$BTC
If after a 5% increase in BTC:
- **The funding rate turns negative** (many bet on shorts),
- **But the price only corrects by 1% and rebounds**,
**Then the lack of a strong drop suggests:**
### 1️⃣ **Resilient Market: No Real Bearish Force**
- **Shorts are unbalanced**: If there are too many betting down but the price doesn't fall, it means that:
- **There are strong buyers in spot** absorbing sales.
- Sellers in futures fail to impose a bearish trend.
- **Short liquidations**: If the price rises, shorts are liquidated (forced buying), which **accelerates the rebound**.
### 2️⃣ **What to Expect?**
- **If shorts persist and the price doesn’t drop**:
- **Possible "short squeeze"**: If BTC rises, shorts cover (buy), pushing the price **higher**.
- **Slow drop only if there are no buyers**: If the spot has no demand, the price would gradually decrease due to futures pressure.
- **If funding remains negative for a long time**:
- Indicates that the market **does not trust the rise**, but if the price **does not yield**, it could reverse with a rally.
### 3️⃣ **Likely Scenarios**
✅ **Rise due to "short squeeze"** (if BTC breaks resistance and liquidates shorts).
✅ **Lateralization with negative funding** (if the spot maintains support).
❌ **Strong drop only if there are massive sales in spot** (this is not the case now).
### Conclusion:
**The lack of a drop suggests that bears (sellers) do not have real power.** If the price holds or rises, shorts could suffer and **accelerate an increase**. 🚀