possible rate cut 25 basis points .... because comparing with a purchase from the previous month, I discovered this recent one from May 5 regarding the interest rate reduction ...
Series AN-2028 (3 years)
Issue/Maturity: May 15, 2025 → May 15, 2028
Coupon: 3.75%
Awarded yield: 3.690% (stop-out) / median 3.769% / maximum 3.824%
Offer vs. Award:
Total demand: 168.734 MM USD
Awarded: 78.474 MM USD
Bid-to-cover ratio: 2.56
Retail (FIMA and individuals): 155.053 MM USD net.
If after a 5% increase in BTC: - **The funding rate turns negative** (many bet on shorts), - **But the price only corrects by 1% and rebounds**,
**Then the lack of a strong drop suggests:**
### 1️⃣ **Resilient Market: No Real Bearish Force** - **Shorts are unbalanced**: If there are too many betting down but the price doesn't fall, it means that: - **There are strong buyers in spot** absorbing sales. - Sellers in futures fail to impose a bearish trend. - **Short liquidations**: If the price rises, shorts are liquidated (forced buying), which **accelerates the rebound**.
### 2️⃣ **What to Expect?** - **If shorts persist and the price doesn’t drop**: - **Possible "short squeeze"**: If BTC rises, shorts cover (buy), pushing the price **higher**. - **Slow drop only if there are no buyers**: If the spot has no demand, the price would gradually decrease due to futures pressure. - **If funding remains negative for a long time**: - Indicates that the market **does not trust the rise**, but if the price **does not yield**, it could reverse with a rally.
### 3️⃣ **Likely Scenarios** ✅ **Rise due to "short squeeze"** (if BTC breaks resistance and liquidates shorts). ✅ **Lateralization with negative funding** (if the spot maintains support). ❌ **Strong drop only if there are massive sales in spot** (this is not the case now).
### Conclusion: **The lack of a drop suggests that bears (sellers) do not have real power.** If the price holds or rises, shorts could suffer and **accelerate an increase**. 🚀
1. Set an "official price" as the U.S. did with gold
Historical example: in 1933, the U.S. government set the price of gold at $35 per ounce, and no one could officially sell it at a different price.
They could do the same with BTC: set that 1 BTC = X grams of gold, and require that this official value be used in banks, companies, and international trade.
2. Control of circulation and purchase
Only allow certain actors to officially buy or sell BTC (e.g., banks, State).
Restrict the amount of BTC that can enter the free market.
Like in the gold standard: no one could "sell gold to the highest bidder," but only to the State.
3. Create a "Treasury Bitcoin" distinct from free Bitcoin
A tokenized variant, backed by gold, that only the government can use as a reserve value.
The rest of the market would use common BTC, which would remain speculative.
Thus, they can buy free BTC, hold it, and convert it into their stable official version.
---
And why would it be beneficial for them to keep it stagnant?
So that it is not subject to extreme speculation within the financial system.
So they can accumulate more without the price exploding.
To use it as a geoeconomic weapon (as they do with the dollar): imagine being told "I pay you in BTC backed by gold." It is stronger than the dollar itself.
---
And could they continue mining and accumulating?
Yes, if:
They control mining from national or allied companies.
They prevent new BTC from entering the open market and absorb it into the "Treasury Bitcoin."
They maintain a fixed purchasing policy, as central banks do with gold.
---
But... the problem: the free market
Even if the U.S. sets a price, the rest of the world could continue trading Bitcoin at much higher prices.
So there are two BTC:
1. Free BTC: like the current one, speculative, that could be worth 1M.
2. Official BTC: used by governments or central banks, with a fixed price.
The 21st century has witnessed a dramatic change in the way wars are fought. It is no longer just about tanks, planes, and soldiers on the battlefield; now, wars are also fought in boardrooms, in the media, and on social networks. The conflict between Ukraine and Russia is a perfect example of this new era: a struggle in which information, narrative, and perception are as important as weapons.
TRUMP IS SET TO CONTINUE WITH AN UNPRECEDENTED LEVEL OF ACTIONS AND WILL ADDRESS CONGRESS IN THE SEVENTH WEEK OF HIS RETURN TO OFFICE
The president is expected to highlight the more than $1.7 trillion in investments made since he took office to bring manufacturing back to the United States, including increases in energy production; investments in the private sector in AI; and could announce TSMC investment.
### Characteristics of a bearish engulfing candle: 1. **First candle**: It is a **bullish (green)** candle, reflecting a buying momentum. 2. **Second candle**: It is a **bearish (red)** candle that **opens above the close of the previous candle** and **closes below the open of the previous candle**, completely engulfing the body of the bullish candle.
### Interpretation: - This pattern indicates that **sellers have strongly surpassed buyers**, which could signal the beginning of a **bearish reversal**. - It is more reliable when it occurs after a **prolonged bullish trend** or at a **key resistance level**$BTC
The Argentine president, Javier Milei, is in trouble after his brief foray into the world of cryptocurrencies, which left the opposition calling for his impeachment and a judge initiating a fraud investigation.
On February 14, Milei turned to X to promote a little-known coin called LIBRA, claiming it would boost Argentina's economy by financing small businesses. His post included a link to a website featuring his trademark slogan, “long live freedom,” and assured his 3.8 million followers that “the world wants to invest in Argentina.” Thousands did. LIBRA skyrocketed from nearly zero to almost $5 before plummeting to less than $1 within hours.
Milei quickly deleted the post, claiming he was unaware of the project's details, but the damage was already done. Argentine lawyers, led by Milei's political opponent Claudio Lozano, filed over 100 fraud complaints against the president, and an Argentine judge opened an investigation.
Cryptocurrency entrepreneur Hayden Davis admitted to participating in the launch of LIBRA, as well as MELANIA, a memecoin linked to the First Lady that briefly reached a market capitalization of $2 billion before collapsing. In an interview with Coffeezilla (Stephen Findeisen), a YouTube scam expert, Davis revealed that he controlled about $100 million obtained from LIBRA and detailed a scheme known as sniping, a practice where individuals with insider information or bots quickly buy newly launched tokens at ultra-low prices before the general public can react, which drives up demand and price, only to sell them for massive profits. In regulated markets, this would be considered illegal buying. He also named two organizers of Tech Forum, a Latin American tech conference, as participants in the launch.
The cryptocurrency market is in the red today, February 25, 2025, due to a series of events that have generated distrust among investors and triggered massive sell-offs. Below are the main factors that have influenced this decline:
1. $LIBRA scandal and the "LibraGate" case
Recently, the former president of Argentina promoted the cryptocurrency $LIBRA, which led to a sharp increase in its value. However, shortly after, the token collapsed, resulting in significant losses for approximately 40,000 investors. This incident, known as "LibraGate", has been labeled a "rug pull" scam, where developers inflate the price and then withdraw the funds, leaving investors with worthless assets.
**Status Update on "Libragate" and Statements by Hayden Mark Davis In a recent interview with a local media outlet, Hayden Mark Davis revealed additional details about his relationship with the former Argentine president's entourage. Davis said he was invited to eat a barbecue at the presidential estate, where they drank $20,000 wines with the former president's entourage. He also described a peculiar scene: the dogs at the estate participated in the event, eating large amounts of barbecue directly from the grill and drinking French water. "It was a surreal experience," Davis said. "We were all relaxed, enjoying a luxury dinner, while the dogs ate better than many Argentines. I never thought it would all fall apart like this." These statements have added fuel to the fire, as critics question how an unofficial advisor could have access to such luxuries and comforts within the presidential entourage, including the excessive treatment of pets. The Argentine government has not yet issued an official comment on these new revelations
**"Libragate" Status Update and Statements from Hayden Mark Davis
In a recent interview with a local media outlet, Hayden Mark Davis revealed additional details about his relationship with the former Argentine president's entourage. Davis said he was invited to eat a barbecue at the presidential residence, where they drank $20,000 wines with the former president's entourage. He also described a peculiar scene: the dogs at the residence participated in the event, eating large quantities of barbecue directly from the grill and drinking French water. "It was a surreal experience," Davis said. "We were all relaxed, enjoying a luxury dinner, while the dogs ate better than many Argentines. I never thought everything would fall apart like this."
The hacker behind the $1 billion theft from Bybit and his connection to Libragate
🚨 🔥
The astonishing Bybit hack, which drained $1 billion worth of cryptocurrency, has been traced back to Park Jin Hyok, a North Korean hacker and key member of the Lazarus Group, a state-backed cybercriminal syndicate that has been involved in some of the biggest digital thefts in history. However, what’s coming to light now is an even shadier connection: Park and his group are linked to Libragate, a global financial manipulation network that has played a key role in destabilizing governments, such as Ukraine’s.
Former Argentine President in the Spotlight: Crypto Scam with a Global Manipulation Network
The Argentine Justice has unleashed a political crisis by investigating the former president of Argentina for his alleged involvement in a huge scam linked to the cryptocurrency $Libra. It all began on February 14, when he promoted this controversial digital asset on his social networks, driving its value to extreme levels before a collapse that left thousands of investors in ruin.
The scandal grows with the revelation that five influential crypto businessmen, who would have secretly met with him, are also under investigation. Meanwhile, he insists that he was unaware of the details of the project, but the evidence points to a shady financial network that could mark the beginning of the end of his political career.
The most disturbing thing is the connection with a manipulation network that would have destabilized Ukraine and caused the fall of its president. Researchers warn that this pattern of financial and political crises follows an alarmingly similar pattern to that in kyiv, suggesting that Argentina could be at the centre of a global conspiracy.
With the scandal gaining momentum, its future is uncertain. Will this be the end of its political influence?
The Libragate Enigma: The Fall of Ukraine and the Risk of a Global Conflict
New leaked documents reveal a dark conspiracy that connects the global crisis with instability in Ukraine. According to anonymous sources, a secret network known as Libragate is said to have played a key role in the destabilization of the country, driving its political and economic collapse to weaken the balance of power in Europe.
The recent departure of the Ukrainian president is shaping up to be a turning point in the Libragate investigation. Analysts warn that this development could expose crucial details about how this network has manipulated Ukrainian politics from the shadows, fomenting internal conflicts and preventing an effective response to the crisis.
The international context is not encouraging. With Ukraine weakened, NATO faces new threats, while Russia could take advantage of the situation to expand its influence. At the same time, the United States and China maintain a tense geopolitical rivalry that, with the chaos in Ukraine, could lead to a greater confrontation.
Furthermore, reports indicate that the global health crisis was used as a tool of manipulation by Libragate. The economic downturn following the pandemic would have facilitated the execution of its plan in Ukraine, leaving the nation unable to resist the forces seeking to reconfigure the global order.
The future is uncertain, but what is clear is that the fall of the leadership in Ukraine could mark the beginning of shocking revelations about Libragate and its role in growing global instability.