加密印钞姬
公众号同名：加密印钞姬、穿运动鞋踏交易场，拎铂金包看K线图，既追比特币的收益，也懂爱马仕的溢价 Web3世界打怪升级中，用逻辑拆解白皮书，用审美甄选百倍币，肌肉与账户同步实现复利增长
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Here we only screen tough bones, not raise fragile giants.
I. The Cost of Compromise: The Lesson of Being 'Harvested' by the US
In 2018, China chose to compromise to protect employment by signing the first phase trade agreement, promising to buy an additional 200 billion USD worth of agricultural products and energy from the US each year. But what was the result?
Renminbi Depreciation: The USD to RMB rate skyrocketed from 6.5 to 7.3, equivalent to a 12% reduction in the purchasing power of ordinary Chinese citizens in the international market.
Tariffs intercepted by the US: Tariffs paid by China were used by Trump to reduce taxes in the US, making American citizens richer while China became poorer.
The US inching forward: After compromising, US tariffs increased from 7.5% to 54%, and now even to 104%. China must pay 250 billion USD in taxes on 500 billion USD in exports, five times the profit.
In 2018, China chose to compromise to protect employment by signing the first phase trade agreement, promising to buy an additional 200 billion USD worth of agricultural products and energy from the US each year. But what was the result?
Renminbi Depreciation: The USD to RMB rate skyrocketed from 6.5 to 7.3, equivalent to a 12% reduction in the purchasing power of ordinary Chinese citizens in the international market.
Tariffs intercepted by the US: Tariffs paid by China were used by Trump to reduce taxes in the US, making American citizens richer while China became poorer.
The US inching forward: After compromising, US tariffs increased from 7.5% to 54%, and now even to 104%. China must pay 250 billion USD in taxes on 500 billion USD in exports, five times the profit.
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Trump publicly supports Musk: You have been wronged! The cabinet collectively applauds to bid farewell.
Once a 'White House favorite', Musk is now stepping back from the political stage.
I. A touching moment at Trump's cabinet meeting
On April 30 local time, U.S. President Trump suddenly said to Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who was sitting nearby during a White House cabinet meeting: 'You have been treated unfairly, but the vast majority of people in this country really respect and appreciate you.' As soon as he finished speaking, the ministers present applauded collectively, and the atmosphere became subtle.
Trump then joked: 'I guess he (Musk) is always thinking about going home, back to his cars and family.' Behind this statement is Musk's tough balance between government and business over the past few months.
I. A touching moment at Trump's cabinet meeting
On April 30 local time, U.S. President Trump suddenly said to Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who was sitting nearby during a White House cabinet meeting: 'You have been treated unfairly, but the vast majority of people in this country really respect and appreciate you.' As soon as he finished speaking, the ministers present applauded collectively, and the atmosphere became subtle.
Trump then joked: 'I guess he (Musk) is always thinking about going home, back to his cars and family.' Behind this statement is Musk's tough balance between government and business over the past few months.
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Tonight's non-farm data will be a key factor in deciding the bull's return?
Tonight's non-farm data will be a key turning point for the crypto market! It's like the final whistle in a football match, directly determining the outcome.
I. Why is non-farm data important?
Non-farm data is the monthly employment report released by the U.S., including three core indicators: new jobs added, unemployment rate, and average hourly wage. It directly affects the Federal Reserve's monetary policy:
Strong data (e.g., new jobs added above expectations): Possible interest rate hikes → USD appreciation → downward pressure on cryptocurrencies.
Weak data (e.g., rising unemployment rate): Possible interest rate cuts → USD depreciation → potential rise in cryptocurrencies.
I. Why is non-farm data important?
Non-farm data is the monthly employment report released by the U.S., including three core indicators: new jobs added, unemployment rate, and average hourly wage. It directly affects the Federal Reserve's monetary policy:
Strong data (e.g., new jobs added above expectations): Possible interest rate hikes → USD appreciation → downward pressure on cryptocurrencies.
Weak data (e.g., rising unemployment rate): Possible interest rate cuts → USD depreciation → potential rise in cryptocurrencies.
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Federal Reserve's May 7 Interest Rate Decision: The Global Market is About to Face a Major Test! How Should Ordinary Investors Respond?
1. Meeting time and key points (Beijing time)
Meeting dates: May 6 - 7 (two consecutive days discussing interest rate policy)
Results announcement: May 8 at 2:00 AM (Federal Reserve announces interest rate decision)
Powell's speech: May 8 at 2:30 AM (Federal Reserve Chair interprets policy, a trigger for market volatility)
2. The three core issues the market is concerned about
Will interest rates change?
Three possibilities:
Rate hike: Extremely low probability (only 8.3% chance), unless inflation suddenly spirals out of control.
Rate cut: Market expectations are heating up, but the probability of a rate cut in May is only 8.3%, with most believing it will start in June.
Meeting dates: May 6 - 7 (two consecutive days discussing interest rate policy)
Results announcement: May 8 at 2:00 AM (Federal Reserve announces interest rate decision)
Powell's speech: May 8 at 2:30 AM (Federal Reserve Chair interprets policy, a trigger for market volatility)
2. The three core issues the market is concerned about
Will interest rates change?
Three possibilities:
Rate hike: Extremely low probability (only 8.3% chance), unless inflation suddenly spirals out of control.
Rate cut: Market expectations are heating up, but the probability of a rate cut in May is only 8.3%, with most believing it will start in June.
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How to bottom fish during an economic recession?
One, use the US stock market (S&P 500) to judge the timing of entry.
The US stock market is the 'weather vane' of risk markets; looking back at historical recessions:
2001 Internet bubble: S&P 500 dropped a maximum of 49%, average drop of 22%;
2008 financial crisis: maximum drop of 57%, average drop of 38%;
2020 pandemic
: maximum drop of 34%, average drop of 28%.
My strategy: When the S&P 500 drops about 20% from the current price (for example, below 4000 points or 4400 points), start buying Bitcoin in batches.
Two, use the 'fear index' (VIX) to gauge market sentiment.
VIX can reflect the level of panic in the US stock market:
The US stock market is the 'weather vane' of risk markets; looking back at historical recessions:
2001 Internet bubble: S&P 500 dropped a maximum of 49%, average drop of 22%;
2008 financial crisis: maximum drop of 57%, average drop of 38%;
2020 pandemic
: maximum drop of 34%, average drop of 28%.
My strategy: When the S&P 500 drops about 20% from the current price (for example, below 4000 points or 4400 points), start buying Bitcoin in batches.
Two, use the 'fear index' (VIX) to gauge market sentiment.
VIX can reflect the level of panic in the US stock market:
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I previously used a data reference called Entity-Adjusted LTH-NUPL, which is actually more accurate when analyzing Bitcoin (BTC), and it has never 'missed' in history.
However, I have always mentioned this indicator last because I am uncertain whether Bitcoin would fall into its 'red warning zone' in the event of an economic recession.
If it really does drop into this range, then this indicator will become my core signal for judging 'bottom buying'—as soon as it enters the red zone, I can start buying in batches, buying more as it falls.
Apart from the Entity-Adjusted LTH-NUPL data, no other indicators can assure me that 'buying now will definitely not result in a loss'.
Even this most reliable indicator cannot guarantee that you can buy at the lowest point.
So if an economic recession really causes Bitcoin to drop, buying should be slow and in batches; don’t go all in at once.
Ultimately, these are just reference standards based on data; actual operations still need to be judged in conjunction with the macroeconomic situation.
However, I have always mentioned this indicator last because I am uncertain whether Bitcoin would fall into its 'red warning zone' in the event of an economic recession.
If it really does drop into this range, then this indicator will become my core signal for judging 'bottom buying'—as soon as it enters the red zone, I can start buying in batches, buying more as it falls.
Apart from the Entity-Adjusted LTH-NUPL data, no other indicators can assure me that 'buying now will definitely not result in a loss'.
Even this most reliable indicator cannot guarantee that you can buy at the lowest point.
So if an economic recession really causes Bitcoin to drop, buying should be slow and in batches; don’t go all in at once.
Ultimately, these are just reference standards based on data; actual operations still need to be judged in conjunction with the macroeconomic situation.
The URPD data can be seen in everyone's daily operations, and in the past two months, the supportive role of this indicator has once again been validated, including the previously mentioned bottom support of Bitcoin at $70,000, which has indeed been effective.
Of course, it cannot be ruled out that the price may briefly fall below $70,000, but the range between $70,000 and $80,000 is likely to be the normal fluctuation range during a sluggish market.
My plan is as follows: If the price of Bitcoin falls below $75,000, I will start buying in batches. However, it is currently uncertain whether it can drop to this level.
Therefore, I will refer to the S&P 500 index and the VIX fear index. The first of these three indicators (URPD, S&P 500, VIX) to reach the preset buying conditions will trigger action. Each purchase will be carried out in batches, and the more the price drops, the more I will increase the buying intensity.
Of course, it cannot be ruled out that the price may briefly fall below $70,000, but the range between $70,000 and $80,000 is likely to be the normal fluctuation range during a sluggish market.
My plan is as follows: If the price of Bitcoin falls below $75,000, I will start buying in batches. However, it is currently uncertain whether it can drop to this level.
Therefore, I will refer to the S&P 500 index and the VIX fear index. The first of these three indicators (URPD, S&P 500, VIX) to reach the preset buying conditions will trigger action. Each purchase will be carried out in batches, and the more the price drops, the more I will increase the buying intensity.
See original
The URPD data can be seen in everyone's daily operations, and in the past two months, the supportive role of this indicator has once again been validated, including the previously mentioned bottom support of Bitcoin at $70,000, which has indeed been effective.
Of course, it cannot be ruled out that the price may briefly fall below $70,000, but the range between $70,000 and $80,000 is likely to be the normal fluctuation range during a sluggish market.
My plan is as follows: If the price of Bitcoin falls below $75,000, I will start buying in batches. However, it is currently uncertain whether it can drop to this level.
Therefore, I will refer to the S&P 500 index and the VIX fear index. The first of these three indicators (URPD, S&P 500, VIX) to reach the preset buying conditions will trigger action. Each purchase will be carried out in batches, and the more the price drops, the more I will increase the buying intensity.
Of course, it cannot be ruled out that the price may briefly fall below $70,000, but the range between $70,000 and $80,000 is likely to be the normal fluctuation range during a sluggish market.
My plan is as follows: If the price of Bitcoin falls below $75,000, I will start buying in batches. However, it is currently uncertain whether it can drop to this level.
Therefore, I will refer to the S&P 500 index and the VIX fear index. The first of these three indicators (URPD, S&P 500, VIX) to reach the preset buying conditions will trigger action. Each purchase will be carried out in batches, and the more the price drops, the more I will increase the buying intensity.
There is a very useful 'Panic Thermometer' in the US stock market called the VIX Index, which we have discussed many times before. In simple terms:
1. When it rises above 30, it indicates that the market is starting to panic, and the US stock market may experience a short-term decline;
2. If it exceeds 50, it can basically be considered that the economy is entering a recession phase;
3. If it skyrockets above 80, that signifies the peak period of the most severe recession, which reached this level during the 2008 financial crisis and the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.
My thought is to take 70 as a signal, which is between 50 (the starting point of recession) and 80 (the peak of recession). When the VIX Index exceeds 70, it is time to start gradually buying Bitcoin at a low price.
At this point, the market's panic sentiment is strong, often making it a good opportunity to pick up cheap chips.
1. When it rises above 30, it indicates that the market is starting to panic, and the US stock market may experience a short-term decline;
2. If it exceeds 50, it can basically be considered that the economy is entering a recession phase;
3. If it skyrockets above 80, that signifies the peak period of the most severe recession, which reached this level during the 2008 financial crisis and the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.
My thought is to take 70 as a signal, which is between 50 (the starting point of recession) and 80 (the peak of recession). When the VIX Index exceeds 70, it is time to start gradually buying Bitcoin at a low price.
At this point, the market's panic sentiment is strong, often making it a good opportunity to pick up cheap chips.
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There is a very useful 'Panic Thermometer' in the US stock market called the VIX Index, which we have discussed many times before. In simple terms:
1. When it rises above 30, it indicates that the market is starting to panic, and the US stock market may experience a short-term decline;
2. If it exceeds 50, it can basically be considered that the economy is entering a recession phase;
3. If it skyrockets above 80, that signifies the peak period of the most severe recession, which reached this level during the 2008 financial crisis and the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.
My thought is to take 70 as a signal, which is between 50 (the starting point of recession) and 80 (the peak of recession). When the VIX Index exceeds 70, it is time to start gradually buying Bitcoin at a low price.
At this point, the market's panic sentiment is strong, often making it a good opportunity to pick up cheap chips.
1. When it rises above 30, it indicates that the market is starting to panic, and the US stock market may experience a short-term decline;
2. If it exceeds 50, it can basically be considered that the economy is entering a recession phase;
3. If it skyrockets above 80, that signifies the peak period of the most severe recession, which reached this level during the 2008 financial crisis and the outbreak of the pandemic in 2020.
My thought is to take 70 as a signal, which is between 50 (the starting point of recession) and 80 (the peak of recession). When the VIX Index exceeds 70, it is time to start gradually buying Bitcoin at a low price.
At this point, the market's panic sentiment is strong, often making it a good opportunity to pick up cheap chips.
Combining data from the three economic recessions after 2000, here is a summary of personal bottom-fishing ideas (for reference only, no guarantee of correctness):
Taking the S&P 500 index in the United States as an example, it has dropped every time the economy worsened, and it is quite valuable for reference:
1. In 2001, the tech bubble burst, and the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 49%, with an average drop of 22%;
2. In the 2008 financial crisis, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 57%, with an average drop of 38%;
3. In the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 34%, with an average drop of 28%.
Looking at it this way, the S&P 500 averages a drop of 20% - 30% during each recession.
So my strategy is:
Wait for the S&P 500 to drop about 20% from its current level, which means dropping below 4000 points (or around 4400 points, depending on the specific price at that time), and then start buying Bitcoin in batches.
In simple terms, it is based on the historical patterns of significant stock market declines, not expecting to buy at the lowest point, but waiting for the market to drop a certain amount before gradually entering and diversifying risks.
Taking the S&P 500 index in the United States as an example, it has dropped every time the economy worsened, and it is quite valuable for reference:
1. In 2001, the tech bubble burst, and the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 49%, with an average drop of 22%;
2. In the 2008 financial crisis, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 57%, with an average drop of 38%;
3. In the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 34%, with an average drop of 28%.
Looking at it this way, the S&P 500 averages a drop of 20% - 30% during each recession.
So my strategy is:
Wait for the S&P 500 to drop about 20% from its current level, which means dropping below 4000 points (or around 4400 points, depending on the specific price at that time), and then start buying Bitcoin in batches.
In simple terms, it is based on the historical patterns of significant stock market declines, not expecting to buy at the lowest point, but waiting for the market to drop a certain amount before gradually entering and diversifying risks.
See original
Combining data from the three economic recessions after 2000, here is a summary of personal bottom-fishing ideas (for reference only, no guarantee of correctness):
Taking the S&P 500 index in the United States as an example, it has dropped every time the economy worsened, and it is quite valuable for reference:
1. In 2001, the tech bubble burst, and the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 49%, with an average drop of 22%;
2. In the 2008 financial crisis, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 57%, with an average drop of 38%;
3. In the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 34%, with an average drop of 28%.
Looking at it this way, the S&P 500 averages a drop of 20% - 30% during each recession.
So my strategy is:
Wait for the S&P 500 to drop about 20% from its current level, which means dropping below 4000 points (or around 4400 points, depending on the specific price at that time), and then start buying Bitcoin in batches.
In simple terms, it is based on the historical patterns of significant stock market declines, not expecting to buy at the lowest point, but waiting for the market to drop a certain amount before gradually entering and diversifying risks.
Taking the S&P 500 index in the United States as an example, it has dropped every time the economy worsened, and it is quite valuable for reference:
1. In 2001, the tech bubble burst, and the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 49%, with an average drop of 22%;
2. In the 2008 financial crisis, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 57%, with an average drop of 38%;
3. In the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the S&P 500 fell a maximum of 34%, with an average drop of 28%.
Looking at it this way, the S&P 500 averages a drop of 20% - 30% during each recession.
So my strategy is:
Wait for the S&P 500 to drop about 20% from its current level, which means dropping below 4000 points (or around 4400 points, depending on the specific price at that time), and then start buying Bitcoin in batches.
In simple terms, it is based on the historical patterns of significant stock market declines, not expecting to buy at the lowest point, but waiting for the market to drop a certain amount before gradually entering and diversifying risks.
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4.30 Cryptocurrency Market Analysis
1. Market Sentiment: A waiting period wrapped in 'dovish' sentiment
Today's market is a bit 'divided':
On one hand, investors are not worried about a significant decline in US Q1 GDP data, but rather immersed in Fed official Waller's dovish remarks last week—he said that if signs of recession appear, the Fed would cut rates early to stabilize the market. This 'bad news = good news' logic makes everyone feel that the worse the data, the quicker the rate cuts come, potentially pushing risk assets higher.
On the other hand, market actions are indeed cautious:
Bitcoin price oscillated in the 93,500-95,750 range all day, with trading volume down 15% from yesterday. This indicates that people are a bit anxious, waiting for GDP at 20:30 and core PCE data at 22:00 tonight to see if it really is 'bad news fully priced in'.
Today's market is a bit 'divided':
On one hand, investors are not worried about a significant decline in US Q1 GDP data, but rather immersed in Fed official Waller's dovish remarks last week—he said that if signs of recession appear, the Fed would cut rates early to stabilize the market. This 'bad news = good news' logic makes everyone feel that the worse the data, the quicker the rate cuts come, potentially pushing risk assets higher.
On the other hand, market actions are indeed cautious:
Bitcoin price oscillated in the 93,500-95,750 range all day, with trading volume down 15% from yesterday. This indicates that people are a bit anxious, waiting for GDP at 20:30 and core PCE data at 22:00 tonight to see if it really is 'bad news fully priced in'.
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Trump's First Hundred Days: A Tangle of Chaos and Controversy
On April 30 local time, Trump ended his second term's 100 days in office. This president, who once shouted 'Make America Great Again', now hands over a controversial report card:
1. Approval ratings hit an all-time low.
39%: A joint poll by U.S. media shows that Trump's approval rating has dropped to 39%, the lowest record for U.S. presidents in the first three months of their term in the past 80 years.
Economic Concerns: 72% of Americans believe his economic policies could lead to a short-term recession, 53% feel the national economy is getting worse, and 41% say their financial situation has deteriorated.
1. Approval ratings hit an all-time low.
39%: A joint poll by U.S. media shows that Trump's approval rating has dropped to 39%, the lowest record for U.S. presidents in the first three months of their term in the past 80 years.
Economic Concerns: 72% of Americans believe his economic policies could lead to a short-term recession, 53% feel the national economy is getting worse, and 41% say their financial situation has deteriorated.
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In the last 4 hours, the price of Bitcoin has not broken through the previous range of fluctuations and is still oscillating within the old range.
After the price volatility narrowed within 1 hour yesterday, a downward breakthrough occurred, but it has not yet fallen to the key support level on the 4-hour chart before being pulled back up by buying pressure.
This indicates that as long as the price drops below 94,000, there will be a lot of funds actively buying in. Although the overall trend is still oscillating within the range, the support at the bottom during each decline is becoming stronger, and bullish sentiment is continuously accumulating at lower levels, with each low point of the pullback gradually rising.
Tonight, pay close attention to the release of the U.S. GDP data and core PCE data. These two important economic indicators may stimulate the price to break through the recent 4-hour oscillating range, resulting in a clear direction of rise or fall.
After the price volatility narrowed within 1 hour yesterday, a downward breakthrough occurred, but it has not yet fallen to the key support level on the 4-hour chart before being pulled back up by buying pressure.
This indicates that as long as the price drops below 94,000, there will be a lot of funds actively buying in. Although the overall trend is still oscillating within the range, the support at the bottom during each decline is becoming stronger, and bullish sentiment is continuously accumulating at lower levels, with each low point of the pullback gradually rising.
Tonight, pay close attention to the release of the U.S. GDP data and core PCE data. These two important economic indicators may stimulate the price to break through the recent 4-hour oscillating range, resulting in a clear direction of rise or fall.
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This Yuuya Mikami meme coin presale is definitely a trap
1. A bottomless pit for fundraising, clearly aimed at scamming retail investors
Ordinary projects usually set a fundraising cap to prevent being crushed by capital. But this coin directly plays "72 hours of unlimited fundraising," meaning they will take as much as you invest, clearly aiming to drain retail investors' money.
This kind of play is a typical "pig slaughtering" scheme in the crypto world; once the retail investors are all in, the project team can run away with the money at any time.
2. Robots are grabbing money; ordinary people can't compete at all
When such popular projects launch, professional teams will use "scrapers" and "scientists" to frantically grab coins.
Their speed is thousands of times faster than retail investors; by the time you open your wallet to buy, the coin price has already been pushed up, and then they sell off to cash out. Retail investors are just left as the bag holders, unable to get even a drop.
Ordinary projects usually set a fundraising cap to prevent being crushed by capital. But this coin directly plays "72 hours of unlimited fundraising," meaning they will take as much as you invest, clearly aiming to drain retail investors' money.
This kind of play is a typical "pig slaughtering" scheme in the crypto world; once the retail investors are all in, the project team can run away with the money at any time.
2. Robots are grabbing money; ordinary people can't compete at all
When such popular projects launch, professional teams will use "scrapers" and "scientists" to frantically grab coins.
Their speed is thousands of times faster than retail investors; by the time you open your wallet to buy, the coin price has already been pushed up, and then they sell off to cash out. Retail investors are just left as the bag holders, unable to get even a drop.
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The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice in the second half of the year! Is the cryptocurrency market about to see a major rally?
On April 29, economist Melanie Baker from a London asset management company reported that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates twice in 2025, and the earliest would be in the second half of the year, when the U.S. economy may slow down significantly.
As soon as this news came out, the cryptocurrency market erupted, with many discussing whether this means the cryptocurrency market is about to welcome a major rally.
1. Money in the market will increase, and the cryptocurrency market may become a 'capital reservoir.'
1. The Federal Reserve cutting interest rates essentially means lowering the cost of borrowing, which will significantly increase liquidity in the market.
As soon as this news came out, the cryptocurrency market erupted, with many discussing whether this means the cryptocurrency market is about to welcome a major rally.
1. Money in the market will increase, and the cryptocurrency market may become a 'capital reservoir.'
1. The Federal Reserve cutting interest rates essentially means lowering the cost of borrowing, which will significantly increase liquidity in the market.
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A key policy of the Trump administration regarding cryptocurrency is about to reach an important milestone — the "60-day Bitcoin strategic reserve assessment period" originally scheduled to expire on May 5 may have new impacts on the cryptocurrency market.
According to the executive order signed by Trump in March, the U.S. Treasury is required to submit a detailed report on the feasibility of establishing a national Bitcoin reserve within 60 days (i.e., by May 5).
This report will determine whether the U.S. officially incorporates Bitcoin into its strategic reserve assets and may involve how to use tariff revenues, adjust gold reserves, and other funding sources to purchase Bitcoin.
Although this policy does not directly "ban" Bitcoin, the market previously misinterpreted it as a "ban," leading to price fluctuations in Bitcoin.
It is noteworthy that the Trump administration's attitude towards cryptocurrency has undergone a significant shift. During the 2024 election, Trump received strong support from the cryptocurrency industry and promised to ease regulations and push for the U.S. to become a "Bitcoin superpower."
The policy focus includes:
Establishing strategic reserves:
Plans to include cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum in national reserves, with the federal government currently holding approximately 200,000 Bitcoins (worth about $15.6 billion), and potentially expanding the reserve scale through asset seizures or government purchases in the future.
Deregulation:
Fired the previously hardline SEC Chairman Gensler, appointing pro-cryptocurrency Paul Atkins to succeed him, and rescinded several regulations that restricted the development of cryptocurrencies.
Crackdown on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC):
Clearly prohibits the issuance or use of CBDCs both domestically and internationally, instead supporting private digital currency innovation.
The implementation of these policies may have a dual impact on the market:
On one hand, the strategic reserve plan may enhance Bitcoin's status as "digital gold," attracting more institutional investors to enter the market;
On the other hand, regulatory uncertainties remain, such as the sources of reserve funds and specific implementation details still being unclear, which could lead to short-term price fluctuations.
If the report on May 5 sends positive signals, the price of Bitcoin may rise further;
Conversely, if the policy strength falls short of expectations, the market may experience a correction. Investors need to closely monitor the movements of the U.S. Treasury and subsequent legislative developments.
According to the executive order signed by Trump in March, the U.S. Treasury is required to submit a detailed report on the feasibility of establishing a national Bitcoin reserve within 60 days (i.e., by May 5).
This report will determine whether the U.S. officially incorporates Bitcoin into its strategic reserve assets and may involve how to use tariff revenues, adjust gold reserves, and other funding sources to purchase Bitcoin.
Although this policy does not directly "ban" Bitcoin, the market previously misinterpreted it as a "ban," leading to price fluctuations in Bitcoin.
It is noteworthy that the Trump administration's attitude towards cryptocurrency has undergone a significant shift. During the 2024 election, Trump received strong support from the cryptocurrency industry and promised to ease regulations and push for the U.S. to become a "Bitcoin superpower."
The policy focus includes:
Establishing strategic reserves:
Plans to include cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin and Ethereum in national reserves, with the federal government currently holding approximately 200,000 Bitcoins (worth about $15.6 billion), and potentially expanding the reserve scale through asset seizures or government purchases in the future.
Deregulation:
Fired the previously hardline SEC Chairman Gensler, appointing pro-cryptocurrency Paul Atkins to succeed him, and rescinded several regulations that restricted the development of cryptocurrencies.
Crackdown on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC):
Clearly prohibits the issuance or use of CBDCs both domestically and internationally, instead supporting private digital currency innovation.
The implementation of these policies may have a dual impact on the market:
On one hand, the strategic reserve plan may enhance Bitcoin's status as "digital gold," attracting more institutional investors to enter the market;
On the other hand, regulatory uncertainties remain, such as the sources of reserve funds and specific implementation details still being unclear, which could lead to short-term price fluctuations.
If the report on May 5 sends positive signals, the price of Bitcoin may rise further;
Conversely, if the policy strength falls short of expectations, the market may experience a correction. Investors need to closely monitor the movements of the U.S. Treasury and subsequent legislative developments.
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Waking up to find that Trump has made another big move
This time, he is not just shouting slogans on social media but has directly pulled out his 'digital wallet'—announcing the issuance of a digital currency called 'utility token,' which is said to be used to pay for services on his financial platform, Truth.
But anyone with clear eyes can see: this is not about promoting cryptocurrency; it's clearly a family affair to 'squeeze the retail investors'!
1. How wild is Trump's 'token issuance scheme'?
First raise money, then make promises
The coin Trump issued this time is called $TRUMP, and 80% of the tokens are held by him and his family company. What does that mean? It's like going to the supermarket and finding that 80% of the products on the shelves are 'shopping vouchers' printed by the owner, who claims these vouchers can be used as money.
But anyone with clear eyes can see: this is not about promoting cryptocurrency; it's clearly a family affair to 'squeeze the retail investors'!
1. How wild is Trump's 'token issuance scheme'?
First raise money, then make promises
The coin Trump issued this time is called $TRUMP, and 80% of the tokens are held by him and his family company. What does that mean? It's like going to the supermarket and finding that 80% of the products on the shelves are 'shopping vouchers' printed by the owner, who claims these vouchers can be used as money.
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This $500,000 VIP private event organized by Don Trump Jr. is essentially a 'crash course in political-business relations'.
The story goes like this:
Trump's eldest son, Don Trump Jr., recently opened a 'super-rich secret base' in Washington, specifically serving those big business owners and tech giants who want to curry favor with the Trump administration. Membership requires a $500,000 initiation fee, with annual renewal fees, and not just anyone with money can join; a recommendation is needed.
In the club, you can meet high officials like Secretary of State Rubio and Attorney General Bondi, and have private conversations with Republican bigwigs, away from the media and public eye. Once the news broke, spots were immediately snatched up, and many had to wait in line for a chance to join.
Trump's eldest son, Don Trump Jr., recently opened a 'super-rich secret base' in Washington, specifically serving those big business owners and tech giants who want to curry favor with the Trump administration. Membership requires a $500,000 initiation fee, with annual renewal fees, and not just anyone with money can join; a recommendation is needed.
In the club, you can meet high officials like Secretary of State Rubio and Attorney General Bondi, and have private conversations with Republican bigwigs, away from the media and public eye. Once the news broke, spots were immediately snatched up, and many had to wait in line for a chance to join.
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Trump's 'Hundred Days of Reform' has once again failed spectacularly!
This 'One Who Understands' president set a record for the lowest approval rating in the White House in eighty years, just three months into his second term — 39% of Americans approve of his work, a drop of 6 percentage points from the previous month. Even Olympic diving champions would have to admire this nosedive: 'Your posture is even better than mine!'
One, Economy: Wallets shrink faster than courts tearing up evidence.
1. Trump's 'tariff club' has smashed the US economy to pieces. 72% of the public believe his economic policies will make their wallets deflate faster than a leaking balloon, and 53% of shoppers are nostalgically recalling the prices during Biden's era while staring at rising price tags in supermarkets.
One, Economy: Wallets shrink faster than courts tearing up evidence.
1. Trump's 'tariff club' has smashed the US economy to pieces. 72% of the public believe his economic policies will make their wallets deflate faster than a leaking balloon, and 53% of shoppers are nostalgically recalling the prices during Biden's era while staring at rising price tags in supermarkets.
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Friends who have been trading cryptocurrencies for years without making 1 million, listen to my advice: remember these 10 key points and follow them. If it doesn’t work, come find me!
1. Don't mess around with little money! Catching a big opportunity once a year is enough; don’t invest all your money. Keep some cash on hand to protect yourself; if the market drops, you can buy more.
2. Earn as much as you understand! Don’t touch coins you don’t understand. You can practice on a demo account, but when using real money, your mindset is completely different. Learn and understand before you invest.
3. Don’t be greedy with good news! If you haven’t sold on the day of the news, and the next day it opens high, sell quickly. Everyone is waiting to sell on good news, and a high opening is an opportunity to exit. If you wait too long, you might be stuck.
4. Reduce your positions a week before holidays! During holidays, the market has little trading activity, and prices can easily spike or plummet. Don’t take that risk; it’s better to enjoy your holiday without worry.
5. Remember the “buy low, sell high” strategy for medium to long-term trading! Buy in batches when prices drop and sell in batches when they rise. This way, you can lower your costs and have flexible funds on hand, making you less fearful of market fluctuations.
6. For short-term trading, only choose popular coins! Don’t touch coins with low daily trading volumes; if no one is there to take your position, you’ll be stuck once you buy. Follow the trends of large capital flows; good liquidity means better profits.
7. Remember this rule: coins that decline slowly are likely to recover slowly; however, if they drop suddenly, the rebound can be quick. These opportunities can be seized, but don’t be greedy.
8. Be decisive with stop-losses! If you make a wrong purchase, don’t hold on blindly. Recognize your mistakes and cut your losses in time; protecting your principal gives you a chance to recover. Waiting too long may lead to deeper losses.
9. For short-term trading, look at the 15-minute K-line chart! Focus on the KDJ indicator. Sell when it reaches a peak (overbought) and buy when it hits a bottom (oversold). Combine it with MACD and RSI for better judgment; don’t rely on just one indicator.
10. Don’t learn too many technicals! Mastering two or three indicators is enough, such as KDJ and MACD. Learning too many can be confusing; understanding one indicator thoroughly is more beneficial.
It's that simple; the core idea is two words: “Restraint” — restrain greed, restrain frequent trading, protect your principal, and seize big opportunities; that’s what really matters!
1. Don't mess around with little money! Catching a big opportunity once a year is enough; don’t invest all your money. Keep some cash on hand to protect yourself; if the market drops, you can buy more.
2. Earn as much as you understand! Don’t touch coins you don’t understand. You can practice on a demo account, but when using real money, your mindset is completely different. Learn and understand before you invest.
3. Don’t be greedy with good news! If you haven’t sold on the day of the news, and the next day it opens high, sell quickly. Everyone is waiting to sell on good news, and a high opening is an opportunity to exit. If you wait too long, you might be stuck.
4. Reduce your positions a week before holidays! During holidays, the market has little trading activity, and prices can easily spike or plummet. Don’t take that risk; it’s better to enjoy your holiday without worry.
5. Remember the “buy low, sell high” strategy for medium to long-term trading! Buy in batches when prices drop and sell in batches when they rise. This way, you can lower your costs and have flexible funds on hand, making you less fearful of market fluctuations.
6. For short-term trading, only choose popular coins! Don’t touch coins with low daily trading volumes; if no one is there to take your position, you’ll be stuck once you buy. Follow the trends of large capital flows; good liquidity means better profits.
7. Remember this rule: coins that decline slowly are likely to recover slowly; however, if they drop suddenly, the rebound can be quick. These opportunities can be seized, but don’t be greedy.
8. Be decisive with stop-losses! If you make a wrong purchase, don’t hold on blindly. Recognize your mistakes and cut your losses in time; protecting your principal gives you a chance to recover. Waiting too long may lead to deeper losses.
9. For short-term trading, look at the 15-minute K-line chart! Focus on the KDJ indicator. Sell when it reaches a peak (overbought) and buy when it hits a bottom (oversold). Combine it with MACD and RSI for better judgment; don’t rely on just one indicator.
10. Don’t learn too many technicals! Mastering two or three indicators is enough, such as KDJ and MACD. Learning too many can be confusing; understanding one indicator thoroughly is more beneficial.
It's that simple; the core idea is two words: “Restraint” — restrain greed, restrain frequent trading, protect your principal, and seize big opportunities; that’s what really matters!
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Late Night Email Shocks Yiwu: Walmart Suddenly "Bears Tariffs" for Direct Procurement, Concealing a Big Game Behind It!
1. Plot Twist: From "Shifting Blame" to "Taking the Blame"
A month ago, Walmart was arrogantly demanding that Chinese factories bear 25% of the tariffs, threatening "if you don't lower prices, we'll change suppliers." As a result, in less than 20 days, the shelves of American supermarkets were empty — only empty boxes remained in the toy section, and the clothing section's hangers were swaying.
Walmart CEOs, in a panic, directly blocked the entrance to the White House: "If you don't allow China to proceed, we will go bankrupt together!"
On the night of April 28, an email exploded in the Yiwu foreign trade circle: Walmart announced that 1,700 Chinese factories would deliver directly to the US,
All tariffs are borne by the American side! Wang, the owner of a Shenzhen toy factory, extinguished his cigarette: "Last month they were still forcing us to lower prices by 10%, now they suddenly bow down, this drama is more exciting than a TV show!"
A month ago, Walmart was arrogantly demanding that Chinese factories bear 25% of the tariffs, threatening "if you don't lower prices, we'll change suppliers." As a result, in less than 20 days, the shelves of American supermarkets were empty — only empty boxes remained in the toy section, and the clothing section's hangers were swaying.
Walmart CEOs, in a panic, directly blocked the entrance to the White House: "If you don't allow China to proceed, we will go bankrupt together!"
On the night of April 28, an email exploded in the Yiwu foreign trade circle: Walmart announced that 1,700 Chinese factories would deliver directly to the US,
All tariffs are borne by the American side! Wang, the owner of a Shenzhen toy factory, extinguished his cigarette: "Last month they were still forcing us to lower prices by 10%, now they suddenly bow down, this drama is more exciting than a TV show!"
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