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月令偏财格

这个人就爱胡说八道
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$ETH it's too hard for the bulls... Even if I open a wall for you, you still can't get up...
$ETH it's too hard for the bulls... Even if I open a wall for you, you still can't get up...
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青蛙哥哥S
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Bearish
$ETH
I may not have the chance to experience the feeling of a liquidation. What a pity.
Clearly unable to rise🤣
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The dog owner understands drawing lines, but unfortunately, he doesn’t understand me.The so-called extreme edge pulling. You know I am watching this line. I also know that you are drawing this for me. But you don’t know, I actually know that this line is drawn for me. Logically, there should be an oscillation area here, but a 200-point amplitude is too large; it’s better to say there are 2 trends. You don't need to guess, I can tell you directly, sell high and short, don’t go long.After all, BlackRock has bought all of AP's ETH, so isn’t Wall Street AP very foolish? Don’t you think?

The dog owner understands drawing lines, but unfortunately, he doesn’t understand me.

The so-called extreme edge pulling.
You know I am watching this line.
I also know that you are drawing this for me.
But you don’t know, I actually know that this line is drawn for me.
Logically, there should be an oscillation area here, but a 200-point amplitude is too large; it’s better to say there are 2 trends.
You don't need to guess, I can tell you directly, sell high and short, don’t go long.After all, BlackRock has bought all of AP's ETH, so isn’t Wall Street AP very foolish? Don’t you think?
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Research on the Operational Mechanism of BlackRock's ETHAYesterday, I carefully studied the operational mechanism of mainstream ETH-ETFs again, as well as their possible impact on market prices. 1. ETF trading revolves around NAV. The subscriptions and redemptions of ETFs around spot prices fluctuate based on the premium rate of NAV. 2. Due to regulatory reasons, BlackRock will not purchase any ETH on the market. Subscriptions and redemptions during the trading hours are settled uniformly after the market closes. However, to legally maintain ETH reserves, purchases of ETH spot will be completed within a few days. 3. BlackRock's ETH purchases and redemptions are aimed at Wall Street APs. The purchasing channels on Wall Street are unknown, but they are very wild and not limited to exchange spot. Their trades may not directly affect the exchange market price.

Research on the Operational Mechanism of BlackRock's ETHA

Yesterday, I carefully studied the operational mechanism of mainstream ETH-ETFs again, as well as their possible impact on market prices.
1. ETF trading revolves around NAV. The subscriptions and redemptions of ETFs around spot prices fluctuate based on the premium rate of NAV.
2. Due to regulatory reasons, BlackRock will not purchase any ETH on the market. Subscriptions and redemptions during the trading hours are settled uniformly after the market closes. However, to legally maintain ETH reserves, purchases of ETH spot will be completed within a few days.
3. BlackRock's ETH purchases and redemptions are aimed at Wall Street APs. The purchasing channels on Wall Street are unknown, but they are very wild and not limited to exchange spot. Their trades may not directly affect the exchange market price.
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Bullish
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$ETH Depth map direction upwards, look 📈 confirm, just one upward attack pattern is missing, please wait.
$ETH Depth map direction upwards, look 📈 confirm, just one upward attack pattern is missing, please wait.
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No, what to delete?
No, what to delete?
Alex梦想家
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Did you delete the post? The previous one was written very well.
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$ETH You all mocked @tangyugegess , so I decided to give @tangyugegess some encouragement. Setting a time bomb for all the bulls in the market. Last night, I stayed up for four hours, and the dog fund actually showed me a chart, forcing the chips, with a full sense of relaxation throughout. Let's give him a bomb, add some pressure. 1. The activation time for the bomb: 8 AM on September 8, 2025. 2. Bomb activation conditions: If the 5000 level is not broken, or if broken, it must not be able to break through at least the 5300 to 5500 range, forming an effective box. 3. Bomb trigger effect: In the following week, at any time, it can explode, lasting about 15 to 30 minutes, all bulls above 4000 will be obliterated, with no survivors. 4. Historical performance: Conditions met 3 times, trigger rate 100%. Now reduced to 99%. 5. Correction: There is a 1% probability of pattern improvement, allowing bulls above 4000 to think clearly and exit gracefully within a month. From the current perspective, hopes are not high. 6. @tangyugegess 's electric vehicle is safe. 7. @tangyugegess 's bull hedge has been completely wiped out.
$ETH You all mocked @青蛙哥哥S , so I decided to give @青蛙哥哥S some encouragement. Setting a time bomb for all the bulls in the market.
Last night, I stayed up for four hours, and the dog fund actually showed me a chart, forcing the chips, with a full sense of relaxation throughout. Let's give him a bomb, add some pressure.
1. The activation time for the bomb: 8 AM on September 8, 2025.
2. Bomb activation conditions: If the 5000 level is not broken, or if broken, it must not be able to break through at least the 5300 to 5500 range, forming an effective box.
3. Bomb trigger effect: In the following week, at any time, it can explode, lasting about 15 to 30 minutes, all bulls above 4000 will be obliterated, with no survivors.
4. Historical performance: Conditions met 3 times, trigger rate 100%. Now reduced to 99%.
5. Correction: There is a 1% probability of pattern improvement, allowing bulls above 4000 to think clearly and exit gracefully within a month. From the current perspective, hopes are not high.
6. @青蛙哥哥S 's electric vehicle is safe.
7. @青蛙哥哥S 's bull hedge has been completely wiped out.
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What should we do about BlackRock $ETH getting more and more intense? Professional asset management is not necessarily reliable, after all, trading A-shares can lead to liquidation. Buying property in Shanghai and then defaulting is not much smarter than being a retail investor, right? Hahahahaha 😂 This guy is leading a group of retail investors in a collective frenzy over this grayscale mini. I think this overly bullish sentiment is a bit abnormal. But looking at ETHE, it seems much calmer, right? A 7-year-old established project with professional investors gathered, why is participation so low? Now at the 4620 level, the situation is very complex; any blind long or short positions are inadvisable. The current state is at the end of the first bullish trend, with the moving averages converging but not yet formed. There is still a considerable distance for the final breakout from the moving averages to the transaction price. The bullish situation is still there; it could turn into a range-bound oscillation or break out in a concentrated direction, but it can be certain that short positions cannot stand. Going long raises suspicions of a preemptive run; if you really can't help yourself, I suggest sticking to the mid-line and buying at the lower line. This manipulative trader is top-notch at messing with sentiments, occupying the peak, and you can't withstand the technical line pressure, which will definitely lead to losses. From last night until now, except for one instance, the quick spikes have all been aimed at liquidation. After the liquidation, they are unwilling to establish a platform for upward movement, and the trading depth is very conservative, which inevitably raises suspicions of trickery. The direction of this second step transformation node is different from the first starting point at 4400; it cannot be predicted, and judging the oscillation or trend pattern is very difficult. For those lacking experience, I suggest watching more and acting less; observe clearly, earn a little less, and take it slower.
What should we do about BlackRock $ETH getting more and more intense?
Professional asset management is not necessarily reliable, after all, trading A-shares can lead to liquidation.
Buying property in Shanghai and then defaulting is not much smarter than being a retail investor, right? Hahahahaha 😂
This guy is leading a group of retail investors in a collective frenzy over this grayscale mini. I think this overly bullish sentiment is a bit abnormal.
But looking at ETHE, it seems much calmer, right? A 7-year-old established project with professional investors gathered, why is participation so low?

Now at the 4620 level, the situation is very complex; any blind long or short positions are inadvisable.
The current state is at the end of the first bullish trend, with the moving averages converging but not yet formed. There is still a considerable distance for the final breakout from the moving averages to the transaction price.
The bullish situation is still there; it could turn into a range-bound oscillation or break out in a concentrated direction, but it can be certain that short positions cannot stand.
Going long raises suspicions of a preemptive run; if you really can't help yourself, I suggest sticking to the mid-line and buying at the lower line.
This manipulative trader is top-notch at messing with sentiments, occupying the peak, and you can't withstand the technical line pressure, which will definitely lead to losses.
From last night until now, except for one instance, the quick spikes have all been aimed at liquidation. After the liquidation, they are unwilling to establish a platform for upward movement, and the trading depth is very conservative, which inevitably raises suspicions of trickery.

The direction of this second step transformation node is different from the first starting point at 4400; it cannot be predicted, and judging the oscillation or trend pattern is very difficult.
For those lacking experience, I suggest watching more and acting less; observe clearly, earn a little less, and take it slower.
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There are quite a few gray market goods in this square with the number $ETH , and I can't even understand the basic surface, just guessing blindly. I can't expose what the market makers are doing. If I expose it, they won't achieve their goals and will still be indecisive.
There are quite a few gray market goods in this square with the number $ETH , and I can't even understand the basic surface, just guessing blindly.
I can't expose what the market makers are doing. If I expose it, they won't achieve their goals and will still be indecisive.
See original
$ETH Do you think BlackRock can create miracles, save the bulls from peril, and break through the sighing wall of Ethereum's market price of $5000?
$ETH Do you think BlackRock can create miracles, save the bulls from peril, and break through the sighing wall of Ethereum's market price of $5000?
不能
4 day(s) left
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The data from $ETH came a bit late. The attitude of the grayscale is fluctuating between advancing and retreating. BlackRock is as determined as a turtle eating a balance weight. Based on the urine characteristics from August 22, BlackRock will take action tonight, targeting 5000. To be honest, I was extremely pessimistic before getting the data. If BlackRock's attack on 5000 fails, I will give all the bulls a timed bomb with a hit rate of one hundred percent. This data at noon is equivalent to giving the bulls a shot of adrenaline, with the 4400 moving average waiting to converge densely, and then there will be a directional breakout, with a high probability of moving upwards in the short term. BlackRock's fearless spirit has shocked me; show me a miracle. Additionally, a reminder to the nitpickers, I have always been talking about ETF ETF. Do you think I don't know what an ETF is? Is someone on the data website labeling this as not BlackRock but as a BlackRock user for you? I know your education level is low and you can't understand English, writing BlackRock, saying BlackRock, is simply for convenience.
The data from $ETH came a bit late. The attitude of the grayscale is fluctuating between advancing and retreating. BlackRock is as determined as a turtle eating a balance weight.
Based on the urine characteristics from August 22, BlackRock will take action tonight, targeting 5000.
To be honest, I was extremely pessimistic before getting the data.
If BlackRock's attack on 5000 fails, I will give all the bulls a timed bomb with a hit rate of one hundred percent.

This data at noon is equivalent to giving the bulls a shot of adrenaline, with the 4400 moving average waiting to converge densely, and then there will be a directional breakout, with a high probability of moving upwards in the short term.
BlackRock's fearless spirit has shocked me; show me a miracle.

Additionally, a reminder to the nitpickers, I have always been talking about ETF ETF. Do you think I don't know what an ETF is?
Is someone on the data website labeling this as not BlackRock but as a BlackRock user for you?
I know your education level is low and you can't understand English, writing BlackRock, saying BlackRock, is simply for convenience.
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$ETH BlackRock, Grayscale has 2 hours before entering the battlefield. Don't sleep too deeply tonight; something big is expected. I just went out for a quick walk, and in less than an hour, the situation has become extremely tense. Both sides have assembled over 400,000 troops, ready to engage; tonight will determine the victor. The current situation is like the Battle of Sekigahara, with the two armies fighting fiercely at the foot of the mountain. BlackRock and Grayscale are like the small Kato at the mountain top; no one knows whether they are targeting the long position or the short position. In reality, they might not even know themselves. Why did Kato position at the mountain top? Because it's only from the top that one can see clearly and judge the situation well. They will only join the side that they believe can win.
$ETH BlackRock, Grayscale has 2 hours before entering the battlefield. Don't sleep too deeply tonight; something big is expected.
I just went out for a quick walk, and in less than an hour, the situation has become extremely tense.
Both sides have assembled over 400,000 troops, ready to engage; tonight will determine the victor.
The current situation is like the Battle of Sekigahara, with the two armies fighting fiercely at the foot of the mountain.
BlackRock and Grayscale are like the small Kato at the mountain top; no one knows whether they are targeting the long position or the short position.
In reality, they might not even know themselves.
Why did Kato position at the mountain top? Because it's only from the top that one can see clearly and judge the situation well.
They will only join the side that they believe can win.
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$ETH several key points ma5=4643, ma10=4483, mb=4374. Before 21:30 in the evening, if 4643 is received, it means kicking the ball to the ETF and seeing how the ETF responds. The bulls at 4500 and the bears at 4700 are evenly matched. The possibility of bears breaking through the 4500 line is low. 4483 is the warning line; if bulls collapse at the 4347 line, it could lead to panic. At the close on the 23rd, the ETF was pulled to the 4800 line. On Monday's opening, not only was there a loss of 200 in profits, but also being blamed, entrusted with heavy responsibilities, and a strong push towards 5000. If I were the ETF, I would be quite angry; I'm not a fool, whoever wants to attack, go ahead.
$ETH several key points ma5=4643, ma10=4483, mb=4374.
Before 21:30 in the evening, if 4643 is received, it means kicking the ball to the ETF and seeing how the ETF responds.
The bulls at 4500 and the bears at 4700 are evenly matched. The possibility of bears breaking through the 4500 line is low.
4483 is the warning line; if bulls collapse at the 4347 line, it could lead to panic.
At the close on the 23rd, the ETF was pulled to the 4800 line. On Monday's opening, not only was there a loss of 200 in profits, but also being blamed, entrusted with heavy responsibilities, and a strong push towards 5000.
If I were the ETF, I would be quite angry; I'm not a fool, whoever wants to attack, go ahead.
See original
How to Improve the Network Consensus Price Range#ETH创历史新高 $BTC $ETH According to the first principle, I will think fundamentally about what the deciding factors of ETH price are. This thing is not like stocks where you can look at financial reports, nor is it like bonds where you can analyze from a macroeconomic perspective. Don't bring up what TVL supports the current market price, because TVL can only judge the rationality of the current market price based on past data and cannot support the market price in reverse. So what exactly determines the price of ETH? Let’s boldly speculate, it is a kind of network consensus completely based on empirical and emotional accumulation, simply put, it is 'I feel ETH' should be worth this much.

How to Improve the Network Consensus Price Range

#ETH创历史新高 $BTC $ETH According to the first principle, I will think fundamentally about what the deciding factors of ETH price are. This thing is not like stocks where you can look at financial reports, nor is it like bonds where you can analyze from a macroeconomic perspective. Don't bring up what TVL supports the current market price, because TVL can only judge the rationality of the current market price based on past data and cannot support the market price in reverse. So what exactly determines the price of ETH?

Let’s boldly speculate, it is a kind of network consensus completely based on empirical and emotional accumulation, simply put, it is 'I feel ETH' should be worth this much.
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The situation is unclear; I advise you not to be too confident.#ETH创历史新高 $ETH I advise both the bulls and bears not to be too confident, as the current situation is unclear. Why must you be so stubborn, believing the situation is clear? 1. Who was responsible on August 22? It was Grayscale and BlackRock. Why? Because the ETF opened at 21:30, and 10 minutes later, it started to rise sharply; this is basically a clear signal. 2. The cost for large institutions to buy in bulk is too high, so prices have to rise. This is quite absurd. Because the funds that BlackRock raised on the 22nd were only half of what was raised on the 21st, this was a bottom-fishing rise. Moreover, it was a targeted strike against the bears; if A gets liquidated, it will lead to buying, resulting in price increases. As B gets liquidated again, it just keeps going up with fireworks; the institutions are only lighting the fuse and giving a little push. Their costs are not high. If institutions didn't buy in bulk six months ago and came to buy at the top of 5000, wouldn't you think Grayscale and BlackRock are a bit foolish?

The situation is unclear; I advise you not to be too confident.

#ETH创历史新高 $ETH
I advise both the bulls and bears not to be too confident, as the current situation is unclear. Why must you be so stubborn, believing the situation is clear?
1. Who was responsible on August 22? It was Grayscale and BlackRock. Why? Because the ETF opened at 21:30, and 10 minutes later, it started to rise sharply; this is basically a clear signal.
2. The cost for large institutions to buy in bulk is too high, so prices have to rise. This is quite absurd. Because the funds that BlackRock raised on the 22nd were only half of what was raised on the 21st, this was a bottom-fishing rise. Moreover, it was a targeted strike against the bears; if A gets liquidated, it will lead to buying, resulting in price increases. As B gets liquidated again, it just keeps going up with fireworks; the institutions are only lighting the fuse and giving a little push. Their costs are not high. If institutions didn't buy in bulk six months ago and came to buy at the top of 5000, wouldn't you think Grayscale and BlackRock are a bit foolish?
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$ETH Those who casually say 5000 are probably the ones who will pay this amount.
$ETH Those who casually say 5000 are probably the ones who will pay this amount.
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$ETH Every time I look at the weekly chart, the monthly level's large top pattern is strange. What kind of person would be stuck at the mountain top and not sell, enduring thousands of points in losses? Now looking at the square... Hmm...
$ETH Every time I look at the weekly chart, the monthly level's large top pattern is strange.
What kind of person would be stuck at the mountain top and not sell, enduring thousands of points in losses?
Now looking at the square... Hmm...
See original
$ETH Don't listen to Yongying Ge's random guesses. The short-term market has a high concentration of moving averages. If he's right, it's just a coin toss with a 50% win rate. From the weekly and monthly charts, the bulls are under significant pressure. Especially after yesterday's 15-minute 400-point movement, was it a last desperate kick of madness? Or is there a strong backing, rich enough to rival a country? The next few days will reveal the truth. I'm not making any market predictions, just discussing possible judgments. First possibility: a series of small bullish candles, attacking along the upper Bollinger Band of the daily line, slowly alleviating the pressure of the five-day cost retracement, completely opening up the upward attack scenario. In this situation, the promise of 5000 will surely be fulfilled, and Frog Brother's small stage antelope will be at risk. Second possibility: a rapid return to the five-day and ten-day average costs, attacking along the five-day cost. This is relatively weak, and at critical points, it may evolve into a third pattern. Third possibility: a significant retracement to the 4400 level. If the retracement momentum cannot be controlled, it will break down to the 4100 to 4200 level, which would be equivalent to forming a double top. This would be the worst-case scenario, with the bears, who have been suppressed for months, going into a frenzied state, venting their frustrations on Ethereum and the bulls. Currently, the bears in the market actually face much less pressure than the bulls, and they can wait for the situation to clarify before taking action. On the other hand, the bulls have no choice but to continue burning money and pulling up prices. As for whether anyone will buy something that was $1300 six months ago when it rises to several thousand or even tens of thousands, that's simply not a concern for the bulls.
$ETH Don't listen to Yongying Ge's random guesses. The short-term market has a high concentration of moving averages. If he's right, it's just a coin toss with a 50% win rate.
From the weekly and monthly charts, the bulls are under significant pressure.
Especially after yesterday's 15-minute 400-point movement, was it a last desperate kick of madness? Or is there a strong backing, rich enough to rival a country?
The next few days will reveal the truth. I'm not making any market predictions, just discussing possible judgments.
First possibility: a series of small bullish candles, attacking along the upper Bollinger Band of the daily line, slowly alleviating the pressure of the five-day cost retracement, completely opening up the upward attack scenario. In this situation, the promise of 5000 will surely be fulfilled, and Frog Brother's small stage antelope will be at risk.
Second possibility: a rapid return to the five-day and ten-day average costs, attacking along the five-day cost. This is relatively weak, and at critical points, it may evolve into a third pattern.
Third possibility: a significant retracement to the 4400 level. If the retracement momentum cannot be controlled, it will break down to the 4100 to 4200 level, which would be equivalent to forming a double top. This would be the worst-case scenario, with the bears, who have been suppressed for months, going into a frenzied state, venting their frustrations on Ethereum and the bulls.
Currently, the bears in the market actually face much less pressure than the bulls, and they can wait for the situation to clarify before taking action. On the other hand, the bulls have no choice but to continue burning money and pulling up prices. As for whether anyone will buy something that was $1300 six months ago when it rises to several thousand or even tens of thousands, that's simply not a concern for the bulls.
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$ETH A few days ago, I thought the double top was a dream. It’s not easy to short with your pulling method. I’m scared.
$ETH A few days ago, I thought the double top was a dream. It’s not easy to short with your pulling method. I’m scared.
See original
$ETH Currently, the market is in a wide range oscillation. There is a huge divergence between bulls and bears, and there is fundamentally no trending market, so you can safely turn off your computer and sleep. If you try to be clever and make a 100-point spread back and forth, it's because you don't understand the market. If either side is pushed down, it could lead to a trend of several hundred points, and betting on the edge of the range could wipe out your position in minutes.
$ETH Currently, the market is in a wide range oscillation. There is a huge divergence between bulls and bears, and there is fundamentally no trending market, so you can safely turn off your computer and sleep.
If you try to be clever and make a 100-point spread back and forth, it's because you don't understand the market. If either side is pushed down, it could lead to a trend of several hundred points, and betting on the edge of the range could wipe out your position in minutes.
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