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Plummeting! Trump claims the US has attacked Iran's nuclear facilities, causing an instant 'earthquake' in the cryptocurrency market! News on June 22 reported that Bitcoin dropped over 12% in 24 hours, falling to a low of $101,500. Mainstream coins like Ethereum and Dogecoin also crashed, with Ethereum hitting around $2,210. Why did this geopolitical storm cause such severe turbulence in the crypto market?

Three major impacts hit the crypto market:

1. Risk-averse sentiment drives selling: Iran, being an active region for cryptocurrency mining and trading, has its nuclear facilities attacked, directly exacerbating the uncertainty in the Middle East situation. Historical data shows that when geopolitical conflicts erupt, cryptocurrencies are often viewed as 'risk assets' rather than safe-haven tools due to their high volatility. For example, in August 2024, when US non-farm data fell short of expectations amidst regional tensions, Bitcoin plummeted 15.74% in a single day, leading to over 290,000 liquidations. This attack similarly triggered panic selling among investors, with some funds shifting towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold and the US dollar, resulting in a sharp decline in liquidity in the crypto market.

2. Uncertainty in Iranian policies: Expectations of tighter Iranian policies are rising. Iran has long relied on cryptocurrencies to cope with international sanctions, and domestic trading platforms play a crucial economic role. The US attack may force the Iranian government to strengthen financial control, or even restrict the use of cryptocurrencies to prevent capital outflow. Previously, Iran had regulated mining and trading activities multiple times in response to external pressure, directly affecting the local market's activity. This uncertainty in policies further undermined investor confidence, especially for projects that are highly dependent on the Iranian market.

3. The double-edged sword of the dollar system: Short-term selling is predominant, but long-term geopolitical crises may create a demand for 'anti-fiat risk.' The current market is more inclined to avoid immediate risks.

The key factors to watch moving forward are: whether the US will expand its actions and how Iran will retaliate, which will directly influence fluctuations in the crypto market. In the short term, the $100,000 support level for Bitcoin has become a focal point, and ordinary investors need to control their positions and stay away from high leverage!

Stay updated on the crypto market dynamics, like and follow to avoid getting lost, and share your thoughts on this wave of plummet!

Trump claims that the U.S. wants to be the 'leader' in digital assets, which has a significant impact on the cryptocurrency world. Firstly, the policies he promotes could turn the U.S. into a 'regulatory model' for cryptocurrencies—such as the recently passed 'GENIUS Act' which sets rules for stablecoins, requiring them to be backed 1:1 by U.S. dollars or government bonds, and restricting foreign companies from entering the market. This will make the cryptocurrency space more regulated, and large institutions may be more willing to invest; companies like BlackRock have already been increasing their Bitcoin holdings.

Secondly, the Trump family is personally getting involved in the cryptocurrency business, such as the 'American Bitcoin' company founded by his sons going public, with stock prices once surging by 300%, and they also issued a TRUMP coin. Although many retail investors have lost money, it has indeed attracted attention. This dual operation of 'policy + capital' may heat up the market in the short term but also lays the groundwork for manipulation risks, as the price fluctuations of TRUMP coin are more thrilling than a roller coaster.

Additionally, the Federal Reserve has lifted restrictions on banks participating in cryptocurrencies, and traditional financial giants are starting to test the waters, such as JPMorgan launching the stablecoin JPMD, and Walmart is also considering issuing its own token. This signifies that the boundaries between cryptocurrencies and traditional finance are becoming blurred, which may elevate the industry's status in the long run, but it could also make the market more susceptible to U.S. dollar policies—such as Trump's tariff policies, which once caused Bitcoin to plummet, only to recover after he postponed tax increases.

However, Trump's 'ambitions' also come with risks. On one hand, his policies rely too heavily on personal will, such as suddenly announcing that Bitcoin would be treated as 'digital gold' reserves, but there is still no clear plan on how to implement this, leading to initial market gains followed by declines; on the other hand, other countries are also making moves, with the EU's MiCA legislation and China's pilot of offshore RMB stablecoins in Hong Kong, both of which could divert U.S. influence.

Overall, Trump's statements may make the cryptocurrency space more lively in the short term, but the long-term impact depends on whether the policies can be implemented and whether regulation can balance innovation and risk. For ordinary investors, in this wave of 'America First' cryptocurrency, opportunities and pitfalls may be equally plentiful, so it is important to keep a keen eye.

Breaking! Under the shadow of US-Iran conflict, how will Bitcoin move after a sharp drop?
Geopolitical crises are stirring waves in the crypto market again. News of possible US military action against Iran triggered a short-term plunge in Bitcoin, but multiple factors determine that the long-term trend still holds uncertainties:

1. Historical Experience: Rebounds Often Follow Short-term Panic
The impact of geopolitical conflicts on Bitcoin shows a pattern of 'first drop, then rise'. In 2020, when the US military struck Iran, Bitcoin initially fell but rebounded due to the Federal Reserve's easing policies; during the 2025 Iran-Israel conflict, the price dropped below $103,000 and quickly recovered, indicating that panic selling is often corrected by policy expectations or safe-haven demand.

2. Institutional Support: The Core Force for Market Stability
Institutional funds have become the 'keel' for Bitcoin. Net inflows into spot ETFs exceeded $46 billion, with giants like BlackRock continuing to increase their holdings, and $3 billion in over-the-counter (OTC) transactions providing liquidity to the market. Standard Chartered predicts that by the end of 2025, Bitcoin prices could soar to $200,000, driven by halving scarcity and macroeconomic improvements.

3. Federal Reserve Policies: Key Variable for Price Movements
The Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions are a 'double-edged sword': currently maintaining rates but with divided expectations for rate cuts. High rates suppress risk appetite, but if conflicts lead to recession fears, a preemptive rate cut would be beneficial for Bitcoin. Additionally, tariff policies could push up inflation, indirectly affecting monetary policy direction.

4. Technical Analysis and Sentiment: Indicators of Short-term Volatility
Key support levels are at $101,000 and $75,000, with resistance levels at $96,000-$109,000. Current market sentiment is 'greedy' (fear index at 71), but caution is needed as geopolitical risks may trigger a correction. The RSI indicator shows short-term overbought conditions, which may face technical adjustments.

5. Iranian Countermeasures: A Catalyst for Risk Escalation
If Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz, soaring oil prices will exacerbate global economic uncertainty, putting short-term pressure on Bitcoin, but its long-term anti-inflation attributes may attract capital. Historical data show that during similar crises, Bitcoin prices often rise due to inflation expectations.

Conclusion: Short-term Fluctuations Do Not Change Long-term Logic
If conflict breaks out, Bitcoin may initially drop before rising again, with institutional buying and policy changes being key to any rebound. Long-term, the duration of the conflict, Federal Reserve policy, and the intensity of institutional buying will determine the trend. Investors need to closely monitor developments and adjust their positions based on risk tolerance.

In the face of geopolitical turmoil, do you think Bitcoin can become 'digital gold'? Leave a comment to discuss!

Breaking! The Federal Reserve has kept rates steady for four consecutive times but hides secrets: maintaining the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, while cutting the 2025 GDP forecast to 1.4%, and inflation expectations soaring to 3%. The dot plot also shows a halved interest rate cut in 2026! This wave of 'steady interest rates + weak growth + high inflation' is intensifying the battle between bulls and bears in the crypto market!

Short-term rate cut expectations: Sweet or bitter?
The market's expectations for two rate cuts in 2025 have partially materialized; theoretically, liquidity easing could support coin prices. However, the significant reduction in the expected rate cut in 2026, along with seven officials opposing a rate cut in 2025, is shaking confidence in long-term easing. The worst fear is that the Fed continues to shift from dovish to hawkish, triggering sell-offs directly.

Economic expectations turning: Where will safe-haven funds go?
Lower GDP forecast + higher inflation expectations may trap the US economy in 'stagflation'. Traditional safe-haven assets (like gold) may attract funds, putting the 'digital gold' attribute of the crypto market to the test. However, on-chain data shows that large funds are still quietly hoarding Bitcoin, with some using it as a tool to hedge against policy uncertainty, making the bulls and bears' divergence quite evident.

Policy and geopolitical landmines: Hawkish + regulation + conflict
With more hawkish officials in the Federal Reserve by 2025, the actual number of rate cuts may be fewer than expected; when the situation in the Middle East becomes tense, Bitcoin is likely to fall below key levels; although the US stablecoin regulation bill hasn't exploded, the long-term constraints are still in place, making it difficult for the crypto market to surge.

Next, keep a close eye on these two variables:
1. Will the first rate cut start in September 2025? 2. Will policy take a sharp turn after Powell's departure? Currently, Bitcoin at 106,000 is a critical resistance level; falling below 100,000 could be worse. Should one try to bottom fish or run away?

This 'shock bomb' from the Federal Reserve has put the crypto market at a crossroads. How will it proceed? Quickly discuss in the comments, share with your crypto friends, and like and follow to seize opportunities at the first moment! #美联储FOMC会议

Again in a downward trend.

Breaking! As news breaks of Trump calling for the evacuation of Tehran, the cryptocurrency market experiences intense fluctuations — the prices of mainstream cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum plummet in an instant, panic spreads throughout the crypto market, and the intensity of the long-short battle is visibly fierce! This scene mirrors the market volatility triggered by recent conflicts in the Middle East, once again exposing the strong impact of geopolitical risks on the crypto space.

1. Geopolitical clouds loom, panic dominates the crypto market

Trump's statements have heightened uncertainty in the Middle East situation, causing investors' risk aversion to surge, leading to a massive outflow of funds from the cryptocurrency market. The prices of mainstream cryptocurrencies collectively dive in a short period, while altcoins experience even greater volatility, presenting a typical characteristic of 'risk asset sell-off' that correlates with traditional financial markets' reactions during crises.

2. Leverage trading amplifies volatility, market fragility highlighted

Amid extreme market fluctuations, leveraged positions frequently trigger liquidations, putting pressure on long-position investors. Although specific data is lacking, based on market trading activity and investor sentiment, high-leverage trading has amplified short-term volatility, exposing the cryptocurrency market's fragility during extreme events, with the risks of blindly chasing prices and selling off significantly increasing.

3. 'Digital gold' attribute once again tested, funds flow to traditional safe-haven assets

In contrast to the decline in the crypto market, prices of traditional safe-haven assets like gold and oil rise against the trend. This phenomenon calls into question the statement that 'Bitcoin is a safe-haven asset' — in the face of real geopolitical conflicts, the high volatility of cryptocurrencies makes them more likely to be viewed as 'risk assets' rather than a safe harbor for funds.

4. Short-term volatility does not alter long-term logic, ecological differentiation becomes key

Despite the short-term market being driven by event-induced fluctuations, the long-term value logic of cryptocurrencies has not been overturned. From a market structure perspective, coins with active ecosystems and solid application scenarios perform relatively better in downturns, while tokens relying on speculative trading exhibit greater volatility, reminding investors that geopolitical conflicts are merely short-term variables, and the project's fundamentals are the core to weathering cycles.

Conclusion

Trump's remarks once again sound the alarm for the crypto space: geopolitical risks are like a sword hanging over our heads, potentially triggering massive market tremors at any time. For ordinary investors, reducing reliance on leverage, paying attention to event developments, and focusing on quality are crucial.

Trump Invests $2.3 Billion in Bitcoin! Is the Crypto World About to Change?

The Bitcoin investment plan of Trump's Media Technology Group has been approved by the SEC, with $2.3 billion entering the market soon, which is like a "shot in the arm" for the crypto community. First, large institutional purchases directly increase demand, similar to MicroStrategy's "treasury trading" strategy. Holding Bitcoin for the long term may trigger a market follow-up effect. Historical data shows that institutional buying often leads to price increases, for example, after Trump's victory in 2024, Bitcoin briefly surpassed $100,000. Secondly, the signal of regulatory easing has been released; the SEC's approval continues an open attitude, potentially lowering legal barriers for other companies entering the market and promoting the launch of more compliant products like ETFs.

As a globally influential figure, Trump's company's investment in Bitcoin will undoubtedly attract media attention and public discussion. Previously, his personal meme coin, TRUMP, reached a market cap of $7 billion within three days, demonstrating his personal influence on market sentiment. Retail investors may flock to the crypto world due to the "Trump concept stock" effect, increasing short-term volatility, but caution is needed regarding the speculative risks driven by sentiment. For instance, after Trump announced a strategic reserve plan in March 2025, Bitcoin fell more than 9% within 24 hours.

From an industry perspective, Trump's media plan to launch Bitcoin ETFs and other financial products will lower the entry threshold for ordinary investors. If the ETF is successfully listed, it may attract more traditional funds into the market, promoting the mainstream adoption of Bitcoin, similar to how the asset scale rapidly exceeded $100 billion after the Bitcoin spot ETF was approved in 2024. Additionally, if the affiliated social media platform Truth Social integrates Bitcoin payments or reward mechanisms, it may increase the actual application scenarios for Bitcoin, enhancing its circulation properties.

In summary: In the short term, capital injection and market sentiment may drive Bitcoin prices up; in the long term, changes in the regulatory environment and increased institutional participation may promote market maturity. However, risks such as policy uncertainty, market volatility, and conflicts of interest still need to be heeded. Investors should rationally assess the impact of events, avoid blindly following trends, and pay attention to SEC regulatory dynamics and the implementation of Trump administration policies.

Comment, share, like, and follow for more crypto updates! #加密市场反弹

Rise for a day, fall for a minute.

Evening Bitcoin and Ethereum Market Analysis on June 16, 2025

This weekend, Bitcoin and Ethereum mainly showed a volatile upward trend. Recently, the market has been greatly affected by various news, such as the geopolitical conflict between Israel and Iran, which previously led to a price drop. However, we had anticipated this and reminded multiple times that the impact of geopolitical conflicts is only temporary, and indeed, the market has returned to near its original point. In today's morning session, Bitcoin formed a bullish engulfing on the daily chart; Ethereum fluctuated in the range of 2480 - 2580 over the weekend and also saw a rebound during the day session. Let's continue to analyze today's market:

Daily Level: Continuous bullish candlesticks show a short-term strong tendency. Although it is suppressed by the previous key neckline resistance, it is consolidating. The important support area at the lower levels has been repeatedly validated as effective, and the key moving averages provide strong support; MACD bearish momentum continues to decrease, while bullish momentum, though not fully released yet, remains dominant. The KDJ indicator is gradually recovering upwards from the neutral zone, and the RSI indicator maintains a neutral to strong status. If it successfully breaks through the key resistance level, the bullish trend is expected to extend further.

4-Hour Level: The price continues to operate above the upper Bollinger Band, showing a steady upward pattern after retracing to support. The short-term support structure is solid, and the resistance level is yet to be broken; MACD bearish energy has significantly eased, and short-term moving averages have formed a golden cross, resonating upwards. The RSI indicator has fallen back from the overbought area to the neutral zone and then rebounded again. Pay attention to the breakthrough of the key resistance level; if it effectively breaks through, it may initiate a new bullish trend, and the short-term retracement may be a consolidation process to solidify support.

Operation Strategy:
Bitcoin:
Mainly low long positions, buying in portions between $105800 - $106500, stop loss at $104800, target at $108000 - $109500.
Ethereum:
Mainly low long positions, buying in portions between $2560 - $2580, stop loss at $2530, target at $2630 - $2680.
Key Focus:
Middle East war situation, after the escalation of conflict between Israel and Iran, although there are signs of easing, it may still fluctuate at any time, affecting market sentiment; Federal Reserve interest rate meeting, its decisions affect global liquidity flow, previously maintaining interest rates unchanged, future dynamics are noteworthy; Japan's interest rate hike situation, a rate hike may lead to capital inflow, impacting the liquidity of the cryptocurrency market. Investment should be cautious and strict stop losses are required. Analysis does not constitute advice.

Trump's social platform Truth Social suddenly announced that it has submitted a Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF registration statement to the U.S. SEC, and this news has instantly ignited the crypto circle! This means that the Trump family is officially betting on cryptocurrency, which could likely trigger a new round of capital frenzy.

In the short term, this undoubtedly provides a strong shot in the arm for the crypto circle. Trump's political influence and Truth Social's user base are likely to attract a large number of retail investors to follow suit. It's worth noting that the 'Trump Coin' he launched in early 2025 saw its market value soar to $15 billion within 48 hours; this time, with the tailwind of a compliant ETF, market sentiment is bound to be even crazier. Bitcoin broke through the $106,000 mark on the day the news was announced, which is a direct reflection of market confidence.

In the long term, this may accelerate the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency. The U.S. SEC has previously approved Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, and in 2024, the Bitcoin ETF attracted over $65 billion in capital inflows. Truth Social's participation may further lower the participation threshold for ordinary investors. More critically, the continued actions of the Trump family (such as issuing stablecoins and establishing fintech companies) are constructing a unique ecosystem of 'politics + cryptocurrency', which may force regulatory agencies to accelerate the introduction of clearer rules.

However, risks should not be overlooked. The Meme coin previously launched by Trump experienced a 75% price drop due to internal family competition, and if this ETF is poorly managed or rejected by the SEC, it could likely trigger market panic. Moreover, the SEC remains cautious about the approval of altcoin ETFs; although there are precedents for Bitcoin and Ethereum, the specific approval timelines and terms still carry uncertainty.

In summary: Trump's 'cross-border' move could be a milestone event in the cryptocurrency market, potentially serving as a catalyst for a bull market while also laying the groundwork for new risk hazards. Investors should remain rational and closely monitor SEC approval dynamics and market capital flows. #孙宇晨购得喜剧演员

Trump's social platform Truth Social suddenly announced that it has submitted a Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF registration statement to the U.S. SEC, igniting excitement in the cryptocurrency community! This means that the Trump family is officially betting on cryptocurrency, likely triggering a new round of capital frenzy.

In the short term, this undoubtedly gives the cryptocurrency market a boost. Trump's political influence and Truth Social's user base are likely to attract a large number of retail investors to follow suit. It's worth noting that the 'Trump Coin' he launched in early 2025 once surged to a market value of $15 billion within 48 hours; this time, leveraging the compliant ETF's momentum, market sentiment is bound to be even crazier. Bitcoin broke through the $106,000 mark on the day the news was announced, reflecting a direct manifestation of market confidence.

In the long term, this may accelerate the mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency. The U.S. SEC has previously approved Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs, and the Bitcoin ETF attracted over $65 billion in capital inflow in 2024; Truth Social's involvement may further lower the barriers for ordinary investors to participate. More importantly, the ongoing actions of the Trump family (such as issuing stablecoins and establishing fintech companies) are building a unique ecosystem of 'politics + cryptocurrency,' which may pressure regulatory agencies to speed up the introduction of clearer rules.

However, the risks cannot be ignored. The meme coin previously launched by Trump saw its price plummet by 75% due to internal family competition; if this ETF is poorly managed or faces rejection from the SEC, it could likely trigger market panic. Moreover, the SEC remains cautious about approving altcoin ETFs; although there are precedents for Bitcoin and Ethereum, the specific approval timeline and terms remain uncertain.

In summary: Trump's 'cross-border' move is a milestone event in the cryptocurrency market, potentially serving as a catalyst for a bull market while also sowing the seeds of new risks. Investors need to remain rational and closely monitor SEC approval dynamics and market capital flows. #币安Alpha上新

Family, SUI is really about to stage a comeback! As a dark horse in Layer 1 public chains, SUI has recently welcomed multiple explosive signals: institutional funds are pouring in crazily, technological upgrades are breaking through bottlenecks, and ETF applications are entering the sprint stage, all paving the way for the $10 target!

🔥 Core Logic Analysis:

1. Institutional Buying Frenzy: Giants like Grayscale and VanEck have already laid out SUI trust funds, with a management scale exceeding $210 million. Even more explosive, Nasdaq has just submitted a 21Shares SUI ETF application to the SEC, which, if approved, will directly bring in hundreds of millions in incremental funds. It’s worth noting that before the Solana ETF was approved, its price surged by 70%, and this time SUI might replicate the legend!

2. Technical Breakthrough at Critical Point: The Sui team is advancing the Mysticeti V2 consensus upgrade, aiming to increase transaction speed to hundreds of thousands per second while achieving unlimited scalability through the Remora horizontal expansion solution. Test data shows that Remora can already support single-node processing of millions of TPS, which will completely resolve the performance bottlenecks in DeFi and GameFi!

3. The Eve of Ecological Explosion: SUI's on-chain TVL has surpassed $1.7 billion, and the market capitalization of stablecoins has reached $918 million, setting a new historical high. After the launch of the decentralized exchange DeepBook V3, weekly trading volume surged by 40%, with DEEP token staking yielding an annualized return of over 15%. More crucially, the virtual card in collaboration with Mastercard has been piloted in Europe, allowing users to directly use SUI for real-world consumption, opening up trillion-dollar application scenarios!

🚨 Risk Warning:

• ETF Approval Delay: The SEC has postponed the final decision on the SUI ETF to January 2026, which may suppress market sentiment in the short term.

• Selling Pressure Shadow: 74 million tokens will be unlocked in May 2025, accounting for about 2.28% of the circulating supply, requiring caution against project team sell-offs.

• Technical Implementation Risk: If the Mysticeti V2 upgrade does not meet expectations, it may lead to funds flowing back to competitors like Solana.

💡 Key Data Anchors:

• Technical Aspects: Current price is $2.99, the 50-day moving average ($3.12) is about to cross above the 200-day moving average ($3.05), historically the average increase three months after a golden cross is 120%.

• On-Chain Signals: Whale addresses have increased their holdings by 12 million SUI in the past 7 days, and exchange reserves have decreased to 285 million tokens, a new 18-month low.

• Market Sentiment: The Fear and Greed Index has jumped from 45 points (neutral) to 72 points (greed), with social media mentions increasing by 300% in a single day.

Follow me and seize the next hundred-fold coin opportunity!🚀#SUI

Family, the heavy bomb is here! The Solana ETF is really about to take off this time! The latest news is that the U.S. SEC suddenly requested all companies applying for the Solana spot ETF to submit revised documents within a week, which has directly compressed the approval time from four months to 3-5 weeks, with results possibly as soon as July 2! Bloomberg analysts have directly stated a 90% probability of approval, which is currently the highest certainty among altcoin ETFs!

Even more explosive is that the SEC has actively requested to include the staking feature in the ETF terms! It's important to note that all previous cryptocurrency ETFs have been banned from staking, but this time they have directly allowed the Solana ETF to hold staking rewards, which is like free money for investors! As soon as the news came out, the price of SOL skyrocketed by 7%, and the market is voting with real money; buying is so crazy that exchanges are getting overwhelmed!

Do you know what this means? Once approved, hundreds of billions of dollars from giants like Grayscale and VanEck will flood into Solana like a torrent. Don't forget that Canada just launched the world's first Solana staking ETF last month, and it was sold out on the first day. If the U.S. follows suit, the market cap of Solana could very likely double from 80 billion to 160 billion! Moreover, Solana's transaction speed and fees already crush Ethereum; this ETF approval is like installing a nuclear-powered engine on a rocket!

The market has already started celebrating in advance. On-chain data shows that whales have been crazily withdrawing $300 million worth of SOL from Binance in the past two days, clearly aiming to buy up before the ETF listing. However, some are worried that the SEC might suddenly change its mind, but looking at how quickly the Ethereum ETF went from submission to approval in just 28 days, Solana's process this time is exactly the same. Even Bloomberg has described the upcoming market as "the summer of altcoin ETFs!"

Finally, a reminder: Solana has now shown a golden cross on the technical front, with the 50-day moving average officially crossing above the 200-day moving average. Historically, every time this signal appears, it has initiated at least three months of a main upward wave. How high do you think Solana can rise this time? Leave your predictions in the comments, share this message with friends who are still watching, and if we get over 10,000 likes, I'll release an analysis of Solana's ecological potential coins tomorrow! 🔥#SOL

Ethereum is about to explode! ConsenSys founder Joseph Lubin just announced that the SEC has withdrawn its lawsuit, and it has been revealed that they are collaborating with a certain major country's sovereign fund. This wave of regulatory easing + institutional entry will directly place Ethereum on the fast track to compliance!

1. Regulatory Breakthrough: From Suppression to Institutions Eager to Buy

• The SEC suddenly withdrew the MetaMask staking case, completely giving Ethereum's core tool a 'compliance stamp,' and institutional funds no longer have concerns;

• Sovereign funds are set to collaborate with ConsenSys to build Layer1/L2 financial infrastructure, and Ethereum may become the first public blockchain recognized as a strategic asset by a nation;

• The Trump administration pushed a bill allowing pensions to buy ETH, and Deutsche Bank is already using ZKsync for its L2 project.

2. Technological Upgrades Roaring Like a Tiger

• After the Pectra upgrade, the staking cap was raised to 100 million ETH, and DeFi can be played without private keys, with on-chain transaction volume surging 180% in two weeks;

• Layer2 locked value broke 80 billion, transaction fees dropped to one cent, and ConsenSys's cross-chain protocol allows real-time conversion between ETH and Bitcoin;

• 70% of global blockchain developers are on Ethereum, with 23,000 new smart contracts added daily, and competitors simply can't keep up.

3. Price Movements Depend on These Two Points

• Bulls predict a surge to $6,000 by year-end: If the spot ETF is approved, $30 billion in institutional funds could explode the market;

• Bears warn of a pullback to $80: If gas fees don't drop and Layer2 remains fragmented, funds may be siphoned off by Bitcoin.

Conclusion

In the short term, relying on institutional speculation on policies could push it to $4,500, but in the long term, we need to see if cross-chain and sharding technologies can be implemented. If you want to get on board, remember not to go all in— the only thing that doesn't lie in the crypto world is 'uncertainty'!

Bet in the comments on Ethereum's year-end price! Like, follow, and share with your brothers who you want to get rich with! #以太坊ETF批准预期

The Big Test in the Cryptocurrency World is Here! This week features a super central bank week, with the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, and the Bank of England all making significant moves, pushing cryptocurrency prices directly to the "macro game" volcano!

1. The Federal Reserve Stays Put, Rate Cut Expectations Sky-High

The dot plot predicts two rate cuts in 2025 (totaling 50 basis points), with the first possibly in September. If dovish signals are released, a weaker dollar will be beneficial for cryptocurrencies; the balance sheet reduction scale has been cut from $25 billion to $5 billion per month, and historical data shows that under such easing, Bitcoin has averaged an 18% increase.

2. The Bank of Japan’s Interest Rate Hike on Hold, Dual Risks Strike

Core CPI is predicted to break 3%. If an interest rate hike occurs, it would trigger a return of carry trade funds to the yen, potentially crashing the cryptocurrency market in the short term (the first interest rate hike in 2024 caused an 8% drop in Bitcoin). However, if easing is maintained, yen depreciation may push funds into cryptocurrencies—Japanese investors account for 12% of global trading volume, and their movements directly impact market sentiment.

3. The Bank of England Set to Cut Rates, Pound Volatility Transmitted

The market bets on a 25 basis point rate cut; if the pound weakens, it may divert funds to the cryptocurrency market; if the rate cut falls short of expectations, a rebound in the pound may suppress risk assets. Caution is needed as the autumn budget may elevate inflation, disrupting the pace of rate cuts.

4. Is CPI Cooling a Trigger or a Red Herring?

The annual CPI rate in the U.S. for May is 2.4%, lower than expected, providing space for rate cuts. Historical data shows that when CPI is below expectations, Bitcoin has averaged a 27% increase within three months. However, Trump’s tariff policies may raise import costs, raising concerns about a resurgence of inflation.

5. Cryptocurrency Price Tug-of-War: 115,000 or 100,000?

Optimists see the Federal Reserve rate cuts + Japanese easing pushing Bitcoin above 115,000; conservatives are wary of Japanese rate hikes + UK policies falling short of expectations, fearing a drop to 100,000. On-chain data shows short-term holders are starting to take profits, and attention is needed on key support levels.

Conclusion: Policy dividends and black swans coexist, it is recommended to allocate Bitcoin to hedge risks, and decisively stop losses if it falls below 98,000! What do you bet on in the comments this week—will it break 110,000 or fall below 100,000? Like, follow, and share with brothers who want to get rich!

Dogecoin is really about to take off! This week, two explosive-level crypto games - the Dogecoin parkour mobile game and the FIFA officially licensed 'FIFA Rivals' - are launching simultaneously, directly heating up the crypto market to an explosion! Is this wave of operation the igniter for the price rocket, or just a fleeting gimmick?

1. Games Bringing Dogecoin into the Mainstream

The Dogecoin parkour mobile game is playing out: players collect DOGE items while running, and the coins won can be directly exchanged for the right to use Tesla charging stations. Douyin's 'Egg Party' is launching DOGE tasks simultaneously, with 5 million people scrambling in one day, leading to a 300% surge in on-chain transfer volume. 'FIFA Rivals' is even more impressive, with Messi NFT card packs + blockchain transactions, 5 billion fans flocking in causing Dogecoin search volume to skyrocket by 470%. In the future, it may also support DOGE cross-chain transactions, directly connecting to the world's largest sports IP.

2. Policy + Technology Double Explosions

The Trump administration is rushing to push a bill allowing institutions to buy Dogecoin, and Elon Musk's team is even more aggressive, planning to incorporate DOGE into federal assets, with trillions of funds eyeing it. Technically, Layer 2 expansion is sorted, with transaction speeds skyrocketing to 1000 TPS. Tesla's charging stations in 15 countries now support DOGE payments, and whale addresses have increased by 36% over the past three months, with the futures market all bullish.

3. Risk Warning - Don’t Get Overexcited

But be careful of the SEC suddenly causing trouble with ETF approvals; the old system of Dogecoin's smart contract is also prone to phishing, having recently lost $2.3 million. More critically, a single tweet from Elon Musk can send the coin price plummeting, so definitely don’t go all in!

Conclusion

In the short term, with game traffic + policy expectations, seeing Dogecoin reach $0.5 is not a dream, but in the long term, it depends on whether the payment scenarios can be realized. Friends who want to play, remember to test the waters with a small amount, after all, the only certainty in the crypto world is that there are daily explosions!

Let’s discuss how much you think Dogecoin can rise in the comments section? Like, follow, and share this with your friends who want to get rich!

Actually, every time there is a conflict in the Middle East, the cryptocurrency market tends to tremble, but often rebounds afterward. For example, during the 2020 U.S.-Iran conflict, Bitcoin rose by 50% in a month; during the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war, it also rebounded by 40% in a month. However, the recent few reactions have been faster, such as the 2023 Israel-Palestine conflict, which saw recovery in a week, and the 2024 Iranian drone attack, which recovered in as little as 24 hours. But this time is different, as Israel directly bombed Iranian nuclear facilities, which could trigger a full-scale war, leading to a more intense market reaction.

This drop has several special points:

1. Escalation of war risks: Israel's airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities could provoke direct retaliation from Iran, and even U.S. involvement, creating a systemic risk that led to capital fleeing.

2. Technical overselling: Bitcoin's RSI dropped to 35 (oversold zone), and Ethereum fell below the critical support of $2500, indicating a technical demand for rebound.

3. Severe leverage liquidation: $1.16 billion was liquidated in 24 hours, with 92% being long positions. After panic selling, short covering could drive a rebound.

4. Capital-driven short dominance: The funding rate for Bitcoin perpetual contracts turned negative, indicating a short dominance, but some shorts have begun to take profits, potentially building momentum for a rebound.

The key is to watch these three signals:

1. Geopolitical dynamics: Will Iran retaliate directly, and will the U.S. intervene? If Iran only issues verbal warnings, the market will likely calm down quickly.

2. Capital flows: If BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF sees more than $100 million inflow in a single day, it indicates institutions are bottom-fishing, leading to a quicker rebound.

3. Technical aspects: Can Bitcoin hold the $100,000 and Ethereum the $2500 levels? If they can hold, the chances of a rebound increase significantly.

Advice for everyone:

• Short-term players: If the conflict eases, you can try light positions at Bitcoin $102,000 and Ethereum $2500, setting stop-loss orders. If the situation worsens, it’s better to stay in cash.

• Long-term holders: Wars will not change the long-term trend, especially after Bitcoin's halving (which occurred in April 2024), increasing its scarcity, so consider adding to positions gradually.

In conclusion:

The rebound after this drop will likely occur within 3 to 14 days, depending on how the conflict develops. However, in the long run, the trends for Bitcoin and Ethereum remain unchanged, with institutional capital still flowing in and the scarcity after the halving supporting prices. Therefore, short-term volatility presents opportunities, and there is no need to panic for long-term holders.