$SUI

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📅 June 11, 2025

SUI/U Short Position Layout Analysis (1-hour Chart)

(For reference only, not investment advice)

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💥 Current Price: 3.5027U

The price peaked at 3.5124U and then faced resistance, showing clear signs of a 'false breakout + increased volume stagnation'. The short position structure is clear, and the probability of a decline is significant.

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📉 Technical Analysis:

🔸 Structural Logic:

• Upper false breakout 3.5124 → Quickly pushed back, showing signs of a false breakout;

• The current candlestick engulfs the previous bullish candle, indicating a short-term weakening;

• The high point connection forms a 'micro head and shoulders' pattern, indicating a need for a pullback.

🔸 Moving Average Signals:

• EMA20 and EMA5 show signs of a turn;

• Breaking below the 3.4914 area will confirm bearish dominance.

🔸 Trading Volume + MACD:

• Increased volume during the rise followed by reduced volume on the decline;

• MACD histogram shortens, with the fast and slow lines tending towards a death cross.

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🧾 Short Position Strategy (set in the chart):

Action Price Description

Open Short 3.4914U Has fallen back to the lower edge of the range, confirming entry upon breaking

Stop Loss 3.5124U Stop loss if it breaks the false breakout high

Target 3.3690U Previous support area, coinciding with EMA55

📊 The risk-reward ratio is approximately 3.55:1, making it an ideal short position with clear structure, low cost, and small stop loss.

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⚠️ Risk Control Tips:

• If it effectively breaks below around 3.44, bearish momentum will strengthen;

• If it breaks above 3.51 again with increased volume, decisively stop loss on the short position;

• If the price approaches around 3.45 and shows a rebound, consider adding to the short position.

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📌 In Summary:

SUI is creating a false breakout at a high level, with bulls stagnating. This is a good opportunity to enter a short position, targeting 3.3690U.

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