南帝一灯大师

Today's review summary;
The US stock market is closed for the past two days, and the market is in a state of fluctuation. Tonight, Bitcoin attempts to rally, reaching a maximum of around 85,600. Currently, 69,458,126,653 has formed a medium-term trend at the 3-day moving average level, but this does not mean that the market will directly start a V-shaped recovery; it merely confirms the support at the bottom of 75,000-77,000. We are still in a rebound situation, with an upper limit space of 3,000-5,000 dollars, peaking around 90,000. For the past two days, we have not allowed anyone to short, and we have been accumulating SOL in the ecosystem, while various Ethereum series coins have also shown some profits. Although the fluctuating market has limited gains, being able to securely capture a few points on the rebound is already quite good, and I believe those who have kept up have benefited.
Ethereum is still trying to stabilize above 1,600 dollars, and everyone can continue to pay attention to its sector coins, such as LINK, AAVE, ENA, UNI, LDO, CRV, especially considering 2-3 layers of spot positions, while high-leverage contracts are not recommended.
The performance of 98,407,475,085 is the best in the past few days, with the rebound touching around 140 again. The day before yesterday, I advised everyone to bottom fish around 124, which also resulted in significant profits, including its ecosystem series coins. As SOL touches around 140 now, everyone can hold and observe; even a small short position is acceptable, but you should also manage risk well. If the market starts to rally tomorrow before the weekend and Monday, then SOL may have the momentum to reach around 145, so if you open a short position, be cautious and set a stop-loss.
I haven't paid much attention to $DOGE lately. If the Ethereum series doesn't take the lead, you can also consider DOGE. It has been hovering around 0.155, and for spot trading, you can pay attention to its ecosystem series coins like SHIB, FLOKI, POLYDOGE; contracts are not recommended.

兄弟们点击进入南帝老师聊天室 Brothers, without further ado, come to the chat room to exchange strategies and make orders directly.

Weekend market review summary;
Reminder to take profits as the rebound reached 5.1,
$BTC Bitcoin 8-hour level fakeout,
12-hour level showing a death cross in a leaking oil pattern,
Intraday short-term trading reminder, for those who entered short positions around 97300-97500, take profits in batches in the 95500-94500 range, currently the 2-hour level pattern has not stabilized, 2-hour MACD is heading down towards the zero line, observe if it returns to 95000-95500 for a potential rebound, ultra-short-term trading should be handled as you see fit, this morning also watched and entered a PEPE position at 95500 which has already made a profit and exited.

$ETH is currently not influenced by the major coin, continuously oscillating above 1800, peaking at 1870 which is still somewhat unsatisfactory, it has successfully reclaimed the 1800 whole number level, also the pit that was broken down, now it has climbed out, so short-term trading can focus on 1800 for rebound opportunities, at least 30-50-70 dollars can be operated around 1800 for rebounds, stop-loss below 1790. The risk is not large.

$SOL is currently in a daily level correction, MACD forming a death cross, the highest rebound dropped from 157 to 153.8, clearly lowering the high point, retesting below 150, short-term continue to observe around 140 for entry, do not enter until then, every SOL rebound has a relatively large correction, just wait patiently.

$BNB has been oscillating around 595-600 these past few days, compared to other coins it has been very resilient against declines, consistently reminding to view BNB as a long-term value investment, or holding it for monthly airdrops, and the coin price is relatively stable, making it a top choice for safe-haven assets in a rebound after oscillating markets, no need for short-term trading, for those wanting to buy mid-term, watch for entry in batches around the 580-590 range.

Not much to do on the weekend, just play around and leave
PEPE81 entered with a 2-point take profit and ran.

Unveiling B2: Can the New Crypto Noble Get on Board?

The first target price after B2's launch is 1U, which is the VC cost price. Once broken, it will enter the value discovery range, with mid-term growth potential of 4 - 5 times expected. It's still worth participating in early.

Reasons to be optimistic about B2 are as follows:

- As a key project of @binance Alpha, the market has strong expectations for its contract and spot secondary launch. The token economic model reserves 10% for future listings, and the team has a deep understanding of the market.

- It is one of the few projects in the BTCFi ecosystem with real revenue. The mining pool gathers a large number of Bitcoin miners, with a TVL of 500 million USD, making it a key hub on the BTC supply side.

- The trading fee is only 0.01%, making it a high-quality target for brushing Alpha points, which can drive up on-chain trading volume. B2 is the leading player in the operational BTCFi sector.

The true leader of the BTCFi narrative is not just about telling stories, but about a real business that has already begun operations. It's still not too late to enter at this early stage; the opportunity outweighs the risk and is worth a shot.

Data released, meets expectations positively.

International News
1. Tariffs - ① US National Economic Council Director Hassett: It is expected that tariff news will be announced today (Thursday Eastern Time) before the end of the day.
② US Vice President Pence: India may be one of the first countries to reach a trade agreement.
③ The US confirms that Canadian and Mexican auto parts are exempt from tariffs.
④ UK media: The EU plans to purchase 50 billion euros of US goods to address trade issues.
2. US Treasury Secretary Mnuchin: The 2-year Treasury yield falling below the federal funds rate is a signal for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. GDP data is expected to be revised.
3. The Bank of Japan keeps its target interest rate unchanged at 0.50% for the second consecutive meeting, lowering its economic and core inflation forecasts.
4. Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso: There has been no discussion with the US about controlling foreign exchange trends or frameworks. Discussions were held with the US on whether constructive discussions on foreign exchange issues are needed. The large amount of US Treasury bonds held by Japan could be used as a tool in trade negotiations.
5. The negotiations between Iran and the US originally scheduled for May 3 will be rescheduled due to unforeseen circumstances. Trump: All purchases of Iranian oil products must stop, otherwise secondary sanctions will be imposed.
6. A survey shows that in April this year, OPEC's crude oil production fell by 200,000 barrels per day to 27.24 million barrels per day, mainly due to impending US sanctions on Venezuela.
7. South Korea's ruling and opposition parties have agreed to raise the additional budget from the proposed 12.2 trillion won to 13.8 trillion won.
8. The Indian Ministry of Defense accuses Pakistan of violating ceasefire regulations for seven consecutive days.

The long and short data has arrived
The bears still have some chips around 98,200 that will be completely consumed
The bulls also have some positions around 94-95 that will be liquidated
It all depends on the choice after the data is released tonight.

Tonight the non-farm payroll data will be announced, and the expectations are generally positive.
Therefore, U.S. stocks may rebound by 500-800 dollars.
Bitcoin has rebounded to the range of 96500-97300.
Let's see if the positive news will push it up to around 98000, or if the good news will result in a direct sell-off.

Brothers and sisters;
Bitcoin has broken through the 95,000 range,
SOL which bottomed out at 140 last night is now 152,
DOGE at 0.168 is now 0.18,
SUI at 3.3 is now around 3.7.
All can be cashed out for safety now. The 4-hour MACD indicator has broken through and formed a golden cross, but there is still a risk of oil leakage in the 6-8 hour range. Everyone, take profits on the rebound and run, it's best to take what you can.

SUI high point 3.7—3.8 reminder to reduce positions for risk aversion,
pullback to 3.3—3.2 short-term operation to buy,
with reduced positions, the chips bought back increased by 15%.

The 5-day level of Bitcoin is about to form a major cycle trend!
Will it break directly or pull back to let us get on board!
The dark ages of March are meeting the dawn of April, with today's monthly closing price above 94,000, forming a large bullish candle, just a step away from the 100,000 USD mark.
Bitcoin has recently been consolidating in the range of 93,000 to 95,000, and the total market capitalization has returned to the 3 trillion mark. The capital market has also started to re-enter around 80,000, and the Bitcoin ETF market has seen a general rebound of about 20%.
In terms of technical patterns, the king of indicators, MACD, has formed a return to the bullish territory at the daily level. The 2-day line is slowly entering the bullish area, while the 3-day line's fast line has just touched the zero axis, but the slow line has not yet formed. The 5-day line is currently choosing to form a bullish crossover trend above.
What has always been a concern is whether the 3-day line and the 5-day line will be affected by various data announcements at the beginning of the month, leading to a failure to form a bullish arrangement. After all, the current rebound range of Bitcoin is still a densely populated area around 96,500 to 97,500, and the chips from January and February have not yet broken even. The Trump tariff war has not completely eliminated market panic, and the recent announcement of the yen interest rate decision met expectations.
Therefore, the non-farm payroll data to be announced tomorrow is likely to be favorable, with a previous value of 22.8 and an expectation of 12.9. However, the focus should still be on market prices; if it cannot effectively break through the 95,000 mark, there is still a possibility of pulling back to around 90,000.
Additionally, on the 8th, there is also the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision, which is basically expected to maintain interest rates unchanged. The market has also digested the clear bearish sentiment in advance; the concern is that favorable news may lead to a false breakthrough of 95,000 followed by a pullback, as the market is often counterintuitive.
Especially with the current market remaining high and extremely bullish sentiment, there has been a significant accumulation of long and short data in the 93,000 to 95,000 range. To break the shorts in this area, Bitcoin's price would need to pull back to around 103,000 to 108,000, which requires massive buying power, while harvesting the bullish market only requires selling the chips on hand. Coupled with negative news, the price can quickly be suppressed to 90,000 or even 88,000.
So the coming week is bound to be tumultuous. I choose to continue watching from the sidelines, waiting for the market's final decision. Short-term operations during the day can avoid losses for both bulls and bears; being slick in this market is all that is needed.

Brothers I like, please help by liking and sharing.

Today's Review Summary;

Brothers and sisters, $BTC has been sideways for 8 days. This evening, it followed the U.S. stock market and declined. The important support points to watch below are the 92680—91680 range for long positions. This drop for Bitcoin and Ethereum is likely not yet complete, and Bitcoin is expected to have over a thousand points of downward space.
Just now, Bitcoin dipped to 92850, and those who entered during the rebound reached 9400 and have taken profits. Those who entered short at 94300 can maintain their positions for breakeven loss, as the four-hour level shows a leak and chooses to go down. To reverse the downward trend, we need to see if it can reclaim above 94300, and a four-hour MACD golden cross is necessary for another push upwards.

$ETH Ethereum retraced to the 1750 - 1720 range, with the highest rebound at 1772. The small-level rebound pressure is around 1775—1785. Currently, it seems Bitcoin may go to sweep the previous low position range, so for Ethereum, pay attention to the 1716—1696 range below. If Bitcoin breaks the previous low and reaches the 92500 range, then the probability for Ethereum will be very high.

$SOL These past few days, I have been reminding everyone to reduce positions in the 153—155 range during the rebound, or even to short. This drop reached the first target around 140, but the rebound strength is not great, and there is still a need to retrace to the 134—137 range below. Short-term operations can place orders here.

DOGE was reminded during tonight's live broadcast. Currently, the daily level 3—2—1 daily multiple support position is in the 0.168 range. Just now, there was some profit taken from the entry, with the highest rebound at 0.171. Currently, the short-term rebound pressure is at 0.173-0.175 here, and for contracts below, pay attention to 0.165—0.163 here. #btc走勢 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 #DOGE

I can't believe how unreasonable this is. You say he wants to delist on Binance, and everyone is thinking of shorting, even chasing the short, but then it directly reverses and goes up 14 times. How can we play this? Isn't this outright fraud? $ALPACA

Brothers and sisters,
Starting today, order takeout only through JD, support Dong Ge,
Additionally, for the brothers in the crypto world, if you're in trouble, reach out to JD.
Sisters can still go into the sea after losing money, but we brothers can only go to JD,
The rules have been shared with everyone in advance.

This round of rebound is too strong, instantly surpassing Ethereum, SOL, DOGE, and a series of other coins. However, it has currently rebounded to an important range, reaching a densely concentrated area of chips.

Adding to this, tomorrow morning there will be a large-scale unlocking of funds amounting to 2.28%, totaling 262 million USD. If we want to break through, we will need explosive positive news, such as an ETF announcement or Grayscale filing an application.

Those chasing the rise in the short term should reduce their positions; there is no need to chase after tail-end market movements. Even if it breaks 3.7, the pressure at the upper 4 USD integer range is also significant. For those who haven't entered yet and want to, it's better to wait for a pullback to gradually accumulate positions. In the short term, 3.3-3.2 is acceptable, while in the medium term, pay attention to the pullback position at the 3 USD integer level.
In the past few days, the market has issued quite a few stablecoins, and with MicroStrategy increasing its holdings to 96,593,276,033, Bitcoin has remained high. The technical pattern shows a correction, but it has not dropped below the 93,000 range. It has been in a sideways trend for a long time. We will see what the data reveals at the beginning of the month. Will it be a sideways drop followed by another rise, or will it pull back to 90,000 to confirm? What do you think, brothers?

$BTC 12 hours level MACD high position dead cross, Bitcoin high position sideways oscillation, small cycles of 1-2-4-6-8 hours have extended to the 12 hours level trend formation. Brothers and sisters, what long positions do you still have? Have you hedged and reduced positions? For those in profit, set a stop loss at cost price; for those not in profit, just set a stop loss.

Attention 😠 Attention 😠 Attention 😠
The turning point has arrived
03176120625's early morning daily line closed above 94500, and it has been in a sideways fluctuation for 7 days. A turning point is imminent. Currently, the MACD on the 5-day level is about to make a choice, while the short-term 12-8-6-4 hour levels are in adjustment. The daily closing indicates a strong intention to force a bullish close.
Impact of data: Tomorrow night, the ADP employment figures will be released, along with the annual rate of the PCE price index, and the non-farm payroll data on May 2. These are key factors affecting whether the market can effectively break through 95000 or confirm a pullback to 90500.

In April, stablecoin data continued to rise. As of April 19, 2025, the supply of USDT increased from 138 billion USD at the beginning of the year to 145 billion USD. By April 25, Tether's market share was about 66%. On April 23, according to Whale Alert monitoring, Tether issued an additional 1 billion USDT on the TRON network, and the Tether CEO stated that this issuance was for inventory replenishment.

Regarding USDC, as of April 19, its supply had surged to nearly 61 billion USD, a significant increase of 17 billion USD from 44 billion USD at the start of the year, with a growth rate of 38.6%. On April 21, Circle issued an additional 250 million USDC on the Solana network. So far in 2025, they have minted 12.75 billion USDC on Solana. On April 25, according to Jinse Finance, USDC's market capitalization surpassed 61.7 billion USD, setting a new historical high.

The global cryptocurrency market's total market cap has also reached a critical point of 3 trillion USD. This is the level that broke below the range point in late February. Funds that were avoiding the market gradually returned in early April. However, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are still uncertain, and the market is speculating about a rate cut in June. Bitcoin's market cap remains high at a 63% market share, while Ethereum's market cap is at 7.39%. Even with increased speculation, it has failed to effectively break through the 1800 mark, which is somewhat disappointing.

For other sectors and individual coins, except for SUI, coins in the 81651555068 series, DOGE series, and second-layer coins have also adjusted 50-70%, with rebounds insufficient to even cover a third of the declines. Currently, there is a bullish sentiment in the market, but it overlooks market risks. Bitcoin's sideways fluctuation has led to very little catch-up from altcoins. Individual small coins are taking turns to surge, attracting a lot of retail investors to chase the rise. However, to truly break through, positive support and capital injection are needed, especially in the transition between the end of the month and the beginning of the next. Choosing to avoid risk may be safer, and it is better to observe the market trends after various data are released to choose a more stable direction.