A senior citizen born in the 1980s in the cryptocurrency industry: From 100,000 to tens of millions in 10 years, relying only on a set of "dumbest methods"
I'm 37 years old, from Hunan Province, and I own two houses: one for my family and one for myself. In my 10th year of cryptocurrency trading, I've grown my initial investment of 100,000 yuan into tens of millions, relying not on insider information or luck, but entirely on a "stupid method."
The most amazing time was when the profit increased 400 times in 4 months, reaching 20 million.
Now I will tell you my 3,600-day experience for free.
There's a dumbest cryptocurrency trading method that's almost 100% profitable. I made over 2,000w using this method.
Along the way, I've come up with six ironclad rules for cryptocurrency trading, which I'd like to share with you today. I hope they can help you avoid mistakes!
Iron Rule 1: Volume is the key to understanding market sentiment
- Large volume without falling prices: When trading volume increases but prices do not fall, it may be a signal to stop the decline.
- Increased volume but no price increase: Trading volume increases but price does not increase, which may indicate that the market has reached its peak in the short term.
-The rise must continue with large volume: During the rise, the trading volume must increase steadily. If it suddenly decreases or becomes huge, the rise may end.
-Large volume at key falling positions: When a market falls, if key positions are broken and the market volume increases, the downward trend may continue.
Iron Rule 2: Key points determine buying and selling
- Resistance levels, support levels, trend lines: when the price hits these points, act quickly!
-Golden Ratio: I use it to predict resistance and support, and it works very well.
Iron Rule 3: Monitor the market in multiple time windows
-1 minute line: find the entry and exit opportunities. -3 minute line: monitor the band situation after entering the market.
-30 minutes/1 hour line: judge the trend changes during the day.
Iron Rule 4: Don’t rush to recover after stopping loss
-Stop loss = end of order: Every transaction is a new beginning, don’t let the previous operation affect your mentality.
Iron Rule 5: Simple and Practical Position Management Method - Three Positions Method:
1. When the price breaks through the 5-day moving average, buy the first share;
2. If it breaks through the 15-day moving average, buy the second share;
3. Break through the 30-day moving average and buy the third share.
- Strict stop-loss: if it falls below the 5-day moving average, sell the first share; if it falls below the 15-day moving average, sell the second share; if it falls below the 30-day moving average, liquidate the position!
Iron Rule #6: Selling also requires strategy #BinanceAlphaNews
-If the high price falls below the 5-day moving average: sell one share first and observe the subsequent trend.
-Breaking below the 15-day and 30-day moving averages: Sell everything without hesitation!
Select the currency: Specify the cryptocurrency you want to trade, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), etc.
Position management: Decide on the number of positions you hold, which should be based on your money management strategy and risk tolerance.
Trading direction: To determine whether to go long (buy) or short (sell), you need to refer to market trends and technical analysis.
Entry time: Choose the right entry point based on technical indicators, support levels and resistance levels.
Stop-loss strategy: Set a loss exit point to control risk. Usually set a stop loss below the entry price.
Take-profit setting: Determine a profitable exit point to ensure profits. Usually, the take-profit level is set at the target price.
Emergency Response: Develop strategies for dealing with unexpected events, such as major news or market fluctuations.
Review and Summary: After trading, summarize and record the experience and lessons learned, and adjust the trading strategy. After the planning is completed, it is important to execute, maintain patience, and strictly abide by the trading rules.
Ten years of blood and tears have proven that 90% of technologies are traps, and only MACD divergence can break the deadlock of human nature.
There is no holy grail in the cryptocurrency world, only the breathing rhythm of survivors
“While you’re staring at the K-line and imagining a hundredfold return, the market maker is using MACD divergence to calculate your liquidation price.”
When I entered the cryptocurrency world in 2015 with 500,000 yuan, I never imagined that 10 years later I would experience three margin calls and eight bankruptcy agreements. Nor could I have realized that all technical indicators are puppets manipulated by market manipulators, and only MACD divergence is the sharp knife that pierces the market's lies. Today, I'm going to peel back the veil of the "get-rich-quick" myth and use my blood-forged MACD strategy to show you: in the cryptocurrency world, the secret to survival is to learn to play along with the market manipulators.
MACD's three major nuclear weapons: divergence, golden cross and volume strangulation
1. Divergence Hunting Technique: The DNA Code of Market Makers’ Market Washing
Top divergence trap: When BTC hit $69,000 in 2021, the MACD energy column had been shrinking for three consecutive weeks, forming a textbook top divergence 7. At that time, I had a heavy leveraged long position, but I decisively liquidated my position when the energy column shrank for the third time, avoiding the subsequent 58% plunge.
Bottom divergence counterattack: After LUNA returned to zero in 2023, the UST weekly chart showed a MACD bottom divergence signal, and with the on-chain whale 0x5f3 address accumulating funds for three consecutive weeks, it successfully captured the 2024 RWA narrative reversal market4.
First Golden Cross Test: In April 2024, when PEPE formed its first daily golden cross, 20 million USDT moved in the OKEx hot wallet, which was a signal from the market maker to test market resistance.
Second Golden Cross Massacre: When the 30-minute line and the 4-hour line form a resonance golden cross, and the large-scale transfer on the chain breaks through the warning line, it is the real charge moment.
3. Volume strangulation formula: MACD + death cross of on-chain data
Energy column shrinkage warning: When the price reaches a new high but the height of the MACD red energy column is less than 70% of the previous peak, immediately activate the "5-15-30 minute three-period stop-loss strategy"9.
Exchange hot wallet monitoring: When the MACD crosses, if the USDT inflow to the Binance/OKEx hot wallet does not reach 3 times the average of the previous 24 hours, it is considered a false breakout signal.
Eight Iron Laws Forged in Eight Years of Blood: The Battlefield Rules of MACD Warriors
① Three-cycle resonance law
30-minute line determines direction: When MACD crosses the zero axis, DIF line must break through the zero axis and stand firm. 2-hour 94-hour line determines strength: the energy column height must reach 80% of the previous high, otherwise it is considered a weak pullback. 7-day line locks the trend: When the weekly MACD is above the zero axis, any daily dead cross is a wash (verified by the BTC 48,000 to 52,000 US dollars fluctuation period in 2024) 10
② Divergence stop loss formula
Top divergence button: Price hits new high + MACD peak is lower than previous high + on-chain whale address net outflow > $5 million, immediately trigger stop loss 4
Divergence bottom picker: price breaks through the previous low + MACD energy column shrinks > 60% + exchange contract long-short ratio < 0.7, build positions in three batches of 7
③Energy column attack and defense
Red energy column explosion point: 3 consecutive shrinking volumes less than 50% of the previous column, regarded as a signal of bullish exhaustion (a precursor to the DOGE $0.35 collapse in 2025)
Green energy column charge: the first large volume column height exceeds 2 times of the 30-day average, and the exchange lending rate soars, which is regarded as a prelude to a breakthrough.
MACD and the Game of Human Nature: The Cognitive Leap from a Margin Call of 8 Million to 600 Million
1. Building an emotional firewall
Energy column meditation training: daily comparison of 10 groups of historical top and bottom divergence cases to cultivate muscle memory for false breakthroughs
On-chain data synchronization monitoring: When MACD signals appear, the movement of the whale address must be verified (see the end of the article for free Nansen whale monitoring table) 4
2. The Ultimate Formula for Position Control
MACD Golden Cross Initiator: The first position shall not exceed 5% of the total funds, and the position shall be increased by 3% after breaking through the previous high, and 2% after falling back without breaking.
Divergence stop-loss guillotine: Single loss is strictly controlled within 2%, and stop-loss is immediately stopped for 3 consecutive times 24 hours 9
3. Cognitive Reconstruction of Periodic Laws
Bull-Bear Conversion Detector: Weekly MACD crosses above zero, confirming the main bull market trend (2025 AI+DePIN narrative launch signal)
Death Cross Warning: Monthly MACD high death cross + USDT market capitalization accounted for <5%, immediately start the bear market defense mode 10
The instructor's ultimate advice
"MACD isn't a forecasting tool, but a thermometer of major capital flows. When you learn to use the height of the energy column to gauge market sentiment and use divergence signals to discern the dealer's hand, a net worth of 600 million will simply be a byproduct of monetizing your knowledge."
Blindly working alone will never bring opportunities. Follow me and I will lead you to explore the ten-fold potential coins! Top-level resources!
This is my 10th year in the cryptocurrency world. I lost a lot of money in the beginning, and I've had my fair share of gains and losses. Now, I rely entirely on the cryptocurrency world to support my family. I've summarized some of my experiences and would like to share them with you, hoping they will be helpful. As long as you follow this path, it's difficult to lose money. A surefire way to short-term trading! The 15-minute K-line strategy allows you to quickly capitalize on market fluctuations.
In cryptocurrency trading, an ideal 15-minute trading strategy involves applying technical indicators like moving averages, Bollinger Bands, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), combined with robust risk management techniques. Effectively utilizing these tools helps identify accurate entry and exit points, which is particularly crucial for shorter timeframe trading styles.
The key to this strategy is to execute tight stop-loss orders and adjust position sizes based on current market volatility.
Key Components of a 15-Minute Trading Strategy A successful 15-minute trading strategy depends on several key factors, including market conditions, accurate technical indicators, clear entry and exit points, strict risk management measures, ideal trading hours, rigorous backtesting, continuous market monitoring, and the efficiency of the selected indicators.
It is important to use relatively tight stop-loss and take-profit levels that are tailored to your trade. For example, a typical recommendation might be to set a 10-pip stop-loss and a 20-pip take-profit, which effectively protects the trader from significant capital losses while locking in potential gains.
Adjusting position sizing based on volatility and current market conditions reinforces this protective framework, ensuring each trade is proportional to the assessed risk (2:1 reward-to-risk ratio).
Effective technical indicators for 15-minute trading
Several tools stand out for their responsiveness and accuracy in assessing the effectiveness of technical indicators on a 15-minute trading cycle. Moving averages and Bollinger Bands provide detailed information about market trends and volatility, making them very useful in short-term trading analysis.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), Parabolic SAR, and Average Directional Index (ADX) help enhance your trading decisions by identifying potential reversal points and maintaining market momentum.
Using moving averages, especially the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, can simplify trend analysis and help identify market volatility on 15-minute trading charts. These shorter-term moving averages are often used when executing momentum trading strategies, which focus on capturing rapid market moves caused by currency pair volatility.
Moving average crossovers are a key aspect of this approach. When the 5-day moving average crosses above the 10-day moving average, it signals a potential buy opportunity; when it crosses above the 10-day moving average, it signals a sell. These moving averages also help traders identify support and resistance levels, which are crucial for trend-following strategies within this compressed timeframe. By understanding the location of these levels, traders can better anticipate potential reversals or trend continuations, improving the accuracy of their decisions.
Combining Fibonacci retracements with moving averages provides an alternative framework for price action analysis. This combination allows traders to identify important price points and adjust their strategies to ensure they align with both the micro-volatility and overall trend shown on the 15-minute chart.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is used to identify overbought and oversold conditions within a 15-minute trading strategy. This momentum oscillator measures the speed and variance of price movements, with values ranging from 0 to 100.
Typically, an RSI (Relative Strength Index) reading below 30 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting a potential buying opportunity, while an RSI reading above 70 indicates overbought conditions, signaling a possible sell-off. Traders often use these thresholds to predict reversals as the market reassesses prices.
The RSI also provides trend confirmation signals. When the RSI aligns with the current price trend, it confirms the current momentum, allowing traders to strengthen their positions accordingly. For example, in a bull market, an RSI above 50 supports the continuation of the uptrend. In a bear market or during a price decline, an RSI below 50 can confirm a downtrend.
RSI divergences play an important role in identifying changes in market dynamics. When the RSI diverges from the corresponding price action—that is, when prices make new highs or lows but the RSI does not—this typically indicates a weakening trend and may foreshadow a reversal.
This discrepancy between price and RSI can be a strong signal to re-evaluate a position, thereby increasing the effectiveness of a short-term trading strategy.
Bollinger Bands
Bollinger Bands can help traders assess market volatility and identify potential breakout points within a 15-minute trading strategy. By placing price movement within dynamic "envelopes," these indicators adjust to recent price fluctuations, making them well-suited for the 15-minute timeframe where quick decision-making is required.
Bollinger Band Squeeze (Contraction): When the Bollinger Bands tighten around price, it indicates reduced volatility and often foreshadows significant price movements. Traders watch for a breakout after a squeeze as a signal to enter a trade.
◎Breakouts and Reversals: Price breakouts from the bands can signal an impending reversal or a continuation of a trend, which is crucial for quick profits on the 15-minute chart.
Bollinger Band Width: This indicator helps quantify market volatility. Narrowing bands indicate a potential squeeze, while widening bands indicate increased volatility.
Touch Points: Price touching the lower or upper band can serve as a key trading signal, indicating overbought or oversold conditions.
Each of these aspects ensures that Bollinger Bands become an effective part of trading on shorter time frames (especially squeezes), providing insights into market dynamics (especially consolidations).
Parabolic SAR
Another effective technical indicator for 15-minute trading strategies is the Parabolic SAR, which excels in setting trailing stops and exit timing. This indicator is known for its ability to provide clear exit signals, enhancing the risk management techniques of short-term traders.
When analyzing the Parabolic SAR indicator
When using the Parabolic SAR (Parabolic SAR) strategy, backtesting shows that this indicator performs well in trending markets. Traders often use it to determine stop-loss levels to effectively protect profits or prevent large losses. By adjusting the acceleration factor, traders can fine-tune the indicator's sensitivity to align it with their trading strategy.
When comparing the Parabolic SAR to other indicators, its effectiveness is reflected in its simplicity and straightforward visual presentation on the chart. Unlike more complex indicators, the Parabolic SAR provides direct, actionable information without extensive interpretation, which is crucial in the fast-paced 15-minute trading window. Average Directional Index (ADX)
The Average Directional Index (ADX) is crucial for quantifying trend strength and identifying the current market trend. Traders rely on the ADX to indicate the strength of a trend. ADX interpretation is important in various market conditions, providing a clear view of whether a trend is strengthening or weakening. When trading on the 15-minute timeframe, the ADX provides important information:
Trend Confirmation: An ADX value above 25 indicates a strong trend, providing a reliable foundation for a trend-following strategy. This level of trend strength is crucial for confirming potential entry signals. Detecting Trend Weakening: A falling ADX value indicates a weakening trend, alerting traders to potential changes in market conditions or the need for caution.
ADX Crossover: When +DI (Positive Directional Indicator) and -DI (Negative Directional Indicator) cross, it may signal a trend reversal, guiding traders when to exit or enter an opposite position. ◎ Filtering Market Noise: By distinguishing between trending and range-bound markets, ADX helps filter out trade setups with lower profit potential and focus on those with a higher probability of success. Stochastic Oscillator
The Stochastic Oscillator can also be used as a tool to identify overbought and oversold conditions on a 15-minute basis, building upon the Average Directional Index. This indicator is well-suited for short-term traders looking to capitalize on rapid market fluctuations.
The Stochastic Oscillator involves two lines: %K, which measures the current price relative to the high and low prices during the specified period; and %D,
Is the moving average of %K. When %K breaks through %D in the oversold zone (below 20), it usually means a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, when %K breaks through %D in the overbought zone (above 80), it usually means a potential buying opportunity.
A break below %D typically signals a sell signal. The Stochastic Oscillator's settings are adjustable; however, on a 15-minute chart, traders typically use a 14-period %K and a 3-period %D. These settings help smooth the indicator's output and make signals clearer, especially in short-term trading, where frequent price fluctuations can easily interfere with signals.
Identifying divergences in the Stochastic Oscillator can improve your trading accuracy. Divergences occur when prices form new highs or lows without a corresponding change in the Stochastic Oscillator, suggesting a possible price reversal. Divergences can serve as clues to potential strength or weakness in price movements that may not be apparent in pure price action.
SuperTrend
Another important indicator for 15-minute trading is SuperTrend, which effectively identifies trend direction and sets ideal stop-loss levels. SuperTrend's strength lies in its simplicity and clarity, accurately signaling bullish or bearish market sentiment.
SuperTrend combines price volatility and Average True Range (ATR) factors to determine trendline placement. This helps traders make quick, informed decisions based on current market conditions, especially for short-term trading like on a 15-minute chart.
When configuring SuperTrend settings, traders typically adjust the ATR multiplier and period to suit the volatility and price dynamics of the instrument being traded. Adjusting these settings is crucial for increasing the indicator's sensitivity to price fluctuations, thereby improving the accuracy of trend predictions and the effectiveness of stop-loss orders.
Determine entry and exit points
Determining precise entry and exit points on a 15-minute Forex chart requires the use of technical indicators and chart patterns to quickly capture short-term price fluctuations. Traders must analyze a variety of trading indicators and patterns to make informed decisions quickly.
The following are important tools and concepts for determining entry and exit points:
◎ Candlestick Patterns: Use common 15-minute candlestick patterns such as engulfing candlesticks, hammers, or shooting stars. These patterns can indicate potential reversals or trend continuations, providing clear signals for entry or exit.
Fibonacci Retracement: Apply Fibonacci retracement levels to identify potential reversal points in the short term. These retracement levels often act as support or resistance levels where the price may stall or reverse, making them very important in fast trading.
Support and Resistance Levels: Strong support and resistance levels are crucial in 15-minute trading. They provide areas where price may pause or reverse. Identifying these levels helps in developing entry plans for breakout or rebound trades and setting precise stop-loss or take-profit points.
◎ RSI and Moving Averages: Combine the RSI with a moving average (such as the crossover of the 5EMA and 20EMA) to confirm entry signals. The RSI helps identify overbought or oversold conditions, while the moving average is used to determine trend direction and momentum, helping to execute trades in a timely manner. Three common 15-minute trading strategies
Several strategies are widely used due to their effectiveness and adaptability.
The opening range breakout strategy capitalizes on early market volatility to establish profitable positions.
Conversely, breakout backtesting strategies and trading bull flags offer ways to identify and exploit patterns for potential profits within this short time frame.
Opening range breakthrough strategy
The Opening Range Breakout strategy capitalizes on the volatility of the first 15-minute candlestick of a currency pair after the London session opens, profiting by setting trades at its highs and lows.
By focusing on price action during this timeframe, traders can see potential directional trends based on the strength and market movement following the market open.
◎ Visual candlestick chart: The first 15-minute candlestick is crucial; its upper and lower shadows represent potential breakthrough points.
Market entry: Traders place buy orders above the candlestick's high and sell orders below its low, aiming to capture rapid moves.
Volatility Analysis: Evaluating the size and shape of the opening candlesticks can provide insight into early market sentiment and potential volatility.
◎ Trend Identification: A successful breakthrough may confirm or establish the trend direction and guide subsequent trading decisions.
The Opening Range Breakout Forex Strategy uses candlestick patterns to identify trading opportunities and ensures traders are aligned with the market's initial momentum by observing price action and market volatility.
While the opening range breakout strategy capitalizes on early market volatility, the breakout and retest strategy focuses on capturing price action after retesting key support or resistance levels. This currency trading method is based on the principle that once a key level is broken, prices are likely to test that level again before the trend continues.
Traders using this method watch for breakout patterns on higher time frames, such as the 1-hour or 4-hour chart, to identify relevant support or resistance levels for the currency pair.
Once these levels are identified, the strategy then moves to the 15-minute chart, focusing on retest rallies. The core of the strategy is to enter trades during these rallies, taking advantage of the frequent small fluctuations that occur when price retests previously broken levels.
After 10 years of cryptocurrency trading, I have increased my capital from 100,000 to 20 million yuan, just by using this method. The winning rate is as high as 99%, which is suitable for everyone.
The method I am going to share with you today is actually very simple. Even if you are a newbie in the cryptocurrency world, you can easily make money as long as you strictly follow this method.
First, we need to set the moving averages on the candlestick chart* to three moving averages: the 5-day moving average, the 15-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average. The 30-day moving average is the lifeline, which is a strong support or resistance line. Then, we can buy and sell the currency based on these three moving averages.
1. The selected coin must be in an upward trend. Of course, it is also acceptable to be in consolidation, but it must not be selected if it is in a downward trend or the moving average opening is downward.
2. Divide the funds into three equal parts. When the price breaks through the 5-day moving average, buy 30% of the position with a light position. When the price breaks through the 15-day moving average, buy another 30%. Similarly, when it breaks through the 30-day moving average, buy the last 30%. This requirement must be strictly implemented.
3. If the price of the currency does not break through the 15-day moving average after breaking through the 5-day moving average, but instead falls back, as long as the fall back does not break through the 5-day moving average +, maintain the original position and sell if it falls below.
4. Similarly, if the price breaks through the 15-day moving average but does not continue to break upward, continue to hold it if it falls back but does not break through the 15-day moving average. If it falls below the 15-day moving average, sell 30% first. If it does not break through the 5-day moving average, continue to hold 30% of the position held at the 5-day moving average.
5. When the price of the currency continues to rise and breaks through the 30-day moving average and then falls back, sell it all at once according to the previous method.
6. Selling is the opposite of this. When the price is high and falls below the 5-day moving average, sell 30% of your position. If it doesn't fall further, hold the remaining 60%. If the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day moving averages are all broken, sell all your position. Don't be tempted by chance.
This "fool-proof" operation method is simple, but the most important thing is execution. After you buy, the buying and selling system is formed. Only by strictly following the trading discipline can you make a profit.
To put it bluntly, playing around in the cryptocurrency world is a battle between retail investors and bankers. If you don't have cutting-edge news and first-hand information, you can only be harvested! If you want to make plans together and harvest the bankers together, you can follow me!
Welcome like-minded people in the cryptocurrency circle to discuss together~ There is a saying that I agree with very much: the boundaries of knowledge determine the boundaries of wealth, and people can only earn wealth within the boundaries of their knowledge.
You must have a good mentality when trading cryptocurrencies. Don't let your blood pressure soar when there is a big drop, and don't get carried away when there is a big rise. It is more important to lock in your profits.
