青梅煮币
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The "Cryptocurrency Trading Manual for Ordinary People" is updated monthly, with additional content, totaling 92 pages. Version 1.6 includes the following additions:
Revisions and supplements to the text.
The section on "Market Divergence Judgments" adds indicators for the actual market value changes of long-term holders (LTH) and short-term holders (STH).
The indicators section adds an investment market activity indicator (VIX and BTC).
The tools for analyzing candlestick charts section adds options for coordinate systems and periods.
Online reading URL:
https://online.fliphtml5.com/bkddgi/rbqz/
Revisions and supplements to the text.
The section on "Market Divergence Judgments" adds indicators for the actual market value changes of long-term holders (LTH) and short-term holders (STH).
The indicators section adds an investment market activity indicator (VIX and BTC).
The tools for analyzing candlestick charts section adds options for coordinate systems and periods.
Online reading URL:
https://online.fliphtml5.com/bkddgi/rbqz/
See original
The reading experience is best on a computer, and it is also quite good on a mobile phone. If you need a PDF electronic document, you can add me.
青梅煮币
--
The "Cryptocurrency Trading Manual for Ordinary People" is updated monthly, with additional content, totaling 92 pages. Version 1.6 includes the following additions:
Revisions and supplements to the text.
The section on "Market Divergence Judgments" adds indicators for the actual market value changes of long-term holders (LTH) and short-term holders (STH).
The indicators section adds an investment market activity indicator (VIX and BTC).
The tools for analyzing candlestick charts section adds options for coordinate systems and periods.
Online reading URL:
https://online.fliphtml5.com/bkddgi/rbqz/
Revisions and supplements to the text.
The section on "Market Divergence Judgments" adds indicators for the actual market value changes of long-term holders (LTH) and short-term holders (STH).
The indicators section adds an investment market activity indicator (VIX and BTC).
The tools for analyzing candlestick charts section adds options for coordinate systems and periods.
Online reading URL:
https://online.fliphtml5.com/bkddgi/rbqz/
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In the long run, it is only a matter of time before cryptocurrencies replace fiat currency. If the US stablecoin bill is passed in August, it will accelerate this process.
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This chart fully demonstrates the operational characteristics of long-term and short-term Bitcoin users.
LTH stands for long-term, and after hitting a low of 74500, they began to accumulate significantly. STH refers to short-term users, who sold off heavily as the market dropped towards 74500.
When the market fluctuated around 94000, short-term users (STH) began to buy in large quantities, while long-term users (LTH) started to become more conservative, even slightly reducing their positions. #BTC走势分析
LTH stands for long-term, and after hitting a low of 74500, they began to accumulate significantly. STH refers to short-term users, who sold off heavily as the market dropped towards 74500.
When the market fluctuated around 94000, short-term users (STH) began to buy in large quantities, while long-term users (LTH) started to become more conservative, even slightly reducing their positions. #BTC走势分析
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This year marks the peak of U.S. Treasury bond maturities, with nearly $9.2 trillion in bonds set to mature, including $6 trillion in June (last year only saw over $1 trillion). All $9.2 trillion need to be resold to buyers and have their interest recalculated.
Trump needs to lower the yield on government bonds before June, by any means necessary, or he will have to pay much more in interest.
In other words, if the yield on the U.S. ten-year Treasury bonds remains high, Trump's policies may lean towards being moderate, and a moderate tariff policy would be good for the investment market.
That's roughly the logic behind it. #关税
Trump needs to lower the yield on government bonds before June, by any means necessary, or he will have to pay much more in interest.
In other words, if the yield on the U.S. ten-year Treasury bonds remains high, Trump's policies may lean towards being moderate, and a moderate tariff policy would be good for the investment market.
That's roughly the logic behind it. #关税
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The latest release of 'Cryptocurrency Trading Handbook for Ordinary People' Version 1.5, the book has a total of 90 pages.
Online reading URL https://online.fliphtml5.com/bkddgi/gniw/
The reading experience is best on a computer, but it's also good on a mobile phone. If you need a PDF electronic document, please contact me.
Online reading URL https://online.fliphtml5.com/bkddgi/gniw/
The reading experience is best on a computer, but it's also good on a mobile phone. If you need a PDF electronic document, please contact me.
See original
The USDT.D here has confirmed a daily top divergence, while the K-line has continuously closed with bearish engulfing small bullish candles. This is also a clear downward structure. The USDT.D index is negatively correlated with BTC, so from the perspective of the USDT.D index, the rebound of BTC should not be over yet. #BTC走势分析
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The fans of Qingmei Bo Coin at Binance Square have just reached 10,000.
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/square/profile/qingmeizhubi
https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/square/profile/qingmeizhubi
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During the trade war, what determines the direction of Bitcoin?
青梅煮币
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Green Plum Boiling Coins: During the Tariff War, What Determines the Direction of Bitcoin?
U.S. tariffs on China have risen to 104%, and Chinese tariffs on the U.S. have risen to 84%. During the tariff war, how will Bitcoin perform?
Let's not waste words and get straight to the point.
One, the pricing power of Bitcoin is in the hands of the U.S.
No matter how unwilling, the pricing power of Bitcoin is currently in the hands of the U.S., which is a fact, so the price increase of Bitcoin is mainly influenced by U.S. economic policies.
Two, the most direct impact on Bitcoin's market is the U.S. interest rate cut.
The most direct impact on Bitcoin is the U.S. interest rate cut, and the probability of a rate cut in May is over 50% (reaching 54.8%), which seems to have gone unnoticed by everyone.
Let's not waste words and get straight to the point.
One, the pricing power of Bitcoin is in the hands of the U.S.
No matter how unwilling, the pricing power of Bitcoin is currently in the hands of the U.S., which is a fact, so the price increase of Bitcoin is mainly influenced by U.S. economic policies.
Two, the most direct impact on Bitcoin's market is the U.S. interest rate cut.
The most direct impact on Bitcoin is the U.S. interest rate cut, and the probability of a rate cut in May is over 50% (reaching 54.8%), which seems to have gone unnoticed by everyone.
See original
Green Plum Boiling Coins: During the Tariff War, What Determines the Direction of Bitcoin?
U.S. tariffs on China have risen to 104%, and Chinese tariffs on the U.S. have risen to 84%. During the tariff war, how will Bitcoin perform?
Let's not waste words and get straight to the point.
One, the pricing power of Bitcoin is in the hands of the U.S.
No matter how unwilling, the pricing power of Bitcoin is currently in the hands of the U.S., which is a fact, so the price increase of Bitcoin is mainly influenced by U.S. economic policies.
Two, the most direct impact on Bitcoin's market is the U.S. interest rate cut.
The most direct impact on Bitcoin is the U.S. interest rate cut, and the probability of a rate cut in May is over 50% (reaching 54.8%), which seems to have gone unnoticed by everyone.
Let's not waste words and get straight to the point.
One, the pricing power of Bitcoin is in the hands of the U.S.
No matter how unwilling, the pricing power of Bitcoin is currently in the hands of the U.S., which is a fact, so the price increase of Bitcoin is mainly influenced by U.S. economic policies.
Two, the most direct impact on Bitcoin's market is the U.S. interest rate cut.
The most direct impact on Bitcoin is the U.S. interest rate cut, and the probability of a rate cut in May is over 50% (reaching 54.8%), which seems to have gone unnoticed by everyone.
See original
On one hand, the tariff policy has increased the risk of economic recession in the United States (Goldman Sachs raised the probability of a recession in the U.S. in 12 months from 35% to 45%). On the other hand, it has accelerated the likelihood of interest rate cuts to avoid a recession (what was originally expected to be two interest rate cuts in 2025 may turn into three). Therefore, fortune and misfortune are interdependent, making the situation very complex.
See original
The article written on March 29 can still be used as a reference. #ETH
青梅煮币
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Qingmei Bo Coin: Analysis of ETH Structure and Possible Drop Locations
In the past month, my three most important suggestions for market development (see screenshot):
First, buy BTC below 79,500.
Second, sell BTC near 88,000.
Third, ETH should be sold near 2,100.
Now, let's talk about ETH.
Look at ETH's weekly chart.
From 2018 to the end of 2021, it can be considered that a 5-wave structure has been formed, peaking at 4,868 USD.
Since 4,868 USD, a huge adjustment has been ongoing.
The drop from 4,868 USD to 881 USD is wave A.
The rise from 881 USD to 4,107 USD is wave B, which is roughly the 0.786 Fibonacci level of wave A.
The decline since 4,107 USD is wave C.
Currently, it seems that the overall situation may be a platform-type adjustment wave, where the structure of wave C is generally 5 waves or a terminal wedge. Since the decline since 4,107 has been very smooth, the probability of a 5-wave structure is higher.
First, buy BTC below 79,500.
Second, sell BTC near 88,000.
Third, ETH should be sold near 2,100.
Now, let's talk about ETH.
Look at ETH's weekly chart.
From 2018 to the end of 2021, it can be considered that a 5-wave structure has been formed, peaking at 4,868 USD.
Since 4,868 USD, a huge adjustment has been ongoing.
The drop from 4,868 USD to 881 USD is wave A.
The rise from 881 USD to 4,107 USD is wave B, which is roughly the 0.786 Fibonacci level of wave A.
The decline since 4,107 USD is wave C.
Currently, it seems that the overall situation may be a platform-type adjustment wave, where the structure of wave C is generally 5 waves or a terminal wedge. Since the decline since 4,107 has been very smooth, the probability of a 5-wave structure is higher.
See original
If Bitcoin rallies, the main resistance levels are as follows:
87700
89500
91200
87700
89500
91200
青梅煮币
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Qingmei Stewed Coin: Bitcoin has reached a crossroads in direction choice, leaving little time for the bulls!
The previous article mainly discussed my views on ETH (Qingmei Stewed Coin: Analysis of ETH's Structure and Possible Price Levels), this article will talk about BTC, let's first look at the chart.
In logarithmic coordinates, the upper side of the market is the downward trend line, and the lower side is the upward trend line. The market is oscillating between the two trend lines, with increasingly narrow space, leaving little time for the bulls.
For the bulls to move upwards, they must first break through the downward trend line with increased volume. The current position of the trend line is around $87,700, which coincides with the chip pressure level. However, breaking through the trend line is not enough; the market needs to stay above $91,000 for the bulls to gain an advantage.
In logarithmic coordinates, the upper side of the market is the downward trend line, and the lower side is the upward trend line. The market is oscillating between the two trend lines, with increasingly narrow space, leaving little time for the bulls.
For the bulls to move upwards, they must first break through the downward trend line with increased volume. The current position of the trend line is around $87,700, which coincides with the chip pressure level. However, breaking through the trend line is not enough; the market needs to stay above $91,000 for the bulls to gain an advantage.
See original
Bitcoin has reached a crossroads for direction again, and time is running out for the bulls!
青梅煮币
--
Qingmei Stewed Coin: Bitcoin has reached a crossroads in direction choice, leaving little time for the bulls!
The previous article mainly discussed my views on ETH (Qingmei Stewed Coin: Analysis of ETH's Structure and Possible Price Levels), this article will talk about BTC, let's first look at the chart.
In logarithmic coordinates, the upper side of the market is the downward trend line, and the lower side is the upward trend line. The market is oscillating between the two trend lines, with increasingly narrow space, leaving little time for the bulls.
For the bulls to move upwards, they must first break through the downward trend line with increased volume. The current position of the trend line is around $87,700, which coincides with the chip pressure level. However, breaking through the trend line is not enough; the market needs to stay above $91,000 for the bulls to gain an advantage.
In logarithmic coordinates, the upper side of the market is the downward trend line, and the lower side is the upward trend line. The market is oscillating between the two trend lines, with increasingly narrow space, leaving little time for the bulls.
For the bulls to move upwards, they must first break through the downward trend line with increased volume. The current position of the trend line is around $87,700, which coincides with the chip pressure level. However, breaking through the trend line is not enough; the market needs to stay above $91,000 for the bulls to gain an advantage.
See original
Qingmei Stewed Coin: Bitcoin has reached a crossroads in direction choice, leaving little time for the bulls!
The previous article mainly discussed my views on ETH (Qingmei Stewed Coin: Analysis of ETH's Structure and Possible Price Levels), this article will talk about BTC, let's first look at the chart.
In logarithmic coordinates, the upper side of the market is the downward trend line, and the lower side is the upward trend line. The market is oscillating between the two trend lines, with increasingly narrow space, leaving little time for the bulls.
For the bulls to move upwards, they must first break through the downward trend line with increased volume. The current position of the trend line is around $87,700, which coincides with the chip pressure level. However, breaking through the trend line is not enough; the market needs to stay above $91,000 for the bulls to gain an advantage.
In logarithmic coordinates, the upper side of the market is the downward trend line, and the lower side is the upward trend line. The market is oscillating between the two trend lines, with increasingly narrow space, leaving little time for the bulls.
For the bulls to move upwards, they must first break through the downward trend line with increased volume. The current position of the trend line is around $87,700, which coincides with the chip pressure level. However, breaking through the trend line is not enough; the market needs to stay above $91,000 for the bulls to gain an advantage.
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