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Weekly Summary: Return to 80K? Funding cools suddenly, signals behind BTC's decline and altcoin weakness.
This week's movements in the crypto market can be described as 'the ultimate interpretation of the bull-bear contest': from the panic sell-off triggered by whale dumping to the unexpected rebound and subsequent accelerated decline after the technical breakdown, each node is accompanied by the resonance of funding and macro factors. Ultimately, Bitcoin (BTC) failed to hold the key support, and altcoins fell into a 'general decline', with market sentiment shifting from cautious optimism at the beginning of the month to a significant cooling. The following is a deep analysis from four aspects: market context, core funding indicators, altcoin market dynamics, and future outlook.
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"K lines are like life, both red and green are part of the journey."
Brother, this statement hits hard but it's true! In the crypto world for 8 years, I've faced significant liquidations twice, which qualifies me to set up a small stall and talk about the incidents. Liquidation isn't scary; what's scary is not being able to walk away from it!
If you haven't been liquidated, there's nothing to boast about. It means you haven't suffered significant losses in the crypto world and don't understand its cruelty. In the crypto world, operators with stories are more stable.
Brother, this statement hits hard but it's true! In the crypto world for 8 years, I've faced significant liquidations twice, which qualifies me to set up a small stall and talk about the incidents. Liquidation isn't scary; what's scary is not being able to walk away from it!
If you haven't been liquidated, there's nothing to boast about. It means you haven't suffered significant losses in the crypto world and don't understand its cruelty. In the crypto world, operators with stories are more stable.
After the liquidation, I finally understood that contracts are not tools for turning things around.
That day after the liquidation, I stared at my account balance which was left with only 0.14.
I laughed, a particularly cold laugh.
It wasn't the market that killed me; I killed myself.
From opening the position to liquidation, it was all my decision.
No one deceived me; it was my inability to control myself.
I finally understood:
Contracts are not tools for turning things around; they are a mirror reflecting human nature.
The more you want to win, the faster you will die.
The less you want to lose, the easier it is to blow up.
Many people say: "Contracts make money quickly."
But what they never tell you is:
Every liquidation is a dual collapse of confidence and mentality.
The money you earn comes from others' losses, not from the platform's gifts.
Behind those doubled screenshots is ten times the anxiety and gambler's mentality.
I summarized my entire process from "full of confidence — crazy averaging down — wanting to turn things around — liquidation."
In fact, there are signs before every liquidation.
For example:
Continuously opening positions without setting stop-losses.
Clearly wrong yet still stubbornly holding on.
Holding a heavy position that can't even bear a "slight pullback."
Knowing that my mentality has collapsed, yet still forcing my way in.
In the end, it's not that the market is so evil; it's that you haven't cultivated yourself well.
Now I only believe in these three points:
1
Without a stop-loss, you have no right to open a position.
2
Making money is strategy, stop-loss is dignity.
Contracts are not routine operations; they are weapons for advanced players. $XRP $ETH #美联储利率决议 #稳定币热潮
That day after the liquidation, I stared at my account balance which was left with only 0.14.
I laughed, a particularly cold laugh.
It wasn't the market that killed me; I killed myself.
From opening the position to liquidation, it was all my decision.
No one deceived me; it was my inability to control myself.
I finally understood:
Contracts are not tools for turning things around; they are a mirror reflecting human nature.
The more you want to win, the faster you will die.
The less you want to lose, the easier it is to blow up.
Many people say: "Contracts make money quickly."
But what they never tell you is:
Every liquidation is a dual collapse of confidence and mentality.
The money you earn comes from others' losses, not from the platform's gifts.
Behind those doubled screenshots is ten times the anxiety and gambler's mentality.
I summarized my entire process from "full of confidence — crazy averaging down — wanting to turn things around — liquidation."
In fact, there are signs before every liquidation.
For example:
Continuously opening positions without setting stop-losses.
Clearly wrong yet still stubbornly holding on.
Holding a heavy position that can't even bear a "slight pullback."
Knowing that my mentality has collapsed, yet still forcing my way in.
In the end, it's not that the market is so evil; it's that you haven't cultivated yourself well.
Now I only believe in these three points:
1
Without a stop-loss, you have no right to open a position.
2
Making money is strategy, stop-loss is dignity.
Contracts are not routine operations; they are weapons for advanced players. $XRP $ETH #美联储利率决议 #稳定币热潮
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He has come, he has come, and we can still see 80,000+ of $BTC , our macro analyst says this.
Dollar rebound, tariff increases, and non-farm data: Is Bitcoin facing an 'August disaster' or a 'golden pit'?
The 52nd macroeconomic sharing session focuses on current market highlights, providing in-depth analysis around the China-US tariff game, Federal Reserve policy trends, and the technical and fundamental aspects of Bitcoin, offering panoramic references for investors.
This report summarizes the 52nd macro thematic seminar of the WolfDAO community. Friends are welcome to read and share your views. For long-term archiving, you can follow us;
I. Market trading logic switches: The China-US tariff game becomes the core
The current core trading logic in the market has shifted from Federal Reserve policy to the third round of China-US tariff negotiations. After multiple consultations, the tariff negotiations between the US and the EU, Japan, South Korea, and Canada have basically set the tone, with the final focus of the game falling on the world's largest producer—China. Recently, the negotiations have shown an escalating trend:
This report summarizes the 52nd macro thematic seminar of the WolfDAO community. Friends are welcome to read and share your views. For long-term archiving, you can follow us;
I. Market trading logic switches: The China-US tariff game becomes the core
The current core trading logic in the market has shifted from Federal Reserve policy to the third round of China-US tariff negotiations. After multiple consultations, the tariff negotiations between the US and the EU, Japan, South Korea, and Canada have basically set the tone, with the final focus of the game falling on the world's largest producer—China. Recently, the negotiations have shown an escalating trend:
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Here it comes, check out my latest post!
In the afternoon, I will prepare a deep interpretation based on a macro level...
Let's see if there will be new market opportunities in August. Interested friends can follow to avoid missing out.
#美国初请失业金人数 #白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #美国与欧盟达成关税协议 #关税到期
Let's see if there will be new market opportunities in August. Interested friends can follow to avoid missing out.
#美国初请失业金人数 #白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #美国与欧盟达成关税协议 #关税到期
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Dollar rebound, tariff increases, and non-farm data: Is Bitcoin facing an 'August disaster' or a 'golden pit'?
The 52nd macroeconomic sharing session focuses on current market highlights, providing in-depth analysis around the China-US tariff game, Federal Reserve policy trends, and the technical and fundamental aspects of Bitcoin, offering panoramic references for investors.
This report summarizes the 52nd macro thematic seminar of the WolfDAO community. Friends are welcome to read and share your views. For long-term archiving, you can follow us;
I. Market trading logic switches: The China-US tariff game becomes the core
The current core trading logic in the market has shifted from Federal Reserve policy to the third round of China-US tariff negotiations. After multiple consultations, the tariff negotiations between the US and the EU, Japan, South Korea, and Canada have basically set the tone, with the final focus of the game falling on the world's largest producer—China. Recently, the negotiations have shown an escalating trend:
This report summarizes the 52nd macro thematic seminar of the WolfDAO community. Friends are welcome to read and share your views. For long-term archiving, you can follow us;
I. Market trading logic switches: The China-US tariff game becomes the core
The current core trading logic in the market has shifted from Federal Reserve policy to the third round of China-US tariff negotiations. After multiple consultations, the tariff negotiations between the US and the EU, Japan, South Korea, and Canada have basically set the tone, with the final focus of the game falling on the world's largest producer—China. Recently, the negotiations have shown an escalating trend:
See original
In the afternoon, I will prepare a deep interpretation based on a macro level...
Let's see if there will be new market opportunities in August. Interested friends can follow to avoid missing out.
#美国初请失业金人数 #白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #美国与欧盟达成关税协议 #关税到期
Let's see if there will be new market opportunities in August. Interested friends can follow to avoid missing out.
#美国初请失业金人数 #白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #美国与欧盟达成关税协议 #关税到期
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BTC price experienced a pullback during US trading hours, and many altcoins have already seen their gains mostly eaten up.
The value from last night's trading still seems to be rising 🚀🚀🚀
Recent interpretations of today's market suggest not to chase high prices to prevent losses caused by macro events.
………………
For the cautious: Strongly recommend waiting and observing first. The whale ratio on exchanges has already emitted a clear warning signal, and uncertainties in the macro environment are particularly high.
For those holding cash: Continuing to maintain cash is the best strategy. The market turbulence following the Federal Reserve's decision, combined with the upcoming PCE data, provides an excellent observation window. Wait for the macro fog to clear before entering the market.
$BTC
The value from last night's trading still seems to be rising 🚀🚀🚀
Recent interpretations of today's market suggest not to chase high prices to prevent losses caused by macro events.
………………
For the cautious: Strongly recommend waiting and observing first. The whale ratio on exchanges has already emitted a clear warning signal, and uncertainties in the macro environment are particularly high.
For those holding cash: Continuing to maintain cash is the best strategy. The market turbulence following the Federal Reserve's decision, combined with the upcoming PCE data, provides an excellent observation window. Wait for the macro fog to clear before entering the market.
$BTC
0731 Evening Market Data Interpretation
Bitcoin Short-Term Trend
In the short term, market trends are mainly driven by retail sentiment, with a high frequency of trading in the spot market. However, whale participation is low, with average order sizes at a 'normal' level, and trading volume in the futures market has cooled a bit, indicating that large funds remain quite cautious.
The upper resistance is at $118,000, and the lower support is at the $110,000 level. If it breaks below, it may trigger a chain liquidation.
The funding situation is somewhat differentiated: there was a net outflow of 4,292 BTC from exchanges in 24 hours, and reserves continue to decline, which is a positive signal for the long term. Short-term bullish leverage sentiment remains, which also increases the potential volatility risk.
Macroeconomic Risks
The Fed's hawkish stance has been suppressing the market: they have kept interest rates unchanged, and Powell has not committed to a rate cut in September, leading to a stronger dollar and tighter liquidity, which has suppressed risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Global trade conflicts have also escalated, with a new round of tariffs from the U.S. raising global supply chain costs, increasing expectations of sticky inflation, which may further delay the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, posing mid-term pressure on the market.
⚠ Must-Watch Events
8.1 8.30 U.S. June Core #PCE Data
8.1 U.S. Non-Farm Employment Data: This is a key indicator for assessing the resilience of the U.S. economy.
8.1 U.S. Tariffs on Non-Agreement Countries Take Effect: Pay attention to the practical impact on commodities and inflation.
🚀 Strategy Recommendations
Aggressive: It's not a good time to chase highs. You can wait for the PCE data to be released; if prices drop sharply to around the $110,000 support area and a stabilization signal appears, then consider lightly entering a long position.
Cautious: I strongly recommend waiting and observing first. The whale ratio on exchanges has already sent a clear warning signal, and macroeconomic uncertainty is particularly high.
For Those with No Positions: Continuing to hold no positions is the best strategy. The market volatility following the Fed's decision, coupled with the upcoming PCE data, provides an excellent observation window. Wait for the macro fog to clear before entering the market.
#白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #TradingSignals #行情推演
Bitcoin Short-Term Trend
In the short term, market trends are mainly driven by retail sentiment, with a high frequency of trading in the spot market. However, whale participation is low, with average order sizes at a 'normal' level, and trading volume in the futures market has cooled a bit, indicating that large funds remain quite cautious.
The upper resistance is at $118,000, and the lower support is at the $110,000 level. If it breaks below, it may trigger a chain liquidation.
The funding situation is somewhat differentiated: there was a net outflow of 4,292 BTC from exchanges in 24 hours, and reserves continue to decline, which is a positive signal for the long term. Short-term bullish leverage sentiment remains, which also increases the potential volatility risk.
Macroeconomic Risks
The Fed's hawkish stance has been suppressing the market: they have kept interest rates unchanged, and Powell has not committed to a rate cut in September, leading to a stronger dollar and tighter liquidity, which has suppressed risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Global trade conflicts have also escalated, with a new round of tariffs from the U.S. raising global supply chain costs, increasing expectations of sticky inflation, which may further delay the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, posing mid-term pressure on the market.
⚠ Must-Watch Events
8.1 8.30 U.S. June Core #PCE Data
8.1 U.S. Non-Farm Employment Data: This is a key indicator for assessing the resilience of the U.S. economy.
8.1 U.S. Tariffs on Non-Agreement Countries Take Effect: Pay attention to the practical impact on commodities and inflation.
🚀 Strategy Recommendations
Aggressive: It's not a good time to chase highs. You can wait for the PCE data to be released; if prices drop sharply to around the $110,000 support area and a stabilization signal appears, then consider lightly entering a long position.
Cautious: I strongly recommend waiting and observing first. The whale ratio on exchanges has already sent a clear warning signal, and macroeconomic uncertainty is particularly high.
For Those with No Positions: Continuing to hold no positions is the best strategy. The market volatility following the Fed's decision, coupled with the upcoming PCE data, provides an excellent observation window. Wait for the macro fog to clear before entering the market.
#白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #TradingSignals #行情推演
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0731 Evening Market Data Interpretation
Bitcoin Short-Term Trend
In the short term, market trends are mainly driven by retail sentiment, with a high frequency of trading in the spot market. However, whale participation is low, with average order sizes at a 'normal' level, and trading volume in the futures market has cooled a bit, indicating that large funds remain quite cautious.
The upper resistance is at $118,000, and the lower support is at the $110,000 level. If it breaks below, it may trigger a chain liquidation.
The funding situation is somewhat differentiated: there was a net outflow of 4,292 BTC from exchanges in 24 hours, and reserves continue to decline, which is a positive signal for the long term. Short-term bullish leverage sentiment remains, which also increases the potential volatility risk.
Macroeconomic Risks
The Fed's hawkish stance has been suppressing the market: they have kept interest rates unchanged, and Powell has not committed to a rate cut in September, leading to a stronger dollar and tighter liquidity, which has suppressed risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Global trade conflicts have also escalated, with a new round of tariffs from the U.S. raising global supply chain costs, increasing expectations of sticky inflation, which may further delay the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, posing mid-term pressure on the market.
⚠ Must-Watch Events
8.1 8.30 U.S. June Core #PCE Data
8.1 U.S. Non-Farm Employment Data: This is a key indicator for assessing the resilience of the U.S. economy.
8.1 U.S. Tariffs on Non-Agreement Countries Take Effect: Pay attention to the practical impact on commodities and inflation.
🚀 Strategy Recommendations
Aggressive: It's not a good time to chase highs. You can wait for the PCE data to be released; if prices drop sharply to around the $110,000 support area and a stabilization signal appears, then consider lightly entering a long position.
Cautious: I strongly recommend waiting and observing first. The whale ratio on exchanges has already sent a clear warning signal, and macroeconomic uncertainty is particularly high.
For Those with No Positions: Continuing to hold no positions is the best strategy. The market volatility following the Fed's decision, coupled with the upcoming PCE data, provides an excellent observation window. Wait for the macro fog to clear before entering the market.
#白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #TradingSignals #行情推演
Bitcoin Short-Term Trend
In the short term, market trends are mainly driven by retail sentiment, with a high frequency of trading in the spot market. However, whale participation is low, with average order sizes at a 'normal' level, and trading volume in the futures market has cooled a bit, indicating that large funds remain quite cautious.
The upper resistance is at $118,000, and the lower support is at the $110,000 level. If it breaks below, it may trigger a chain liquidation.
The funding situation is somewhat differentiated: there was a net outflow of 4,292 BTC from exchanges in 24 hours, and reserves continue to decline, which is a positive signal for the long term. Short-term bullish leverage sentiment remains, which also increases the potential volatility risk.
Macroeconomic Risks
The Fed's hawkish stance has been suppressing the market: they have kept interest rates unchanged, and Powell has not committed to a rate cut in September, leading to a stronger dollar and tighter liquidity, which has suppressed risk assets like cryptocurrencies. Global trade conflicts have also escalated, with a new round of tariffs from the U.S. raising global supply chain costs, increasing expectations of sticky inflation, which may further delay the Fed's rate-cutting cycle, posing mid-term pressure on the market.
⚠ Must-Watch Events
8.1 8.30 U.S. June Core #PCE Data
8.1 U.S. Non-Farm Employment Data: This is a key indicator for assessing the resilience of the U.S. economy.
8.1 U.S. Tariffs on Non-Agreement Countries Take Effect: Pay attention to the practical impact on commodities and inflation.
🚀 Strategy Recommendations
Aggressive: It's not a good time to chase highs. You can wait for the PCE data to be released; if prices drop sharply to around the $110,000 support area and a stabilization signal appears, then consider lightly entering a long position.
Cautious: I strongly recommend waiting and observing first. The whale ratio on exchanges has already sent a clear warning signal, and macroeconomic uncertainty is particularly high.
For Those with No Positions: Continuing to hold no positions is the best strategy. The market volatility following the Fed's decision, coupled with the upcoming PCE data, provides an excellent observation window. Wait for the macro fog to clear before entering the market.
#白宫数字资产报告 #美联储利率决议 #TradingSignals #行情推演
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Lead Trading Analysis @27 Straight: The Truth About Risks Under the Halo of High ROI
The interpretation of the lead trader is mainly to analyze and disassemble the real performance and trading data of the lead trader to help the copy trader understand the copy trading model and better familiarize themselves with the lead trader's trading habits and operating preferences; it does not constitute any investment advice, and try to interpret it objectively;
Interpretation of Lead Trader @27直走
What attracted me the most at first was the absolute rate of return, the ROI was as high as 17351.89% (not the latest data, the peak ROI was close to 200 times, and the recent rate of return has declined). It turned out that a hundred times the return was really not a dream
In addition, as a lead trader who has been a lead trader for 20+ days, he quickly made the list of #Binance smart recommendation list due to the very bright data, and has been displayed on the homepage of the list for 3-5 days;
Interpretation of Lead Trader @27直走
What attracted me the most at first was the absolute rate of return, the ROI was as high as 17351.89% (not the latest data, the peak ROI was close to 200 times, and the recent rate of return has declined). It turned out that a hundred times the return was really not a dream
In addition, as a lead trader who has been a lead trader for 20+ days, he quickly made the list of #Binance smart recommendation list due to the very bright data, and has been displayed on the homepage of the list for 3-5 days;
See original
Updating a set of data...
Only after obtaining the data did I realize that the copy trading market is not as prosperous as imagined.
Currently, we have summarized the contract copy trading business data from major exchanges on the internet, including #Binance .
1. The number of copy traders across the internet is close to 70,000, accounting for about 10%-15% of the total number of copy traders (the data on the number of copy traders can fluctuate greatly and is closely related to market ups and downs).
2. In terms of numbers, #bybit and #MEXC are currently performing the best, both in terms of the number of lead traders and copy traders; this may also be closely related to the early stage of business development.
3. A limited number of lead traders can leverage a large trading market, with 10 exchanges collectively driving a capital scale of nearly 340 million USD, resulting in over 20 million transactions.
4. There is a significant disparity in lead trading revenue performance among different exchanges. In Binance's lead trading model, the profits and losses for copy traders are roughly balanced, with a slight edge in profitability; while some exchanges like O交K易X have a profit and loss ratio close to 1:4, maintaining an overall negative status, and the performance of other exchanges is also generally commendable.
......
#以太坊十周年 $CFX
For more data, you can follow the blogger, or if you want to know the data of a specific exchange, you can also let me know in the comments section.
Only after obtaining the data did I realize that the copy trading market is not as prosperous as imagined.
Currently, we have summarized the contract copy trading business data from major exchanges on the internet, including #Binance .
1. The number of copy traders across the internet is close to 70,000, accounting for about 10%-15% of the total number of copy traders (the data on the number of copy traders can fluctuate greatly and is closely related to market ups and downs).
2. In terms of numbers, #bybit and #MEXC are currently performing the best, both in terms of the number of lead traders and copy traders; this may also be closely related to the early stage of business development.
3. A limited number of lead traders can leverage a large trading market, with 10 exchanges collectively driving a capital scale of nearly 340 million USD, resulting in over 20 million transactions.
4. There is a significant disparity in lead trading revenue performance among different exchanges. In Binance's lead trading model, the profits and losses for copy traders are roughly balanced, with a slight edge in profitability; while some exchanges like O交K易X have a profit and loss ratio close to 1:4, maintaining an overall negative status, and the performance of other exchanges is also generally commendable.
......
#以太坊十周年 $CFX
For more data, you can follow the blogger, or if you want to know the data of a specific exchange, you can also let me know in the comments section.
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0730 Evening Market Interpretation
Let's continue to pay attention to today's market and market conditions,
$BTC
The price of BTC is $118,205.02, down 0.52% from before.
Market sentiment shows a clear differentiation; retail trading in the spot market is very active with high participation enthusiasm, while the futures market is relatively quiet with low participation from whales (large holders).
In terms of operations, it is necessary to remind everyone to remain cautious. The MVRV ratio has reached 2.3, which is at a historically high level, indicating that the asset may be overvalued.
The whale ratio on exchanges is as high as 0.98, meaning that large holders may be transferring chips to exchanges, and potential selling pressure needs to be monitored.
Regarding support levels, the financial situation shows a differentiated state, with a net outflow of 6,168 BTC from exchanges in 24 hours, which is a positive signal; however, the total open interest has decreased by 1.45%, indicating that some leveraged positions are being liquidated, and the long-short game is quite intense.
Macroeconomic Level
1. The recovery situation in the Eurozone is improving, with Germany approving a record fiscal expansion budget, and Eurozone GDP data for the second quarter exceeding expectations, which may benefit the cryptocurrency market.
2. The U.S. has inflation concerns, and tariffs imposed on the EU may raise short-term inflation. If inflation rebounds, the Federal Reserve's tightening stance may put pressure on the cryptocurrency market.
3. The border dispute talks between Cambodia and Thailand have failed, and there is a black swan risk in the geopolitical tension in Southeast Asia.
There are three events to watch
1. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on July 31 at 02:00, pay attention to Powell's statements;
2. The U.S. second-quarter GDP data to be released tonight;
3. And China's policy dynamics.
Operation Suggestions
In terms of strategy, aggressive traders are advised to wait until after the Federal Reserve's decision before acting; conservative traders should maintain a wait-and-see approach, focusing on whale-related indicators; those with no positions can continue to wait for a clear market direction before making arrangements.
Market fluctuations can also be monitored with our little tool
Crypto Weather Forecast: https://weather3.wolfdao.com/
Let's continue to pay attention to today's market and market conditions,
$BTC
The price of BTC is $118,205.02, down 0.52% from before.
Market sentiment shows a clear differentiation; retail trading in the spot market is very active with high participation enthusiasm, while the futures market is relatively quiet with low participation from whales (large holders).
In terms of operations, it is necessary to remind everyone to remain cautious. The MVRV ratio has reached 2.3, which is at a historically high level, indicating that the asset may be overvalued.
The whale ratio on exchanges is as high as 0.98, meaning that large holders may be transferring chips to exchanges, and potential selling pressure needs to be monitored.
Regarding support levels, the financial situation shows a differentiated state, with a net outflow of 6,168 BTC from exchanges in 24 hours, which is a positive signal; however, the total open interest has decreased by 1.45%, indicating that some leveraged positions are being liquidated, and the long-short game is quite intense.
Macroeconomic Level
1. The recovery situation in the Eurozone is improving, with Germany approving a record fiscal expansion budget, and Eurozone GDP data for the second quarter exceeding expectations, which may benefit the cryptocurrency market.
2. The U.S. has inflation concerns, and tariffs imposed on the EU may raise short-term inflation. If inflation rebounds, the Federal Reserve's tightening stance may put pressure on the cryptocurrency market.
3. The border dispute talks between Cambodia and Thailand have failed, and there is a black swan risk in the geopolitical tension in Southeast Asia.
There are three events to watch
1. The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on July 31 at 02:00, pay attention to Powell's statements;
2. The U.S. second-quarter GDP data to be released tonight;
3. And China's policy dynamics.
Operation Suggestions
In terms of strategy, aggressive traders are advised to wait until after the Federal Reserve's decision before acting; conservative traders should maintain a wait-and-see approach, focusing on whale-related indicators; those with no positions can continue to wait for a clear market direction before making arrangements.
Market fluctuations can also be monitored with our little tool
Crypto Weather Forecast: https://weather3.wolfdao.com/
See original
Copy Trading Analysis @Tang Hot: A Trading Landscape of High Returns and High Risks
The interpretation of traders primarily involves dissecting and analyzing the real trading performance and data of the trader to help followers understand the copy trading model and better familiarize themselves with the trader's trading habits and operational preferences; it does not constitute any investment advice, and an objective interpretation is attempted.
Interpretation of trader @糖Hot
#Binance Copy trading star@糖Hot
I. Interpretation background
To be honest, this time I specifically picked 'Tang Hot' for a thorough analysis, which wasn’t a random decision. Many little partners in the group have been asking if this person is a 'god' or a 'trap'?
Interpretation of trader @糖Hot
#Binance Copy trading star@糖Hot
I. Interpretation background
To be honest, this time I specifically picked 'Tang Hot' for a thorough analysis, which wasn’t a random decision. Many little partners in the group have been asking if this person is a 'god' or a 'trap'?
See original
Copy Trading Analysis @Tang Hot: A Trading Landscape of High Returns and High Risks
The interpretation of traders primarily involves dissecting and analyzing the real trading performance and data of the trader to help followers understand the copy trading model and better familiarize themselves with the trader's trading habits and operational preferences; it does not constitute any investment advice, and an objective interpretation is attempted.
Interpretation of trader @糖Hot
#Binance Copy trading star@糖Hot
I. Interpretation background
To be honest, this time I specifically picked 'Tang Hot' for a thorough analysis, which wasn’t a random decision. Many little partners in the group have been asking if this person is a 'god' or a 'trap'?
Interpretation of trader @糖Hot
#Binance Copy trading star@糖Hot
I. Interpretation background
To be honest, this time I specifically picked 'Tang Hot' for a thorough analysis, which wasn’t a random decision. Many little partners in the group have been asking if this person is a 'god' or a 'trap'?
See original
The strength of empty orders is frightening like this🥶🥶🥶🥶🥶🥶🥶🥶
Let's take a look at the market again
Thanks to WolfDAO (x: @10xWolfdao) for the hard work in organizing. As everyone knows, the cryptocurrency market has risks, and investments should be cautious.
The current price remains at 118,000+, with a 24-hour drop of 0.32%. The market is in a 'holding breath' phase dominated by macro policy.
On one hand, the Federal Reserve's hawkish signal ('not ready to cut rates this week') and the dollar index breaking the 99 mark are putting pressure on risk assets like cryptocurrencies; on the other hand, Trump's threat to impose 'global tariffs' has reignited market stagflation expectations.
Operation window: On-chain signals are in extreme contradiction, with intense confrontation between bulls and bears.
The whale ratio on exchanges has risen to an extremely dangerous level of 0.984, indicating a large-scale sell-off risk for whales; however, exchanges recorded a massive net outflow of -10.07k BTC, with a lot of chips pulled from exchanges, providing a strong bullish signal. The market is currently in a game between whales and long-term holders.
Macro risks
The market focus has shifted to two major events: the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the White House's cryptocurrency regulation.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance temporarily suppresses hopes for short-term liquidity easing, becoming the main upward resistance; the White House's upcoming cryptocurrency policy report is filled with uncertainty, and its positioning on stablecoins and RWA will determine the short-term market direction.
Key events to watch
1. White House cryptocurrency policy report (July 30), which may reshape the regulatory framework for stablecoins (USDT/DAI), its tone will directly catalyze the market's short-term trend.
2. Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with the market expecting no change in rates, focusing on Powell's speech and whether there are public disagreements within the board, dovish signals may trigger a rebound in risk assets.
3. Global tariffs come into effect (August 1), if the Trump administration's global tariffs are implemented, it will provoke a global trade backlash, inflation risks will soar, highlighting Bitcoin's 'non-sovereign' value in the long term.
Operational suggestions
Aggressive: Can take a very light position to gamble on the favorable outcome of tomorrow's White House report, but the risk is extremely high.
Conservative: Strongly recommend waiting and watching. Market direction is unclear before the Federal Reserve decision and the White House report.
For those holding no positions: Continuing to stay out of the market is currently the strategy with the highest risk-reward ratio. When the market is dominated by a single policy event and on-chain core long-short data diverges, uncertainty reaches its peak, waiting outside is the best choice to protect capital.
#BNB创新高 #降息预期 #行情推演
Thanks to WolfDAO (x: @10xWolfdao) for the hard work in organizing. As everyone knows, the cryptocurrency market has risks, and investments should be cautious.
The current price remains at 118,000+, with a 24-hour drop of 0.32%. The market is in a 'holding breath' phase dominated by macro policy.
On one hand, the Federal Reserve's hawkish signal ('not ready to cut rates this week') and the dollar index breaking the 99 mark are putting pressure on risk assets like cryptocurrencies; on the other hand, Trump's threat to impose 'global tariffs' has reignited market stagflation expectations.
Operation window: On-chain signals are in extreme contradiction, with intense confrontation between bulls and bears.
The whale ratio on exchanges has risen to an extremely dangerous level of 0.984, indicating a large-scale sell-off risk for whales; however, exchanges recorded a massive net outflow of -10.07k BTC, with a lot of chips pulled from exchanges, providing a strong bullish signal. The market is currently in a game between whales and long-term holders.
Macro risks
The market focus has shifted to two major events: the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the White House's cryptocurrency regulation.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance temporarily suppresses hopes for short-term liquidity easing, becoming the main upward resistance; the White House's upcoming cryptocurrency policy report is filled with uncertainty, and its positioning on stablecoins and RWA will determine the short-term market direction.
Key events to watch
1. White House cryptocurrency policy report (July 30), which may reshape the regulatory framework for stablecoins (USDT/DAI), its tone will directly catalyze the market's short-term trend.
2. Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with the market expecting no change in rates, focusing on Powell's speech and whether there are public disagreements within the board, dovish signals may trigger a rebound in risk assets.
3. Global tariffs come into effect (August 1), if the Trump administration's global tariffs are implemented, it will provoke a global trade backlash, inflation risks will soar, highlighting Bitcoin's 'non-sovereign' value in the long term.
Operational suggestions
Aggressive: Can take a very light position to gamble on the favorable outcome of tomorrow's White House report, but the risk is extremely high.
Conservative: Strongly recommend waiting and watching. Market direction is unclear before the Federal Reserve decision and the White House report.
For those holding no positions: Continuing to stay out of the market is currently the strategy with the highest risk-reward ratio. When the market is dominated by a single policy event and on-chain core long-short data diverges, uncertainty reaches its peak, waiting outside is the best choice to protect capital.
#BNB创新高 #降息预期 #行情推演
See original
Let's take a look at the market again
Thanks to WolfDAO (x: @10xWolfdao) for the hard work in organizing. As everyone knows, the cryptocurrency market has risks, and investments should be cautious.
The current price remains at 118,000+, with a 24-hour drop of 0.32%. The market is in a 'holding breath' phase dominated by macro policy.
On one hand, the Federal Reserve's hawkish signal ('not ready to cut rates this week') and the dollar index breaking the 99 mark are putting pressure on risk assets like cryptocurrencies; on the other hand, Trump's threat to impose 'global tariffs' has reignited market stagflation expectations.
Operation window: On-chain signals are in extreme contradiction, with intense confrontation between bulls and bears.
The whale ratio on exchanges has risen to an extremely dangerous level of 0.984, indicating a large-scale sell-off risk for whales; however, exchanges recorded a massive net outflow of -10.07k BTC, with a lot of chips pulled from exchanges, providing a strong bullish signal. The market is currently in a game between whales and long-term holders.
Macro risks
The market focus has shifted to two major events: the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the White House's cryptocurrency regulation.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance temporarily suppresses hopes for short-term liquidity easing, becoming the main upward resistance; the White House's upcoming cryptocurrency policy report is filled with uncertainty, and its positioning on stablecoins and RWA will determine the short-term market direction.
Key events to watch
1. White House cryptocurrency policy report (July 30), which may reshape the regulatory framework for stablecoins (USDT/DAI), its tone will directly catalyze the market's short-term trend.
2. Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with the market expecting no change in rates, focusing on Powell's speech and whether there are public disagreements within the board, dovish signals may trigger a rebound in risk assets.
3. Global tariffs come into effect (August 1), if the Trump administration's global tariffs are implemented, it will provoke a global trade backlash, inflation risks will soar, highlighting Bitcoin's 'non-sovereign' value in the long term.
Operational suggestions
Aggressive: Can take a very light position to gamble on the favorable outcome of tomorrow's White House report, but the risk is extremely high.
Conservative: Strongly recommend waiting and watching. Market direction is unclear before the Federal Reserve decision and the White House report.
For those holding no positions: Continuing to stay out of the market is currently the strategy with the highest risk-reward ratio. When the market is dominated by a single policy event and on-chain core long-short data diverges, uncertainty reaches its peak, waiting outside is the best choice to protect capital.
#BNB创新高 #降息预期 #行情推演
Thanks to WolfDAO (x: @10xWolfdao) for the hard work in organizing. As everyone knows, the cryptocurrency market has risks, and investments should be cautious.
The current price remains at 118,000+, with a 24-hour drop of 0.32%. The market is in a 'holding breath' phase dominated by macro policy.
On one hand, the Federal Reserve's hawkish signal ('not ready to cut rates this week') and the dollar index breaking the 99 mark are putting pressure on risk assets like cryptocurrencies; on the other hand, Trump's threat to impose 'global tariffs' has reignited market stagflation expectations.
Operation window: On-chain signals are in extreme contradiction, with intense confrontation between bulls and bears.
The whale ratio on exchanges has risen to an extremely dangerous level of 0.984, indicating a large-scale sell-off risk for whales; however, exchanges recorded a massive net outflow of -10.07k BTC, with a lot of chips pulled from exchanges, providing a strong bullish signal. The market is currently in a game between whales and long-term holders.
Macro risks
The market focus has shifted to two major events: the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the White House's cryptocurrency regulation.
The Federal Reserve's hawkish stance temporarily suppresses hopes for short-term liquidity easing, becoming the main upward resistance; the White House's upcoming cryptocurrency policy report is filled with uncertainty, and its positioning on stablecoins and RWA will determine the short-term market direction.
Key events to watch
1. White House cryptocurrency policy report (July 30), which may reshape the regulatory framework for stablecoins (USDT/DAI), its tone will directly catalyze the market's short-term trend.
2. Federal Reserve interest rate decision, with the market expecting no change in rates, focusing on Powell's speech and whether there are public disagreements within the board, dovish signals may trigger a rebound in risk assets.
3. Global tariffs come into effect (August 1), if the Trump administration's global tariffs are implemented, it will provoke a global trade backlash, inflation risks will soar, highlighting Bitcoin's 'non-sovereign' value in the long term.
Operational suggestions
Aggressive: Can take a very light position to gamble on the favorable outcome of tomorrow's White House report, but the risk is extremely high.
Conservative: Strongly recommend waiting and watching. Market direction is unclear before the Federal Reserve decision and the White House report.
For those holding no positions: Continuing to stay out of the market is currently the strategy with the highest risk-reward ratio. When the market is dominated by a single policy event and on-chain core long-short data diverges, uncertainty reaches its peak, waiting outside is the best choice to protect capital.
#BNB创新高 #降息预期 #行情推演
See original
I don't know if I have hit the tip of your heart...
Feeling inspired, and it just so happens that I made an agreement with a few friends to form a group for a follow-up PK
Which one am I in the countdown? 😂😂
Later, I plan to keep an eye on people and analyze them one by one.
Feeling inspired, and it just so happens that I made an agreement with a few friends to form a group for a follow-up PK
Which one am I in the countdown? 😂😂
Later, I plan to keep an eye on people and analyze them one by one.
The unspoken truths about contract copy trading; my practical experiences
Hello friends, after 7 years in the crypto space, I'm finally going to start posting at Binance Square! I was initially unsure about what to write for my first post, but recently my team and I have been researching the contract copy trading model. From practical trading to backend data processing, we've discovered some interesting things. I'll use these findings as an appetizer for today’s post. (Just to clarify: we’ll only discuss contract copy trading, not spot copying for now!)
Self-disclosure: A while ago, to understand the real copy trading ecosystem, I personally participated in a period of contract private copy trading while following several 'big V' trades, and had my partners help me dig into the real data from exchanges. I didn’t realize it until I looked, and it was quite enlightening:
Self-disclosure: A while ago, to understand the real copy trading ecosystem, I personally participated in a period of contract private copy trading while following several 'big V' trades, and had my partners help me dig into the real data from exchanges. I didn’t realize it until I looked, and it was quite enlightening:
See original
The unspoken truths about contract copy trading; my practical experiences
Hello friends, after 7 years in the crypto space, I'm finally going to start posting at Binance Square! I was initially unsure about what to write for my first post, but recently my team and I have been researching the contract copy trading model. From practical trading to backend data processing, we've discovered some interesting things. I'll use these findings as an appetizer for today’s post. (Just to clarify: we’ll only discuss contract copy trading, not spot copying for now!)
Self-disclosure: A while ago, to understand the real copy trading ecosystem, I personally participated in a period of contract private copy trading while following several 'big V' trades, and had my partners help me dig into the real data from exchanges. I didn’t realize it until I looked, and it was quite enlightening:
Self-disclosure: A while ago, to understand the real copy trading ecosystem, I personally participated in a period of contract private copy trading while following several 'big V' trades, and had my partners help me dig into the real data from exchanges. I didn’t realize it until I looked, and it was quite enlightening:
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