Faviola Leaver C1ZW

Based on historical patterns between the bottom and cycle top, Bitcoin is most likely to reach the peak of the fourth cycle around October 2025.
This was conveyed by one of the crypto market analysts on platform X, with the account name CryptoCon. He explained that with a count of 152 weeks from the bottom, BTC is currently only 21 weeks or 5 months away from that point.
BTC Cycle Pattern Consistent
In the three previous cycles (2011-2022), Bitcoin consistently reached its peak around week 152 to 154 after the bottom:

Bitcoin and Other Cryptocurrencies Price Recovery Opportunities in June 2025 After Recent Decline

Investigate the potential for the price recovery of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum in June 2025 after experiencing a decline in the last week of trading. Fahmi Ahmad Burhan - Bisnis.com Friday, May 30, 2025 | 10:54 Increase Residents are active near the Bitcoin logo in Jakarta, Tuesday (15/10/2024). Cryptocurrency prices like Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown a weakening performance in the last week of trading. What are the chances for a price recovery of cryptocurrencies in June 2025? Based on CoinMarketCap data, the price of Bitcoin recorded a decrease of 4.44% in the last week of trading to a level of US$106,150 per coin today, Friday (30/5/2025). Meanwhile, the price of Ethereum dropped 2.69% over the week to US$2,638 per coin. The price of XRP fell 9.58% in a week to US$2.22 per coin, and Solana decreased by 10.17% in a week to US$165.58 per coin. Tokocrypto analyst, Fyqieh Fachrur, stated that as June 2025 approaches, Bitcoin is in a critical phase after reaching an all-time high of around US$112,000. Although it has shown impressive rallies, the price of Bitcoin has recently faced pressure with corrections. A combination of political sentiment, macroeconomic dynamics, technical analysis, and derivative data indicates that the market is preparing for a period of high volatility in the coming weeks. He explained that this price pressure is triggered by a combination of profit-taking actions, increased distribution from miners, strong technical resistance, and macro caution sentiment. Bitcoin Bullish Breaks ATH, Here Are the Driving Factors! However, the strength of institutional demand and derivative data remains a cushion for market optimism. “This slight correction is normal after a rally towards a new ATH [all-time high]. What is interesting is that despite the increasing selling pressure, institutional demand remains strong, as seen from significant movements towards many institutions that continue to buy Bitcoin, such as GameStop,” said Fyqieh in a written statement, Thursday (29/5/2025). According to him, as long as Bitcoin can maintain above US$107,000, the opportunity to retest US$109,000 remains open. If the selling pressure continues and the main support at US$104,670 is breached, a deeper correction could occur. “However, structurally, the medium-term trend remains positive. The potential for a retest to the area of US$110,700–US$112,000 remains open,” he said. The push for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies also comes from political support. U.S. Vice President JD Vance became a new catalyst for positive sentiment. In his speech, he referred to Bitcoin as a hedge against inflation, central control, and political discrimination by the private sector. This statement coincided with the release of the Fed's May meeting minutes, which revealed concerns about rising inflation and unemployment projections above 4.6%. Uncertainty in monetary policy and stagflation risks reinforce the narrative of Bitcoin as a hedge asset amid global economic instability. Other sentiments indicate that the market expects a slowing economic growth rate accompanied by persistent inflation, a condition that makes cryptocurrencies increasingly vulnerable to uncertainty in interest rate policies. The FOMC scheduled for June 17–18 will also be a primary focus for market participants. Until then, the market is likely to remain volatile as investors weigh stagflation risks and potential interest rate changes. In such conditions, institutional investors often take advantage of volatility for asset redistribution through expectation management strategies. “June is usually a vulnerable point, where pressure from macro uncertainty and timing arbitrage actions by institutions could trigger sharp corrections. Investors need to strengthen risk management and discipline in taking positions,” Fyqieh said.

Bitcoin is currently trading in a range between US$105,000 and US$102,734, standing at US$103,066. This price action indicates that BTC is waiting for a potential bounce. However, this cryptocurrency remains constrained and unable to break through significant resistance levels, highlighting the ongoing uncertainty in the market.
A lack of volatility prevents Bitcoin from making significant price movements. If the broader macro financial market shows improvement, Bitcoin could follow and surpass the US$105,000 resistance. Positive momentum in traditional markets could provide the necessary boost for Bitcoin to gain traction.

JAKARTA, investor.id - Analysts in a quarterly Reuters poll have forecasted the annual average gold price above US$ 3,000 for the first time, with global trade tensions and shifts from the US dollar driving demand.
The poll involving 29 analysts and traders produced an average estimate of US$ 3,065 per troy ounce of gold for this year, up from the US$ 2,756 predicted in a poll three months ago.
"Price forecasts for 2026 have risen to US$ 3,000 from US$ 2,700," as reported by Reuters on April 30, 2025.

In recent weeks, trade tariffs have become the hottest topic on social media surrounding crypto. This is evident from the data revealed by one of the leading crypto analytics platforms, Santiment, on social media X.
Based on one of its latest posts, Santiment observed that the latest data shows a significant surge in conversations about tariffs on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, especially after April.
The price of Bitcoin is currently at US$ 80,600, while Ethereum has dropped to US$ 1,594. This decline occurred after the crypto market crashed last weekend. However, good news is starting to emerge. Several countries now seem to be opening up for looser trade cooperation with the United States.

The Ichimoku Cloud showing a bullish pattern along with a solid EMA configuration indicates that the market has a solid foundation to move higher. With increasing momentum, traders are now watching whether BTC can break the psychological level of US$100,000 in the coming weeks.
BTC Whale Accumulation Reaches Highest Point Since December 15
The number of Bitcoin whales—wallets holding between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC—jumped from 1,980 on March 22 to 1,991 on March 25. This marks the highest level since December 15.

The price of Cardano (ADA) is predicted to reach $10 in the upcoming bullish cycle, increasing more than 1,300% from the current price of around $0.70. This prediction was made by crypto analyst Dan Gambardello, who views this increase as realistic.
White House Recognition and Cardano's Market Position
Reported by The Coin Republic, Cardano has gained official attention after the Executive Director of the White House Crypto Working Group, Bo Hines, mentioned ADA as one of the cryptocurrencies considered for the government's digital asset supply. Besides Cardano, the list includes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana.

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) briefly strengthened and managed to break through the $88,000 level this week, which made many traders optimistic about further increases. However, due to not being able to reach higher levels, there are specific concerns among investors.
According to cointelegraph.com, the crypto analysis platform Alphractal states that large investors, commonly referred to as whales, have begun to open short positions around the price of $88,000. In its latest post on X, Alphractal showed that the ‘Whale Position Sentiment’ metric, which measures the relationship between large transactions and market interest, has suddenly reversed direction. This means that whales are now starting to take positions to profit if the price falls.

Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment, recently asked, "What are the biggest structural risks to Bitcoin in the next 5-10 years?" This question garnered significant attention and responses from investors, experts, and industry leaders, highlighting urgent concerns.
One of the most frequently mentioned risks is the threat posed by quantum computing. Nic Carter, a general partner at Castle Island Ventures, succinctly responded: "Quantum." His answer received widespread approval.

The Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio for XRP has reached a five-year high, a level not seen since January 2020. This metric compares the market capitalization of the cryptocurrency with the transaction volume conducted on its network.
A high NVT ratio indicates that while investors are optimistic, their optimism is not translating into real network growth or usage. This imbalance typically signals an overheated market, which often corrects as the excitement wanes.

The Bitcoin market is still showing high volatility in recent days, with prices fluctuating significantly. Nevertheless, the long-term trend still indicates positive growth potential. Some key factors currently influencing the market include:
Market sentiment: Investor sentiment towards Bitcoin remains mixed. Some investors remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term potential, while others are still hesitant due to high market volatility. Recent news, both positive and negative, can quickly impact market sentiment and Bitcoin's price.

There are many factors that can influence market direction, whether in the stock market, currency, commodities, and crypto. Here are some key factors:

Economic Factors:
Economic Growth: Strong economic growth usually drives the market up, while economic slowdown can lead to declines.

Interest Rates: Rising interest rates usually pressure the market, as they make borrowing more expensive and reduce investment. Lowering interest rates usually supports the market.
Inflation: High inflation can create uncertainty and push investors to seek safer assets, which can pressure the market.

As a note, during the press conference, Powell emphasized that The Fed will not change interest rates and will remain in the range of 4.25% to 4.5% since December 2024. Although indicating that inflation remains a major challenge, this statement is considered in line with market expectations.
In addition, the easing of quantitative easing (QE) policies by The Fed has also played a role in strengthening positive sentiment in the digital asset space. This caused Bitcoin's price to react and reach an intraday high of US$87,453.

Indeed, based on the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, which has been at Fear to Extreme Fear levels for nearly a month, one would assume that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is dead. More on that later, as for now, Bitcoin is down "only" ~30% from its all-time high at last week’s low. Furthermore, in the previous update, we observed that BTC is currently trading at the same level as then. See Figure 1 below.

Over the past week, BTC has experienced significant price fluctuations reflecting a mix of bullish and bearish sentiment in the market. On March 12, 2025, BTC was trading in the price range of $80,827.04 after reaching a high of around $83,785 earlier in the week. The price movement was characterized by volatility, with significant movements influenced by technical indicators and macroeconomic factors. Investors have been closely monitoring key resistance levels, particularly around $81,902.78, as well as support levels around $76,605.75.