$BTC

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📅 June 11, 2025

BTC/U 1 Hour Chart Short Position Analysis (Simple and Practical)

(For reference only, not investment advice)

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💥 Current Price: 109,396U

The market is consolidating at a high level, with weak upward momentum and decreasing trading volume, indicating a short-term need for a downward retest, creating opportunities for short positions.

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📉 Technical Structure Analysis:

✅ Double Top Structure Emerging

• The upper range (yellow line) around 110,200 repeatedly failed to breach, forming a double top;

• The neckline is around 109,200; once broken, the structure is confirmed.

✅ EMA Signal

• EMA20 has been crossed below, and the price has not retested above, indicating weakness;

• EMA55 (blue line) is a key short-term defense point; once broken, it is highly likely to enter a correction phase.

✅ Volume & MACD

• Decreasing volume indicates that bulls are beginning to lose strength;

• MACD crossover downwards, momentum bars turning red, indicating follow-through bear momentum.

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📌 Short Position Strategy Reference (set in the chart):

Project Value Description

Entry Point 109,417U Weakening after false breakout, entry point for short position

Stop Loss 109,750U Stop loss if it breaks above 110,000

Target Point 108,483U Refer to previous support zone, take partial profit

📊 Risk-Reward Ratio approximately 3.12:1, clear position, controllable risk.

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⚠️ Risk Control Reminder:

• If it breaks below the 108,500 area, the market may further decline;

• If there is a pullback on low volume, be cautious of a potential trap for bulls;

• Do not chase short, consider entering after a retest.

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📌 In a nutshell:

Currently, it is a good window for short positions at a high level, the key is whether 109,200 can be effectively broken down.

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