Urgent interpretation! Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole annual meeting has pushed this week's non-farm data to a 'life-or-death scenario'!
Analysts at Deutsche Bank have clearly pointed out that the importance of this labor data far exceeds previous data; if it falls short of expectations, the market will frantically bet on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates, and there may even be a violent rate cut of 50 basis points in a single move!
What does this mean? It means a nuclear-level benefit for the cryptocurrency market!
Rising expectations for rate cuts = Plummeting dollar index = Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies welcome a super influx of capital!
Historical experience tells us that once a rate cut cycle begins, a large amount of cheap capital will flood into the crypto market, pushing mainstream coins like BTC and ETH into a bull market frenzy!
If tomorrow's ADP data (expected to be 80,000) comes in lower than expected, it will become the first clear signal for a bearish dollar and bullish Bitcoin!
Although ADP is not strongly predictive of non-farm data, it can greatly influence market sentiment and expectation management. Friday's non-farm data is the key moment that will truly ignite the market!
Exclusive analysis by Lan Xuan:
Short-term: Weak data → Expectations for rate cuts rise → Dollar weakens → Bitcoin breaks previous highs;
Medium-term: If the Federal Reserve really initiates a significant rate cut, Bitcoin will likely replicate the trend seen after March 2020, starting an epic upward surge;
In terms of operations: focus on macro-sensitive assets like BTC and ETH, reasonably allocate leverage, and avoid the risks of extreme fluctuations in small cryptocurrencies!
The current market has entered a 'data-sensitive period,' where any minor fluctuations may trigger significant volatility. Investors must pay attention to tomorrow night's ADP data and Friday's non-farm report, as these two pieces of data will determine the direction of the September market!
Follow Lan Xuan, guiding you through the news, capturing institutional movements, and positioning for the bull market's starting point!
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