冯 宝宝在烤红薯

It seems that the original translation means:

"How could you still scold and hate me? If it weren't for me, Israel would have wiped you out a long time ago."

"I was originally considering easing your sanctions, but your attitude has really disappointed me."

The implication is, "I've provided enough leeway; it's time for you to come down and discuss the nuclear agreement."

Why are we always reluctant to exit the game?

We lost money, thinking we won't play again after breaking even.
We broke even, thinking we won't play again after earning xxx.
After earning xxx, thinking we won't play again after earning yyy.

And then the cycle continues.

If BTC breaks below the 1-hour lower bound of 107K and does not recover,
it will be time for the bears to exert their strength.

If OKX successfully goes public, it may reshape the landscape of centralized exchanges, and the short-term fluctuations of OKB do not change its long-term potential.

After June 4th, I will be less optimistic about the market.
For now, I still maintain a pessimistic view,
but this does not affect continuing to make some short-term trades,
using small amounts of capital to play with contracts and develop some market intuition.

After this wave of trend market ends, it will adjust until August,
August to September will be the next wave of bottom-fishing opportunity. If you don't lose money in the next three months, you will surpass over 80% of people.

If you cannot grasp the upcoming volatile market, you can hold onto some USDT and wait for the market to stabilize before participating.

The big one is coming, this time it's for real.

Volatility is getting lower, historically, the only times when volatility was this low were on July 22, 2020, October 22, 2022, January 6, 2023, June 4, 2023, August 2, 2023, October 6, 2023, June 2, 2024, and February 20, 2025.

There were 4 instances of a major drop after choosing a direction, and 3 instances of an increase after choosing a direction.
Generally, if the main force chooses to go down, they will first create a wave of false buying. If they want to break upwards, they will first fake a breakdown with a spike and then push up.

So do you think this time it will be an increase or a decrease?

It has been several days since I analyzed the market, and it is indeed difficult to analyze at the moment.
From the capital data, there are really no overly optimistic reasons in the short term.
Currently, the funds accumulated by the main force since the end of April have all flowed out.

Today, June 19, we reached 0 accumulation for the first time.
As for how many short positions the main force has currently built, further research is needed.

From the data, the main force cleared ETH between May 10 and May 12, with the price around 2600.
The main force cleared BTC between May 12 and May 30, slowly clearing the remaining tail in June.

Going forward, I will remain cautious; if it breaks below one hundred thousand, I will consider adding to the short positions.

Will BCH replicate the monthly trend of XRP? I don't know, I haven't said anything.

With a lower leverage, the liquidation price is also lower, and the market makers have no way to deal with AguilaTrades.
The current liquidation price is $94,013, and the market makers can only stare blankly.

Pumpfun has not been able to issue coins recently, which can be considered a good news for the market lately; there is simply not enough money in the market for them to absorb.

Pay attention to the Bonk ecosystem

Pump has already become an evil dragon

The community over at Bonk consists of degens and diamond hands

Preparing to create a collection

This is the first phase of development, referred to as the Bonk ecosystem

The meme consensus has been destroyed and collapsed by Pump; as one whale falls, all things are born, Bonk is slowly building its own layer of meme consensus

Everything is just the beginning

Like trading MKR BCH spot, slowly accumulating for 1-3 years in advance, with smaller fluctuations compared to BTC and ETH, because it is spot trading. Currently, BCH and MKR are in the main rising wave stage for weekly and monthly charts, and the MACD indicators are all golden crosses.

The reason AI hasn't pushed BCH MKR is mainly due to the instability of BTC, and the direction of the main forces is uncertain, sometimes entering the market and sometimes exiting, which will temporarily affect the system's push for ETH BCH MKR and other altcoins.

The main accumulation data for Bitcoin is currently not very stable and does not meet the criteria for listing.

Regarding the bullish news of Pump fun opening

June 21 - Announcement of pre-sale and launch
June 25 - Start of a 3-day new issuance
June 28 - Announcement of trading day time

As there are still 5 days until the originally scheduled announcement date of the 21st, there may be changes in the interim, depending on whether any issues arise in the overall market.

Let's learn about the basic situation of #RESOLV launched on Binance Spot on June 11: I have also summarized the highlights and risks of the project in the table.

1. Project Basic Introduction:
Resolv is a decentralized finance (DeFi) protocol focused on a stablecoin ecosystem based on Delta neutral strategies. Its core product is the stablecoin USR (USD Reserve), which is pegged to the US dollar price through over-collateralization with Ethereum (ETH) and Bitcoin (BTC), combined with on-chain hedging mechanisms, while providing returns to holders. Resolv's goal is to create a decentralized, capital-efficient stablecoin system by eliminating dependence on traditional fiat currency.

2. Project Background:
Financing Situation: Led by top Web3 venture capital firms including Coinbase Ventures, Delphi Digital, Gumi Cryptos, Maven11, raising approximately $10 million, with an initial valuation of $100 million.
Launch Date: June 11, 2025, with initial listings on major exchanges such as Binance, OKX, and Bitget.

3. Token Distribution:
Team and Advisors: 20% (locked for 1-2 years, gradually released).
Investors: 15% (seed round and early investment, some already unlocked).
Community and Airdrop: 50% (used to incentivize users and ecological development).
Reserve Fund: 15% (used for protocol development and market promotion).

4. Airdrop Activities:
Binance launched the HODLer airdrop, where users can earn RESOLV rewards by holding BNB or participating in staking.

5. Market Risks:
Price Volatility: The circulation of RESOLV tokens is relatively low, and there may be selling pressure or control risks in the short term. Global regulation of stablecoins is becoming increasingly strict; while decentralized stablecoins can avoid some risks associated with fiat currency backing, they may still face compliance requirements for on-chain transactions.

Odin has made quite good progress so far. From the initial establishment of the project to the first wave of price surge and a 20-30 times pullback, it has held up well. The last round of value discovery in March saw a short-term FOMO surge, which was only partially recognized by the market. It has experienced panic sell-offs and theft incidents, but the handling of these issues has been quite good. The only drawback is the founder's marketing ability, but that can also be seen as being quite down-to-earth.

Currently, many ground promotion teams have entered the market, and Odin's updates and iterations are gradually improving. Various rune tokens have also digested the bubbles. During these months of adjustment, the OKX DApp heat ranking has consistently been in the top 3, with existing funds steadily increasing. There will definitely be more space for value discovery and speculation in the future.

Sparks have seen a 97% drop from their peak and are currently fluctuating at the bottom. The community and fan base are substantial, and in the last round, it was relatively a leader. Right now, it has just passed the turning point with a market value of only around 300,000. Those interested can consider positioning themselves for a wave!

The main force of BTC in this round of market has entered and exited 2 times: the first entry and exit is a normal trend market, while the second entry and exit is equivalent to a manipulation behavior by the main force. On the 6th and 7th, the main force's chips were all exhausted. The main force wants to create another peak to blow up short positions, so they violently raised prices to form a peak. Then from the afternoon of June 12 to June 13, the goods can be taken out, referring to the main force's maximum accumulated fund data in the table.

The next support for BTC is at 101512,
If it cannot hold, it will go to 96-98.
If it can hold, we will continue to observe the main force's accumulation situation.