Nico Frost

The crypto market is heating up: The SEC officially drops its case against Binance, Bitcoin holds strong above $105,000, whales are cashing out, and institutions are buying the dip.
Here’s a fast, insightful roundup of what’s moving $BTC , DOGE, TRX and how the Fed, BlackRock, and macro headlines are shaping the market.
Binance
The SEC has dropped its lawsuit against Binance.
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission officially ended the civil case against Binance with a “dismissed with prejudice” status — meaning it cannot be refiled. Binance called this a “landmark moment” and welcomed the regulator’s shift toward more open crypto market regulation.
Binance expands offerings:
The meme token $BOB has been listed.A perpetual futures contract LA/USDT with up to 50x leverage has launched.
Additional Binance updates:
Binance announced participation rules for Alpha users in the CUDIS TGE — the threshold is 210 points.
Binance added monitoring tags to tokens BIFI, FIS, KMD, and MDT.Binance Wallet launched a Solana staking campaign with a total prize pool of $1 million.Binance completed the integration of Hashflow (HFT) into the Solana network, enabling token deposits and withdrawals.Launched the “Liquidity Boost Program for Small-Cap Coins,” starting with IOTX.
Crypto Market
Market correction: Bitcoin ($BTC) is holding above $105,000 amid active profit-taking by major investors. Among altcoins, Dogecoin ($DOGE) and Cardano ($ADA) saw the most significant decline. TRON ($TRX ) was one of the few top altcoins to show growth. The market sentiment index remains in the “greed” zone, which gives analysts grounds to predict a potential new BTC rally.Major liquidations: Around $200 million in positions were forcibly liquidated over the past 24 hours, mostly long positions.Whale activity: The largest BTC holders realized record profits, selling up to $500 million worth of Bitcoin in a short time. This triggered a temporary market pullback. At the same time, institutional investors are using the price dip to increase their positions, stabilizing the market.
Macroeconomics and Geopolitics
Pause in Fed rate hikes: Weak U.S. economic data increases expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause interest rate hikes and may begin cutting rates as early as this summer.Employment data revision: The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced a minor adjustment to April data, which does not affect the overall labor market stability.Postponement of U.S.–EU trade war: The U.S. has postponed the planned tariff increases on EU goods to July 9, 2025, reducing risks to the global economy.
Other Important Events
New SEC approach: Paul Atkins, the new head of the SEC, confirmed a commitment to open crypto regulation instead of a fine-and-lawsuit strategy.Cryptocurrencies in California: State lawmakers approved the use of crypto for paying government fees starting in 2026.Institutional adoption: BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF reached $72.4 billion in assets under management, reflecting record institutional interest in BTC and ETH.National BTC reserves: The U.S. and Pakistan are considering Bitcoin as a strategic asset to build national reserves and protect against economic threats.Coinbase: The platform added PancakeSwap ($CAKE ) to its roadmap.U.S. Senate: Michelle Bowman has been confirmed as Vice Chair for Supervision at the Federal Reserve.SEC: The Commission has delayed its decision on Canary’s spot SUI ETF application.
Conclusion
The latest developments highlight the growing recognition of cryptocurrencies by institutional players, regulators, and governments. The reduction in geopolitical risks and the softening of monetary policy create a favorable environment for further development of the crypto market — despite current volatility.
💬 What do you think is the most important event here? Comment below — and follow for more daily updates like this.
#news #TRX #Binance #BTC #MarketSentimentToday

Can Telegram's built-in blockchain $TON become the real entry point to mass crypto adoption? All signs point in that direction.
🚀 Overview
Toncoin (TON) is no longer just another altcoin — it’s the backbone of Telegram’s Web3 ambitions. With native wallet integration, real payments, and mini-app support inside a messenger used by 950M+ people, TON is building what many others promised: blockchain with real users.
📊 Current Market Snapshot & Technical View
Price: ~$3.55Market Cap: ~$8.9BKey Support: $3.20–3.30Key Resistance: $3.95–4.10Open Interest (Futures): +18% in MaySpot Volume: Rising steadily across Binance and top-tier exchanges
$TON is consolidating within a clear accumulation zone. Liquidity flow is stabilizing after earlier outflows into meme coins. A breakout above $4.10 could confirm trend continuation toward $4.60, but for now — controlled accumulation dominates.
🔧 Ecosystem Drivers
Telegram Officially Adopts TON as its only blockchainTON Wallet integrated into Telegram's UIPayments for Premium, Ads, Mini-Apps — all in TONUSDT live on TON, enabling stable DeFi flowsInfrastructure roll-out: TON DNS, TON Proxy, TON StorageReal users: games like Hamster Kombat bringing 100M+ monthly users
On-chain metrics reflect steady growth in active wallets, TVL, and transaction volume — driven not by hype, but by real-world usage inside a globally scaled app.
🔭 Outlook
With direct distribution to Telegram’s user base, $TON enjoys a unique position in crypto. Continued growth of the mini-app ecosystem, increased use of TON Connect, and stablecoin liquidity flows point to rising demand.
A breakout scenario above $4.10 may attract momentum capital — but sustainable upside will depend on user conversion, app diversity, and further infrastructure maturity.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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#TON #tonecoin #Toncoin #Binance #analysis

On June 4, 2025, Berachain activated its long-anticipated Bectra upgrade, a hard fork that introduced core components from Ethereum’s upcoming Pectra update directly into the Berachain mainnet. While Ethereum prepares for this shift, Berachain is already executing — offering developers and users these tools ahead of the curve. This is more than just a technical iteration — it’s a deliberate move to position Berachain as the most advanced EVM-compatible blockchain.
What Changed on the Technical Level
The upgrade introduced several network-level innovations:
Unstaking unlocked. Validators can now withdraw both rewards and principal from staked $BERA — similar to Ethereum’s Shanghai. This increases flexibility in the Proof-of-Liquidity (PoL) model and enables native restaking opportunities.Account Abstraction (EIP-7702). Any EOA (externally owned account) can now behave like a smart contract. This unlocks UX features like subscriptions, batch transactions, and fee payments in HONEY — Berachain’s native stablecoin.Support for Pectra EIPs. Berachain now implements several key Ethereum proposals: BLS12-381 precompile, historical block hash access (EIP-2935), proto-danksharding prep (EIP-7840), triggerable withdrawals, and unified execution APIs — pushing L1 scalability forward today, not tomorrow.Improvements for developers and node operators. Enhanced WebSocket stability, better tracking of pending stakes and withdrawals, and client synchronization updates reduce overhead and make Berachain more reliable for DeFi infrastructure.
Importantly, all these upgrades preserved full EVM compatibility. Over 200 existing dApps continued to function without interruption. Node software (BeaconKit v1.2.0 and updated Execution Layer) was coordinated in advance, and the hard fork was executed without incident.
Why This Might Be Bigger Than It Looks
Bectra feels less like a scheduled upgrade and more like a proof of maturity and agility. By adopting features that Ethereum itself hasn’t shipped yet, Berachain may:
Attract developers tired of long Ethereum roadmaps.Make onboarding easier for users, by simplifying wallet recovery, reducing friction in gas payments, and enabling automation.Draw interest from the DeFi sector, especially with restaking infrastructure and flexible staking mechanics now native to the protocol.
Signs of this are already surfacing: Everclear and Kyber Network are building cross-chain bridges to Berachain. If the ecosystem leans into these innovations, we may see a Base- or Solana-style explosion in adoption — but this time built on liquidity and infrastructure, not speculation alone.
What’s Happening with the BERA Token
After its mainnet launch in February 2025, $BERA spiked to ~$14 before falling into a consolidation phase between $2.20 and $2.60. The Bectra upgrade could become a pivot point — but not necessarily immediately. The outcome may depend on how the market digests the new features and whether usage metrics follow.
Increased liquidity from unstaking could add short-term sell pressure, as long-locked tokens re-enter circulation.Stronger long-term positioning may emerge from demand-side features like LSD token development and modular DeFi strategies that depend on restakable assets.
Technical Market Analysis
Support levels: $2.20–$2.30 remains a key demand zone. A breakdown could expose $1.85, though buying interest has held so far.Resistance zones: $2.95–$3.10 is the next logical ceiling, with $3.60 as a broader pivot level from previous market reactions.Volume & liquidity: Trading volumes hover between $60–65M/day. Roughly 43% of liquidity sits in the $2.35–$2.65 range — making it the current fair value cluster.RSI: Neutral at ~48.MACD: Slight bullish crossover; confirmation via volume still pending.
Whale Behavior
Outflows from CEX to wallets and DeFi grew ahead of the fork — likely positioning for staking withdrawals and experimentation.Validator addresses have begun testing withdrawals — modest in size but indicative of confidence in the upgrade mechanics.No aggressive accumulation from whales observed yet, but average transaction size has increased — suggesting possible stealth positioning post-fork.
If LSDs based on BERA emerge soon and new activity surges around account abstraction wallets, it could indicate a buildup phase in motion.
Looking Ahead: One Week Perspective
In the short term, markets may remain cautious — unlocked stake introduces some uncertainty. But if the network remains stable and we see upward trends in user activity, this moment could be remembered as a turning point.
If $BERA sees adoption in new restaking layers, if wallet developers start integrating AA-native features, and if DeFi liquidity flows rise, this might mark the beginning of Berachain’s growth phase. Price alone won’t capture that — but fundamentals might.
Conclusion
Bectra isn’t just another hard fork. It’s a test: can a new L1 keep pace with — or even surpass — Ethereum’s execution roadmap? Berachain seems ready to answer “yes.” The only question now is: will the market see it, and when?
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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#BERA #Berachain #EconomicAlert #analysis #Binance

$NEAR is a Layer-1 blockchain (L1) designed for scalability, user-friendly applications, and future-focused integration. Its core features include the Nightshade sharding technology, human-readable addresses, and a highly active developer ecosystem.
After peaking in 2021, NEAR experienced a sharp correction. However, by mid-2025, the network shows steady recovery. One key indicator is the Total Value Locked (TVL) across NEAR-based protocols, which has increased from $124 million in April to $173 million in May — a 40% rise, signaling renewed DeFi activity and inflow of liquidity.
Moreover, NEAR is increasingly seen as a player in the AI segment, thanks to emerging projects that combine blockchain and artificial intelligence. The protocol is also pioneering chain abstraction — a concept aimed at simplifying cross-chain interaction. This makes $NEAR a strong candidate for future AI integrations.
Current Market Overview (as of June 4, 2025)
Price: $2.52Market Cap: $3.08 billion24h Volume: $151 millionMarket Rank: #34Outlook: NEAR is recovering from a drop to $2.25 but remains below key moving averages (50/100/200 SMA), limiting short-term momentum.
Technical Analysis
MACD: Bullish crossover suggests potential upward movementRSI: 53 — neutral territory, no overbought signalChart Pattern: "Cup and handle" forming on the daily chart, potential breakout above $2.73 with volume confirmationKey Resistance: $2.63, $2.73, $3.00Support Levels: $2.44, $2.25
A breakout and daily close above $2.73 would confirm the trend reversal and may accelerate price movement toward $3.00 and beyond.
Fundamental Metrics
TVL: $173M as of end-May (+40% from April lows)DEX Volume: $17M daily average (+101% QoQ growth)Developer Activity: -27.7% in Q1 2025 — a potential headwind for rapid innovation
AI Potential and Infrastructure Narrative
Chain Abstraction Layer: Simplifies user interaction across chains — ideal for AI app integrationL2 and Cross-Chain Focus: Strong foundational positioningKey Ecosystem Projects: Aurora (EVM compatibility), Octopus (modular appchains), Calimero (private chains)
These elements form the basis for NEAR’s strategic role in powering future AI and interoperability solutions, especially if institutional interest in the AI sector intensifies.
Conclusion
$NEAR currently remains an underperformer compared to other top altcoins in 2025. This creates an attractive risk/reward profile. A confirmed breakout above $2.73 may trigger a rally toward $3.00 and higher.
Its fundamentals remain solid, although the decline in developer activity is a point to watch. Slower implementation of key updates could act as a drag in the short term.
Recommendation: Monitor trading volume, technical breakouts, and ecosystem updates. NEAR could emerge as a key AI infrastructure player if sector momentum continues.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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#NEAR🚀🚀🚀 #Near #EconomicAlert #Binance #analysis

$FET is stable around $0.80 — a price point that feels uneventful on the surface. But under the radar, institutions and tech alliances are positioning for what’s next. Here's why that matters.
Artificial Intelligence: beyond the hype
Fetch.ai, alongside SingularityNET and Ocean Protocol, is no longer just an AI narrative. It is now part of the Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (ASI) — a structural shift in the decentralized AI infrastructure.
FET plays a key role as an entry point into this ecosystem ahead of the unified ASI token.
Why this matters:
A token merger is underway, causing speculative demand pre-TGE.Institutional wallets are actively moving FET off exchanges.There is invisible pressure building while retail traders wait for a clear move.
Smart Money behavior: positioning has started
On-chain data from Arkham and SpotOnChain shows:
Over $3.2M worth of FET has been moved off exchanges in the past 5 days.Less than 10% of circulating supply remains on Binance.OTC desk volume for AI tokens has increased by 40% in 10 days.
This isn't just trading — it's structured positioning ahead of a major trigger.
Technical outlook (deeper focus)
1. H4 timeframe:
Price is compressing in a symmetrical triangle ($0.78–$0.84), with declining volume.OBV is slowly rising, suggesting hidden accumulation.RSI (14) remains in the 48–52 zone — neutral, with no distribution signals.EMA100 (H4) is acting as soft support — strengthening the base.
2. Daily chart (1D):
EMA50 is below current price, EMA200 is above — suggesting a base-phase setup.$0.85 marks a short liquidity zone, tested twice and rejected.A clean break above $0.85 with volume could open the path to $0.92–0.96 (pre-April highs).
Conclusion: why this matters now?
When the market looks quiet, it's often when the real shift begins — invisible to those watching only price. $FET is showing no dramatic moves, yet the flow of capital and behavioral data says otherwise.
The current range-bound price is not a sign of weakness, but rather a result of capital repositioning. Retail sees a “flat chart” — institutions see a countdown to the ASI token generation event.
If ASI becomes what it's designed to be, $FET — as one of its roots — could face structural supply compression. Right now is the phase where long-term positions are being quietly built — and only recognized after the move has started.

#FET #fet.ai #Fetch_ai #analysis #Binance

$NEAR , June 3, 2025. Short-term analysis (1–3 days) with weekly context.
NEAR Protocol is currently trading around $2.52, exhibiting a tight consolidation pattern. The price action suggests a potential breakout or breakdown, depending on upcoming market movements.
Market Structure and Technical Overview
After a period of consolidation, NEAR has been hovering between $2.40 and $2.60. The price is facing resistance at $2.60 and support at $2.40.
Key levels:
Resistance: $2.60 – $2.70Support: $2.40 – $2.30
Indicators:
EMA (50/100/200): The price is below the 50-day EMA, indicating short-term bearish momentum.RSI (D1): Currently at 42, suggesting neutral momentum.MACD (H4): Shows a bearish crossover, indicating potential downward movement.
Smart Money Zones and Intentions
The $2.60 – $2.70 range has been a significant area of interest, with multiple rejections in the past. A decisive break above this zone could trigger stop-loss orders from short positions, leading to increased buying pressure.
On the downside, the $2.40 – $2.30 support zone has held firm, indicating accumulation by larger players. A drop below this level might suggest a shift in market sentiment.
Institutional Flows and Market Context
ETF Inflows: Recent delays in ETF approvals have impacted market sentiment, contributing to NEAR's current price consolidation.Exchange Supply: The supply of $NEAR on exchanges remains stable, suggesting that investors are holding their positions.
Near-Term Scenarios to Monitor
If $NEAR breaks above the $2.60 – $2.70 resistance zone with strong volume, it could pave the way for a move towards $2.80 and potentially $3.00.
Conversely, if the price fails to break this resistance and falls below the $2.40 support, it may indicate a bearish trend, with the next support level around $2.20.
Conclusion
NEAR Protocol is at a critical juncture. A breakout above $2.70 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a drop below $2.40 might suggest a reversal. Monitoring these key levels and market indicators will be essential in the coming days.

#Near #NEAR🚀🚀🚀 #EconomicAlert #Binance #analysis

AVAX, June 3, 2025. Short-term analysis (1–3 days) with weekly context.
Avalanche ($AVAX ) is currently trading around $21.22, exhibiting a tight consolidation pattern. The price action suggests a potential breakout or breakdown, depending on upcoming market movements.
Market Structure and Technical Overview
After a period of consolidation, AVAX has been hovering between $20.00 and $22.50. The price is facing resistance at $22.50 and support at $20.00.
Key levels:
Resistance: $22.50 – $23.00Support: $20.00 – $19.50
Indicators:
EMA (50/100/200): The price is below the 50-day EMA, indicating short-term bearish momentum.RSI (D1): Currently at 45, suggesting neutral momentum.MACD (H4): Shows a bearish crossover, indicating potential downward movement.
Smart Money Zones and Intentions
The $22.50 – $23.00 range has been a significant area of interest, with multiple rejections in the past. A decisive break above this zone could trigger stop-loss orders from short positions, leading to increased buying pressure.
On the downside, the $20.00 – $19.50 support zone has held firm, indicating accumulation by larger players. A drop below this level might suggest a shift in market sentiment.
Institutional Flows and Market Context
ETF Inflows: Recent delays in ETF approvals have impacted market sentiment, contributing to AVAX's current price consolidation.Exchange Supply: The supply of Avalanche ($AVAX ) on exchanges remains stable, suggesting that investors are holding their positions.
Near-Term Scenarios to Monitor
If Avalanche ($AVAX ) breaks above the $22.50 – $23.00 resistance zone with strong volume, it could pave the way for a move towards $25.00 and potentially $27.00.
Conversely, if the price fails to break this resistance and falls below the $20.00 support, it may indicate a bearish trend, with the next support level around $18.50.
Conclusion
Avalanche is at a critical juncture. A breakout above $23.00 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a drop below $20.00 might suggest a reversal. Monitoring these key levels and market indicators will be essential in the coming days.

#AVAX✈️ #AvalancheAVAX #EconomicAlert #Binance #AvalancheUpdate

Solana ($SOL ), June 3, 2025. Short-term analysis (1–3 days) with weekly context.
Solana is currently trading around $160, showing resilience after recent corrections. The price action suggests a potential breakout if key resistance levels are surpassed.
Market Structure and Technical Overview
After a period of consolidation, Solana has rebounded from the $153 support level. The price is now approaching the $165 resistance zone, which has been tested multiple times in recent weeks.
Key levels:
Resistance: $165 – $170Support: $153 – $150
Indicators:
EMA (50/100/200): The price is above the 50-day EMA, indicating short-term bullish momentum. The 100-day and 200-day EMAs are converging, suggesting a potential trend change.RSI (D1): Currently at 63, indicating moderate bullish momentum without being overbought.MACD (H4): Shows a bullish crossover, supporting the possibility of upward movement.
Smart Money Zones and Intentions
The $165 – $170 range has been a significant area of interest, with multiple rejections in the past. A decisive break above this zone could trigger stop-loss orders from short positions, leading to increased buying pressure.
On the downside, the $153 – $150 support zone has held firm, indicating accumulation by larger players. A drop below this level might suggest a shift in market sentiment.
Institutional Flows and Market Context
Network Activity: Solana's ($SOL ) network fundamentals remain robust, characterized by high throughput and low transaction costs. These attributes have contributed to its resilience in the competitive blockchain landscape.Token Unlocks: Recent token unlocks, including the release of approximately 11.2 million SOL tokens as part of the FTX estate liquidation, have introduced additional supply into the market, potentially exerting downward pressure on prices.
Near-Term Scenarios to Monitor
If Solana ($SOL ) breaks above the $165 – $170 resistance zone with strong volume, it could pave the way for a move towards $180 and potentially $184.
Conversely, if the price fails to break this resistance and falls below the $153 support, it may indicate a bearish trend, with the next support level around $150.
Conclusion
Solana is at a critical juncture. A breakout above $170 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a drop below $153 might suggest a reversal. Monitoring these key levels and market indicators will be essential in the coming days.
#solana #sol #analysis #EconomicAlert #Binance

Cardano ($ADA ), June 3, 2025. Short-term analysis (1–3 days) with weekly context.
Cardano is currently trading around $0.69, exhibiting a tight consolidation pattern. The price action suggests a potential breakout or breakdown, depending on upcoming market movements.
Market Structure and Technical Overview
After a period of consolidation, ADA has been hovering between $0.66 and $0.70. The price is facing resistance at $0.70 and support at $0.66.
Key levels:
Resistance: $0.70 – $0.72Support: $0.66 – $0.64
Indicators:
EMA (50/100/200): The price is below the 50-day EMA, indicating short-term bearish momentum.RSI (D1): Currently at 45, suggesting neutral momentum.MACD (H4): Shows a bearish crossover, indicating potential downward movement.
Smart Money Zones and Intentions
The $0.70 – $0.72 range has been a significant area of interest, with multiple rejections in the past. A decisive break above this zone could trigger stop-loss orders from short positions, leading to increased buying pressure.
On the downside, the $0.66 – $0.64 support zone has held firm, indicating accumulation by larger players. A drop below this level might suggest a shift in market sentiment.
Institutional Flows and Market Context
ETF Inflows: Recent delays in ETF approvals have impacted market sentiment, contributing to ADA's current price consolidation.Exchange Supply: The supply of Cardano ($ADA )on exchanges remains stable, suggesting that investors are holding their positions.
Near-Term Scenarios to Monitor
If Cardano ($ADA ) breaks above the $0.70 – $0.72 resistance zone with strong volume, it could pave the way for a move towards $0.75 and potentially $0.80.
Conversely, if the price fails to break this resistance and falls below the $0.66 support, it may indicate a bearish trend, with the next support level around $0.60.
Conclusion
Cardano is at a critical juncture. A breakout above $0.72 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a drop below $0.66 might suggest a reversal. Monitoring these key levels and market indicators will be essential in the coming days.

#Cardano #ADA #ADABullish #ADAAnalysis #EconomicAlert

Ethereum $ETH , June 3, 2025. Short-term analysis (1–3 days) with weekly context.
Ethereum is currently trading around $2,600, showing resilience after recent corrections. The price action suggests a potential breakout if key resistance levels are surpassed.
Market Structure and Technical Overview
After a period of consolidation, Ethereum has rebounded from the $2,480 support level. The price is now approaching the $2,650 resistance zone, which has been tested multiple times in recent weeks.
Key levels:
Resistance: $2,650 – $2,700Support: $2,480 – $2,500
Indicators:
EMA (50/100/200): The price is above the 50-day EMA, indicating short-term bullish momentum. The 100-day and 200-day EMAs are converging, suggesting a potential trend change.RSI (D1): Currently at 62, indicating moderate bullish momentum without being overbought.MACD (H4): Shows a bullish crossover, supporting the possibility of upward movement.
Smart Money Zones and Intentions
The $2,650 – $2,700 range has been a significant area of interest, with multiple rejections in the past. A decisive break above this zone could trigger stop-loss orders from short positions, leading to increased buying pressure.
On the downside, the $2,480 – $2,500 support zone has held firm, indicating accumulation by larger players. A drop below this level might suggest a shift in market sentiment.
Institutional Flows and Market Context
ETF Inflows: Ethereum ETFs have seen significant inflows recently, with $78.2 million added on June 2, 2025, indicating strong institutional interest.Exchange Supply: The supply of ETH on exchanges is at its lowest since 2017, suggesting that investors are moving their holdings to long-term storage, reducing immediate selling pressure.
Near-Term Scenarios to Monitor
If Ethereum ($ETH ) breaks above the $2,650 – $2,700 resistance zone with strong volume, it could pave the way for a move towards $2,800 and potentially $3,000.
Conversely, if the price fails to break this resistance and falls below the $2,480 support, it may indicate a bearish trend, with the next support level around $2,300.
Conclusion
Ethereum ($ETH ) is at a critical juncture. A breakout above $2,700 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a drop below $2,480 might suggest a reversal. Monitoring these key levels and market indicators will be essential in the coming days.

#ETH #analysis #EconomicAlert #Ethereum #Binance

Bitcoin ($BTC ), June 3, 2025. Short-term analysis (1–3 days) with weekly context.
Bitcoin is hovering near a key zone between $104,800 and $106,200. The market is clearly undecided here. What happens next — a break higher toward $108K–$110K or a deeper reload — depends on how price reacts to this range.
Market Structure and Technical Overview
The current setup remains a local consolidation phase after a strong reaction from the $103,200 level. That zone acted as a clear high-demand base, supported by visible absorption.
Key technical levels to watch:
Resistance:$106,200 — a convergence of:
— 4H imbalance,
— the top of the current range,
— 0.618 Fib retracement from the last drop,
— and a visible cluster of short-term stop-losses.Support:$104,500 — local balance area.$103,200 — the demand origin that led to the weekend bounce.
EMAs:
On 4H, price holds above both EMA 50 and EMA 100 — a bullish short-term sign.On D1, BTC stays above EMA 100/200 — the overall bullish structure remains intact.
RSI:
H4: 57 — neutral-to-bullish, leaving space for continuation.D1: 61 — healthy pullback from overbought, now stabilizing in a mid-range zone.
Smart Money Zones and Intentions
The $106,000–$107,000 region remains a high-stakes liquidity pocket, where short-term positioning clusters. It aligns with a recent 4H supply zone from May 29, and is likely loaded with stop-losses from both late buyers and short sellers.
Meanwhile, $103,200 stands out as a point of high-volume absorption, where price bounced hard after a stop-run. That bounce wasn't accidental — it came on strong volume and followed a liquidity sweep, signaling potential interest from large players.
Below $100K lies an area of accumulated long-side liquidation. If the market dips there, it could be a classic Smart Money spring — a quick flush to trigger stops and reload before pushing higher.
Institutional Flows and Market Context
MicroStrategy added 700 BTC at ~$104K — another sign of confidence in this zone as a long-term fair value.CME BTC Futures show +13% open interest growth over the past week — growing institutional involvement.ETF flows are neutral so far this week — following light outflows last Friday, there's modest recovery on Monday.
No signs of aggressive distribution yet. The market seems to be pausing and waiting — $106K and $103K are clearly the zones where decisions will be made.
Near-Term Scenarios to Monitor
If price breaks and holds above $106,200 with volume, that would likely trigger a move toward $108,500 and even a retest of the $110K psychological level. This zone holds significant stop liquidity — a break could launch a short squeeze and accelerate the rally.
If $BTC rejects the $106K level again, price may drift back into the $103,200–$104,500 range. This area already acted as demand last week, but a second retest would need to be watched carefully — repeated touches often weaken support.
There's also a possible stop-hunt scenario: a temporary drop below $100,000 to clear out long-side liquidity, followed by a sharp reversal. This wouldn’t break the structure unless price closes below $95K — it could even serve as fuel for a renewed uptrend.
Conclusion
Bitcoin ($BTC ) remains in a controlled accumulation phase at the upper end of its range. The $106K–$107K zone is a decision point — if liquidity above it gets cleared, we could see fast momentum to the upside.
I recommend paying close attention to how price behaves at $106K. A clean break with volume could signal a bullish continuation, while another rejection may mean the market needs one more flush lower to reload.

#BTC #analysis #EconomicAlert #bitcoin #BitcoinForecast

Introduction
Bitcoin (BTC) enters June 2025 trading around the $105,000 level after a volatile end to May. In late May, BTC reached a new all-time high near $111,980, then retraced amid profit-taking and geopolitical concerns. Despite a 5.5% pullback from about $109,000 to $103,200 last week, Bitcoin still closed May with roughly an 11% monthly gain, extending April’s 14% rise. This two-month uptrend suggests the broader bullish market structure remains intact, but short-term technical signals now urge caution. This analysis will examine Bitcoin’s price action on multiple timeframes (15-minute, 1-hour, 4-hour, daily), apply classic technical indicators (support/resistance, candlestick patterns, EMA-50, EMA-200, RSI, volume), explore “smart money” concepts (liquidity, order blocks, imbalances, Wyckoff phases, stop hunts), and incorporate institutional insights. We’ll highlight key price levels – where trends might reverse or continue – and identify buy/sell interest zones, focusing on the immediate 1-2 day outlook and a brief week-ahead forecast.
Technical Analysis: Multi-Timeframe Overview
Bitcoin’s price action (daily chart as of June 2, 2025) shows a strong uptrend from April into May, followed by a pullback from the ~$112K peak. Key moving averages and Fibonacci retracement levels indicate critical support/resistance zones, as discussed below.
On the daily (D1) timeframe, Bitcoin remains in a rising channel extending from early April. The rally accelerated in May, culminating in a record high around $111.9K before a pullback. This pullback brought the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) down from overbought levels into the mid-50s, indicating fading but not eliminated bullish momentum. Notably, the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA-50) crossed above the 200-day EMA (EMA-200) in May – a classic “golden cross” bullish signal. Price continues to trade above the longer-term 200-day EMA (a sign of an overall uptrend), but the distance has narrowed. Recent daily candlesticks show wicks (shadows) on both sides, reflecting indecision as bulls and bears battle around the $105K-$107K zone. Trading volume spiked during last week’s sell-off as some investors took profits at a three-month high rate, and has since moderated, suggesting the market is trying to find equilibrium after that volatility.
On the 4-hour (H4) chart, the short-term trend shifted cautiously bearish after the late-May drop. A bearish crossover developed, as the 20 EMA crossed below the 50 and 100 EMA on the 4H timeframe following the sharp slide. In fact, $105,800 has emerged as a pivotal resistance, coinciding with the 4H 100 EMAand the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent downswing. This confluent barrier (often termed the “golden ratio”) capped multiple rebound attempts. Bulls did manage to reclaim the 4H 20 EMA(~$105.3K), but the 50 EMA near $106,000 remains the next hurdle to restart a sustained rally. Meanwhile, 4H RSI hovers around 50, reflecting neutral momentum. The market structure on H4 shows lower highs formed at $112K and then ~$109K, with a recent low at $103.2K – indicating a short-term downtrend within the larger uptrend. Encouragingly, price bounced off the $103,200 level over the weekend, suggesting buyers defended that support (which aligns with roughly a 78.6% retracement of the late-May rally). If the H4 structure can form a higher low above $103K and break above $107K, it would signal a bullish reversal, otherwise, the risk remains for retesting lower supports.
Zooming into the 1-hour (H1) and 15-minute (M15) charts, we observe Bitcoin in a tight range intraday, consolidating after the weekend rebound. On the hourly chart, price action has been oscillating roughly between $104.5K and $106K in the past sessions, forming a potential bullish flag or rectangle pattern of consolidation. The 50-hour EMA and 200-hour EMA on H1 are flattening out, a sign that the sharp downward momentum has paused. In fact, the 1H 50 EMA is attempting to curl upward, and a bullish crossover with the 200 EMA on H1 may occur if price holds above ~$105K, which would be an early signal of short-term trend reversal. The M15 chart shows a sequence of higher lows since the $104.7K pivot low early Monday. However, overhead supply around $105.8K-$106K (the same resistance noted on higher timeframes) has led to quick stop-and-reverse moves – indicating that day traders are taking profit near that zone. Candlestick patterns on M15/H1 demonstrate this indecision: for example, repeated long upper wicks around $105.8K reflect sellers stepping in at that resistance, while hammer-like candles near $104.8K-$105K show buyers absorbing dips. Volume on the 15-min chart has tapered during consolidation, which is normal after a large move; a volume increase on a break of the range (above $106K or below $104.5K) would likely signal the next short-term direction.
Smart Money and Liquidity Considerations
From a “Smart Money” perspective – analyzing how larger institutional players and liquidity dynamics might be influencing Bitcoin – several observations emerge. First, the liquidity landscape suggests that major round numbers are key battlegrounds. The $100,000 level stands out as a psychologically important support with a high concentration of stop-loss orders just below it. Such liquidity pools can attract “stop hunts,” where price wicks briefly below support to trigger stops and absorb liquidity before reversing. A potential scenario could be a Wyckoff-style spring: a quick dip under $100K (into the high-$90Ks) that shakes out weak longs and triggers panic selling, only for Smart Money to quietly accumulate those cheap coins and drive a reversal. In fact, earlier this year Bitcoin’s price action closely followed a Wyckoff re-accumulation pattern. Analysts noted that after a Spring phase around $85,950 in February, BTC entered a Test phase, needing a successful retest and a breakout above the range high (~$106-107K) to confirm a new uptrend. Bitcoin did break above $106,700 and even $109K in April/May, marking a Sign of Strength in Wyckoff terms. The current consolidation under ~$107K could be interpreted as a Last Point of Support (LPS) or a backup in that re-accumulation schema, so long as prices remain above key support (e.g. the mid-$90Ks). In other words, distribution does not yet appear confirmed; instead, institutional buyers may be positioning on dips, unless critical levels give way.
Order blocks – areas of previously high buying or selling interest – are evident on the chart. One notable demand zone (bullish order block) is around $100K to $103K, which corresponds to May’s mid-level consolidation and the origin of the late-May rally. The strong bounce from $103.2K suggests that orders were stacked there, absorbing the sell-off. If Bitcoin revisits that zone, one would expect significant buying interest again, unless market conditions deteriorate sharply. On the upside, a supply zone (bearish order block) exists near the $109K-$112K region (the recent ATH zone). We saw aggressive selling pressure there during the ATH rejection, indicating that large holders may have taken profit or even opened short positions in that range. Breaking above $112K would likely force those sellers to cover (fueling further upside), but until then, that zone is a liquidity pocket where any rallies might meet overhead supply. We should also consider imbalances on the chart: the rapid run-up from ~$100K to $112K in May left relatively few traded volumes in between, meaning the price might retest the middle of that range (around ~$106K-$108K) multiple times to “fill in” the order book. So far, this seems to be happening as Bitcoin churns between support and resistance, allowing large players to execute sizable orders without moving the price too drastically.
Another smart money concept is the idea of stop-loss clustering and liquidity absorption. As mentioned, many traders will have stops below obvious support levels like $100K or $95K. Savvy market makers are aware of this and could drive price into those zones to trigger a liquidity event. One clue of such activity is when a sharp move into a support is quickly reversed and leaves a long lower wick – indicating absorption of selling by large limit orders. Traders should watch for this kind of price action if BTC dips to $100K or $95K: a quick recovery from a transient break would hint that smart money is accumulating, whereas a high-volume break below $95K with no bounce could signal a genuine distribution and deeper correction. In summary, current price action appears consistent with re-accumulation rather than distribution, as long as key liquidity levels ($100K, $95K) hold. A deliberate stop-run below $100K could occur, but it might ultimately serve to recharge bullish momentum if it’s swiftly bought up.
Institutional Insights and Market Sentiment
Market sentiment in early June is mixed, as technical bullishness is being tested by macro and institutional factors. On the one hand, institutional and corporate demand for Bitcoin remains robust, which underpins the bull case. In late May, several high-profile buyers stepped in: MicroStrategy (now rebranded as “Strategy”) added 4,020 BTC ( ~$427 million worth ) to its holdings, bringing its total to a staggering 580,250 BTC. Similarly, GameStop – a major U.S. retailer – made its first Bitcoin purchase of 4,710 BTC after raising funds via a convertible note. And on June 2, Japan’s investment firm Metaplanet announced the purchase of 1,088 BTC, raising its treasury to 8,888 BTC. These actions by big players signal confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term value, and such accumulation can provide a floor of demand on any significant dips. In fact, Bitcoin’s corporate and institutional interest has been growing – as of late May, the number of companies holding BTC was up 25% since April – reinforcing the idea that “smart money” is steadily flowing into crypto.
On the other hand, short-term sentiment has soured slightly due to geopolitical and seasonal factors. Reports on June 2 highlighted an escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which drove investors toward safe-haven assets (like gold) and away from risk assets. This “risk-off” move contributed to Bitcoin’s early week decline below $105K. Additionally, for the first time since mid-April, Bitcoin spot ETF funds saw a net weekly outflow (approximately $157 million) as some investors pulled back. While that outflow is relatively small (and followed by many weeks of inflows), it marks a pause in the strong institutional bid that had been supporting BTC’s rally. Seasonality also warrants caution: historically, June has been one of Bitcoin’s weaker months, averaging around a –0.3% return. After an 11% surge in May, some consolidation or even a mild pullback in June would not be surprising. Indeed, on-chain data confirms that profit-taking spiked in late May – the Network Profit/Loss metric hit its highest level since February – indicating many holders sold at a profit into the rally, which increases short-term selling pressure.
Institutional analysts are keeping a close eye on critical levels. Bitfinex’s market report in early May emphasized $95,000 as a must-hold support to maintain the bullish structure. This level represented the lower boundary of a multi-month range (from late 2024 to Feb 2025) and a pivot that could determine whether Bitcoin continues to “structurally” shift bullish or faces a deeper correction. Notably, Bitcoin did hold above $95K through May and then broke out to new highs, validating that bullish pivot. However, if BTC were to fall below $95K again, it could signal that the market is entering a larger correction phase. For now, that scenario is distant – BTC is ~$105K – but it remains a contingency to watch, especially if macro conditions worsen. In summary, the fundamental and sentiment backdrop suggests long-term optimism (with ongoing institutional accumulation and supportive network fundamentals), but near-term caution due to profit-taking and external risks. Traders on Binance and other platforms should be aware of these cross-currents: bullish institutional flows can help buoy BTC on dips, but broad risk-off sentiment or loss of key support could swiftly amplify downside in the short run.
Key Levels and Zones of Interest
Considering the technical and “smart money” factors above, here are the key price levels to watch in the immediate term, along with zones where buying or selling interest is likely concentrated:
$111,000 – $112,000 (All-Time High Resistance): This is the recent peak zone (Bitcoin’s ATH around $111.98K). Expect heavy sell orders and profit-taking near this region. A daily close above $112K would mark a major breakout, potentially igniting momentum toward higher targets (the next psychological level could be $120,000). Until then, this zone is a sell-high area for short-term traders and a critical resistance for bulls to conquer eventually.$107,000 – $109,000 (Near-Term Resistance Zone): Around $106K-$107K lies a cluster of resistances: the 4H 50-EMA ($106K) and 100-EMA ($105.8K), the 0.618 Fib retracement of the recent drop (~$105.8K), and a key daily level $106,406 which was a support-turned-resistance. This zone also includes the round figure $107K, which was last week’s lower high. Bulls need to push above $107Kto confirm a short-term trend reversal A break here could open the path to $110K+. Short-term traders may look to sell rallies into this area until a clear breakout occurs.$104,000 – $105,000 (Intraday Pivot Range): This band is basically where $BTC is oscillating now. It held as support early this week (BTC rebounded from ~$104.7K) and represents the midpoint of the current consolidation. Day traders on M15/H1 charts are watching $105K as a pivot – staying above it keeps a bullish bias for another run at $107K, whereas falling below $104K could accelerate a dip to next supports. There might be minor liquidity grabs here, but it’s mainly a short-term no-man’s land; decisive moves will likely come either above $106K or below $104K.$100,000 – $103,000 (Major Support / Demand Zone): $100K is a huge psychological level and likely a strong buy zone for both retail and institutional players. Just above it, around $102K-$103K, we have the recent swing low ($103.2K) and the area of an order block from which Bitcoin bounced over the weekend. Initial buy orders are expected to cluster in this zone. However, because so many stops reside below $100K, a dip into the high-$90Ks (e.g., $98K, $99K) could happen intra-day – such a move might quickly reverse if it’s a stop hunt. Traders may consider this zone for long entries if there are signs of stabilization (for example, a 15-min or hourly reversal candlestick pattern like a hammer or double bottom accompanied by volume spike). A convincing break below $100K (with high volume and no quick bounce) would be a bearish development, potentially flipping this zone into resistance.$95,000 (Critical Support Floor): As highlighted by institutional analysis, ~$95K is the line in the sand for the medium-term bullish trend. It was the base of the Q1 consolidation range and represents a high-volume node in market structure. Strong hands are expected to defend this level if reached. It’s an attractive accumulation zone for long-term investors (value buyers may layer bids from $95K down to low-$90Ks). Should $95K fail on a daily closing basis, it would signal a deeper correction is underway. Below $95K, the next supports might be around $90K and $85K (the latter being the area of the Wyckoff “spring” low in Feb). But for the scope of a one-week outlook, $95K is the lowest key level that we anticipate could come into play barring an extreme sell-off.
Short-Term Outlook (Next 1-2 Days)
In the immediate term (the next 24-48 hours), Bitcoin’s ($BTC ) price is poised at an inflection point. The base case scenario is continued consolidation between support in the low $100Ks and resistance in the mid $100Ks, as the market digests recent gains and news. However, volatility could pick up quickly if either side of this range breaks. Bullish case: If buyers manage to push BTC above the $106K-$107K resistance pocket and hold it there (especially with a 4H or daily close), we could see momentum carry the price toward the $110K level within a day or two. A breakout above $107K would likely trigger short-covering and draw in trend-following buyers, potentially yielding a swift move to test $110K and the underside of the ATH region. Traders should watch for increasing volume and a rising RSI on the hourly chart to confirm a breakout.
On the bearish side, if Bitcoin cannot clear ~$106K and starts rolling over, the first sign will be a loss of the $104K-$105K intraday support. In that case, expect a retest of last week’s low around $103.2K fairly quickly A break below $103K would intensify downside pressure – stops getting hit could accelerate the drop toward $100K. Given the current slight bearish tilt on the H4 chart (with the death cross EMAs and MACD lingering bearish), a move to $100K is a real possibility if bulls don’t reclaim ground soon. Still, as discussed, the $100K level should attract buyers on the first test. Thus, even in a bearish scenario, we might see a quick dip to $98K-$100K followed by a bounce. Aggressive short-term traders might even target a liquidity grab setup – for example, going long near $100K if a cascade of stop-loss selling pushes price there, with tight risk management.
Overall, for the next couple of days, caution is warranted. The RSI on the daily is pointing downward toward neutral, and the daily MACD has produced a bearish crossover indicating the recent uptrend’s momentum is cooling. These suggest that without a new bullish catalyst, BTC could drift lower or chop sideways. Yet, the higher timeframe uptrend and strong support levels imply any dips could be short-lived. Traders may consider range-bound strategies in the very short term – e.g., scalping between support and resistance – but should be ready to flip bias if a breakout or breakdown occurs.
Outlook for the Week Ahead
Looking beyond a couple of days into the next week (the first week of June 2025), the path Bitcoin takes will likely be determined by its resolution of the current consolidation. 
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout – If BTC punches through the ~$107K resistance and regains, say, the $110K handle in the coming days, it would reaffirm the uptrend. In that event, bullish momentum could build toward retesting the all-time high (~$112K)quickly, and potentially exceeding it. A weekly close above the previous high would be a powerful technical statement, possibly opening the door to the mid-$110Ks or even $120K (which was cited as an upside target if the rally continued above the channel in May). We might see increased FOMO (fear of missing out) and fresh buying if new highs are achieved, especially given the backdrop of institutional accumulation. Additionally, any easing of macro fears – e.g., a de-escalation in Eastern Europe or positive regulatory news – could strengthen the bullish scenario.
Scenario 2: Continued Consolidation or Mild Pullback – Should Bitcoin remain range-bound under $110K for a few more days, it wouldn’t be unusual for early June. As noted, June historically isn’t a very strong month, so BTC might spend this week digesting prior gains. In this scenario, we might see choppy trading between say $100K and $110K. One possibility is a Wyckoff-style “backup”: after the spring and breakout phases, the price could retest the breakout level (around $100K-$105K) one more time in a low-volume pullback before launching higher. Such a retest could even mean a dip slightly below $100K (to scare late buyers) and then a recovery. As long as higher timeframe support holds (especially $95K), the bullish structure for June remains viable.
Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown – This appears less likely unless external factors worsen, but cannot be ruled out. If Bitcoin loses $100K support decisively and closes the week below that level, it would dent the prevailing uptrend. In that case, focus would shift to $95K and potentially lower support around $90K-$92K (a zone of previous consolidation and also near the 50-week EMA around ~$76K, though $76K is likely beyond a one-week move). A break under $95K might indicate a larger distribution phase is unfolding, perhaps targeting a deeper correction of the 2025 rally. This is not the base expectation but serves as a risk scenario – traders should have contingency plans (like stop-losses or hedges) in case of a sudden bearish acceleration.
Bottom line: The coming week will set the tone for whether Bitcoin continues its strong 2025 ascent or pauses for a deeper reset. Key signs to watch include: a daily close above $107K (bullish), a daily close below $100K (bearish), and volume/open interest changes which might hint at institutional positioning. Given current data, a reasonable expectation is that BTC will find support on dips and could be gearing up for another leg higher later in June, provided it navigates the current liquidity tests. Both experienced traders and Binance users should stay vigilant but optimistic – Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend is intact, and short-term volatility can present opportunities to accumulate or trade around clear levels. As always, employ prudent risk management, as the crypto market can surprise even in a generally bullish climate.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s technical picture as of June 2, 2025, is one of short-term uncertainty within a medium-term uptrend. Multi-timeframe analysis shows a robust rally cooling off into a consolidation, with $106K-$107Kacting as a near-term ceiling and $100K-$103K as an important floor. Indicators (like RSI and moving averages) point to waning bullish momentum in the immediate term, while smart money concepts suggest that big players may actually be eyeing this dip as an opportunity – especially if any stop-run to sub-$100K levels occurs. Institutional activity provides a positive undercurrent (e.g. companies adding $BTC to treasuries, despite some profit-taking by shorter-term holders), yet macro factors inject caution. For traders on Binance and elsewhere, the strategy could be to watch these well-defined levels and not chase trades in the middle of the range. In the next day or two, confirmation of direction (a break of $107K resistance or a drop to $100K support) will likely dictate whether we get a rally continuation or a deeper pullback this week. By preparing for both scenarios – setting alerts, managing stop orders, and being aware of key signals – market participants can navigate Bitcoin’s short-term turbulence while positioning for its longer-term strength. Happy trading and stay safe!

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Following in Trump Sr.'s Footsteps
Eric Trump, the son of former U.S. President Donald Trump, has clearly adopted his father’s business style, where manipulation, profit-driven decisions, and disregard for the interests of ordinary people play a key role. The controversial events surrounding his activities in the cryptocurrency market have raised many questions within the crypto community, especially regarding possible manipulations and insider trading.
Market Manipulation?
Eric Trump actively shares trading recommendations on the X platform, urging his followers to invest in cryptocurrency. For example, on February 25, 2025, he recommended buying digital assets. Then, on February 2, his father, Donald Trump, unexpectedly announced the creation of a national cryptocurrency reserve, causing Bitcoin’s ($BTC ) price to surge by $10,000 and sparking interest in other cryptocurrencies mentioned in Eric’s post.

However, Trump Sr.'s post lacked real substance. Creating a cryptocurrency reserve is a complex process requiring legislative approval and multiple regulatory alignments. Additionally, the inclusion of altcoins in such a reserve raises doubts due to their volatility. Interestingly, Bitcoin ($BTC ) and Ethereum ($ETH ) were only mentioned in Trump's second post, further highlighting the lack of serious preparation for this project. This raises multiple questions: How will the reserve actually work? Will it even be approved?
Ultimately, the announcement appeared to be more of a market manipulation attempt—taking advantage of the hype to profit from a short-term price surge.
Insider Trading?
The biggest concern for investors is whether Eric Trump knew about his father’s plans in advance. Given the circumstances, this seems more like a rhetorical question. If he was indeed aware, his posts may have been manipulative, aiming to profit from an artificially induced price spike.
After the market correction on March 3, 2025, Eric once again addressed his followers, urging them to hold their crypto assets long-term. However, shortly after his tweet, Bitcoin began to decline again, fueling suspicions that this was all part of a pre-planned scheme.

Criticism from Experts
Renowned economist and crypto skeptic Peter Schiff, president of Euro Pacific Capital, openly accused Eric Trump of market manipulation. He criticized Eric’s recent tweet in which he praised his father’s "brilliant" idea of a cryptocurrency reserve.
According to Schiff, this statement was part of a strategy designed to maximize market influence during periods of low liquidity. In a typical "pump and dump" scheme, the initiators of artificial price increases cash out their profits, leaving small investors with losses.

Numerous complaints have surfaced online from users who lost money following Eric Trump’s advice. Many now doubt the sincerity of his intentions, suspecting that his primary goal was personal financial gain.
The Market Is a Game Where Retail Investors Often Lose
These events once again confirm that for the Trump administration, money is more important than public interest or the development of the crypto industry. Eric Trump continues to play his game, but it is crucial to remember that his actions are driven not by concern for people but by personal profit motives.
The biggest mistake many traders make is trusting the words of public figures. They hand over control of their money to those who pursue their interests, often failing to realize that they are merely pawns in a game played by larger market players.
It is essential to fact-check, research independently, and conduct thorough analyses before making any decisions. In the world of financial markets, easy and quick money is often an illusion. Manipulation, bold statements, and hype-driven forecasts are simply tools used by those who profit from the trust of others.
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Current BTC Market Situation
On the evening of March 2, 2025, Donald Trump unveiled details of the U.S. cryptocurrency reserve creation. This triggered a rapid surge in Bitcoin, which briefly exceeded $95,000 but was followed by a sharp correction. At the time of writing, the BTC price has dropped to $83,976.
Following the sharp spike, the Bitcoin price returned to levels where increased market participant activity was observed. Such movements are often accompanied by heightened volatility and are associated with liquidity seeking.
Additionally, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index has fallen to extremely low values, indicating high investor anxiety. Such situations are usually accompanied by sharp price fluctuations.
Main Reasons for the Bitcoin Decline
Macroeconomic Instability
Cryptocurrency prices have been in a prolonged decline phase since mid-February amid growing concerns about Trump's tariff policies. The U.S. President announced on Tuesday a 20% tariff for China and 25% tariffs for Canada and Mexico. These measures have reduced investor interest in risky assets, including cryptocurrencies.
Moreover, uncertainty in global financial markets has reinforced the trend of reducing investments in volatile assets such as Bitcoin.Uncertainty Around the U.S. Crypto Reserve
The initially positive market reaction to the U.S. crypto reserve news quickly turned into caution. Bitcoin jumped to $94,500 after Trump announced including Bitcoin ($BTC ), Ethereum ($ETH ), XRP ($XRP ), Solana, and Cardano in the country's strategic digital asset reserve. However, traders realized that the initiative would require a lengthy approval process and could face legislative hurdles. This reduced confidence in the project's rapid implementation and led to profit-taking.Correction After Rapid GrowthSpeculation and expectations of positive news drove the Bitcoin surge to $95,000. However, amid high macroeconomic instability, the market quickly returned the price to levels where large trading volumes are concentrated. This is typical behavior for assets with high volatility.Altcoins, which previously showed even greater growth, are now experiencing a deeper decline. Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and Cardano have lost a significant portion of their positions, and the weekly dynamics remain negative.Position LiquidationsThe sharp drop in the Bitcoin rate triggered the liquidation of long positions totaling $150 million in just a few hours. Automated sales amplified the downward momentum, and traders who failed to close their positions in advance suffered losses.
What to Expect Next?
Despite the current correction, further Bitcoin dynamics remain uncertain. Possible scenarios:
If Bitcoin holds within the $80,000–$85,000 range, it could create conditions for a new uptrend.In case of worsening economic conditions, BTC may test lower support levels. The next support level is $75,000. This could become a turning point if the decline continues.An important support range is $70,000–$69,000, which coincides with the historical high of 2021. A drop to this level could become a significant turning point and mark a 36.6% correction from the peak, which can be seen as a healthy pullback within the ongoing bull trend. This scenario is possible in case of bad news at the crypto summit on Friday.
Cryptocurrency Summit
This week, the White House will host a cryptocurrency summit, which could be a key event for the market. If specific details on the crypto reserve or new regulatory initiatives are announced, it could give the market momentum for growth. However, the absence of clear decisions or negative signals could amplify the downward dynamics.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin decline is due to a combination of macroeconomic factors, uncertainty regarding government initiatives, and market volatility. It is important to consider these risks and approach capital management prudently, avoiding panic and hasty decisions.
If you want to understand the bigger picture, read my previous articles, in which I analyzed in detail the factors that caused the decline and explained how to avoid mistakes.
📢 In the next article, I will analyze what is wrong with the crypto reserve, how it works, and what to expect. Subscribe to stay tuned!
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Bitcoin ($BTC ) has rebounded following the release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data, boosting optimism that the broader economic outlook may improve next month.
On February 28th, Bitcoin dropped below the $80,000 mark, reaching a new low of $78,258 before recovering some losses. At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $84,610, testing resistance around the $85,000 level. A sustained breakout above this resistance could indicate a trend reversal, but technical indicators remained mixed.
Technical Outlook: Bearish Sentiment Persists
Despite short-term rebounds, the overall trend remains downward. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 25.7, indicating neutral conditions, while the MACD remains in negative territory (-3.525), reinforcing selling pressure.
Although the stochastic oscillator and Commodity Channel Index (CCI) are temporarily showing positive signals, longer moving averages (MA) continue to point downward. The daily BTC chart shows that the price remains below key resistance zones ($85,000–$90,000), with strong selling volumes confirming bearish dominance.
Amidst intensifying bear pressure, the Fear and Greed Index plummeted to 10 points on February 27th, corresponding to the extreme panic zone. Such levels were last observed in June 2022, following Bitcoin's drop to $17,500 (-37% in a month).

At the time of writing, the indicator sits at 20, also signaling widespread panic among market participants.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
On the 4-hour chart, a moderate recovery followed the sell-off, but it has yet to develop into a sustained uptrend. The key resistance lies between $84,500 and $86,000, while support is found in the $78,000–$80,000 range.
If $BTC  manages to break above $85,000 with strong volume, it could trigger a rally toward the $90,000 level. However, without a confirmed breakout, the likelihood of another pullback and an extended downtrend remains high.
The Average Directional Index (ADX) at 44.7 confirms the prevailing bearish trend. If BTC fails to overcome key resistance levels, downward pressure may intensify further.
Conclusion
Despite the current rebound, most technical indicators suggest that the bearish momentum is still in play. The dominance of negative signals from moving averages, weak momentum, and a negative MACD suggest that this recovery might be a bull trap.
If $BTC  fails to establish support above $85,000, the probability of another downward wave remains high.
📢 If you're interested, check out my previous article, where I analyzed the key factors driving the market.
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CME Group, a leading player in the global derivatives market, has announced the launch of Solana ($SOL ) futures contracts, set to begin trading on March 17, pending regulatory approval. Traders will have two contract options: a smaller one covering 25 SOL and a larger one with 500 SOL.
The introduction of Solana futures reflects growing client interest in regulated tools for managing cryptocurrency volatility risks. Solana has gained popularity among developers and investors, and now they have access to a new financial instrument to support hedging and investment strategies.
$SOL futures contracts will be cash-settled based on the CME CF Solana-Dollar Index, which provides daily SOL price data in US dollars, fixed at 16:00 London time.
These new futures will expand CME Group’s existing cryptocurrency portfolio, which already includes Bitcoin and Ether futures and options. This year, the average daily trading volume reached 202,000 contracts—up 73% from last year—while open interest rose 55% to 243,600 contracts. The number of unique trading accounts has surpassed 11,300.
The launch of $SOL futures broadens opportunities for traders and investors, offering new tools for managing market volatility.
Earlier this week, two Solana futures-based ETFs—Volatility Shares Solana ETF (SOLZ) and Volatility Shares 2x Solana ETF (SOLT)—were registered on the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) platform, marking another step toward their potential market debut.
As of now, Solana’s SOL token is trading around $141, up 4,2% in the last 24 hours, reflecting growing investor optimism regarding institutional adoption and regulatory clarity.
#solana

The cryptocurrency market is once again experiencing sharp price swings. Bitcoin ($BTC ) has dropped below the psychological threshold of $80,000, declining 18.5% over the past week and 6.8% just today (at the time of writing), reaching a low of $78,258. Other major cryptocurrencies, including Ethereum ($ETH ), XRP, and Solana, are also under pressure and at risk of breaking key support levels.
To understand the situation, we need to answer three key questions:
Why did the market drop so sharply?Where is the bottom that could stop the sell-off?What can we expect next?
What’s Behind the Drop?
Several factors contributed to the sharp decline in digital asset prices:
Overall decline in financial markets. Leading stock indices in the U.S. and Europe are in a downward trend, causing capital to flow out of risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.Increasing trade tensions. The introduction of new import tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China has heightened investor concerns and increased uncertainty in global markets.Inflationary pressure and Fed policy. Expectations regarding future Federal Reserve decisions are leading investors to reduce Bitcoin holdings amid a potentially stronger dollar and possible interest rate hikes.
Three Key Support Levels
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) signals oversold conditions, with a 14-day reading of 21, down from 45 a week ago. While this could suggest a short-term rebound, uncertainty remains.
$80,000 — broken, with a low of $78,258. A temporary bounce is underway, but Bitcoin ($BTC ) must hold above $85,500 to confirm a potential reversal. $75,000 — this is a potential consolidation area that could become a reversal point if the decline continues.$70,000 – $69,000 — key support. This level aligns with the 2021 all-time high and could act as a major reversal point. A drop to this range would mark a 36.6% correction from the peak, which could be seen as a healthy pullback within an ongoing bull trend.
However, a decline to is unlikely unless there is significant panic or worsening macroeconomic conditions. One factor to watch is the March 4 implementation of a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada, along with an additional 10% levy on Chinese goods.
What’s Next?
The scenarios for further development remain open. Current levels could become the starting point for a corrective rally, but if key psychological and technical barriers fail to hold, the market may retest its lows.
In times of high volatility, it's crucial to stay calm and focus on facts, not emotions. History shows that markets can recover, and each cycle brings new opportunities.
Moreover, the current decline does not indicate a change in the global trend. Rather, the market is going through a phase of finding stable levels before the next move. Cyclicity remains a key feature of cryptocurrencies, and each pullback can open up new opportunities for long-term investors.
To stay up-to-date with developments, follow my updates.
#BTC #analysis #EconomicAlert #bitcoin #BitcoinForecast

Aptos ($APT ) is demonstrating resilience amid current market volatility, remaining above the critical support level of $5.25. Despite Bitcoin and Ethereum’s instability, which continues due to macroeconomic factors, APT maintains a positive trend. As of this writing, the price stands at $6.24, reflecting an 11.24% increase over the past 24 hours, with a daily trading volume of $347.22 million. Aptos’ market capitalization is $3.65 billion, underscoring its significance among leading altcoins.
Bitwise Files for Aptos ETF
Bitwise Asset Management has taken the first step toward launching an Aptos ($APT )-based exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States by registering a trust in Delaware. This move highlights the growing institutional interest in altcoins beyond traditional Bitcoin- and Ethereum-focused products. Following this development, APT has demonstrated strong growth, reinforcing support at key levels.
Aptos ETF Filing: What Does It Mean?
Bitwise registered the Aptos ETF on February 25, marking a preliminary step before officially filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). While registration does not guarantee approval, it confirms the company’s ambition to become the first asset manager to offer an ETF directly tied to APT in the U.S. market.
The next step involves submitting a full application detailing the fund's structure, investment strategy, and market tracking mechanism. The SEC will take several months to review, with possible outcomes including approval, rejection, or requests for modifications.
The Growing Trend of Altcoin ETFs
The attempt to launch an Aptos ETF reflects a broader trend among asset managers seeking to expand their offerings beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum. Bitwise has previously filed for ETFs linked to XRP, Solana, and Dogecoin, indicating rising demand for diversified crypto investment products.
In Europe, Aptos ETPs have already gained traction. In November 2024, Bitwise launched an Aptos Staking ETP across six Swiss exchanges, while 21Shares introduced a similar product on Euronext Amsterdam and Paris. These investment instruments enable institutional investors to earn staking rewards while maintaining exposure to APT.
Technical Analysis
Despite overall crypto market volatility, $APT has shown resilience, maintaining support at $5.25, indicating strong buying interest.
Technical indicators suggest a potential short-term rebound. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 40.12, remaining in a weak zone, while the stochastic RSI has dropped to 3.42, signaling an oversold condition. If trading volume increases and RSI moves above 50, a rebound could be expected with targets at $8 and $10. A drop below $5.25, however, could push the price down to $4.00.
Conclusion
The registration of an Aptos ETF in the U.S. and the existing Aptos ETPs in Europe confirm the growing institutional interest in the project. If Bitwise secures SEC approval, this will not only provide a new way to invest in APT but also improve the asset’s liquidity.
At the same time, Aptos is holding key levels, and technical indicators suggest that a rebound is near. Stay vigilant, verify market information, and make informed decisions. Good luck!

#Aptos #TechnicalAnalysis #BTC

February has been a real test for crypto investors. Bitcoin ($BTC ), the market's main locomotive, continues to show significant volatility, and altcoins follow its lead, plunging into the red zone. In such moments, panic is the worst advisor. But how can you protect your investments and avoid losing everything amid "crypto chaos"?
1. Don’t Panic – Make Informed Decisions
The cryptocurrency market is known for its high volatility, and in periods of falling prices, it’s easy to panic. However, it's crucial not to follow the crowd and sell assets emotionally. Before making any decision, assess the reasons behind the drop: it might be a temporary correction or a short-term factor. Evaluate the fundamentals of the cryptocurrency and stick to your strategy.
(To understand the reasons for the market decline, you can refer to my previous article)
Strategies to Survive Market Volatility: 
✅ DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging) – A strategy where you buy assets regularly with a fixed amount, regardless of price fluctuations. This helps mitigate risks during price swings. ✅ HODL – A long-term holding strategy that focuses on future potential growth despite short-term declines.
Remember: long-term perspectives often justify short-term declines. It’s better to endure difficult moments than to lock in losses at market lows.
2. Don’t Be Greedy – Secure Profits and Protect Capital
Trying to maximize every trade often leads to investor mistakes. In pursuit of extra profits, many ignore market reversal signals and lose what they have already earned. Remember: securing some profit is better than losing everything.
2.1. Stick to Your Strategy
Don’t deviate from your pre-defined plan. If your strategy includes taking profits at specific levels, follow it rather than your emotions.
2.2. Use Protective Tools:
✅ Stop Loss – Automatically closes a position at a predetermined price to limit losses. ✅ Take Profit – Locks in profits at a predefined level. ✅ Trailing Stop – Protects profits by automatically adjusting the stop-loss as the price rises.
Many investors fear missing out on potential gains, but the priority should always be to protect your capital. Cautious and disciplined trading yields greater rewards than chasing a quick jackpot.
3. Cut Losses – Don’t Hold Onto Losing Positions
One of the most dangerous traps for traders is the unwillingness to admit mistakes and close losing trades. Many continue holding an asset, hoping for a rebound, even after it has eaten away a significant part of their capital. In leveraged margin trading, this is especially critical — the market can completely liquidate your position and leave you with nothing.
Accepting losses is not failure but a sign of a professional approach. Successful investors understand that cutting losses allows them to preserve capital and re-enter the market with a better strategy. A sober assessment of the market situation, objectivity, and the ability to exit a bad position in time — this is what separates professionals from gamblers.
4. Information Hygiene – Don’t Trust Everything You Hear
In the crypto industry, information is a powerful tool. Manipulations, fake predictions, and paid news can lead you to make wrong decisions. To avoid becoming a victim, always verify the source and credibility of the information you consume.
✅ Cross-check data from multiple sources. ✅ Assess the reputation of authors and platforms. ✅ Be skeptical of “hot insider tips” and promises of easy profits.
Remember: there’s no such thing as free cheese — if someone guarantees success, they are either deceiving you or trying to profit from you.
5. A Comprehensive Approach – Don’t Rely on a Single Tool
In the cryptocurrency market, you can’t depend on just one type of analysis. To make informed decisions, consider multiple factors simultaneously.
✅ Fundamental Analysis – Examines technology, teams, partnerships, and project economics to determine real asset value. ✅ Technical Analysis – Identifies trends, support, and resistance levels. Useful, but misleading without fundamental backing. ✅ News and Macroeconomics – Regulators, economic crises, and traditional finance events impact the crypto market.✅ Historical Data – This helps understand how the market has reacted to similar situations but does not guarantee repetition.
Important: A single tool provides only part of the picture. A comprehensive approach minimizes risks and prevents blind trading.
Conclusion
The crypto market is unforgiving to those who are unprepared. Maintain calm, stick to your strategy, and avoid emotional reactions. Financial literacy and discipline will ensure you survive downturns and come ahead.
📝 What topics interest you? Share in the comments, and I’ll try to cover them in future articles.
❗ Important: I don’t claim to have the ultimate truth. Always double-check any information, even what you read here. Everything I share is based on my observations and lessons from my mistakes. Build your own experience, keep learning, and trade wisely. 🚀
#cryptocurrency #CryptoMarketMoves #Investing #trading #bitcoin

In recent days, the cryptocurrency market has experienced another decline. The key cryptocurrency — Bitcoin $BTC — has fallen below $90,000, sparking discussions among investors and analysts. Let's examine the factors influencing the price drop and the forecasts experts provide.
Reasons for the Decline
Large-scale Sell-offs by Institutional Investors
Institutional investors and whales may have locked in profits after the recent price surge, triggering a chain reaction in the market.Macroeconomic Factors
The U.S. Federal Reserve maintains a tight monetary policy, which restrains the growth of risky assets, including cryptocurrencies. The strengthening dollar also puts pressure on the market.Hacker Attacks and Security Concerns
A recent hack of the major cryptocurrency exchange Bybit, resulting in the theft of $1.5 billion in Ethereum, has shaken investor confidence and triggered panic selling.Regulatory Threats
Despite the recent closure of SEC investigations into Coinbase and Robinhood, discussions about stricter regulations for the crypto industry continue, creating uncertainty.Trade War Escalation and Economic Slowdown
Donald Trump’s decision to increase tariffs on metal imports and threats of new tariffs has heightened concerns in financial markets. This has led to a decline in U.S. stocks and a broader capital outflow from risky assets, including Bitcoin.U.S. Economic Slowdown
Weak consumer sentiment data indicates a decline in private consumption—the main driver of the U.S. economy. These concerns push investors toward less volatile assets, negatively impacting the cryptocurrency market.Massive Outflows from Bitcoin ETFs
Amid worsening market sentiment, investors are pulling funds from Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to SoSoValue, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows of over $1 billion on Tuesday—the largest amount since March 2024. Particularly significant losses were recorded in Fidelity Wise, Origin Bitcoin Fund, and BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF, with total outflows exceeding $500 million. Institutional profit-taking is adding additional downward pressure on Bitcoin’s price.
Potential Scenarios
Short-term Correction
If bearish sentiment persists, Bitcoin could test the $85,000 level. A breakdown of this level might lead to a further decline toward $80,000.Consolidation
If the market stabilizes, Bitcoin may establish a range between $90,000 and $95,000 while awaiting new macroeconomic data.Resumption of Growth
If institutional investors resume buying and external factors improve, Bitcoin could rebound to $100,000. An additional catalyst may be increased interest in Bitcoin ETFs and clearer regulatory guidance on cryptocurrencies.
Conclusion
While the current decline is concerning, the cryptocurrency market is known for its volatility. Experienced investors see such moments as opportunities for long-term accumulation, while short-term traders continue to monitor support and resistance levels.
Stay informed, analyze data, and make well-considered decisions.

#BTC #BitcoinETFs #EconomicAlert