$XRP In a recent tweet, crypto commentator Austin Hilton addressed what he views as the primary reasons behind XRP’s current price stagnation.

In an attached video, he explained that XRP, despite positive developments surrounding its ecosystem, is being held back by broader economic uncertainty rather than issues specific to the asset itself.

Hilton noted that XRP is currently trading around $2.82. While the token is up by 2% over the past 24 hours, it has declined by 2% over the past seven days and recorded a 2 percent drop across the past month.

He emphasized that these movements are not the result of negative events directly tied to Ripple or the XRP Ledger. Instead, he argued that the main factor weighing down the price is market-wide uncertainty, particularly related to economic policy and investor sentiment.

✨The Role of Macroeconomic Uncertainty

According to Hilton, uncertainty surrounding U.S. Federal Reserve decisions is central to the lack of momentum in the crypto market. Questions about whether the Fed will reduce interest rates in September or issue additional cuts later this year have created hesitation among investors.

He said this uncertainty has locked liquidity and capital on the sidelines, delayed the return of retail investors, who exited in late 2024 and have not yet re-entered in large numbers.

Hilton also pointed to tariff-related concerns as another source of uncertainty. Recent court rulings that declared former President Trump’s tariffs illegal, followed by announcements of alternative plans, have added to the unsettled environment. He stressed that such uncertainty is discouraging new investment in digital assets like XRP and other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, which have also been consolidating within narrow trading ranges.

✨Seasonal Trends and Investor Behavior

Hilton highlighted that September has historically been one of the weakest months for Bitcoin, and by extension, the broader crypto market. He stated that this seasonal trend could contribute to XRP’s lack of progress in the short term. He added that over the past 44 days, XRP has mostly moved sideways, showing little sign of a breakout due to limited liquidity and investor participation.

The consolidation pattern seen across multiple digital assets is, in Hilton’s view, evidence of investors delaying action. Instead of allocating new funds into crypto, many are waiting to see how upcoming economic developments unfold. This lack of investor interest is not unique to XRP but affects the entire market.

✨Outlook for the Coming Months

Looking ahead, Hilton suggested that conditions may improve in the fourth quarter of the year, with October through December offering more favorable growth opportunities. He cautioned, however, that further downside for XRP remains possible in the near term, with the price potentially dipping into the $0.50 range if uncertainty persists.

Hilton emphasized that the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s upcoming meeting in September will be pivotal. If the Fed does move to lower interest rates, it could restore confidence and unlock liquidity, creating an environment where capital begins to flow back into digital assets. He also underscored the importance of the upcoming U.S. jobs report, which may influence the Fed’s decision and provide additional clarity for investors.

Hilton concluded that the most significant factor limiting XRP’s growth is not related to internal issues within the Ripple or XRP ecosystem but instead to uncertainty in the broader economic landscape. Until greater clarity emerges from the Federal Reserve and related developments related to tariffs, he argued, investors are likely to remain cautious.

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