch, now directly falling below 0.2. The market really cannot rush right now.
2. Vine mentioned before that it was called out by Musk last night, instantly doubling, but it has also fallen back quite a bit now. We need to see if it can connect to X later, or if Musk can continue to lead the trend.
3. MONAD is set to launch on September 29, with a total supply of 100 billion.
4. Upbit launched two coins, syrup and huma, yesterday.
5. The Ponzimon game that launched yesterday saw a FOMO wave right after opening, with the PONZI price skyrocketing to over 30M, but ultimately, Ponzi games cannot escape 'mining and selling.' It has now dropped significantly.
1. ASP has launched; before launch, a key was roughly calculated at about 0.7 dollars, but it started to drop immediately upon launch, now directly falling below 0.2. The market really cannot rush right now.
2. Vine mentioned before that it was called out by Musk last night, instantly doubling, but it has also fallen back quite a bit now. We need to see if it can connect to X later, or if Musk can continue to lead the trend.
3. MONAD is set to launch on September 29, with a total supply of 100 billion.
4. Upbit launched two coins, syrup and huma, yesterday.
5. The Ponzimon game that launched yesterday saw a FOMO wave right after opening, with the PONZI price skyrocketing to over 30M, but ultimately, Ponzi games cannot escape 'mining and selling.' It has now dropped significantly.
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At this position of BTC, there are three levels of resistance. Although the selling volume of spot trading today is quite large, it is still very difficult to break through this position in one day, so the cost-effectiveness of buying here remains very high.
It should be noted that the sell-off today mostly consists of spot players selling out, while the contracts sold are comparatively less.
It should be noted that the sell-off today mostly consists of spot players selling out, while the contracts sold are comparatively less.
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We agreed to band together to push the market up, but I haven't even placed many orders and it's already being doused. Bitcoin's performance today has been as bad as it can get, and the daily chart has also become exceptionally ugly. I plan to passively reduce my position by one layer at this level, having unloaded a total of 20% of my position. I'll observe the remaining part for a while, planning to reduce my position according to both time and price perspectives, aiming to unload 50% by September~
ETH has been quite strong recently, but if it continues to be dragged down by Bitcoin, it will be difficult to achieve an independent upward trend, especially with nearly 700,000 ETH entering the market~ If it can pull back to 3300-3400, I will see how strong the support is.
ETH has been quite strong recently, but if it continues to be dragged down by Bitcoin, it will be difficult to achieve an independent upward trend, especially with nearly 700,000 ETH entering the market~ If it can pull back to 3300-3400, I will see how strong the support is.
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Bitcoin stabilizes, altcoins take off! Altcoin market capitalization enters the 'only rising phase', is a new round of market starting?
The altcoin season is one of the most anticipated events of the year. At this time every year, the market witnesses the rise of major altcoins, all of which show an upward trend, ultimately surpassing Bitcoin and dominating the market. This phenomenon usually occurs shortly after a major bull market, when Bitcoin's price stabilizes and volatility begins to decrease. Investors are looking forward to the arrival of the altcoin season, and here are some key indicators to watch, which may signal the start of a season that investors can fully enjoy.
Analysts explain the signs of the approaching altcoin season.
Analysts explain the signs of the approaching altcoin season.
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Will Bitcoin and Ethereum reverse tonight? Where to bottom? New coins on Binance could double! Musk ignites the crypto AI revolution! A billion-dollar market cap is about to emerge!
Today, the market is overall relatively calm.
As emphasized repeatedly recently, the current main line of the market logic still revolves around tariff policies and monetary policies—whether Powell is reappointed falls under the latter category. As long as these two main lines do not show violent fluctuations, the overall market will remain relatively stable.
From a certain perspective, Trump's focus on tariffs is a positive factor, and the US's continued support for the AI industry has indirectly pushed the crypto market to some extent. It’s worth mentioning that Musk's collaboration between XAI and the prediction market platform Kalshi (with GROK involved) brings new imaginative space for decentralized narratives, such as assisting AI in capturing the movements of 'smart money', optimizing prompt design, etc. In fact, a friend discussed related directions with me last month, and I hope to see more of these cross-border products in the future.
As emphasized repeatedly recently, the current main line of the market logic still revolves around tariff policies and monetary policies—whether Powell is reappointed falls under the latter category. As long as these two main lines do not show violent fluctuations, the overall market will remain relatively stable.
From a certain perspective, Trump's focus on tariffs is a positive factor, and the US's continued support for the AI industry has indirectly pushed the crypto market to some extent. It’s worth mentioning that Musk's collaboration between XAI and the prediction market platform Kalshi (with GROK involved) brings new imaginative space for decentralized narratives, such as assisting AI in capturing the movements of 'smart money', optimizing prompt design, etc. In fact, a friend discussed related directions with me last month, and I hope to see more of these cross-border products in the future.
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SOL reference as follows:
Direction: 1x
Entry: around 179
Target: 195
Stop: 1-hour candlestick closes below 169
This content is for reference only.
Direction: 1x
Entry: around 179
Target: 195
Stop: 1-hour candlestick closes below 169
This content is for reference only.
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Altcoin Season Returns: SHIB Up 15%, BONK Up 140%, ADA Nears $1
As Bitcoin's dominance continues to wane in the third quarter of 2025, traders are turning their attention to promising altcoins. In this altcoin season, previously overlooked tokens are regaining momentum.
Shiba Inu and Bonk represent a new wave of meme coin speculation, while Cardano attracts capital with its institutional narrative. Together, these three tokens indicate that the market is in a phase driven by hype, community power, and actual development, with changes in sentiment cycles happening faster than ever.
Shiba Inu and Bonk represent a new wave of meme coin speculation, while Cardano attracts capital with its institutional narrative. Together, these three tokens indicate that the market is in a phase driven by hype, community power, and actual development, with changes in sentiment cycles happening faster than ever.
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Ethereum short-term strong rebound, price has once again broken through the descending channel, but there is still a need for a pullback in the smaller time frames. It is not recommended to chase the price up; attention can be paid to the support at the short-term low point. The small support below is around 3630 USD.
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