比克

Personal analysis of Ethereum in the early morning of February 10
Technical aspects: Today's MACD and KDJ at the daily level belong to the stage of adjustment with reduced volume, and the overall BOLL continues to oscillate downward, and the lower track continues to open (as for the reason why the die cannot move today, the lower track opening amplitude is not too large); in terms of the main chart, the MA three-day moving averages continue to be arranged downward with different amplitudes, and today's two-cake price is still closed below the five-day moving average (according to the current sentiment of reduced volume, as long as the short-term rebound strength cannot cross the five-day moving average, it will continue to move southward and increase in volume in the future). In addition, please note that the weekly line of the two cakes this week is very bad, which greatly increases the probability of weakening next week (at present, everyone needs to beware of the update period at 8 o'clock tomorrow morning).
At the 12-hour level, the current KDJ, MACD and BOLL continue to resonate southward, and the main chart MA three-day is also arranged downward with different amplitudes. Although the technology is weak today, the ultra-short-term two cakes are indeed in a stage of oscillating and rebounding slightly, which is undoubtedly some induced behavior (the so-called divergence signal).
My personal opinion is that the overall rebound of the two cakes in the body from the early morning to today is most likely to pave the way for the next southward movement (accumulating energy to go further and die stronger).
Summary: I personally expect that the short-term in the early morning will still be mainly box-shaped oscillation, but today's intraday short-term rebound is most likely to accumulate energy for the subsequent southward movement. The current key support for the low point is still referenced in the 2500-2350 range (here to remind everyone, if the box oscillation continues in the early morning, then everyone needs to beware of the market during the eight o'clock in the morning. There may be strong fluctuations).
Now the 2500-2350 area is the key low point, and the carrying strength of this area is extremely strong. Judging from the box structure, the next two cakes will go south to touch the bottom of this area and then rebound and adjust; of course, everyone who needs to defend still needs to defend. If the 2500-2350 area is effectively broken, the next two cakes will go directly south to the 2000 to 1750 range.
That’s all for now for the early morning, and then wait for the update of the daily analysis essay tomorrow. Good night everyone.

ETH intraday market analysis on January 8

After the market hit the strong pressure and crashed, the low point of Ethereum also came directly to the starting point of 3300 (this position is also the first key support area in the short term). Now the downward box has come out. Next, I personally expect that the short-term will rebound and adjust technically (mainly because it was smashed too hard yesterday). In the short term, Ethereum will rebound and repair technically above 3300. After the rebound, Ethereum will launch a breakout test at 3300. Everyone should pay attention to the risks.

In terms of the daily line, the current KDJ and MACD have a large dead cross and weakened, and the BOLL trend has turned to bearish. At the same time, the price of the currency has also seen a technical change of breaking the middle track. In terms of the main chart, the MA three-day moving averages continue to fall in different degrees, but the five-day moving average has a large gap with the current currency price. At the same time, Ethereum has hit the key support area of ​​3300. It is normal for the required ultra-short-term bottoming rebound repair.
In fact, we can see from a technical point that the mainstream market crash this time is that the daily BOLL has not opened, but has continued to suppress downward, which means that the room for growth is limited (I have reminded everyone in the intraday analysis yesterday that the weakness of Bitcoin during the day is a foregone conclusion. If Ethereum is dragged down by Bitcoin to 3650, you have to consider stop loss or reverse. In fact, everything has a trace. Be rational in facing stop profit and stop loss, learn to review, and you will go further).

Secondly, the technical trend of the 12-hour line is similar to that of the daily line, and the 4-hour line TD indicator is close to TD9. At the same time, the decline of the 4-line is very thorough on one side, and there is no rebound in the middle. Then Ethereum has already touched the low point support, and it is reasonable to rebound and repair in the future.

Summary: It is expected that today's short-term intraday will make a small rebound and repair after oversold. The high point may be repaired in the range of 3440-3500 (note that the rebound may not be too strong). The subsequent adjustment sentiment may terminate at any time, which also means that Ethereum will also receive the second wave of large-scale decline in the box. The first key support of the low point is still 3300, and the second support of the bottom is around 3000.

Ethereum Market Analysis on January 8th

It's changed! It's changed! This wave of Ethereum is still being hit by the lack of stabilization at the resistance level, which is essentially a pump and dump (a slaughtering plate). Since this key resistance has not stabilized, from the perspective of the larger K-line structure, the wave C is confirmed to be an illusion. This market movement is a rapid selling after completing a short-term double bottom (it has basically been confirmed as a major level deep adjustment).

Now the first support at the low point we reference is at the previous round's starting point (around the 3300-3350 area). If the first support is effectively broken, the second support area is still referenced around the 3100-3000 area (details can be referenced in the accompanying diagram).

The above is the analysis idea for the subsequent large-level market, for your reference only.
A warm reminder to everyone to pay attention to the risks brought by large-level market changes.

Ethereum Market Analysis on January 7th

Bitcoin has once again surpassed the 100,000 mark today, with Ethereum closely following. Although the percentage increase has not kept pace, it has stabilized above the resistance level. Therefore, according to subsequent thoughts, the market will likely experience a strong upward move in wave C (the momentum will be relatively strong).

As for the market trends in the early morning and tomorrow morning: Currently, the price has risen to near the upper Bollinger Band (note that the upper band has not opened, which means there may be a technical correction with a possible range drop in the early morning. However, the strength of this correction will not be too strong, as both Bitcoin and Ethereum have effectively broken through the resistance level and stabilized. Bitcoin has also firmly stood above 100,000. Therefore, the adjustment is likely to be for technical repair and correction).
At the 12-hour level, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have stabilized at TD9, but the subsequent candle did not undergo a repair, on the contrary, it saw a significant increase in volume (indicating a market reaction against the TD9 indicator). This suggests that we should not generalize technical analysis; it is essential to analyze the current technical situation with multiple indicators. However, aside from the stability of TD9, several other indicators are performing quite positively, so this round of TD9 might be continuously lagged.

From a short-term perspective on the 4-hour level, the primary focus is on the MACD indicator showing consolidation at a high level (this position theoretically requires adjustment). Additionally, the price has created a gap with the 5-day moving average, and the price has broken out within the Bollinger Bands. Therefore, I personally anticipate a slight pullback adjustment in the early morning (the strength is estimated not to be too strong), and after this adjustment, Ethereum and Bitcoin will continue to move upwards.

In summary: I personally expect Ethereum to make a slight southward adjustment in sentiment in the early morning, with the strength not being too strong, and the low point expected to be near the 4-hour MA5. After the adjustment in sentiment ends, Ethereum will continue to see an increase in volume upwards, with the next high point still referencing the critical strong resistance area around 4116-3972 on the larger timeframe. For Bitcoin, after the slight adjustment in sentiment ends, the next target will be to break the historical high and aim for above 110,000.

Bitcoin January 6th Intraday Market Analysis

From a weekly perspective, the KDJ and MACD indicators are currently oscillating around the middle axis, and the BOLL upper band has opened up, with the entire band continuing to oscillate upward. In the main chart, the MA10 has made a strong upward turn, while the MA5 is slightly weakening (the divergence between the 5-day and 10-day moving averages suggests that the ultra-short term may still oscillate sideways, meaning the intraday market on Monday or Tuesday will likely oscillate in the 3600-3650 range). However, overall, the weekly price of Bitcoin is still above the 5-day moving average. The key now is whether it can stabilize; if it does stabilize, the market will continue to expand in volume, and Ethereum will be on the path to the key resistance area of 4116-3972, which is the annual high point.
In terms of Bitcoin, its technical trend is relatively stronger than Ethereum's, and the current price is approaching the 100,000 mark. Based on the current trend, Bitcoin is expected to challenge historical highs again this month, which will naturally have a ripple effect on Ethereum as well.

Looking at the daily perspective, today the KDJ and MACD have shown a golden cross and are resonating upward. The price of Ethereum has risen to the upper band of the BOLL, then pulled back sharply. This indicates that, without an opening at the upper band, the short-term upward space is quite limited, so the intraday trend is expected to oscillate around the resistance level (currently waiting for the upper band to open; if the upper band continues to press down, everyone needs to be prepared for ultra-short-term trading). In the main chart, the MA5 and MA10 moving averages continue to rise, and Ethereum's price can be confirmed to be stable above the three-day moving averages, so the intraday trend is expected to lean towards a primary upward oscillation.

Summary: The outlook for this week's trend remains unchanged. As long as Ethereum can stabilize above 3650 in the short term, mainstream cryptocurrencies will likely experience bullish resonance or accelerated volume expansion. Bitcoin is expected to challenge historical highs again this month, while Ethereum will aim for the key pressure area of 4116-3972, which is the annual high point for 2024.
As for today's intraday estimate, Ethereum is still likely to oscillate upward sideways. Currently, we are watching when 3650 can stabilize (it is important to pay attention to the opening situation of the daily BOLL upper band; if the BOLL upper band continues to press down, those trading in the ultra-short term may consider taking profits and switching hands, and then wait for the adjustment to end before entering at a lower price).

ETH January 5th Intraday Market Analysis

The weekend market is still leaning towards volatility, with trading volume relatively scarce. From midnight to this morning, the price has remained in a short-term resistance range and is undergoing fluctuations and adjustments. Therefore, today's intraday analysis approach is largely consistent with the analysis from midnight.

From a daily chart perspective, today the KDJ and MACD golden cross continue to oscillate and rise; in the main chart, the MA5 and MA10 daily moving averages continue to cross upward. However, there is a slight gap between the intraday coin price and the five-day moving average, so a minor technical pullback adjustment is expected today. Subsequently, the overall trend for today is still leaning towards slight upward fluctuations (as long as the intraday price stabilizes in the 3600-3650 range or above, the market will start to activate next week).

From a 12-hour chart perspective, the current KDJ, MACD, and BOLL are continuing to resonate and rise. Note that although the BOLL upper band has opened, the long-term close adherence of the coin price suggests insufficient upward space; in the main chart, the three-day moving averages continue to align upward. Overall, today, intraday traders are still looking for upward movement, with a low buy trading strategy.

Summary: For today's intraday short-term strategy, I personally recommend buying on dips. The intraday trading volume is unlikely to be strong, so everyone should view the market rationally. As for next week's trend, as long as Ethereum's price stabilizes in the 3600-3650 range or above the resistance level today, the market will begin to activate next week (the probability of activating above the resistance level will be higher than stabilizing within the resistance area). The next key target high point is still referenced around the 4116-3972 area.

Market Analysis for January 5th, Early Morning

During the day, Ethereum has been slowly rising, with highs reaching above 3600, currently stabilizing in the 3600-3650 range. It is estimated that in the short term, it will continue to oscillate within this range (not discussing whether the price can break through to the resistance level tomorrow; as long as it can stabilize in this range, next week the coin price will move above the weekly K five-day moving average). The current oscillating market is actually beneficial for the subsequent trend.

From a daily chart perspective, the current KDJ and MACD are resonating upwards, and BOLL continues to move downwards overall, but the coin price has basically stabilized above the middle band. The trading volume is continuously decreasing in the short term, indicating that the short-term trend is still leaning towards oscillation and slow movement; in the main chart, the five-day and ten-day moving averages continue to cross upwards. Today's coin price continues the bullish arrangement of the green TD3; although the upward momentum is not very obvious, at least the technical trend is still relatively positive, so we will continue to adopt a low-buy strategy in the short term.

From a 12-hour perspective, KDJ, MACD, and BOLL continue to resonate upwards. However, the coin price is at a breaking point in the BOLL (the increase during the early morning is estimated to be relatively stagnant); in the main chart, the MA three-day moving averages continue to rise at different amplitudes, which also means there is strong support below. Overall, the short-term in the early morning is likely to lean towards box oscillation; although the support below is strong, the breaking point of BOLL also limits the upward space for short-term gains.

Summary: I personally expect that during the early morning and tomorrow morning, the coin price will still lean towards oscillating upwards (the trading volume over the weekend is not expected to be strong, so everyone should view it rationally). Currently, Ethereum is in a short-term pressure zone between 3600-3650 (there will be a struggle for breaking points in this area in the short term). As long as the strong resistance area is effectively broken and stabilized, Ethereum will release a second wave of relatively strong bullish sentiment, and the next high point can continue to look towards the area around 4116-3972.

Market analysis in the early morning of January 4

From the daily level, a strong golden cross structure appeared near the middle of KDJ (estimated to be a large amount of over-the-counter purchase), and a golden cross appeared in the MACD water drop (DIF and DEA are glued together and turned upward). In terms of BOLL, Ethereum came to the middle track today (it depends on whether the middle track can be stabilized); in terms of the main chart, the five-day moving average and the ten-day moving average are glued together and rising, and the currency price today also walked out of the big positive line (the transaction volume shows that the current transaction chips are weaker than yesterday, which means that the current bulls are in the stage of shrinking volume and moving up, which also shows that the market sell orders are reduced and the long and short sentiments are consistent. However, the high point MA30 daily moving average continues to press down, so the key strong pressure of the current high point is still near the MA30 daily moving average (approximately in the 3600-3650 range).
Note that according to the main K trend framework of the current daily line, if Ethereum can effectively break through the 3600-3650 area and stabilize above it, then the subsequent daily K will go out of the C wave (down A high point is to run towards the high point that has been broken three times, and the strong pressure is near the 4116-3972 area).

From the 12-hour level, the current KDJ and MACD golden cross resonate, and BOLL currently has a small opening (note that the upper track has broken, which means that the short-term in the early morning may have a slight decline after a high, or a shock and sideways repair after a high); the low position of the MA three-day moving average in the main chart re-appears in resonance and turns up technical changes (this means that the 3600-3650 area has been effectively broken through, and the next wave is to trigger the "bull turn back" and go out of the strongest C wave).

Summary: I personally expect that the short-term in the early morning will tend to fluctuate upward. The main idea for the early morning and the subsequent period is to see when the 3600-3650 area will be effectively broken through and stabilized. As long as this pressure level is effectively broken through and stabilized, then Ethereum will usher in a second wave of strong pull-up sentiment (estimated to be "bull turn back"), and the next high point can continue to look up to the 4116-3972 area.

ETH December 25th Market Analysis

The short-term situation has changed. The daily candlestick price has stabilized above the five-day moving average, and the weekly candlestick is likely to continue to fill the gap. Short-term bears at low positions should be cautious of risks! Currently, Ethereum is in the stage of rising, and whether there will be further selling depends on whether the upper pressure can be effectively broken through (the weekly and five-day MA5). Bitcoin's performance in the evening is also relatively strong, with this wave of prices reaching above 97,000 again, and it seems ready to push towards 100,000.

On the daily chart, today overall belongs to a phase of low-volume increase. The KDJ bears are showing a decrease in volume, while the three lines are turning upwards. In addition, the main chart price is stable above the MA5 daily moving average (today it has formed a red TD1; initially, it was thought to drop below the five-day moving average, but unexpectedly, the buying sentiment in the evening was too high. Currently, it seems to indicate a quick repair of the weekly gap). The key point now is to see whether the weekly MA5 and five-day MA5 can be effectively broken through. If successfully broken and stabilized, Ethereum and Bitcoin will likely welcome another wave of strong sentiment (the high point will continue to attack the new high area for the year); conversely, if the weekly and five-day MA5 are not broken, then everyone should pay attention to Ethereum's high-pull selling sentiment (to put it simply, be cautious of A-kills).

Looking at the 12-hour level, the closing price at 8 PM is once again above the five-day moving average, and with the green TD3, it continues to strengthen with increased volume. The trading volume shows that it is currently in a phase of low-volume increase (the appearance of this situation indicates an increase in the bear's profit margin; in the early morning, we follow the market to look at the weekly level gap repair).

Summary: The short-term thinking in the early morning has shifted to look for a rise to repair the weekly level gap (a few small skirts like Shihan and Tiefen have already notified to turn around in advance), with strong resistance around the 3650-3740 area.

Warm reminder: The weekly and five-day lines are currently undergoing a technical rebound adjustment. As for whether this wave of movement is a rise to sell or purely a bull pulling back for a second attack, the key point is whether the 3650-3740 area can be effectively broken through. If successfully broken and stabilized, the price will again significantly increase, heading straight for a new high for the year; conversely, if the 3650-3740 area cannot be effectively broken through for a long time, everyone should be cautious of the major high-pull fall indicated earlier this week. [Fist Bump][Fist Bump][Fist Bump]

ETH December 22nd Intraday Market Analysis

In the early morning, the short-term Ethereum trend is biased towards oscillating downwards, with the overall decline not being too strong, so today's intraday short-term analysis approach remains basically unchanged.

From a daily perspective, the current KDJ, MACD, and BOLL continue to resonate downwards, and the trading volume indicates that today is a phase of decreasing volume (with a small bearish candle for the day, so today's short-term is expected to primarily oscillate downwards); in the main chart, the current MA5 and MA10 moving averages continue to exert downward pressure, while the increase in the MA30 moving average continues to shrink. Today's main chart price also closed below the MA5 moving average, showing a red TD6 continuing to oscillate downwards, so the intraday trend is still primarily a downward oscillation.

Looking at the 12-hour level, the current TD9 on the 12-hour chart has not been repaired, and TD9 remains stable (because the short-term in the early morning is still oscillating downwards, which has not interrupted or repaired the TD indicator in advance. Based on the current situation, if there is not a significant decline before eight o'clock in the evening, then the current green TD1 will have completed its repair. After the eight o'clock update, Ethereum will produce a new red TD1 for short selling volume; everyone should pay attention to the risks). In the auxiliary chart, the MACD's DIF and DEA continue to move downwards, and BOLL is continuing to open significantly. The current opening range of the lower band is the strongest, which also indicates that there is still downward space in the short term.

In summary: I personally expect that the overall trend of Ethereum before eight o'clock in the evening will be biased towards oscillation (there may be a slight rebound, mainly to stabilize the current green TD1 on the 12-hour chart). Subsequently, if the former is confirmed (i.e., if there is no decline before eight o'clock in the evening), then everyone can pay attention to the volume drop of Ethereum and Bitcoin after the eight o'clock update. The current low support is still referenced around the 3114-2900 area.

Finally, a friendly reminder: trading volume during the weekend will not be too strong; everyone should view the market rationally, try to do less and observe more, restrain your hands, and avoid getting carried away!
The above is my personal intraday market analysis, for your reference only.

ETH December 21 Daily Market Analysis

Review: In the early morning, the short-term price of the currency continued to rebound as expected in the analysis. Currently, the price of Ethereum has reached the upper pressure high point area. Now we need to see if the daily MA5 can be effectively broken through and stabilized (whether it stabilizes at the pressure point or not represents two different market scenarios for the subsequent short-term; this was detailed in the early morning analysis, and everyone can review it again).

From a daily perspective, the current KDJ and MACD indicators are still leaning towards a weak oscillation phase, and BOLL continues to oscillate downwards (the rebound sentiment from last night was actually a repair adjustment after the BOLL broke). Today, BOLL has been repaired, and the current price has returned above the lower track. The main chart MA5 and MA10 continue to oscillate and suppress downwards, and the gap between the main K price and MA5 has also been repaired. Next, we need to see if Ethereum's rebound strength in this round of adjustment can effectively break through near the daily MA5 (the current price reference is around 3580. If it does not break for a long time or shows a false breakout, then Ethereum will face a second wave of bearish sell-off risks; conversely, if 3580 is effectively broken and stabilized above, it indicates that the monthly line has completed the gap repair, and the short-term market risk is lifted. Subsequently, Ethereum will make a C-wave rise at the daily level (the key point now is to see if 3580 stabilizes, but the weekend market is different from the weekdays. The weekend market is more prone to inducement due to lower volume, and the short-term fluctuations in the market generally end with reduced volume spikes, so it is not very suitable to trade today, and everyone should try to hold back).

Summary: For the daily short-term trend, the focus should still be on whether the daily MA5 can be effectively broken through. If the short-term price can effectively break through the daily MA5 and stabilize above it, then Ethereum will make a C-wave rise at the daily level, and also lift and end the short-term market sell-off risk; conversely, if the daily MA5 cannot be effectively broken through for a long time, everyone should be cautious of the second sell-off risk after the mainstream fails to break. The key support for the lower low points is slightly adjusted to reference around the 3114-2900 area (this area corresponds to the 0.5-0.618 of the golden ratio).

The above is a personal daily market analysis for your reference only.

Brothers who seriously watched today's strategy should have profited from both long and short positions, right? I also hinted that there would be a rebound at 8 o'clock 🧐

Waking up and looking at it, last night I had a little trouble with some 🍻, but it seems not too bad. In a clear state now, chasing it again would probably get my pants taken away. Yesterday's analysis said it wouldn't rise, and the pressure would still lead it down, but I didn't expect it to 📉 break through in the middle of the night. This is the crypto world, it kills you for no reason.

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Yesterday's public order caused Ether to drop out
The brothers who followed Bitcoin are currently close to the first target position and can reduce their positions to secure profits while continuing to hold.