美联储降息预期
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The U.S. government shutdown continues to intensify interest rate cut expectations, while the cryptocurrency market awaits a shift in liquidity.
The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its 23rd day, and the ongoing data void is significantly altering market expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
Due to the suspension of key economic indicators such as the September employment report and inflation data, even the Federal Reserve itself cannot access the crucial ADP private sector employment data, leading to a rapid increase in bets on interest rate cuts.
According to analysis from The Wall Street Journal and Kobeissi Letter, the longer the government shutdown persists, the greater the pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a dovish stance.
Currently, CME futures market data show that traders widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points at the October 29 meeting, with a probability as high as 96.7%.
Even more noteworthy is that market expectations for another rate cut in December have soared to 96.3%, and expectations for a third rate cut in January next year are nearing 60%.
This expectation of a policy shift is reshaping the attractiveness of various assets. Analysts point out that once the Federal Reserve continues the rate cut cycle, the yields on traditional safe assets such as savings accounts and government bonds will decline, which may prompt funds seeking higher returns to shift towards risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
At the same time, the decrease in borrowing costs and increase in liquidity resulting from rate cuts will create a more favorable monetary environment for the cryptocurrency market.
Despite the optimistic policy outlook, the current cryptocurrency market remains in a consolidation phase. In the past 24 hours, the total market cap has remained around $3.75 trillion;
Bitcoin has been oscillating narrowly near the key level of $108,000, failing to achieve a solid breakthrough of $110,000;
Ethereum has also shown weakness, failing to reclaim the $4,000 mark after three dips to $3,700, while most altcoins continue to experience slow declines.
Market observers believe that the divergence between current policy expectations and market performance will not last long. As economist Raoul Pal has pointed out, the liquidity contraction caused by the government shutdown is just a temporary phenomenon, and once the situation clarifies, cryptocurrencies are likely to once again become the primary target for liquidity inflows.
In summary, as the year-end approaches, the combination of historic seasonal effects and potential policy shifts may create conditions for the next market rally.
#美联储降息预期
The U.S. federal government shutdown has entered its 23rd day, and the ongoing data void is significantly altering market expectations for Federal Reserve policy.
Due to the suspension of key economic indicators such as the September employment report and inflation data, even the Federal Reserve itself cannot access the crucial ADP private sector employment data, leading to a rapid increase in bets on interest rate cuts.
According to analysis from The Wall Street Journal and Kobeissi Letter, the longer the government shutdown persists, the greater the pressure on the Federal Reserve to adopt a dovish stance.
Currently, CME futures market data show that traders widely expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 basis points at the October 29 meeting, with a probability as high as 96.7%.
Even more noteworthy is that market expectations for another rate cut in December have soared to 96.3%, and expectations for a third rate cut in January next year are nearing 60%.
This expectation of a policy shift is reshaping the attractiveness of various assets. Analysts point out that once the Federal Reserve continues the rate cut cycle, the yields on traditional safe assets such as savings accounts and government bonds will decline, which may prompt funds seeking higher returns to shift towards risk assets like cryptocurrencies.
At the same time, the decrease in borrowing costs and increase in liquidity resulting from rate cuts will create a more favorable monetary environment for the cryptocurrency market.
Despite the optimistic policy outlook, the current cryptocurrency market remains in a consolidation phase. In the past 24 hours, the total market cap has remained around $3.75 trillion;
Bitcoin has been oscillating narrowly near the key level of $108,000, failing to achieve a solid breakthrough of $110,000;
Ethereum has also shown weakness, failing to reclaim the $4,000 mark after three dips to $3,700, while most altcoins continue to experience slow declines.
Market observers believe that the divergence between current policy expectations and market performance will not last long. As economist Raoul Pal has pointed out, the liquidity contraction caused by the government shutdown is just a temporary phenomenon, and once the situation clarifies, cryptocurrencies are likely to once again become the primary target for liquidity inflows.
In summary, as the year-end approaches, the combination of historic seasonal effects and potential policy shifts may create conditions for the next market rally.
#美联储降息预期
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Let's look forward to BNB breaking 1.5k! 📈🧧🎉
BNB SZN has just begun! 🖼️
#逢低买入
#BNB_Market_Update
#美联储降息预期
$BNB
BNB SZN has just begun! 🖼️
#逢低买入
#BNB_Market_Update
#美联储降息预期
$BNB
Vrskar:
great work please follow back
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$ETH $BNB $DOGE Bull Market Rally: Interest Rate Cuts, Macroeconomics, Technology, Capital Markets, Big Names, Institutions, and Exchanges are all bullish!
▎ Macroeconomic Wind is Here: Double Interest Rate Cuts
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in October is as high as 99%, and the probability of another cut in December reaches 94%—the global liquidity turning point is just ahead!
▎ Endorsement from Big Names: Jack Dorsey Reaffirms 'Bitcoin is Currency'
Twitter founder once again validates BTC, emphasizing its fundamental property as 'currency', belief at an all-time high!
▎ On-chain Heatwave: Contract Trading Volume Surges 1000%
Funds have been flowing behind the scenes! Over the past year, on-chain contract trading volume has skyrocketed by 1000%, indicating that market activity is heating up dramatically.
▎ Technical Aspect: ETH May Reach $4500 by the End of October
Ethereum is forming a 'bullish flag', if it can maintain momentum, it is expected to reach $4500 by the end of October! If it breaks through, it could even eye $5200 in November. Key support is at $3550; if it cannot hold, caution is advised.
▎ Landscape Opens Up: Galaxy Digital Optimistic about Structural Bull Market
Research Director Alex Thorn points out that this round of bull market is driven by three major engines:
· AI Capital Expenditure (real investments from enterprises and policies)
· Stablecoins (payment proliferation + enhanced liquidity)
· Tokenization (from pilot projects to practical implementation, creating real demand)
He is optimistic about BTC's 'digital gold' status in the long run and believes that ecosystems like ETH and SOL will benefit from the trends of stablecoins and tokenization.
🔥 Macroeconomic Easing + Technical Breakthrough + On-chain Activity + Endorsement from Big Names
The market is all set, are you ready to jump on board?
#美联储降息预期 #鲍威尔发言 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
▎ Macroeconomic Wind is Here: Double Interest Rate Cuts
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in October is as high as 99%, and the probability of another cut in December reaches 94%—the global liquidity turning point is just ahead!
▎ Endorsement from Big Names: Jack Dorsey Reaffirms 'Bitcoin is Currency'
Twitter founder once again validates BTC, emphasizing its fundamental property as 'currency', belief at an all-time high!
▎ On-chain Heatwave: Contract Trading Volume Surges 1000%
Funds have been flowing behind the scenes! Over the past year, on-chain contract trading volume has skyrocketed by 1000%, indicating that market activity is heating up dramatically.
▎ Technical Aspect: ETH May Reach $4500 by the End of October
Ethereum is forming a 'bullish flag', if it can maintain momentum, it is expected to reach $4500 by the end of October! If it breaks through, it could even eye $5200 in November. Key support is at $3550; if it cannot hold, caution is advised.
▎ Landscape Opens Up: Galaxy Digital Optimistic about Structural Bull Market
Research Director Alex Thorn points out that this round of bull market is driven by three major engines:
· AI Capital Expenditure (real investments from enterprises and policies)
· Stablecoins (payment proliferation + enhanced liquidity)
· Tokenization (from pilot projects to practical implementation, creating real demand)
He is optimistic about BTC's 'digital gold' status in the long run and believes that ecosystems like ETH and SOL will benefit from the trends of stablecoins and tokenization.
🔥 Macroeconomic Easing + Technical Breakthrough + On-chain Activity + Endorsement from Big Names
The market is all set, are you ready to jump on board?
#美联储降息预期 #鲍威尔发言 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
puppies金先生13:
点这里@Puppies will win 正在直播中，点他名字，再点头像就可以看直播了！
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The Logic Behind the Federal Reserve's 'Preventive Rate Cuts': How Does Risk Management Affect Global Central Banks?
Recently, the remarks of Takeda Hajime, a member of the Bank of Japan's Policy Board, regarding the Federal Reserve's decision to resume interest rate cuts have attracted market attention. He pointed out that this interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve is not due to concerns about an economic recession, but rather out of risk management considerations. At the same time, this move may limit the policy flexibility of the Bank of Japan. This perspective provides us with a new angle to understand the current global monetary policy trends.
From a global economic perspective, although there are currently no obvious signs of recession in the major economies' economic data, various risk factors are still omnipresent. Geopolitical conflicts, uncertainties in trade friction, fluctuations in financial markets, and structural adjustments in certain industries all pose numerous potential challenges to the global economy. In this context, the Federal Reserve's choice to cut interest rates is more of a preventive risk management measure. By lowering interest rates, it can inject liquidity into the economy, boost market confidence, and cushion potential negative impacts, much like putting a 'bulletproof vest' on the economy to cope with possible future 'open gunfire and hidden arrows.' This proactive approach reflects the Federal Reserve's policy foresight in a complex economic situation.
From a global economic perspective, although there are currently no obvious signs of recession in the major economies' economic data, various risk factors are still omnipresent. Geopolitical conflicts, uncertainties in trade friction, fluctuations in financial markets, and structural adjustments in certain industries all pose numerous potential challenges to the global economy. In this context, the Federal Reserve's choice to cut interest rates is more of a preventive risk management measure. By lowering interest rates, it can inject liquidity into the economy, boost market confidence, and cushion potential negative impacts, much like putting a 'bulletproof vest' on the economy to cope with possible future 'open gunfire and hidden arrows.' This proactive approach reflects the Federal Reserve's policy foresight in a complex economic situation.
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💥 Market Double Whammy: Countdown to October Rate Cut + Bitcoin Rebranding!
$BTC $ETH $BNB
✅ Rate cut storm is about to land
The Federal Reserve's rate cut is already a "clear signal"! The market bets that the probability of action in October is as high as 99%; that's not all, the expectation of another rate cut in December has also risen to 94%.
The global liquidity turning point is approaching, are you ready?
🟠 Jack Dorsey: Bitcoin is not a cryptocurrency, it is money!
The co-founder of Twitter once again reaffirms Bitcoin, emphasizing its essence as "money", with an unmistakably clear stance!
📈 On-chain contract trading volume surged by 1000%
The market is still, but on-chain is heating up first! In the past year, on-chain contract trading volume has skyrocketed by over 1000%—capital and activity are surging beneath the surface.
Opportunities are right in front of you, can you seize them? #美联储降息预期
#鲍威尔发言 #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
$BTC $ETH $BNB
✅ Rate cut storm is about to land
The Federal Reserve's rate cut is already a "clear signal"! The market bets that the probability of action in October is as high as 99%; that's not all, the expectation of another rate cut in December has also risen to 94%.
The global liquidity turning point is approaching, are you ready?
🟠 Jack Dorsey: Bitcoin is not a cryptocurrency, it is money!
The co-founder of Twitter once again reaffirms Bitcoin, emphasizing its essence as "money", with an unmistakably clear stance!
📈 On-chain contract trading volume surged by 1000%
The market is still, but on-chain is heating up first! In the past year, on-chain contract trading volume has skyrocketed by over 1000%—capital and activity are surging beneath the surface.
Opportunities are right in front of you, can you seize them? #美联储降息预期
#鲍威尔发言 #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美SEC推动加密创新监管 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
PUPPieS彭先生518:
🔥
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🚨$BTC $ETH $DOGE October interest rate cut market turnaround eve? KOL says: BTC must rise to 112,000 dollars! The bull market has always been on the way! Get on board!
Crypto KOL Ansem issues the latest assessment: the current market story is exhausted, momentum is waning. He believes that BTC must return to 112,000 dollars to reverse the bearish situation!
🔥 Macro benefits are on the way
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in October is 99%, and the bet for another cut in December is 94%—the global faucet is about to be turned on.
🟠 Giants speak out: Bitcoin is currency
Jack Dorsey reaffirms BTC, emphasizing its "currency" attribute rather than speculative asset.
📈 On-chain data doesn't lie
Contract trading volume has surged 1000% in a year, showing that capital is flowing underground.
When the macro tailwind, giant voices, and on-chain anomalies appear simultaneously, is the market just one key price signal away?
#美联储降息预期 #鲍威尔发言 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
Crypto KOL Ansem issues the latest assessment: the current market story is exhausted, momentum is waning. He believes that BTC must return to 112,000 dollars to reverse the bearish situation!
🔥 Macro benefits are on the way
The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in October is 99%, and the bet for another cut in December is 94%—the global faucet is about to be turned on.
🟠 Giants speak out: Bitcoin is currency
Jack Dorsey reaffirms BTC, emphasizing its "currency" attribute rather than speculative asset.
📈 On-chain data doesn't lie
Contract trading volume has surged 1000% in a year, showing that capital is flowing underground.
When the macro tailwind, giant voices, and on-chain anomalies appear simultaneously, is the market just one key price signal away?
#美联储降息预期 #鲍威尔发言 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美SEC推动加密创新监管
认识自己Dawna Enyart Dt6s:
听不到直播
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Insights on cryptocurrency trading in the coin circle, this article will benefit you for ten years!
1: The importance of mindset, funding channels, and capital amount
Never take investing too seriously. There are many meaningful things in life that need to be done. Ask yourself, when you are trading, when you are staring at the fluctuations in the market, have you ever thought about whether you have neglected your loved ones, whether you have slacked off in your job, whether you have lost your temper because of price changes... Wealth is always just a symbol, and this symbol can sometimes grow larger or smaller. That's all. In the future, we will all grow old, and we will all die, and those who come after us may also be moved by the emotions stirred by market changes... Imagine, if we only had one day left in our lives, would you still care about this? Imagine, when our souls leave our bodies and enter a nebulous space-time, don't you find it excessive and ridiculous to face those expressions of joy or sorrow due to price fluctuations? If all you think about is the surplus and loss of money, what is your own life value positioned at? Haha, that's a long way off.
Never take investing too seriously. There are many meaningful things in life that need to be done. Ask yourself, when you are trading, when you are staring at the fluctuations in the market, have you ever thought about whether you have neglected your loved ones, whether you have slacked off in your job, whether you have lost your temper because of price changes... Wealth is always just a symbol, and this symbol can sometimes grow larger or smaller. That's all. In the future, we will all grow old, and we will all die, and those who come after us may also be moved by the emotions stirred by market changes... Imagine, if we only had one day left in our lives, would you still care about this? Imagine, when our souls leave our bodies and enter a nebulous space-time, don't you find it excessive and ridiculous to face those expressions of joy or sorrow due to price fluctuations? If all you think about is the surplus and loss of money, what is your own life value positioned at? Haha, that's a long way off.
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10.20 Morning Report: The Fed's interest rate cut is imminent, ETH may surge to $4500, how far can the bull market go?
📉📈 Interest rate cut wave + on-chain explosion + tokenization wave, is the crypto world迎来 “threefold benefits” or “the last carnival”?
1. The Fed's interest rate cut is almost a certainty.
• CME 'Fed Watch' shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October is as high as 99%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in December is 94%.
• IELTS sister's thoughts: Interest rate cuts mean increased liquidity, traditional funds may accelerate inflow into high-risk assets, mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum may directly benefit.
• Potential impact: Short-term market risk appetite is rising, but long-term depends on economic data and inflation trends; interest rate cuts may not always drive up cryptocurrency prices.
1. The Fed's interest rate cut is almost a certainty.
• CME 'Fed Watch' shows that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October is as high as 99%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut in December is 94%.
• IELTS sister's thoughts: Interest rate cuts mean increased liquidity, traditional funds may accelerate inflow into high-risk assets, mainstream coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum may directly benefit.
• Potential impact: Short-term market risk appetite is rising, but long-term depends on economic data and inflation trends; interest rate cuts may not always drive up cryptocurrency prices.
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If you want to truly excel in the cryptocurrency contract market and have a correct logic and method for opening and executing trades, then today you are in luck, this method can help you truly excel in contracts.
If you only have 5000 yuan in capital and want to reach the million threshold through rolling positions, this article will break down the specific path - not relying on luck, but on the combination of 'floating profit increasing positions + low leverage + iron discipline', with replicable operational details at every step.
First, understand: rolling positions is not 'leveraging to gamble on size', but 'using profits to roll a snowball'.
Many people misunderstand rolling positions as 'fully leveraged heavy investment', which is a fatal misconception. The core of true rolling positions is summed up in 8 words: floating profit increasing positions, risk locking.
In simple terms: use the profits earned from capital to expand positions while keeping the capital safe. It's like rolling a snowball; first, push it with your hands (capital) to get it moving, and when it has inertia (floating profit), let the snow (profit) stick to it, making the snowball bigger and bigger, but your hands (capital) never get rolled in.
First, understand: rolling positions is not 'leveraging to gamble on size', but 'using profits to roll a snowball'.
Many people misunderstand rolling positions as 'fully leveraged heavy investment', which is a fatal misconception. The core of true rolling positions is summed up in 8 words: floating profit increasing positions, risk locking.
In simple terms: use the profits earned from capital to expand positions while keeping the capital safe. It's like rolling a snowball; first, push it with your hands (capital) to get it moving, and when it has inertia (floating profit), let the snow (profit) stick to it, making the snowball bigger and bigger, but your hands (capital) never get rolled in.
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Market Rises But 100,000 Liquidations Occur: A Tug of War Under Rate Cut Expectations
On October 20, the market presented an unusual picture: Bitcoin rose by 1.58% to $108695.5, with Ethereum, Dogecoin, and other cryptocurrencies also rising in sync, among which ENA increased by 5.25% and SUI by 4.15%. However, CoinGlass data shows that during the same period, over 100,000 people globally faced liquidations, totaling $268 million. This phenomenon of "simultaneous rise and liquidation" is rooted in the high-leverage gambling dominated by Federal Reserve policy expectations.
The core driving force behind the market's rise comes from the strengthening expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. As the October 28-29 monetary policy meeting approaches, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the market's expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut has surged to 99%. This expectation stems from signals of a policy shift released by Powell—who clearly stated that a cooling labor market provides space for monetary policy adjustments. Historical data shows that the last two Federal Reserve rate cut cycles have driven Bitcoin's gains over 300%, and the effect of liquidity easing on risk assets is significant. Against this backdrop, funds are accelerating into the crypto market, pushing mainstream cryptocurrencies higher collectively.
The core driving force behind the market's rise comes from the strengthening expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. As the October 28-29 monetary policy meeting approaches, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the market's expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut has surged to 99%. This expectation stems from signals of a policy shift released by Powell—who clearly stated that a cooling labor market provides space for monetary policy adjustments. Historical data shows that the last two Federal Reserve rate cut cycles have driven Bitcoin's gains over 300%, and the effect of liquidity easing on risk assets is significant. Against this backdrop, funds are accelerating into the crypto market, pushing mainstream cryptocurrencies higher collectively.
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🔥$ETH The market has taken off across the board! Let's go!
🔥$BNB The White House has spoken: Three rate cuts are just the beginning! Let's go, let's go!
🔥$DOGE Whales are frantically bottom-fishing! Let's go, let's go, let's go!
🔥 Big players are quietly stocking up! Let's go, let's go, let's go, let's go!
🔥 Four major signals, the market can't hide anymore:
1️⃣ BNB chain with 3.6 million active addresses → Ecosystem is exploding
2️⃣ Whales dumped 10 million dollars to buy ETH → Smart money is already in place
3️⃣ RWA sector doubled in a month → Institutions are really in a rush
4️⃣ Japan's three major banks issued stablecoins → Traditional funds are coming in
💎 Core logic remains intact:
· Silicon Valley Bank's collapse of 22 billion didn't crash the system, so what’s there to panic about?
· The White House confirms: Three rate cuts are just an appetizer! The faucet will be opened soon
· A decrease in volume = The bears are losing strength, classic shakeout, don’t get fooled!
#美联储降息预期 #鲍威尔发言 #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #币安HODLer空投ZBT #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
🔥$BNB The White House has spoken: Three rate cuts are just the beginning! Let's go, let's go!
🔥$DOGE Whales are frantically bottom-fishing! Let's go, let's go, let's go!
🔥 Big players are quietly stocking up! Let's go, let's go, let's go, let's go!
🔥 Four major signals, the market can't hide anymore:
1️⃣ BNB chain with 3.6 million active addresses → Ecosystem is exploding
2️⃣ Whales dumped 10 million dollars to buy ETH → Smart money is already in place
3️⃣ RWA sector doubled in a month → Institutions are really in a rush
4️⃣ Japan's three major banks issued stablecoins → Traditional funds are coming in
💎 Core logic remains intact:
· Silicon Valley Bank's collapse of 22 billion didn't crash the system, so what’s there to panic about?
· The White House confirms: Three rate cuts are just an appetizer! The faucet will be opened soon
· A decrease in volume = The bears are losing strength, classic shakeout, don’t get fooled!
#美联储降息预期 #鲍威尔发言 #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #币安HODLer空投ZBT #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC
[Replay] 🎙️ 十月降息，ETH年底8500，BNB看2500
埋伏DOGE，SHIB，PEPE，错过币安人生，别错过puppies小奶狗国际社区共识建设!
02 h 59 m 52 s · 4.5k listens
PUPPieS彭先生518:
全球都在讨论如何买入小奶狗
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⭐ Focus on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on 2025.10.29
The market is pricing in a 25 basis points rate cut expectation (94%)
⭐ Focus on the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on 2025.10.30
There is a high probability of maintaining the current interest rate, be wary of a low probability of sudden interest rate hikes
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美联储降息预期 " data-hashtag="#美联储降息预期" class="tag">#美联储降息预期 #美联储利率决策即将公布 #美联储降息 #美财政部比特币战略储备激增
The market is pricing in a 25 basis points rate cut expectation (94%)
⭐ Focus on the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on 2025.10.30
There is a high probability of maintaining the current interest rate, be wary of a low probability of sudden interest rate hikes
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#美联储降息预期 " data-hashtag="#美联储降息预期" class="tag">#美联储降息预期 #美联储利率决策即将公布 #美联储降息 #美财政部比特币战略储备激增
Roxana Rocchio hGto:
降息
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Is SOL on the verge of a breakout? The key position of 186 USD hides secrets! Retail investors focus on these 3 signals
SOL is currently stuck at the 186 USD position, and the lines drawn on the 1-hour chart have revealed the intentions of the main forces! Today, combining the latest news and technical analysis, I will break down the underlying details for everyone.
Technical Analysis: Triangular convergence brewing a trend change, 186 USD becomes the life-and-death line for bulls and bears
From the 1-hour chart, SOL is forming a narrowing triangular pattern, with upper resistance at 190 USD and lower support at 183 USD. The current price is repeatedly testing around 186 USD, indicating that both bulls and bears are preparing for a significant move.
Key Signal: If there is a volume breakout above 190 USD, the next target will be directly at the 195-200 USD range; if it falls below 183 USD, it might need to retest the 178 USD support in the short term.
MACD Indicator: A bottom divergence is appearing on the hourly chart, and the downward momentum is weakening. As long as it doesn't break 183, the probability of a rebound is very high!
News: Two major catalysts are on the way, with the ecosystem supporting SOL
NFT trading volume on the Solana chain has surged: In the last 24 hours, NFT sales on Solana have entered the top three, and trading activity on platforms like Tensor has doubled. The hot ecosystem directly supports the price of SOL!
Expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are rising: US inflation data is slowing, and a rate cut may happen in September, leading to a flow of funds back into cryptocurrencies. SOL, as a highly elastic mainstream coin, is most favored by investors.
Action Suggestions: Don't get shaken out by volatility; this layout is the most stable
Aggressive Strategy: Gradually place long orders in the 186-183 USD range, with a stop-loss set at 180 USD, and increase positions after breaking 190 USD to target 195.
Conservative Strategy: Wait for a volume breakout above 190 USD to chase the trend, or buy on dips if it retests 178 USD without breaking.
Reminder: Do not exceed 50% position, leave enough bullets to respond to sudden volatility!
"SOL's triangular convergence likely indicates a washout before a surge! I will provide real-time alerts on trend change signals in the community. Follow me at @金敏论缠 , and I will teach you how to see through the whale strategies!
#鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期
SOL is currently stuck at the 186 USD position, and the lines drawn on the 1-hour chart have revealed the intentions of the main forces! Today, combining the latest news and technical analysis, I will break down the underlying details for everyone.
Technical Analysis: Triangular convergence brewing a trend change, 186 USD becomes the life-and-death line for bulls and bears
From the 1-hour chart, SOL is forming a narrowing triangular pattern, with upper resistance at 190 USD and lower support at 183 USD. The current price is repeatedly testing around 186 USD, indicating that both bulls and bears are preparing for a significant move.
Key Signal: If there is a volume breakout above 190 USD, the next target will be directly at the 195-200 USD range; if it falls below 183 USD, it might need to retest the 178 USD support in the short term.
MACD Indicator: A bottom divergence is appearing on the hourly chart, and the downward momentum is weakening. As long as it doesn't break 183, the probability of a rebound is very high!
News: Two major catalysts are on the way, with the ecosystem supporting SOL
NFT trading volume on the Solana chain has surged: In the last 24 hours, NFT sales on Solana have entered the top three, and trading activity on platforms like Tensor has doubled. The hot ecosystem directly supports the price of SOL!
Expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts are rising: US inflation data is slowing, and a rate cut may happen in September, leading to a flow of funds back into cryptocurrencies. SOL, as a highly elastic mainstream coin, is most favored by investors.
Action Suggestions: Don't get shaken out by volatility; this layout is the most stable
Aggressive Strategy: Gradually place long orders in the 186-183 USD range, with a stop-loss set at 180 USD, and increase positions after breaking 190 USD to target 195.
Conservative Strategy: Wait for a volume breakout above 190 USD to chase the trend, or buy on dips if it retests 178 USD without breaking.
Reminder: Do not exceed 50% position, leave enough bullets to respond to sudden volatility!
"SOL's triangular convergence likely indicates a washout before a surge! I will provide real-time alerts on trend change signals in the community. Follow me at @金敏论缠 , and I will teach you how to see through the whale strategies!
#鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期
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A fan told me: The direction was right, held for four days, lost 1000U to funding fees, and after the liquidation, the market took off, the mindset collapsed.
This is not the market's fault, but because he didn't understand the rules of the contract.
Contract trading is not just about rising and falling, but also a game of rules.
Many people do not lose to the market, but lose on the details.
Pitfall one: Funding fees quietly eat up profits
Funding fees are charged every 8 hours, paid between long and short positions.
The long position rate is positive = you have to pay the short position.
Even if the direction is right, you may still lose everything.
Avoidance suggestions:
Avoid high fee time periods;
Control holding time;
Try to stand on the side of negative funding fees.
Pitfall two: Liquidation price is not the line you calculated
10x leverage does not mean liquidation only occurs at a 10% drop; the platform will impose stronger liquidation fees.
So you may think it's safe, but you're actually very close to liquidation.
Suggestions:
Use isolated margin;
Control leverage to 3-5 times;
Leave enough margin.
Pitfall three: High leverage = slaughter knife
100x leverage seems like huge profits, but in reality, it's an amplifier of fees and funding costs.
Even if the direction is right, you may still lose money.
Suggestions:
High leverage for short trades, low leverage for long holds;
Exchanges are not afraid of you making money, they are afraid you understand the rules.
Remember:
What contracts fear the most is not the market, but your lack of understanding of the rules.
Only by understanding the rules can you survive the storm.
$AUCTION $币安人生 $STBL
#加密市场反弹 #鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期
This is not the market's fault, but because he didn't understand the rules of the contract.
Contract trading is not just about rising and falling, but also a game of rules.
Many people do not lose to the market, but lose on the details.
Pitfall one: Funding fees quietly eat up profits
Funding fees are charged every 8 hours, paid between long and short positions.
The long position rate is positive = you have to pay the short position.
Even if the direction is right, you may still lose everything.
Avoidance suggestions:
Avoid high fee time periods;
Control holding time;
Try to stand on the side of negative funding fees.
Pitfall two: Liquidation price is not the line you calculated
10x leverage does not mean liquidation only occurs at a 10% drop; the platform will impose stronger liquidation fees.
So you may think it's safe, but you're actually very close to liquidation.
Suggestions:
Use isolated margin;
Control leverage to 3-5 times;
Leave enough margin.
Pitfall three: High leverage = slaughter knife
100x leverage seems like huge profits, but in reality, it's an amplifier of fees and funding costs.
Even if the direction is right, you may still lose money.
Suggestions:
High leverage for short trades, low leverage for long holds;
Exchanges are not afraid of you making money, they are afraid you understand the rules.
Remember:
What contracts fear the most is not the market, but your lack of understanding of the rules.
Only by understanding the rules can you survive the storm.
$AUCTION $币安人生 $STBL
#加密市场反弹 #鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期
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Due to a weak job market, the Federal Reserve is prepared to lower interest rates again in October 2025, but there are clear divisions internally.
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that there is a danger in delaying action, and his remarks are seen as reinforcing expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut in October. Futures market traders have also anticipated this and believe there will be another rate cut in December. However, a significant portion of the Federal Reserve is calling for caution, noting that price levels have been above target for several years and still face upward pressure. Among the 19 Federal Reserve officials, 8 predict there will be no further rate cuts next year due to persistently high inflation and seemingly strong growth, and the latest trade frictions have once again highlighted the ongoing threat of tariffs.
Internally at the Federal Reserve, the board led by Powell is generally leaning dovish, while the voting regional Federal Reserve presidents tend to be more hawkish. Governors Waller and Bowman are leading the push for rate cuts, both viewing employment as a primary concern, while newly appointed Governor Mulan advocates for rapid consecutive cuts of 50 basis points, but remains in the minority for now. Additionally, the policy path for 2026 faces multiple variables, as Powell's chairmanship will end in May next year, and the Cleveland Fed President Hamak and the Dallas Fed President Logan, who will rotate into voting seats next year, are both cautious hawks regarding further rate cuts. #美联储降息预期
Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that there is a danger in delaying action, and his remarks are seen as reinforcing expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut in October. Futures market traders have also anticipated this and believe there will be another rate cut in December. However, a significant portion of the Federal Reserve is calling for caution, noting that price levels have been above target for several years and still face upward pressure. Among the 19 Federal Reserve officials, 8 predict there will be no further rate cuts next year due to persistently high inflation and seemingly strong growth, and the latest trade frictions have once again highlighted the ongoing threat of tariffs.
Internally at the Federal Reserve, the board led by Powell is generally leaning dovish, while the voting regional Federal Reserve presidents tend to be more hawkish. Governors Waller and Bowman are leading the push for rate cuts, both viewing employment as a primary concern, while newly appointed Governor Mulan advocates for rapid consecutive cuts of 50 basis points, but remains in the minority for now. Additionally, the policy path for 2026 faces multiple variables, as Powell's chairmanship will end in May next year, and the Cleveland Fed President Hamak and the Dallas Fed President Logan, who will rotate into voting seats next year, are both cautious hawks regarding further rate cuts. #美联储降息预期
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$BTC 🔥🔥ETH whale used 10 million USDT to buy 2,511.3 ETH, big bull is coming, whales are hoarding coins!
🔥🔥October interest rate cut has become a foregone conclusion, are you still waiting? Smart money has quietly started building positions since last week! $ETH the only correct direction now is #特朗普狗狗币 C onan concept coin. $SOL and Co nan, as the only dogecoin IP in Trump's track, has a top narrative, a strong community of thousands, low market value, and the greatest explosive potential, starting to take off continuously, if you don't get on board now, don't blame for breaking your leg at the end of the month🥁🥁. #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美联储降息预期
🔥🔥October interest rate cut has become a foregone conclusion, are you still waiting? Smart money has quietly started building positions since last week! $ETH the only correct direction now is #特朗普狗狗币 C onan concept coin. $SOL and Co nan, as the only dogecoin IP in Trump's track, has a top narrative, a strong community of thousands, low market value, and the greatest explosive potential, starting to take off continuously, if you don't get on board now, don't blame for breaking your leg at the end of the month🥁🥁. #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #美联储降息预期
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Will the 26th Annual Meeting be a frenzied bull market? Insiders at Polymarket have confirmed that the token $Poly will be issued next year. Don't panic during the short-term fluctuations; the market is set for a strong reversal. Don't focus on the candlestick charts—"whales" have already taken action → they are buying, buying, buying 💰💰💰. Some so-called experts say the bull market is over, but I don't think so. With the U.S. interest rate cuts and the influence of the broader environment, capital will flow into the crypto space. That capital will definitely flow towards those mainstream tokens. Why? Because those tokens are relatively stable and have 📈 potential, although (the prices are high). For us small retail investors, whether we can find a stable and cheap token that has upward 📈 potential, let's bet on the little golden dog. By the end of the year, it will reach new highs. Let's wait and see the climate. $ETH $BNB $DOGE #美财政部比特币战略储备激增 #鲍威尔发言 #美联储降息预期
[Replay] 🎙️ 十月降息，ETH年底8500，BNB看2500
埋伏DOGE，SHIB，PEPE，错过币安人生，别错过puppies小奶狗国际社区共识建设!
02 h 59 m 52 s · 4.5k listens
赚钱买前门楼子:
大盘回升，小奶狗起飞了
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