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新哥XBro
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耐心等待回踩做多
$BTC
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#美联储降息预期
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955
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$BTC $ETH 一、9月降息预期 - 维持利率不变概率:0% - 降息概率:100%(其中降息25基点概率88.3%,降息50基点概率11.7%) 二、历史降息对BTC的影响 1. 2019年8月:降息后下跌34% 2. 2020年3月:因疫情紧急降息2次,受美股熔断影响先暴跌60%(312事件),后开启牛市 3. 2024年9月:降息后上涨70% 总结:历史降息对币圈并非全是利好,需避免盲目乐观⚠️ 三、历史降息对美股的影响(按降息背景划分) 1. 预防式降息(经济未显著衰退但存潜在风险) - 目的:刺激经济、提振信心 - 案例:1984年9月、1995年7月降息后,美股6个月内明显上涨(因经济基本面强,降息降低融资成本,拉动投资消费) 2. 纾困式降息(经济衰退或金融危机时) - 目的:稳定市场和经济 - 案例:2001年1月、2007年9月降息后,美股6个月内明显回调(因经济衰退致企业盈利下滑,风险上升,降息难抵负面影响) 总结:无经济衰退的降息是刺激,利好美股;经济衰退时的降息利空,美股易下跌📉$BTC #美联储降息预期
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Eth非农后仍困于4250-4500震荡区间,与4h布林波段契合; 预测周末小幅震荡、以横带跌洗盘,方向待下周四CPI公布; 建议波段操作,做好风险保护。#非农就业数据来袭 $BTC $ETH
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113.5K🈳,4490🈳,4260哆$BTC $ETH #美联储降息预期
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4490空下去,4260多上来,你学废了吗?$BTC $ETH #美联储降息预期
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提前给的113500空 ,4490空。没毛病吧?#美联储降息预期 $BTC $ETH
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