七七说趋势

I. Core mindset: Survival as the primary goal
1. Respect the market, give up fantasies of getting rich quickly
The essence of the contract market is a zero-sum game. In the short term, you may profit due to luck, but long-term survival must rely on rationality. Never think of yourself as the 'chosen one'; the market is always more complex than your understanding. The mentality of getting rich quickly can lead people to over-leverage and trade frequently, ultimately being consumed by volatility.
2. Accepting losses as an inevitable cost:
Losses are a part of trading; no one can achieve a 100% win rate. The key is to control losses within a bearable range through stop-loss rules, avoiding a single mistake from causing catastrophic damage. Consider losses as tuition fees rather than shame.

If your funds are within 500,000 and you want to achieve quick success in the crypto space through short-term trading, please read this post carefully; after reading, you will gain a profound understanding of the essence of short-term trading! I am 36 years old this year, and I have been in the market for 10 years, with 6 years as a professional trader supporting my family!

Not choosing finance as my major in college is a major regret in my life. Starting from freshman year, I began to learn about stocks/finance/forex online, the screens of red and green filled my life with color, captivating me. With endless aspirations for the market, I blindly opened an account in my sophomore year, and gradually learned about the crypto space, bitcoin, and through a classmate's introduction, I learned more and more, feeling very interested and thus began my investment career.

1. Learn to wait. Contracts are like passing the hot potato; after a surge of emotions, there must be a correction, and after panic comes a reversal. Use 20% of the opportunity to earn 80% of the profit; this is the irreversible law of the market.
2. Never over-invest. Over-investing can lead to emotional decision-making and a vicious cycle. However, losses are normal; the key lies in mentality and finding new opportunities. To make a profit, first maintain your qualifications.
3. Be cautious when buying. Do not act impulsively due to a straight rise; there are plenty of opportunities in a big market. Assess comprehensively using indices and emotions.
4. Be decisive when cutting losses. When expectations are not met, make quick decisions; never waste time on losses, seek new opportunities instead.

If your funds are within 500,000, and you want to succeed quickly in the cryptocurrency market through short-term trading, then please read this post carefully; after reading, you will have a sudden understanding of the essence of short-term trading!
I am 34 years old this year and have been in the market for 10 years, trading cryptocurrencies for a living for 6 years! Not choosing a finance major in college is a big regret in my life. I started learning about stocks/finance/forex and so on online in my freshman year. The colorful screens of red and green filled my life with excitement, and I became fascinated. With boundless anticipation for the market, I opened an account in my sophomore year, and gradually learned more about cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin through a classmate's introduction, feeling increasingly interested, thus beginning my investment journey.

Having been in the crypto world for 10 years, to be honest, I’ve seen too many tragedies of 'always losing when opening a position, precise liquidation'.
Is this often the case? You see the market, confidently open a position, and when you come back from the bathroom, your position is gone!
In simple terms, contracts are about playing with small money for large positions, which sounds nice, but essentially it’s leverage!
Leverage amplifies your profits, but it also amplifies your risks! Originally, you could interact with the market, but with contracts, it’s all or nothing!
For example, you have 100 units, using 10x leverage means you control a position of 1000 units. If the market rises by 10%, your profit doubles! But if the market moves against you by 10%, sorry, you're directly liquidated, and your account is wiped out!

There are three thousand coins in the crypto circle, which is about 400u! Recommended optimal strategy: Use 100u for contracts each time, gamble on hot coins, and ensure profit-taking and stop-loss at 100 to 200, 200 to 400, 400 to 800. Remember a maximum of three times! Because luck is needed in the crypto circle, each time gambling like this can easily earn 9 times, and one time it can explode! If you pass three rounds with 100, then the principal will reach 1100u! At this point, it is necessary to settle down.

In-depth research: Spend time researching and understanding the cryptocurrency market, focusing on the fundamentals, technology, teams, and market trends of projects. Understand the risks and potential of different projects.

A senior citizen born in the 1980s in the cryptocurrency industry: From 100,000 to tens of millions in 10 years, relying only on a set of "dumbest methods"
I'm 37 years old, from Hunan Province, and I own two houses: one for my family and one for myself. In my 10th year of cryptocurrency trading, I've grown my initial investment of 100,000 yuan into tens of millions, relying not on insider information or luck, but entirely on a "stupid method."
The most amazing time was when the profit increased 400 times in 4 months, reaching 20 million.
Now I will tell you my 3,600-day experience for free.

There's a dumbest cryptocurrency trading method that's almost 100% profitable. I made over 2,000w using this method.
Along the way, I've come up with six ironclad rules for cryptocurrency trading, which I'd like to share with you today. I hope they can help you avoid mistakes!

With 5000, earning 200,000, let me tell you something practical! Watch how I made it in a month
Contract rolling compound interest +: from over 700 U, which is equivalent to 5000 yuan, to earn a million!

To understand how leverage in futures trading is formed, we need to go back to the past and see how 'speculation' first emerged.
Take the early tulip market as an example.
Suppose you have just signed a tulip futures contract for delivery in May, and you are the buyer (going long), with the agreed delivery price of 1000 yuan per ton and a delivery volume of 10 tons, meaning you need to prepare 10,000 yuan in cash by the delivery date in May.

There is only one way to earn 10 million from 10,000 by speculating on coins in one year: that is, rolling positions + hoarding big bull shitcoins!
仓位管理给大家现在的建议：
1. For example, if you take out 30,000U to do contracts, then my suggestion is to divide it into 3 parts, each part 10,000U.
2. Use one of them to open a position each time, a fixed 10,000U, no more than 10 times for Bitcoin, and no more than 5 times for shitcoins.
3. If you lose money, for example, 1000U, you replenish 1000U from the outside. If you earn 1000U, you withdraw 1000U.
4. Make sure that every time you open a position recently, you can guarantee a fixed position of 10,000U.

1: First, here are some tips for newcomers and veterans in the cryptocurrency space. Newbies must not enter blindly; they first need to understand the basic knowledge of digital currencies.
1. Trading time is unlimited, which means a true 7*24 hour trading time, with no market closure. Investors can choose to trade at their convenience, which is more flexible. Of course, this also has a downside: it requires professional investors to invest a lot of time to monitor price trends and interpret market news.

Newbies are still asking how to make money, while experienced traders are thinking about how to save money.
The position shows a profit, so why does it still lose money after closing? Many people may have this question.
The reason for this situation is that both opening and closing positions require transaction fees.
No matter which exchange you trade on, you need to understand the exchange's fee rates. Different trading modes and order types will have different fee rates.

You can see that Binance's U-margin contract fees are 0.02% for limit orders and 0.05% for market orders. The fee for one trade is calculated as 0.02% for limit orders and 0.1% for market orders.

All rates are calculated based on the position size, and the chart shows a position size of 24487u.

Insights from these days in the cryptocurrency world! Dedicated to friends who are new to the market
1. Don't get attached to hot coins; when altcoins reach a certain profit, you need to exchange them. Trying to ride the wave from start to finish is bound to lead to disappointment. The reasoning is simple: altcoins cannot always rise. When they have peaked, you need to sell; otherwise, you'll end up back at square one, and all your efforts will be in vain. For example, look at FIL and LUNA from previous years.
2. After a high-level consolidation, prepare to sell when the opportunity arises; after a low-level consolidation, new lows are likely to indicate a good opportunity. When the coin price consolidates at a high level and then reaches a new high, beware of the main force trying to lure in buyers. Don’t hesitate to reduce your position or exit. Conversely, if the coin price consolidates at a low level and then hits a new low but quickly rebounds, it’s likely the main force is doing a final washout. At this point, you should remain resolute.

Many people find it difficult to profit in the market because using high leverage requires extremely high stop-loss discipline, which must be adhered to; once it is wrong, immediately stop-loss. Important stop-loss, not liquidation price. All day discussing the liquidation price; when seeing someone else's orders, the first thing you look at is the liquidation price. Are you opening a position just to liquidate?
Beginners should trade spot; use spot profits to trade contracts. Many newcomers jump straight into 50x contracts and lose money within minutes.
Establish a signal for opening and closing positions and then execute it. It does not mean that this signal has to be very accurate, with a high probability; having it is enough. Because no signal can maintain a high win rate and high risk-reward ratio for a long time.

When trading cryptocurrencies, there are three things you must never do.
The first thing is, don't buy when the price is rising. You need to learn to buy boldly when others are scared to death, and be cautious when others are buying frantically. Develop the habit of buying when prices are falling.
The second thing is, don't put all your money into one trade.
The third thing is, don't operate with a full position. If your position is full, you become passive. There are plenty of opportunities in the market, and having a full position increases your opportunity cost.
Now let's talk about a few tips for short-term cryptocurrency trading:
First, don't rush to buy when the price is high; it may rise a bit more. Don't rush to sell when the price is low; it may drop a bit more. Wait until the direction is clear before taking action.

How to trade contracts?
First, contracts are like gambling! There are no technical aspects to speak of; if you can't manipulate the market with capital, you are just fodder! All contract traders*, for short-term trading either you have a large capital with low leverage operations*, or you have a small capital and play with high leverage. According to data and market fluctuations from several platforms, the vast majority of people are operating with small capital and high leverage. Because most people want to profit greatly with little investment.
Thus, here are some practical insights for short-term contract* traders using high leverage.
1. You can only do swing trading with contracts; if you get trapped in long-term positions, you won't be able to handle the psychological pressure and will eventually have to stop-loss at the brink of liquidation because you don’t have enough margin*.

1. Divide your funds into 5 parts, and only invest one-fifth each time! Control a 10-point stop loss; if you make a mistake once, you only lose 2% of your total funds, losing 10% only after 5 mistakes. If you are correct, set a take profit of more than 10 points. Do you think you'll get trapped?
2. How to improve the win rate again? Simply put, follow the trend! In a downtrend, every rebound is a trap for buyers; in an uptrend, every drop creates a golden opportunity! Which do you think is easier to profit from, catching the bottom or buying low?
3. Do not engage with cryptocurrencies that have rapidly surged in the short term, whether mainstream or altcoins; very few can experience several waves of a primary upward trend. The logic is that it is quite difficult for them to continue rising after a short-term surge. When price stagnates at a high level, it will naturally decline later, a very simple truth, but many still want to take a gamble.

Stably profiting from the market is the ultimate goal of traders. It is the ability to acquire wealth from the market relying on one's own skills without depending on any external help.
Stable profit focuses on stability; it is necessary to keep the capital account in a profitable state for a long time and to ensure that the capital curve continues to rise to achieve stable profits. One or two profits are not stable.
There are three essential conditions for stable profit:
1. A stable trading strategy
A common misconception among traders is the pursuit of making a profit on every trade and wanting to earn a large sum on each. This indicates that the trading strategy is unstable or that there is no trading strategy.

Having been in the crypto space for 10 years, I must say, I have seen far too many tragedies of 'always losing upon opening and precise liquidation.'
Does this happen to you often? You spot the market trend, open a position with full confidence, and when you return from the restroom, your position is gone!
Contracts are, to put it simply, playing big positions with small amounts of money; it sounds nice, but the essence is leverage!
Leverage amplifies your profits while also amplifying your risks! Originally, you could interact with the market, but with contracts, it’s a win-or-lose situation!
For example, if you have 100 dollars and use 10x leverage, it’s equivalent to controlling a position of 1000 dollars. If the market rises by 10%, your profit doubles! But if the market goes against you by 10%, sorry, you get liquidated, and your account goes to zero!