During the trade war, what determines the direction of Bitcoin?

U.S. tariffs on China have risen to 104%, and Chinese tariffs on the U.S. have risen to 84%. During the tariff war, how will Bitcoin perform?
Let's not waste words and get straight to the point.
One, the pricing power of Bitcoin is in the hands of the U.S.
No matter how unwilling, the pricing power of Bitcoin is currently in the hands of the U.S., which is a fact, so the price increase of Bitcoin is mainly influenced by U.S. economic policies.
Two, the most direct impact on Bitcoin's market is the U.S. interest rate cut.
The most direct impact on Bitcoin is the U.S. interest rate cut, and the probability of a rate cut in May is over 50% (reaching 54.8%), which seems to have gone unnoticed by everyone.