HuoXuan

Is this KOGE's big clip?

Who can beat this score?
Big players, stop competing.
Leave some soup for us small retail investors.

#加密安全须知 Cryptocurrency Trading Notes:

1. High Risk: Prices are highly volatile, and one could become wealthy overnight or lose everything; invest only spare money and avoid leverage.
2. Unclear Regulation: Policies vary by country, and trading may face legal risks; understand local compliance.
3. Protect Assets: Choose legitimate platforms, securely store private keys, and beware of phishing sites and scam information.
4. Rational Decision-Making: Reject blind following, conduct in-depth research on the project's fundamentals, and avoid emotional trading.

The entry of the encryption giant #科技巨头入场稳定币 into the stablecoin field is of great significance. On one hand, with its resources and technology, it can promote the application of stablecoins in payments, cross-border transactions, etc., improving transaction efficiency and reducing costs; on the other hand, it will also prompt regulatory strengthening, which is beneficial for the standardized development of the industry, but it may also bring issues such as market monopolies, which need to be viewed dialectically.
$BTC
$BNB

今天才卖了83U，擦。

Is this funny?

Everyone, don't use this 1inch aggregator. Damn, there are too many slippages. One trade slipped me over 2U, and I set the slippage to 0.05.
Damn, this garbage.

Why is the score so high this time? ..

Trump's first hundred days in office had a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market. His policy shift promoted regulatory easing in the industry, including signing an executive order to establish a Bitcoin strategic reserve, rescinding restrictions on bank cryptocurrency operations from the Biden era, and supporting the Financial Innovation and Technology Act of the 21st Century (FIT21) to accelerate legislation. These initiatives facilitated the entry of traditional capital, with the total market value of cryptocurrencies surpassing $3 trillion in April 2025, while Bitcoin's market share reached 61.4%. However, the personal issuance of 'Trump Coin' ($TRUMP) triggered a market speculative frenzy, with prices plummeting from a peak of $75 to below $10, resulting in 813,000 wallets losing over $2 billion, exposing the high-risk characteristics driven by policy. At the industry level, enforcement actions against exchanges like Coinbase were rescinded, and institutions like US Bank began issuing stablecoins, indicating a more favorable regulatory environment. However, experts warn that an over-reliance on cryptocurrencies could undermine the dollar's position, while policy uncertainty may still trigger market volatility. Overall, Trump's hundred-day policies boosted industry confidence but also intensified the contradiction between speculative risks and long-term financial stability.

I really can't keep up, I can't keep competing, it's all over.

Today's ALPHA airdrop has issued points, ugh, not enough money.

How to check your Binance Alpha points❓

Open the Binance App home page> More> Information> Check now?

Why do the rules keep changing?
Isn't it fine to push Alpha with clear rules?
Are you afraid of big players? Or are you afraid of the studio?
Just increase the assets held in BNB.
$BNB

#保护你的资产 Regarding the approval of SOL's ETF, Canada has taken the lead by approving a spot ETF on April 15, 2025, while the United States is facing delays due to the SEC categorizing SOL as a 'security' and the lack of a regulated futures market, with approval expected only in 2026. The Solana ecosystem is developing well but has supply volatility risks, and the probability of short-term approval in the U.S. is low due to regulatory classification and futures market conditions.

#比特币与美国关税政策 BTC has a strong correlation with U.S. policies, exhibiting characteristics of 'regulation-driven' volatility. The SEC's regulatory classification (commodity/security attributes) directly affects compliance channels: the approval of spot ETFs in 2024 is expected to drive institutional holdings over $150 billion, while if the 'Digital Asset Bill' defines BTC as a 'commodity' in 2025, it will fall under the CFTC regulatory framework, enhancing market stability; if classified as a 'security', it will be subject to strict SEC regulations, potentially limiting retail participation. In terms of monetary policy, during the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike cycle, BTC's correlation with the S&P 500 reached 0.82, and in 2024, as expectations for interest rate cuts rise, BTC saw a three-month increase of 75%. Tax policies (such as the capital gains tax rising to 37% in 2026) and banking regulations (OCC restrictions on cryptocurrency custody) act as short-term suppressing factors. Overall, U.S. policies dominate 60%-70% of BTC's mid-term price trends through three channels: capital flow, market access, and risk appetite.

By 2030, the price of Bitcoin may fluctuate between $100,000 and $200,000, driven by core factors including:

1. Halving Effect and Scarcity: Bitcoin is halved every four years, and the halving in 2028 will reduce the annual inflation rate to below 0.6%. Coupled with the total supply limit of 21 million coins, the logic of scarcity is reinforced. Historical data shows that prices typically break previous highs 12-18 months after a halving, with the price increasing over 600% after the 2020 halving; this pattern may continue until 2030.

2. Institutionalization and Compliance Process: The scale of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the U.S. has surpassed $25 billion. The Norwegian sovereign wealth fund indirectly holds 3,821 Bitcoins through companies like MicroStrategy, while asset management giants like Fidelity and BlackRock are accelerating their positions. If the institutional allocation ratio increases from the current 0.1% to 1%, it could bring over $200 billion in capital inflows, pushing the price center upwards.

3. Technological Iteration and Practicality: The number of Lightning Network nodes has surpassed 12,000, with a transaction capacity exceeding 5,000 BTC, and payment confirmation times reduced to seconds. After the comprehensive implementation of Layer 2 scaling solutions in 2025, Bitcoin could handle a million transactions per second, accelerating penetration into enterprise-level application scenarios (such as supply chain finance and cross-border settlement), enhancing its currency attributes as “digital gold.”

4. Macroeconomic and Policy Game: Global central bank digital currency (CBDC) competition intensifies, highlighting Bitcoin's value as a decentralized alternative. If the Federal Reserve resumes interest rate cuts after 2025, a negative real interest rate will stimulate demand for anti-inflation assets; conversely, if the U.S. launches a “digital dollar” and strengthens regulation, it may suppress prices in the short term, but in the long run, the compliance process will enhance market depth.

Risk points include liquidity shocks triggered by China's complete ban, threats to blockchain security from quantum computing, and market volatility caused by repeated regulatory policies. A comprehensive assessment suggests that the probability of Bitcoin's price exceeding $200,000 by 2030 is about 40%, while the probability of it falling below $50,000 is less than 20%, with a high likelihood of oscillating upward in the $100,000-$150,000 range.
$BTC

Predicting the price of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2030 is essentially a complex extrapolation based on multiple technical, social, and economic variables. From a technical perspective, if quantum computing breaks through the existing cryptographic systems, the underlying security mechanisms of Bitcoin could be disrupted, leading to a reconstruction of its value; conversely, if quantum-resistant cryptographic technology matures, Bitcoin could become the 'ultimate fortress' of digital assets. In terms of social acceptance, if the global economic system collapses or extreme inflation occurs, the scarcity of Bitcoin (total supply of 21 million) could make it an alternative currency, causing its price to skyrocket to astronomical numbers; however, if central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) become fully mainstream and incorporate smart contract functionalities, Bitcoin's payment scenarios will be squeezed, reducing it to a niche collectible.

From an economic model perspective, assuming the current trend of institutional adoption continues (such as corporate reserves and ETF inflows), combined with the supply contraction brought by the halving cycle, Bitcoin could exceed one million dollars by 2030. However, in the long run, its price will be constrained by energy efficiency—if Bitcoin fails to achieve a green mining transition, global carbon neutrality policies may force the elimination of the PoW mechanism, leading the network's value to zero. Additionally, geopolitical risks (such as national power monopolies and digital asset wars) and the proliferation of AI autonomous trading systems could trigger dramatic price fluctuations or even market reconstruction.

In summary, the price of Bitcoin in 2030 presents three extreme possibilities: becoming the underlying protocol of the global economy under a technological singularity (value approaching global GDP infinitely), disappearing due to regulatory or technical bottlenecks (price going to zero), or maintaining its status as 'digital gold' (price pegged to gold). However, all predictions must be based on the premise that 'Bitcoin still exists', and this premise itself is filled with uncertainty over the span of 2000 years.
$BTC

#币安安全见解 Binance, as the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, has a leading level of security in the industry, but its technological protection and potential risks should be viewed objectively.

In terms of technical security measures, Binance employs industry-standard protections such as multi-signature, cold wallet storage (over 95% of assets offline), SSL encryption, and has introduced an AI anomaly trading monitoring system. Its 'Secure Asset Fund for Users' (SAFU) has a scale of $1.2 billion, which fully compensated user losses during the 2019 hacking incident. Additionally, the platform supports features like 2FA, whitelisted addresses, and biometric recognition to reduce the risk of account theft.

Regarding asset transparency, Binance regularly publishes proof of reserves (PoR), allowing users to verify assets on a 1:1 basis through blockchain. However, PoR only reflects data at a specific point in time and cannot track fund dynamics in real-time.

In terms of compliance and regulation, Binance has obtained licenses in 19 countries worldwide and plans to delist non-MiCA compliant stablecoins by March 2025 to comply with EU regulations. However, the lawsuit from the U.S. SEC is still ongoing, accusing it of fund misappropriation and illegal operations, which may affect long-term stability.

Historical risk events show that Binance suffered a loss of 7,000 bitcoins due to a hacking incident in 2019, and a cross-chain bridge vulnerability led to $570 million being stolen in 2022, but all were compensated through the SAFU fund. Recently, Tether froze its associated address of 3.2 million USDT, reflecting compliance pressure.

In terms of third-party ratings, CERTIFIED gave it an AAA rating, and SecurityScorecard rated it 96/100, indicating recognized technical security. However, users should remain vigilant against phishing attacks, private key leaks, and other external risks; the platform recommends enabling 2FA and trading through official channels.

In summary: Binance's technical protection and emergency mechanisms are relatively comprehensive, but regulatory uncertainty and historical vulnerabilities indicate that users should remain cautious. It is recommended to prioritize compliant stablecoins, enable multi-factor authentication, and avoid storing all assets on the exchange.

#币安安全见解
#保护你的资产
Binance, as the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, has a leading level of security in the industry, but its technical protection and potential risks should be viewed objectively.

In terms of technical security measures, Binance employs industry-standard protections such as multi-signature, cold wallet storage (over 95% of assets offline), SSL encryption, and has introduced an AI anomaly trading monitoring system. Its 'Secure Asset Fund for Users' (SAFU) has a scale of 1.2 billion USD, which fully compensated users for losses during the 2019 hacking incident. Additionally, the platform supports features such as 2FA, whitelisted addresses, and biometric recognition to reduce the risk of account theft.

Regarding asset transparency, Binance regularly publishes proof of reserves (PoR), allowing users to verify assets on a 1:1 basis through the blockchain. However, PoR only reflects data at a specific point in time and cannot track fund dynamics in real-time.

On the compliance and regulatory front, Binance has obtained licenses in 19 countries worldwide and plans to delist non-MiCA compliant stablecoins by March 2025 to comply with EU regulations. However, the lawsuit from the U.S. SEC is still ongoing, accusing it of fund misappropriation and illegal operations, which may affect long-term stability.

Historical risk events show that Binance suffered a hacking loss of 7,000 bitcoins in 2019, and a cross-chain bridge vulnerability led to the theft of 570 million USD in 2022, but both were compensated through the SAFU fund. Recently, Tether froze its associated address with 3.2 million USDT, reflecting compliance pressures.

In terms of third-party ratings, CERTIFIED gave it an AAA rating, and SecurityScorecard scored it 96/100, indicating recognized technical security. However, users should remain vigilant against external risks such as phishing attacks and private key leaks; the platform recommends enabling 2FA and using official channels for trading.

In summary: Binance's technical protection and emergency mechanisms are relatively sound, but regulatory uncertainties and historical vulnerabilities remind users to remain cautious. It is advisable to prioritize compliant stablecoins, enable multi-factor authentication, and avoid storing all assets on the exchange.