BAYJIGIT-酷哥

$PAXG

Market Analysis on July 31, 2025
(For reference only, not investment advice)

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Today's PAXG (Gold against USDT) on Binance's 1-hour chart shows a very typical structure of 'bull trap + bear reentry'.

🟡 Key observation points:
1. After a strong rebound yesterday, the price failed to break through the previous high (approximately 3314 USDT), forming a false breakout;
2. This morning, the price surged and then fell back, with the yellow uptrend quickly being engulfed by the blue downtrend, forming strong bearish momentum suppression;
3. The current candlestick has broken below the short-term moving average (blue), with some support around 3302 USDT (bottom of the green box);
4. MACD dead cross has initially appeared, and the momentum bars have weakened, indicating a short-term decline in bullish momentum and a risk of continued bearish movement.

🔴 Trade structure analysis (using the short position marked in the chart as an example):
• Entry position: near the red area (stop-loss above the structural high point)
• Take-profit target: near the bottom of the green box, or move the stop-loss to follow the trend
• Current price: approximately 3308.6 USDT, if it breaks below 3302 USDT, the bearish structure will be further strengthened

✅ Personal understanding
“This wave of market is a typical 'rise first, then suppress', where the bears give you a punch and then slap you again, no martial ethics. The long-position brothers just saw the dawn, only to be pushed back to the floor. Our short position is precise, decisive, with clear stop-loss, and the pullback space is promising.”

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Note: Trading involves risks, and the above content does not constitute investment advice; please make independent judgments.

$BTC

2025-07-30
⚠️ This content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice.

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Market Insights

Looking at this trend, a summary in one sentence: The rise didn't succeed, the bears are starting to harvest, and the bulls are becoming confused.

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Current Rhythm:
• It is clearly visible on the chart that the price attempt to rise failed and was pushed down, the bears counterattacked, hitting cleanly, like a slap on the bulls' face.
• The EMA crossed upwards but couldn't hold, the pullback turned into a trap for the bulls.
• The MACD bars just turned red and then shrank, the momentum couldn't keep up, indicating that the bulls are overinflated and truly lack strength.

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Bearish Operation Thoughts:

Project Content
Short Entry Timing Act when the rebound is weak and fails to breach resistance, don't hesitate.
Stop Loss Setting Place it above the high points that entice the bulls, let the bulls really exert force before backing down.
Take Profit Position The first target looks to break the previous low, if it drops in line, follow it up.
Position Control Principle Don't go heavy, roll over short positions, making profits is the key.

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My Attitude:

This market isn't complicated, those who can't rise should come down, a volume-less rebound is a short opportunity. When you charge, I'll wait for you to turn back, and when you do, I'll follow you.

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Summary in a Nutshell:

Today is: “Gave face but didn’t perform, the bulls didn’t stabilize, so let the bears take over the market.” Tactically bold, strategically clear on stop losses. Wait for it to walk itself out, you're just going with the flow, not risking your life, but eating with the trend.

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$BTC

2025-07-29
⚠️ For reference only, not investment advice.

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BTC/U 1-hour chart —— A straightforward view from the perspective of short positions.

This wave of BTC tells us one thing: a rebound is not a resurrection, and jumping high is just to fall harder.

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Market observation:
• Currently around 118,440U, just bounced to the resistance level, unable to rise, and falling quickly.
• Looking back, after the last high, it directly broke through the EMA moving average, and now the rebound feels like a “soul-returning step,” a temporary bluff from the bulls.
• MACD slightly turned red, but the trading volume is not keeping up; this wave is clearly a “weak rebound.”

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My short position logic is as follows:

Open short position Already short near 118,440U, exactly at the edge of resistance.
Stop-loss point Above 118,981U, if it breaks, I’ll back off, not betting on extreme upward movements.
Target position First step to look at 117,460U, further can aim for below 117,000U.
Profit-loss ratio Currently about 1 : 1.5, reasonable; stay calm and steady if there’s a downward expectation.

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Operational attitude:
• This type of “rebound during a pullback” is most suitable for our strategy: short on rebounds, just do it.
• Keep an eye on the stop-loss, don’t get too excited; first, take advantage of the main force’s selling.
• The key point now is not to break higher; once it rises and breaks through, it means the bulls are turning around, and then I’ll pull out.

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Summary:

This is not a do-or-die bull market; it’s the rhythm of the bears. Like a cat catching a mouse, the bulls jump, and we strike. If we strike accurately, we eat well; if we miss, we accept our losses and leave without attachment.

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$BNB

2025-07-29
⚠️ For reference only, not investment advice.

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BNB/U 1-hour chart — Short perspective analysis

This wave of BNB, to put it simply — it surged too aggressively, couldn't hold on, and now it’s time for us bears to take the stage.

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Market summary:
• The pullback after the surge is still ongoing, momentum has stalled, now it's just sideways drifting.
• Current price at 824.95U, bulls are stuck trying to break above 830, if it loosens below, it will crash.
• MACD has slightly turned green, volume has also decreased, indicating that the main force is starting to retreat.

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My short logic:

Project Content
Entry point I shorted at the current level (824~826U), still holding my position.
Stop loss set at Above 835.8U, if it breaks, it indicates the main force is back, I’ll take my loss.
Take profit target First target: around 816U, if it breaks I will reduce my position; if it can’t hold, then aim for 810U.
Risk-reward ratio About 1 : 1.6, not bad, as long as I stay calm, there’s hope.

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• There are many trapped positions above, this market will be shot down after a rebound, it’s like “the bulls are tired from climbing, and once they come down, they don’t want to go back up.”
• Let’s not be greedy with the shorts, protect the profits, and take advantage of any downturns.
• Don’t stubbornly hold on, remain steady, and it’s crucial to maintain the stop loss.

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In summary:

Now it’s: “Bulls have exploded, bears are pressuring the market; if it can’t hold, we’ll just take the chips away.”
If the market doesn’t give opportunities, don’t force it, be precise and slow to act, keep the position light for a longer survival.

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2025-07-29
⚠️ For reference only, not investment advice.

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ETH/U 1-Hour Chart — Short Position Perspective Analysis

Today's movement can be summed up in one sentence: a rebound is not a reversal; the bears are not dead yet, we will continue to wait for opportunities to act.

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Current situation summarized:
• The price just surged up, reaching a high of 3,888U, but couldn't stabilize and started to consolidate.
• Now stuck around 3,820U, with heavy pressure above, like being pressed under a pot lid.
• MACD just turned positive, but momentum hasn't expanded, the bulls seem a bit weak.

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My short position logic 👇

Item Content
Opening Position I’m eyeing the range of 3,822–3,830U, “weak rebound is an opportunity.”
Stop Loss Set above 3,888U; whoever breaks through is strong, I’ll admit defeat and exit.
Take Profit Target First aim for 3,793U, then further down to target 3,740U.
Risk-Reward Ratio About 1:3, reasonable, worth doing.

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Practical Advice
• In this market, the bulls are like someone who took a sip of water, just catching their breath; if they were really strong, they should've pierced through 3,888U long ago.
• So, let's not rush our short positions; don’t fear missing a momentary opportunity, just be cautious of getting caught in a reversal.
• As long as we manage our stop loss well, let the profits run, and don’t interfere unnecessarily.

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Final summary:

This short position, to put it plainly: rebounding to the target, exhausted, and then crashing back down, we just collect our profits and exit. If the pressure above breaks, I’ll bail; admitting defeat isn’t shameful; survival is what makes money.

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$SUI

2025-06-20 (This is not investment advice)
• Current Price ≈ 2.834 U
• Entry Zone: Place multiple orders in batches between 2.829 → 2.836 U
• Take Profit: 2.859 U (+0.9%)
• Stop Loss: 2.821 U (-0.46%)
• Risk/Reward Ratio: ≈ 1.97
• Position Size: 19,230.769 SUI
• Risk Limit: -750 U | Theoretical Profit: +1,492 U

📈 Technical Summary
1. EMA-20/55 turning upwards, price stable above both moving averages, short-term bulls have the upper hand.
2. "Pin Bar + V Reversal" appeared on the 15 min chart, and successfully stabilized after retesting the neckline (2.82 ~ 2.83 U).
3. MACD golden cross has just opened, histogram increasing, momentum sustainability is still acceptable.
4. If it falls below 2.821 U again, the pattern is invalidated, cut losses immediately without hesitation.

🔔 Risk Warning
• 2.88-2.90 U above is the daily resistance zone, increase the stop loss to protect profits if the volume does not keep up.
• In volatile markets, don't be greedy, take profit and leave after getting 0.8-1%.

—— The above is purely personal market sentiment sharing and does not constitute investment advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.

$ADA

2025-06-20 (Does not constitute investment advice)
• Current price ≈ 0.600 U
• Strategy: Just pulled back above the neckline at 0.599 U, typical 'breakout-retrace-retest'.
• Opening position idea: Accumulate long positions in the range of 0.598 → 0.601 U.
• Take profit: 0.608 U (around +1.4%)
• Stop loss: 0.592 U (around -0.9%)
• Risk-reward ratio: ≈ 1.5, barely acceptable, keep it in mind.

📈 Technical quick read
1. EMA20/55 turning upwards, short-term momentum shifting to bullish.
2. A small double bottom formed in 15 minutes, volume followed after the breakout, buying pressure is solid.
3. MACD golden cross just emerging, histogram increasing, momentum continuity is OK.
4. If it falls below 0.592 U again, the pattern will fail, decisively cut the position and don't cling to the past.

🔔 Risk reminder
• The daily line is still in a large range oscillation, don't forget the resistance zone above 0.615-0.62 U.
• If trading volume is slow to follow, remember to use protective stop-loss to safeguard your capital.

—— The above is purely personal trading sentiment sharing, does not constitute investment advice, and profits and losses are at your own risk.

$SUI

2025-06-16 | SUI / U 15 min —— Intra-day Overview (For Learning Reference Only, Not Investment Advice)

1 · Direction
• In the early session, there were three consecutive tests of the bottom around 3.00, followed by a strong recovery of EMA-20 / 55 / 144, and all group moving averages have turned upwards, with short-term bulls regaining dominance.
• MACD 15 min has golden crossed again, with volume moderately increasing; if the price firmly holds above 3.09, upward momentum is expected to continue. 

2 · Key Levels

Role Price Range (U)
Recent Support 3.095 → 3.060
Bull-Bear Boundary EMA-144 ≈ 3.060
First Resistance 3.165 → 3.195
Secondary Resistance 3.220

3 · Trading Strategy (Example Position 8 333 SUI)

Step Action Price (U) Description
① Accumulating in Batches 3.11 ± 0.01 Place orders on pullbacks to the short moving average
② Stop Loss Below 3.056 Clear all positions immediately if it breaks the bottom of the range
③ Target One 3.165 Take profit on 50–70 % upon reaching
④ Target Two 3.195 + Follow remaining position based on 5–15 min patterns

Risk-Reward Ratio ≈ 3.3; raise stop loss to entry price to lock in profits as soon as it goes above 3.15.

4 · Signal Strength: 73 / 100
• Add Points: EMA Bullish Arrangement + MACD Golden Cross;
• Deduct Points: Low liquidity in the afternoon, news volatility may amplify the price pullback.

5 · Risk Control
1. Single Trade Risk ≤ 1 % of Total Equity; do not hesitate to stop loss if below 3.06.
2. If there are two rejections at 3.17–3.20, consider reducing positions and waiting for a 30 min level pullback.
3. Reassess trading volume and market sentiment before the US session, beware of sudden news causing slippage.

——

$ADA

2025-06-16 | ADA / U 15 min — Intra-day Overview (For Learning Reference Only, Not Investment Advice)

1 · Direction
• Price has strongly surged and fully surpassed EMA 20 / 55 / 144, with bulls regaining control of the rhythm.
• MACD 15 min golden cross upwards, momentum bars continue to expand, short-term bullish momentum continues.

2 · Key Levels

Role Price(Q)
Recent Support 0.644 → 0.640
Bull-Bear Divider EMA 144 ≈ 0.6439
Primary Resistance 0.654
Secondary Resistance 0.660 → 0.665

3 · Trading Ideas (Example Position 10,000 ADA)
• Entry Zone: 0.645 ± 0.001 (buying in batches on short-term moving average pullbacks).
• Stop Loss: Below 0.6436 (approximately -0.39%).
• First Target: 0.6539 — take profit on 50-70% at this level.
• Second Target: 0.660+ — to be determined based on volume and pattern.
• Risk-Reward Ratio: ≈ 3.5. Raise stop loss to 0.648 to lock in profits above 0.652.

4 · Signal Strength: 75 / 100

EMA bullish arrangement + MACD golden cross + moderate volume expansion; however, afternoon liquidity is slightly lower, and caution is advised for potential pullbacks after highs.

5 · Risk Control
• Each trade risk ≤ 1% of account equity; completely withdraw if below 0.643.
• If 0.654 fails to break above more than twice, consider reducing position or closing and waiting for a 30 min pullback.
• Recalibrate patterns and volume before the US market opens to avoid unnecessary overnight exposure.

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$SUI

2025-06-12
SUI 1H Quick Review (For reference only, does not constitute investment advice)

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🎯 Market Overview

Project Current Status
Current Price 3.329 U
Trend Bears continue after breaking 3.369 U, EMA 5 < EMA 21 < EMA 55
MACD Volume increasing below zero line, bearish momentum continues to release
Volatility Consecutive bearish candles closing below EMA55, weakness persists

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🔑 Key Prices

Type Price Remarks
Recent Resistance 3.369 U Turned resistance after losing, primary pullback observation level
Medium Resistance 3.404 U White line in the chart, multiple dense transactions
Strong Resistance 3.492 U Previous high alignment, yellow line
First Support 3.296 U Current bearish target area, cautious entry without clear buying below
Deep Support 3.250 U Previous explosive volume starting point, breaking could expand the correction

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🛠️ Available Strategies (from low to high risk)
1. Wait-and-see
Wait for a volume stop loss to appear in the 3.296 U–3.250 U area, then take a light position for short-term longs, target 3.369 U, stop loss 3.240 U.
2. Quick Short
If the rebound does not break 3.369 U, consider a small short position, target 3.300 U, stop loss 3.385 U, profit-loss ratio approximately 1:2.
3. Range Trading
If the price oscillates between 3.30 U–3.37 U, consider buying low and selling high, with a single profit of 1%–2%, avoid overtrading.

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⚠️
• Single trade risk ≤ 1% of account equity
• Do not manually hold stop-loss orders
• Pay attention to the synchronous strength of BTC/ETH to avoid single-coin counter-trend

$ADA

2025-06-12
ADA 1H Quick Review (For Reference Only, Not an Investment Advice)

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🎯 Market Overview

Project Current Status
Current Price 0.690 U
Trend Broke below 0.700 U and entered a short-term correction, EMA 5 < EMA 21 < EMA 55, bearish dominance
MACD Expanding below the zero line, bearish momentum is still being released
Volatility The last 4 K lines closed below EMA55, short-term sentiment is weak

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🔑 Key Prices

Type Price Remarks
Recent Resistance 0.700 U Original support, turned resistance after breaking
Strong Resistance 0.712 U Previous high alignment, yellow line in the chart
First Support 0.689 U Initial buying on the hourly chart (upper edge of the blue box)
Second Support 0.685 U If further volume drops continue, may test this level

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🛠️ Available Strategies (from low to high risk)
1. Wait-and-see
Wait for a volume stop at around 0.685 U before considering a light long position, target 0.700 U, stop loss 0.683 U.
2. Quick Short
If the rebound does not break 0.700 U, consider a small short position, target 0.685 U, stop loss 0.705 U, risk-reward ratio close to 1:2.
3. Range Trader
Before breaking the range of 0.685 U–0.700 U, engage in low buy high sell trading, do not be greedy for single profits, keep it in the 1%-2% range.

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⚠️ Risk Control in Three Sentences
• Single trade risk < 1% of account equity
• Stop loss must be set as an order, do not manually “carry” it
• Pay attention to BTC, ETH moving in the same direction, avoid missing opportunities against a single coin

$SUI

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📅 June 11, 2025

SUI/U Short Position Layout Analysis (1-hour Chart)
(For reference only, not investment advice)

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💥 Current Price: 3.5027U

The price peaked at 3.5124U and then faced resistance, showing clear signs of a 'false breakout + increased volume stagnation'. The short position structure is clear, and the probability of a decline is significant.

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📉 Technical Analysis:

🔸 Structural Logic:
• Upper false breakout 3.5124 → Quickly pushed back, showing signs of a false breakout;
• The current candlestick engulfs the previous bullish candle, indicating a short-term weakening;
• The high point connection forms a 'micro head and shoulders' pattern, indicating a need for a pullback.

🔸 Moving Average Signals:
• EMA20 and EMA5 show signs of a turn;
• Breaking below the 3.4914 area will confirm bearish dominance.

🔸 Trading Volume + MACD:
• Increased volume during the rise followed by reduced volume on the decline;
• MACD histogram shortens, with the fast and slow lines tending towards a death cross.

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🧾 Short Position Strategy (set in the chart):

Action Price Description
Open Short 3.4914U Has fallen back to the lower edge of the range, confirming entry upon breaking
Stop Loss 3.5124U Stop loss if it breaks the false breakout high
Target 3.3690U Previous support area, coinciding with EMA55

📊 The risk-reward ratio is approximately 3.55:1, making it an ideal short position with clear structure, low cost, and small stop loss.

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⚠️ Risk Control Tips:
• If it effectively breaks below around 3.44, bearish momentum will strengthen;
• If it breaks above 3.51 again with increased volume, decisively stop loss on the short position;
• If the price approaches around 3.45 and shows a rebound, consider adding to the short position.

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📌 In Summary:
SUI is creating a false breakout at a high level, with bulls stagnating. This is a good opportunity to enter a short position, targeting 3.3690U.

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$ADA

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📅 June 11, 2025

ADA/U 1-Hour Chart Long Position Analysis (Simple and Practical)
(For reference only, not investment advice)

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✅ Current Price: 0.7214U

The trend is healthy, belonging to a pullback buying structure within an upward oscillation trend. The MACD golden cross is intact, moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, and volume is moderate, representing a typical structure of “smart money lurking for an upward move.”

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📈 Technical Structure Review:

🔹 Upper Target:
• Target Price: 0.7240U, breaking the previous high;
• If it breaks out with volume, there is a chance to open space above 0.73.

🔹 Support Structure:
• Entry Point: Around 0.7128U;
• EMA20 and the previous horizontal platform form resonant support;
• The MACD red bars are beginning to expand, and bullish momentum is sustained.

🔹 Volume Interpretation:
• Volume increases during upward movements, decreases during downward adjustments, indicating a planned upward logic of funds;
• There is clear support below.

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🧾 Long Position Strategy (Set in the Chart):

Action Price Description
Go Long 0.7128U Pullback support accumulation position
Stop Loss 0.7092U Effective break below EMA20 stop loss
Target Price 0.7240U Break previous high

📊 Risk-Reward Ratio approximately 2.43:1, precise position, clear thinking.

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⚠️ Risk Control Tips:
• If the pullback support is not broken, continue to accumulate;
• If the price breaks below 0.7090 and decreases in volume, the structure will be damaged;
• Pay attention to volume changes during the upward process to avoid false breakouts that entice buying.

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📌 In Summary:
The ADA trend is strong, and it is currently a good window for trend pullback buying, targeting 0.7240U, with further volume breakout looking for higher levels.

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$BTC

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📅 June 11, 2025

BTC/U 1-Hour Chart Short Position Analysis (Simple and Practical)
(For reference only, not constituting investment advice)

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💥 Current Price: 109,396U

The market is consolidating at a high level, with weak upward momentum and reduced trading volume, indicating a short-term need for a downward retracement, presenting short position opportunities.

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📉 Technical Structure Analysis:

✅ Double Top Structure Emerging
• The upper range (yellow line) around 110,200 has failed to push higher repeatedly, forming a double top;
• The neckline is around 109,200; once broken, the structure is confirmed.

✅ EMA Signal
• EMA20 has been crossed below, and the price has not retraced above, indicating weakness;
• EMA55 (blue line) is a key short-term defense point; once breached, it is likely to enter a retracement phase.

✅ Volume & MACD
• Decreasing volume indicates that the bulls are starting to lose strength;
• MACD bearish crossover downwards, momentum bars turning red, indicating follow-through bearish momentum.

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📌 Short Position Strategy Reference (as set in the chart):

Item Value Description
Entry Point 109,417U Weakness after false breakout, entry point for short position
Stop Loss 109,750U Stop loss if it breaks above 110,000
Target Point 108,483U Referencing previous support zone, take partial profits

📊 Risk-Reward Ratio approximately 3.12:1, clear position, controllable risk.

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⚠️ Risk Control Reminder:
• If it breaks below the 108,500 area, the market is expected to test lower;
• If there is a rebound during low trading volume, be cautious of false bullish traps;
• It is not advised to chase shorts; consider entering only after a retracement.

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📌 In a nutshell:
This is currently a good window for short positions at high levels, key to watch if 109,200 can be effectively broken.

$BTC

⸻

📅 June 11, 2025

BTC/U 1 Hour Chart Short Position Analysis (Simple and Practical)
(For reference only, not investment advice)

⸻

💥 Current Price: 109,396U

The market is consolidating at a high level, with weak upward momentum and decreasing trading volume, indicating a short-term need for a downward retest, creating opportunities for short positions.

⸻

📉 Technical Structure Analysis:

✅ Double Top Structure Emerging
• The upper range (yellow line) around 110,200 repeatedly failed to breach, forming a double top;
• The neckline is around 109,200; once broken, the structure is confirmed.

✅ EMA Signal
• EMA20 has been crossed below, and the price has not retested above, indicating weakness;
• EMA55 (blue line) is a key short-term defense point; once broken, it is highly likely to enter a correction phase.

✅ Volume & MACD
• Decreasing volume indicates that bulls are beginning to lose strength;
• MACD crossover downwards, momentum bars turning red, indicating follow-through bear momentum.

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📌 Short Position Strategy Reference (set in the chart):

Project Value Description
Entry Point 109,417U Weakening after false breakout, entry point for short position
Stop Loss 109,750U Stop loss if it breaks above 110,000
Target Point 108,483U Refer to previous support zone, take partial profit

📊 Risk-Reward Ratio approximately 3.12:1, clear position, controllable risk.

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⚠️ Risk Control Reminder:
• If it breaks below the 108,500 area, the market may further decline;
• If there is a pullback on low volume, be cautious of a potential trap for bulls;
• Do not chase short, consider entering after a retest.

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📌 In a nutshell:
Currently, it is a good window for short positions at a high level, the key is whether 109,200 can be effectively broken down.

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$SUI

Market Analysis on June 10, 2025: SUI/U (Not Investment Advice)

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SUI recently broke through the previous platform resistance and quickly surged, currently entering the pullback confirmation phase. The bullish trend is still intact, but there is short-term correction pressure.

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🔍 Technical Structure Analysis (1-hour Chart):
• EMA5 and EMA20 are both in a strong bullish arrangement, with the price still above them;
• **Yellow horizontal line (approximately 3.37 U)** is the upper edge of the previous platform, currently pulling back to this area, which may constitute “pullback not breaking is support”;
• MACD golden cross is still present, but the histogram continues to shorten, caution is needed for weakening momentum;
• Trading volume is gradually decreasing, indicating that buying pressure is slightly fatigued, waiting for new confirmation of volume expansion.

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📈 Operational Reference Area (trading box in the chart):

Project Data
Opening Price Around 3.395 U
Take Profit Target 3.514 U (+3.48%), strong resistance area
Stop Loss Reference 3.308 U (below previous platform) or further down to 3.284 U
Risk-Reward Ratio Approximately 1:1.7, still acceptable

⸻

📌 Key Support and Resistance Levels:

Position Type
3.4066 U Previous High + Minor Resistance (currently slightly broken)
3.37 U Platform pullback support (key focus!)
3.308 U EMA55 support area
3.284 U Next strong support level, breaking this structure turns bearish

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✅ In Summary:

After a strong breakout, SUI is making its first pullback; 3.37 is the dividing line between success and failure. Holding above maintains the bullish trend, breaking below raises caution for a trend change.

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$ADA

Market Analysis on June 10, 2025: ADA/U (Not an Investment Advice)

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The price has just completed a strong upward surge, showing a top volume stagnation candlestick, currently in the early stage of a high-level pullback. Indicators show there is short-term adjustment pressure, with signs of bears attempting to take over.

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🔍 Technical Structure Analysis (1-hour Chart):
• EMA5 & EMA20 show a strong bullish arrangement, but the candlestick has moved far from the moving averages, indicating clear 'overbought' in the short term;
• The bullish MACD histogram is starting to shorten, and momentum is weakening after the golden cross, suggesting upward momentum may be exhausted in the short term;
• In terms of trading volume: volume increased during the rise, and volume began to decrease at the top + pullback, a typical 'high-retrace structure';
• The current candlestick has shown an upper shadow + shrinking body combination, indicating reduced buying willingness.

⸻

📉 Risk Control Reference Points:

Position Description
Current Resistance Level 0.7068 U (previous high stagnation)
Pullback Target Level 0.6973 U (short-term support), breaking down may test 0.6919 U
Key Support Below 0.6788 U (EMA55), breaking this structure would indicate a complete weakening

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🎯 Strategy Illustration (trading box in the picture):
• Shorting Range: currently entered around 0.704
• Profit Target: 0.693 U ~ 0.6919 U area
• Stop Loss Setting: above 0.7156 U (previous high + false breakout defense line)
• Risk-Reward Ratio: approximately 1:1.5, reasonable

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✅ In One Sentence:

The surge has shown signs of fatigue, top stagnation is evident, a short-term pullback or correction may occur, and weakness in the rebound suggests a short opportunity.

$BTC

June 10, 2025 Market Analysis (Not Investment Advice)

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⚡️ BTC/USDT 1-Hour Chart Analysis:

Current Price: 109,605 U

The market has overall shown a strong surge followed by consolidation, entering a high-level accumulation phase in the short term. The bulls have not yet clearly exhausted, but there is a demand for a pullback.

⸻

🔍 Structural Observation:
• EMA20 (White Line) continues to rise, with prices still above it, dominated by bulls;
• EMA55 (Blue Line) maintains trend support, with an effective support zone around 108,573 U;
• MACD momentum bars are beginning to shorten, showing signs of high-level divergence; short-term caution is needed for potential pullback;
• Trading volume shows "surge with volume, consolidation with reduced volume," the main force still controls the market but may be brewing an adjustment.

⸻

📊 Long/Short Battle Points:

Position Meaning
Upper Target 110,303 U is a previous high resistance; if stable, it may aim for 111,000+
Current Support Around 109,141 U is a short-term observation point; if broken, it may pull back to 108,573 U (EMA55)
Lower Stop-Loss Reference 107,141 U; if broken, this wave of upward structure will basically end

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🎯 Trading Reference (Not Advice, for Simulation Thinking Only):

Strategy Parameters
Long Position Opening Near consolidation or pullback not breaking 109,100 could try a short long
Stop-Loss Set near 107,141 U
Take Profit Look towards the 110,300 U ~ 111,000 U area
Risk Control Ratio Risk-to-reward ratio close to 1:2, acceptable

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📌 Summary in One Sentence:

After a main rise, consolidation presents opportunities; if support holds, prioritize short long; if it breaks down, withdraw in time.

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$sui

SUI/U 1 hour

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📅 June 3, 2025 Market Analysis (SUI)

(The following content does not constitute investment advice)

SUI has recently experienced a breakout from a bottom platform, but is currently constrained by the **blue 200EMA moving average (approximately 3.37U)**, showing signs of a pullback after a short-term rise, with a risk of a false breakout.

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🔍 Current Key Points:

Project Content
Current Price 3.3202 U
Resistance 3.37U (200EMA), 3.40U (previous high)
Support 3.30U / 3.11U (local platform), 3.04U (key trend line)
Volume Increased, but has not yet formed a sustained strong attack
MACD Golden cross not dead cross, but momentum is shrinking, need to observe if there will be a second push

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🧭 Suggested Operation Strategy:
• Avoid chasing highs, the current price is within the resistance zone and shows signs of rising and falling
• If it pulls back to the 3.29-3.31U area and stabilizes, consider low buying for a trial position
• If it breaks below 3.11U, be cautious of returning to the consolidation zone or even breaking downwards
• Only breaking above 3.37 and stabilizing is considered a real entry into a strong main rising phase

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📌 Summary:

The current structure is slightly neutral to strong, but the bulls have not completely taken control of the situation. It is recommended to wait for further confirmation, avoid rushing to open positions, and pay attention to whether there will be a second breakout above 3.37U with volume.