美联储降息

In the stormy world of cryptocurrency, it is both a crisis and an opportunity.

The game between Trump and the Federal Reserve has yet to reach a conclusion, but it is certain that before policies become clear, the volatility of Bitcoin and Ethereum will become the 'new normal' that investors must face.

$BTC $ETH #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #美联储降息

$BTC $ETH

Surprise!

Under the signal of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, the decline of the dollar seems to be limited?

The movement of the dollar has always affected the global economy! On June 18, Mitsubishi UFJ analyst Derek Halpenny revealed in a report that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell may signal future interest rate cuts in the meeting on Wednesday.

It was initially thought that this would lead to a significant drop in the dollar, but the situation is not so. Due to the backdrop of the conflict between Israel and Iran, even if Powell's remarks are somewhat “dovish” and hint at rate cuts, causing expectations for rate cuts after September to slightly rise, as long as the outlook for the Israel-Iran conflict remains unclear, the willingness to sell the dollar is not high, so the extent of the dollar's decline may be limited.

#美联储降息 #热门话题

Local time on Wednesday afternoon (June 18), the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) announced that it would keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the fourth consecutive meeting of "holding steady," fully aligning with the market's general expectations.

Although the Fed's decision has a significant impact on global financial markets, the cryptocurrency market's reaction seems somewhat "Zen." Bitcoin (BTC) has basically remained around $104,000, while Ethereum (ETH) hovers at $2,520, and XRP and Solana remain relatively flat.

According to CoinGlass data, although the total market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market slightly decreased by 2% to $3.35 trillion that day, there was also a staggering $224 million in leveraged liquidations, with Ethereum seeing the largest liquidation amount, followed by Bitcoin. This indicates that the internal struggle between bulls and bears in the market remains intense.

It is worth mentioning that the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $216 million on June 17, while the spot Ethereum ETF also saw an inflow of $11 million. This suggests that institutional funds continue to flow into the cryptocurrency market, providing support at the bottom.

Market experts believe that this "calm" reaction reflects investors' cautious sentiment after the Fed's decision, as everyone is waiting for clearer macroeconomic signals. $BTC $ETH #美联储降息

$BTC $ETH

There are new developments in American politics and finance!

The latest news is that President Trump has spoken, saying he will not fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, and he has urged Powell to lower interest rates.

Why is Trump so eager to call for a rate cut? It turns out he believes the U.S. has a large amount of short-term debt, and he prefers long-term low-interest debt. He even made an analogy, saying if interest rates drop by 1%, then the U.S. would pay 1% less in interest! Will this rate cut actually happen? What impact will it have on the U.S. economy and financial markets? Let's dig deeper together; we might discover new economic trends.

#美联储降息 #热门话题

$BTC
$ETH

There’s been a big stir in American politics and finance again!

U.S. President Trump said on social media,

He stated that the recently released CPI data is particularly good,

The Federal Reserve should directly cut interest rates by a full 1%!

After the rate cut, the interest payments on maturing debts will be significantly reduced, this is extremely important!

Why is Trump suddenly making this call to the Federal Reserve? Will the Federal Reserve listen to him? What impact will a 1% rate cut have on the U.S. economy and financial markets? We will keep a close eye on this!

#美联储降息 #特朗普

On the first day of the congressional hearing on monetary policy, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell reiterated that the labor market is solid, inflation remains above the 2% target, and there is no rush to cut interest rates. The likelihood of a rate cut in June by the Federal Reserve has further diminished, and the cryptocurrency market continues to remain sluggish under its influence.

The supply of stablecoins has been increasing, but BTC has not shown a corresponding rise, still hovering below $100,000.

Historically, most Februarys have ended with gains, especially during bull markets. Now that February is nearly half over, BTC remains in a downtrend. In this cycle, every time BTC experiences a slight pullback, the altcoin market encounters a catastrophic decline. If BTC cannot rebound and surpass $100,000 by the end of the month, the situation in the altcoin market may further deteriorate.

Now everyone is mocking ETH, but I still have confidence in ETH's future trends. The arrival of altcoin season requires ETH; without BTC's rise, there will be no bull market, and similarly, without ETH's rise, there will be no altcoin season. Without the wealth creation myths of altcoin season, it will be impossible to attract a large number of new users. Relying solely on imitating ETH's existing ecosystem without any innovation, SOL's rise is merely a battle among existing users, at most, as seen now, where only a few coins can keep up with BTC, while the majority of other coins languish. I believe in the vitality of the crypto space, I believe 2025 will be a year of explosive bull markets, and I believe there will still be an altcoin season in this cycle, so I also believe that ETH's spring will eventually come. 🥳

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#比特币后市
#ETH走势分析
#山寨季到来

Two interest rate decisions to watch in the next 12 hours:

◓ The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision between 1-2 AM Beijing time on the 19th

◓ The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision between 12-1 PM Beijing time on the 19th

#美联储降息 ，#日本央行降息

Is the Fed practicing its iron-headed skills?

As long as the Fed continues to maintain high interest rates, does not cut interest rates, and siphons global liquidity, it will definitely put pressure on the exchange rates of other countries. Compared with the daily life, we have already defended it very well.

Bitcoin next door continued to fall sharply today. This place that is most directly affected by liquidity can be clearly seen. Even with the halving every four years and the clear cards of ETF passing, the power of interest rate hikes can also force you to press a small bear market.

Last week, the debate between the King of Understanding and the King of Sleep was obviously at a disadvantage. I have said before that if the sponsor supports the Democratic Party, then the US stock market will definitely not collapse, and interest rate cuts will come immediately. If the sponsor supports the King of Understanding, then interest rate cuts will definitely not come immediately, and there will even be one or two interest rate hikes (surprise or not?)

At present, it seems that there is a trend and sign of the King of Understanding's return.

Speaking of which, if this continues, the East and the West will compete for both superiority and life and death. The financial market will be completely involved, and a bunch of economic theories will have no say.

First, the consumption suppression brought about by high interest rates will further hit our exports and foreign trade. Many fragile economies face systemic risks. The balance sheets of national companies and individuals will take longer to repair. The fight between the East and the West will further weaken the consensus of globalization. We are likely to be on the eve of a great depression.

Secondly, our AAA cannot go well. There are so many things to protect with limited bullets, such as houses, DFZF, debts, exchange rates, and it is not their turn.

Thirdly, the Americans themselves are likely to do stress tests. Even if they cannot pay back hundreds of banks and interest, they will drag down the biggest opponent. Anyway, they have already gone all in. If they win, the problem will be solved. If they cannot win, they will suffer a bloodbath.

Finally, all markets such as Bitcoin will be drained, and various high-quality assets will usher in a violent killing. At that time, it will be another round of extremely cruel and profitable wealth transfer.

The good show is still to come. Are you ready?

If you don't know what to do with the current market and keep losing money, come to May #美联储降息 #BTC走势分析 #美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期 $WLD $PEPE

As the saying goes, only when the benefits are slowly released can the bull market last for a long time.

100X community news:
CME data shows the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in March has dropped to 8%

On February 14, according to CME Fed Watch: The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 92%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 8%. The probability of keeping rates unchanged through May is 32.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 62.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 5.1%.

#美联储降息 $BTC

📈 Financial market is changing: Fed rate cut is imminent, global market volatility intensifies📉

Recent financial market dynamics have attracted widespread attention, especially about the Fed's possible rate cut decision. The market expects that the Fed may take early rate cut measures to appease market sentiment before the FOMC meeting on September 18.

Therefore, August may be a volatile month, and investors need to be prepared for various market trends to cope with the last opportunity to enter the market in this cycle!

In addition, the plunge in global financial markets and cryptocurrency markets has triggered a variety of speculations:

1. First, some people believe that the conflict between Israel and Hamas, coupled with the assassination of Hamas leaders in Iran, triggered panic selling in financial markets. But some people disagree with this view because conflicts in the Middle East have always had a long history, and this incident is not enough to trigger World War III.

2. Secondly, the unexpected interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan may also be one of the reasons for the market turmoil. Although Japan has long implemented a zero interest rate policy to combat deflation, the Bank of Japan recently decided to raise interest rates by 25 basis points, which has caused a certain impact on global financial markets. However, there are also views that although this move has a certain impact on the market, it is not enough to trigger a global economic panic or collapse.

3. In addition, given the poor performance of US labor data last Friday, the rise in unemployment is also considered to be one of the factors leading to financial market turmoil.

However, mainstream media and large institutions will use this series of events to hype, combined with a sharp correction in the financial market, so that the global financial market is shrouded in panic. This view is verified by the recent performance of the US and Japanese stock markets.

Viewpoint:

Given the large increase in US stocks in the past one or two years, this round of 10% to 20% correction may be a healthy market adjustment in the long run.

At the same time, Bitcoin hit a record high of $74,000 before the fourth halving, and the current correction is just a normal correction phenomenon of the bull market outlook.

However, for those investors who have accumulated enough chips, the next time the market explodes, it will be the time to reap the benefits!

#美联储降息 #全球市场动态 #加密货币趋势

Arthur Hayes: The U.S. Treasury will release a quarterly refinancing announcement next week, which is expected to re-accelerate the crypto bull market

On April 26, BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes wrote on the X platform: "As expected, tax revenue increased by about $200 billion to the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA). Forget the Fed meeting in May. The refinancing announcement for the second quarter of 2024 will be announced next week. What strategy will Yellen adopt?
Here are a few options:
1. Stop issuing Treasury bonds by draining TGA to zero, which will inject $1 trillion of liquidity into the market.
2. Shift more borrowing to short-term Treasury bills, which will withdraw funds from reverse repurchase (RRP), equivalent to injecting $400 billion of liquidity into the market.
3. Combine options 1 and 2, do not issue long-term bonds, only issue short-term Treasury bills, and drain TGA and RRP at the same time, which will inject $1.4 trillion of liquidity into the market.
The impact of the Fed is negligible, and Yellen is a powerful character.
If any of the above three options occurs, the stock market is expected to rise, and most importantly, the cryptocurrency bull market will re-accelerate."
#美联储降息 $BTC

December 18th Cryptocurrency Market Important News Overview:

1. #BTC☀ Continues to Break New Highs: Bitcoin has risen for three consecutive days, reaching a peak of $108,353, very close to the $110,000 mark. Bitcoin is leading the market, while altcoins are performing weakly. Ethereum has dropped to around $3,870, Dogecoin has fallen to $3.88, and XRP has corrected to $2.56. However, HSk remains strong, reaching a new high of $2.2.

2. Bloomberg Analysts Predict: A wave of cryptocurrency ETFs is expected to be launched next year, with XRP and SOL likely following LTC and HBAR ETFs, becoming #重点关注 objects.

3. #MicroStrategy Market Cap Surge: If Bitcoin rises to $138,000, MicroStrategy's market cap will surpass that of Starbucks and Nike. MicroStrategy currently holds 439,000 Bitcoins, making it the world's largest corporate holder of Bitcoin.

4. #BVNK Completes Financing: Stablecoin infrastructure platform BVNK successfully completed a $50 million Series B financing round, led by Haun Ventures.

5. #美联储降息 High Probability: The probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December is as high as 95.4%.

$BTC

BTC plunged straight down, plunging 25% in 7 days, is the bull market still there?

Why did the Fed start to cut interest rates next month, and then it started to plummet wildly?

What is the essence behind it?

Is it an economic crisis caused by the recession? Or is it to buy high-quality assets at the bottom?

ETH SOL GFT PEPE WIF OP
Where can I buy at the bottom?

#美联储降息 #暴跌抄底

It was mentioned a long time ago that you can intervene in the long orders of the June reversal, but the original expectation was that it would go south first to remove liquidity and then go north, but the outcome was to go north.
This pull-up was also ignited by two positive factors. One is the positive CPI data that strengthened the Fed's interest rate cut in September, and the other is the sudden Trump shooting incident, which is also closely related to the US election in November. But no matter what the news is, it is always news, and it will always be in line with the market movement. The improvement of market sentiment has appeased more and more people's hearts, and the market can be effectively and steadily promoted.
For the short term, I started with the Heyue order from 55,000 to 57,000. I will consider selling or profiting near the high point of the previous structure (63,800). There must be a point of reaction at this position, because the market sentiment has not reached a very hot point, and no more people are willing to pay the cost to take over the chips realized by the big sellers, so they can only be thrown to lower people to take on the subsequent risks. To put it simply, the first obvious correction of this rally can be roughly around 63,800. Since the market's confidence and enthusiasm have not yet fully recovered, more positive factors need to be implemented to completely inspire the market.
From a long-term perspective, it seems that everyone is sure of a rate cut in September and Trump's inauguration in November, but for some big buyers, even if these are potential positive factors, they are ultimately debatable. No one will pay for the risk, and they will have to wait for further positive factors to be implemented before they can make a decision. But no matter what, this potential positive factor cannot be ignored in driving the market to improve. As long as confidence is growing, long-term highs are not a big problem. #美国大选如何影响加密产业？ #美国6月CPI大幅降温 #特朗普遇袭 #美联储降息

[Bitcoin is facing a direction decision, whether it can break through 69,000, or whether it will be inserted again, tonight! ★Non-farm night, the data has been released, employment is higher than expected, the unemployment rate is higher than expected, the market predicts an interest rate cut in May-June, waiting for the Fed's speech]

In the past two days, in addition to the trend of Bitcoin in the blockchain market spreading throughout the financial world, the trend of gold has also extremely affected people's hearts. After rising for many consecutive days, gold has exceeded US$2,165 per ounce and reached a record high, effectively holding above US$2,000.

U.S. stocks hit new highs again, while U.S. bonds continued to soar. The employment and economic situation caused by high interest rates continues to deteriorate, especially the employment situation, and the US unemployment benefit data increased again. At the same time, the trade account data, which is an important economic indicator, also fell short of expectations, and employment and the economy faced a double decline.

Moreover, the Fed's attitude is constantly changing, and its attitude towards interest rate cuts is becoming increasingly clear. Although there are still internal differences, there are still concerns among officials about cutting interest rates prematurely. However, Powell's statements in the past few days have clearly shown the overall attitude of the Federal Reserve, once again releasing dovish remarks. Based on concerns about the economy, the first interest rate cut will soon be ushered in.

★Look at the data released tonight

U.S. non-farm payroll employment increased by 275,000 in February, compared with an expected increase of 200,000, compared with the previous increase of 353,000.

The U.S. unemployment rate was 3.9% in February, compared with the estimate of 3.7% and the previous value of 3.7%.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield rose sharply after the release of non-farm payrolls data, and was last at 4.108%.

Employment is higher than expected, but not as good as the previous value, and the unemployment rate is higher than expected, which is a mix of good news and bad news. However, the market generally predicts an interest rate cut in May or June, the U.S. dollar index falls, non-U.S. currencies rise, gold continues to rise, and Bitcoin is expected to have a breakthrough.

#热门话题 #美联储降息 #非农数据 $BTC #BTC