raukhoaicrypto

After reading brother Vượng's article... I want to share a bit of my personal opinion.

For me, the altcoin season hasn't started yet, my friends.

1. Based on cycles
2. Based on macro factors

Of course, altcoins will start to run from here, but for it to really explode and go insane, I estimate around the time Trump takes office (there will be an impact on the market before and after that time).

This season's halving is a month earlier, which could imply that everything will arrive a bit earlier than the previous cycle.

Additionally, Christmas, Western New Year, and Lunar New Year are times that may see volatility. But I don't think that's the endpoint, so there's no buying/selling plan or anything. It's just that I will limit long/short positions during that time - holding positions remain unchanged - in the worst-case scenario if coins drop, it’s still normal - I've endured for over 9 months, so why not endure a bit longer?!

You should also optimize during this period, no matter how clever you are, you can't outsmart the house. If you're confident you can be right 5 times out of 5, then consider playing. Otherwise, if you're wrong just once out of 5, it's best to take a break - because one mistake can sometimes take away the results of all 4 correct ones!

There are no specific data, just spontaneously writing some random thoughts. When the right time comes, there will be specific evidence for each point!

Market scenarios in Q1

1/ $BTC increases + altcoins increase. This is the playbook of the 2016 season, the scenario we want the most =))))))))

2/ $BTC increases + altcoins vary. This is the playbook of Q1/2021. Not all altcoins surged in 2021. If I remember correctly, during that time, $DOGE and DeFi with Oracle had the strongest increases. This is probably the most likely scenario.

Choosing altcoins will be more challenging. Not because it's hard to make a profit, but the low profits lead to dissatisfaction and an urge to stay and make money when the tide goes out.

3/ $BTC increases + altcoins decrease. $BTC increases by 10%, altcoins increase by 7%. $BTC corrects by 1%, altcoins drop by 10%. Something like that. In this case, the probability of occurrence is probably only second to the one above. Basically, during this cycle, the attention on $BTC is too high to underestimate its strength.

In this case, it would be necessary to convert holdings back to $BTC if there is a change.

4/ $BTC decreases + altcoins decrease. This means that 108k53423348765 is a local peak, even a cycle peak. I think this is quite unlikely. Still, we must prepare. At what price will you cut everything and stay out?

Personally, I prefer scenario 2 the most. But anyway, just dance to the market. The specific plan is ready.

Sometimes I do a market view to feel good.
Just a heads up to the clone guys, please stay away. If you dare to show your face, feel free to come here and bark about anything!

The situation is that I am predicting there will be a decent recovery period in the next 2 to 3 weeks. And it is very likely that by the end of January, there will be another decline to test the range of 88 to 90k$ of BTC.

The advice here for everyone is:
1⃣ absolutely do not cut losses on HOLD and long-term Spot holdings.

2⃣ Consider how much money you need for Tet, for example, I’m sure I need about 3 to 4k$ for Tet, so I should gradually sell off if the market recovers in the next 3 weeks. Don’t wait until the 23rd of the lunar month or the 28th to go shopping for Tet and then have to sell a large amount at the bottom; that would be embarrassing.

At least if you need 3k, you should aim to withdraw about 1.5k in the next 2-3 weeks. Otherwise, if it affects family life, you’ll never be able to HOLD.

3⃣ For those who have made a lot of profit and have any assets that have increased significantly, you can consider taking out 20 to 30% of your profits in USDT to prepare for the possibility of a market correction at the end of January, so you have something to buy more assets without feeling anxious.

⚠️ The most important point in this article is that there is a high possibility of another adjustment before the lunar Tet, so whatever you do, do not let it affect your family life.

Don’t let the market be in the red on the 30th of Tet, plummeting and then having to close your eyes and cut losses on coins just to buy some sticky rice cakes!

✍️ Right at this moment, I am viewing that there will be a recovery on the H4 and D timeframe, so I still recommend buying Spot and Longing at the current levels!
#altcoinseason

Gifting my brothers a poem

Bitcoin turns the game around

In the past, everything was taken away,
The man cried, the money was gone.
Holding back to abandon gold and gems,
Borrowing money from people all over the street, what else is left?

Bitcoin was once a dream,
Playing like waves of silver, regretting nothing lost.
Rising high without stopping,
Falling face down, days black as night.

But life is not only bitter,
Those with firm hearts, keeping calm.
Learning the bitter lessons of hardship,
Saving every coin, building faith to raise a house.

Bitcoin returns like precious gems,
The man confidently strides through the trials.
Cautious, not rushing to catch the mist,
Keeping the heart steady, seeking the path to revival.

Tall houses, shiny cars,
Holding branded goods, adorned with gold and jewels.
Private jets take off with a greeting,
Europe, Japan, the sky beckons.

Yachts gliding over magical waves,
Thousands of glasses of wine, dear friends surrounding.
Bitcoin once shattered,
Now returning for vengeance, the blue sky calls.

#MarketCorrectionBuyOrHODL $BNB

No matter how much hope you have, the best time to close #Altcoin is still Q1/2025!

Don't forget this milestone.

Whether you make little or a lot, or even if you lose a little, just run away instead of complaining about fate or regretting the profits lost by staying.

After the easy money-making phase, the money-losing phase will also come very easily.

Whoever dares more should just wait for the moment when a big card starts to fall; the domino effect will begin, and by then, it will be too late to run, but it's still better than diving headfirst into a deeper quagmire.

Sell in May, so in March and April, focus on cleaning up everything. Whether there is a wave 5 or not, you should tidy up your portfolio because not all Altcoins will rise and break the old peaks during wave 5.

But why have we gone through so many Uptrend seasons and yet you still complain when Btc rises and altcoins crash like this :₫) . Which season isn't like this? If you haven't sold, you haven't lost :)) This season has one slightly different characteristic that you all are holding very tightly, so:
1- MM creates FUD, pushes down to make you panic, cut losses and sell your altcoin holdings /3 /5, that's why newbies keep losing whenever they buy.
2- Sideways movement causes discomfort, pumps old coins or those with few holders => creates a jittery feeling, making you anxious, jumping around and then losing your holdings and entry points.
3- And finally, after causing discomfort from the two points above, those who still hold will reap the rewards, doubling or tripling their accounts, but similar to an experiment on the limits of endurance, the strongest holders at this point begin to feel the pain of points 1 and 2, starting to consider taking profits due to fear, and after that, the market begins to rise strongly, x5 x10, and news about the uptrend starts flooding in. Group 1, 2, and 3 begin to jump in, both MM pushing and the liquidity from the three groups above causing from this entry to start doubling, tripling, and quintupling, greed starts to kick in, and groups 1-2-3 become liquidity for buying into the new uptrend without realizing that right from the bottom of group 1, altcoins have risen x50 - x100 x200 times and end the uptrend as per the textbook.

So, guys who have been playing since 2016, is it true like this? MM still smiles faintly saying they are still pushing x100 x200 in all seasons, it's just that you guys can't profit from it anyway.

🗝 The way to win in the CRYPTO market is to be less greedy!
💰 The CRYPTO market offers unlimited opportunities for quick wealth thanks to characteristics such as 24/7 trading, a variety of coins, high volatility, and significant leverage...
However, on the contrary, it can also lead to quick losses just as easily.
👉 But if you can overlook the dream of multiplying your account by several dozen times in a short period or not expanding your greed limit whenever the coin you bought increases in price, then winning in this market is not difficult.
🎯 If you just need to double or triple your account and stick to this goal:
✔ You buy $BTC before February 2024 and now you have reached your target; additionally, there were 2 opportunities to buy BTC around $50K during the two drops in early August and early September.
✔ You buy top coins like $ETH, $BNB, #SOL, $ADA, $XRP... before 2024, and you have already doubled or tripled your investment.
✔ If you buy ALTCOINS before 2024, then by the beginning of 2024, you will have already achieved your target of doubling.
✔ If you enter the market late, then if you are lucky enough to buy COINS from May 2024 to before November 2024, your goals will also be achieved.
✔ Currently, according to the cycle of the CRYPTO market, Altcoins are at the wave's bottom, so even if you buy from here, doubling in the near future is just a matter of time.
👉 The goal of doubling is not too hard with CRYPTO, right? Doubling in traditional investments is not simple, if not too difficult.
🌪 But greed makes everything more complicated.
When anyone enters this market, it’s because they witness the visions of quick wealth, beautiful houses, luxury cars, and the potential for multiplying by dozens, hundreds, or even thousands of times from Crypto.

Most have returned to shore or are still slightly negative

Very few are making a profit, those who started investing, DCA from July/August.

The market fluctuates unpredictably in the short term, but I will target a few factors to follow the market, helping everyone have a plan to hold on and control themselves when everything becomes excessive:

1/ Price #BTC at least this season we will witness 6 digits

2/ Price #ETH , ETF has been approved. At least it will break the peak. Below ETH there is a whole chain of assets that need liquidity, so first ETH must rise.

3/ Price $LINK a techcoin indicator that works quite well with ETH. LINK will soar when the market is extremely good

4/ Total 3 index: the peak of 2021 is 1100B, three times that of 2018, currently only 900B. At least it should hold up to 1500 - 2000B. More optimistically, we can look towards the 3000B mark

5/ Altcoin season index, when it happens is when one should exit. Currently at 63, meaning 63% of the top 50 coins are running faster than BTC. When it reaches 80-90 then the market is about to crash. The upward cycle has prepared itself. It can run for at most 1-2 more months

6/ Regarding time/cycle:

- The year following the U.S. presidential election is a good year

- The year following Halving is a good year

- Q1 is usually the quarter of altcoins

- ETH usually rises sharply at the beginning of the year after a year when Bitcoin rises sharply

7/ The new trend of the market: I think there will be another ponzi trend to attract funds. Previous seasons had ICO, Staking, GameFi, Move-to-earn. This season has memes, but I still hope for another trend.

8/ Market psychology: when the peak of greed occurs, excessive, pulling relatives and friends to play. Everything is no longer controllable

Another important thing is when making a profit, do you know when enough is enough or sell this to buy that. Until it goes down again, just jump into DCA.

The historic Altseason will begin in 7 days...😱💸🚀🚀
The historic Altseason will begin in 7 days...

Dominance will peak and the alts will increase exponentially

$100 will turn into $100,000 with the right side accounts...

Here are 6 true lowcaps with the potential for a 1000x price increase in just a few days 🧵👇

Definitely worth following, I will check everything

✜ History tends to repeat itself and altcoins will once again drop before reaching new all-time highs.
✜ A similar situation occurred in 2021 when the market emerged from weakness before a strong rally.
✜ Consider buying altcoins right now if you don’t want to pay double in the near future.
✜ Dominance is increasing again, with the potential to peak around 60%-62%
✜ It's not guaranteed that we will reach those levels, so it’s best to split your altcoin purchases.
✜ Buy the first time - now, the second time - when dominance rises.
✜ The market cannot grow when there are weak hands, which is why market makers use bear traps.
✜ A sharp end to the excitement forces weak hands to inadvertently sell their assets.
✜ This is the best time to buy, as opportunities like this only happen once in each cycle.
✜ I have compiled a list of the most promising altcoins for this event.
✜ These 7 altcoins have significant potential to attract large capital flows.
✜ Always invest in portions, as dominance may increase.
#altcoinseason
#BTCReclaims101K

As I scrolled through, I saw many brothers believe that we are in the final wave of the cycle for both $BTC and altcoins!
NO WAY, BROTHERS, ALTS HAVE JUST STARTED!!!
What is the main reason?

Investors have not reached excitement: Most are still suffering losses or just breaking even, and there hasn't been enough enthusiasm to attract significant new capital.

Cautious mentality: Many people prioritize short-term trading (wave trading) instead of holding long-term.

Technical charts have not exploded: Altcoins on the weekly frame (W) have not entered a growth cycle (Bull Cycle). We need another 2-3 months of waves to see the chart rise sharply.

Total market capitalization (TOTAL market cap) has only nearly reached the previous peak, showing no signs of large capital inflow.

Old coins and new coins have not broken out: Old coins have not surpassed their peaks, and new coins have not created strong growth cycles or "Ponzi" waves to stimulate the market.

Great opportunities are still ahead: Factors like halving or the U.S. elections still have room to drive the market's continued growth.

The logic of my brothers is that the green area below is the first uptrend wave.

Personally, I think that is the bottom area and is just a sideways retracement rather than an uptrend wave because it hasn't even broken out of the downtrend.

Currently, we are still only in wave 3 of the uptrend, and there is still a long way to go, plenty of opportunities to make money, brothers!

Is it possible that Trump's term started and the money was only pumped during the first 6 months and that's it, brothers????

⭐ In this phase, every time the #crypto market adjusts, it will be a time for you to have a better entry point and an opportunity for those who have previously taken profits...

- Don't expect too much from a correction that you end up waiting; instead, accumulate altcoins at different price levels and don't pay too deeply.

- I project that the harvest season will come soon, and in just a few months, many will wish they could buy altcoins at the current price levels.

- Cycles always repeat; it has been the same for many seasons, the altcoin season will still occur, and in this season, the explosion will surely be significant as many large funds are participating in the game.

- There will be some small fluctuations; if you know how to take advantage of them, you can significantly increase your position... but soon it will come back to where it was because the altcoin season is very close now...
#altsesaon

Currently, quite a few Altcoins that I mentioned have finished wave 3, and some are entering wave 4 (Correction wave).
I predict there will be a slight correction at a position slightly higher than this one with those wave 3 coins; any that have entered wave 5 before will continue to run.
*** To be honest, at this position, Altcoins are running their own waves, so when $BTC corrects, some coins will soar and some will correct significantly, so you can only trade according to the ancestors' advice.

And still the old saying:
- Holders should hold.
- Traders should trade, but only for short gains.

Still observing total 3 at 1.35T, it may be lower. The observation point is close to the Fed's interest rate meeting in December on the 17th and 18th.
BTC100k is indeed an unmatched Fomo milestone, the funding rate and OI have surged 4-5 times more than usual. The recent pullback was just a test of MM's reaction.
#altsesaon

How many of you can hold on until the 'fruit is ripe'?

Crypto investors are like me when I was little, always squeezing the fruits at home 80 times a day to see if they are ripe yet... and most of the time I ended up picking unripe fruit, rarely getting to eat the ripe ones!

Everyone hopes to cash out at X10, X50, X100... but very few can wait until the 'fruit is ripe'!
#altcoinsseason

Correct analysis - Correct action.
But the trading results can still be wrong - we are not wrong - but the market is right.
Incorrect analysis - incorrect action.
But the trading results are correct - we are not right but due to the market being right.
That is why trading in the financial market is not like a math subject with equalities and correct formulas if you apply them correctly. And if the results are wrong due to your mistakes.
A newcomer can still earn millions in the market thanks to a lucky trade brought by the market.
And a long-time trader can still take a stop loss, which is quite normal if the market acts up.
So there is no one who is a master in the game of buying and selling in the financial market.
We only differ by a little, which is called experience in handling situations.
Experience comes with a price = time and money. Those are the two things that do not exist in the dictionary called: SHORTCUT!
Trading is a business problem based on probability.
You can always win or you can always lose in each trade.
Your job is to control risk!
$XRP

Having low targets in crypto is a mistake:

Many influencers suggest to people a target of 2x or 3x with altcoins... without understanding the general psychology and not outlining the next steps.

A season of altcoins can truly be crazy... achieving 5x-10x-20x is completely normal. If from the very beginning the ambition is low and one is satisfied with a profit of 2x or 3x, then there is nothing much to say.

But what if after cashing out 2x or 3x, the market continues to soar??? Can people just sit still? Or at some point, they jump back in due to FOMO - then they end up buying at the peak - stuck in a never-ending cycle.

So, if you are in crypto - especially altcoins, set a target that is worthy compared to the risks you take from the start. So that if the coin continues to rise, you won’t feel too regretful because you've already done quite well - don’t let it be that after cashing out and buying a house, you see the coin increase and want to jump back in to earn more for a car.

Or having other thoughts like: cash out 2x or 3x to recover the initial investment and hold the profits - then take that initial amount and invest it in another uptrend???

Cash out the initial investment - then which coin to invest in? When a coin rises, most will rise. Sell the one that is soaring to buy one that hasn’t soared yet? But usually, the strong coins that haven't finished their upward momentum will continue to soar - the weak ones will remain weak - until no one can stand it anymore, and then they will rise.

Or cash out to buy a new coin listed at that time? For projects that list on exchanges during a good market time, it is assumed that the valuation will also be high. So even if you buy at the 'bottom' when listed, compared to the general market, it is not cheap at all.
#altsesaon

There is noteworthy information before the Lunar New Year that benefits $BTC as follows:

1. The meeting of the Federal Reserve of the United States on December 18, there is a high possibility that interest rates will be lowered by 25 basis points this month.

2. At the end of this month and the beginning of January, Trump will officially take office at the White House, taking power, and then will issue a series of policies favorable to cryptocurrency.

After Bitcoin adjusts, it will return above 100,000, and the next time it rises, it will definitely maintain the 100,000 threshold.

These are personal shares, not investment advice.

The market timing is very close to a boom, wishing everyone steady hands and success.
$BTC

HOLDERS $ETH PLEASE NOTE, THE 4K MILESTONE MAY BE REACHED NEXT WEEK 🎉🎉🎉🎉

Super whale, Justin Sun just deposited 20,000 ETH (76.3 million USD) on the HTX exchange a few hours ago.

Wallet address:

0x43594da5d6a03b2137a04df5685805c676def7cb

In the past, each time Justin Sun made a move, the market would immediately accelerate shortly after 🚀🚀🚀

Notably, this is part of the 392,474 #ETH that Justin Sun purchased at an average price of $3,027 (estimated cost: 1.19 billion USD) through 3 different wallet addresses from February 8 to August 5, 2024.

Currently, the Founder of Tron is estimated to have a profit of 293 million USD (+24%) excluding rewards from staking and airdrops.$ETH

RENDER PUMP: WILL DEPIN RISE ALONG WITH ALTCOIN SEASON?

👉 After surpassing $100K, RENDER has seen a subsequent increase (+40%)

👉 Previously, RENDER had quietly doubled in just 30 days ($4.2 to $9.27)

👉 DePIN also has several highlights in the past 7 days:

- Performance outperformed all sectors +44.4%
- Market capitalization increased by 27.9%, reaching $25.8B
- Trading volume increased by 124%, reaching $15.7B

=> DePIN still deserves to be the “big narrative 2024”

👉 Typically, for a system to grow, the leader must increase first

This time, can the #RENDER pump pull DePIN up strongly once again? 🤔

🧐 Does anyone still hold #DePIN?

Please give me the name of the #DePIN project that everyone hopes for the most
27616540519

$DOT is growing rapidly: $50 could be the next level 🚀

#Polkadot has increased by 200% from the level I joined and I am still confident that it can reach $50 in this bull market.
Currently, #DOT is trading near the major resistance zone at $10-$11. If it breaks through this level, we could see a strong price surge.

Key levels to watch:
▪️ $10-$11: Major resistance level – needs to break for the next move.
▪️ $7-$8: Good buying zone if the price drops.

Target levels: $23/$35/$50

Patience is key. Monitor price movements around these levels and plan accordingly.

#2024WithBinance