鲍威尔讲话

Trump wants to force the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, and some people are quite confused about one thing: if lowering interest rates is good for the economy, why not lower them?

First of all, the Federal Reserve does not take orders from the U.S. government; this is a premise.

The Federal Reserve's thinking is that not lowering interest rates, and the subsequent flooding of money after a cut, would lead to inflation, making it difficult to maintain the dollar's hegemonic status.

Trump's idea is to cut interest rates first, to bring manufacturing back; he is confident he can achieve his American Dream, and under his leadership, the U.S. can solidify the dollar's hegemonic position.

Currently, it seems that the Federal Reserve does not trust this newly elected president with a criminal record. When he first took office, the pandemic hit, and at that time, the Federal Reserve's interest rates were quite low, so even during the pandemic, when the world almost came to a standstill, the economy was still not that bleak.

Later, with Biden in power, interest rates rose above 5%, and the global economy was in a state of lament, as I'm sure you can all feel.

In Trump's second term, he still wants to return to the era of low interest rates, allowing him to recklessly wage trade wars and impose sanctions.

The reason for the U.S. disadvantage in this trade war is largely because the Federal Reserve and Trump are not on the same page.

In fact, neither of them is wrong; it seems more like a clash between conservatives and radicals, one wanting to maintain the status quo, and the other wanting to make changes.

There is no right or wrong; their goal is to maintain the dollar and U.S. hegemony.

Tonight's interest rates are actually not important, as 90% will likely remain unchanged; what matters is Powell's speech at 2:30, to hear whether his tone is hawkish or dovish.

Follow @不亏的鱼 to learn more about financial knowledge; find me for more content on my homepage.

#鲍威尔讲话 #美联储利率决议即将公布

Attention sisters～ The Federal Reserve is making big moves tonight!

✅ Remember, we have the FOMC meeting at 2 AM, but don't get too excited… The probability of a rate cut in May is only 4.4%! Basically, it's a no-action rhythm;

✅ Chairman Powell's speech is the main event! The market is expected to have wild fluctuations, and it's highly likely there will be no rate cut until June (70% chance of staying put), at most a small cut of 0.25%!

Today's focus:
Keeping interest rates unchanged is a clear signal, but Uncle Powell's speech could hit the market hard! Volatility warning is at maximum.

⚠️ Sisters, keep a close eye, set your take profit and stop loss～
#FOMC‬⁩ #鲍威尔讲话

The Federal Reserve of the United States keeps interest rates unchanged, remaining at 4.25% - 4.50%.
In the face of this situation, #BTC remains strong, still above $96,500. In the next 25 minutes, we will hear Powell speak, so we must remain cautious, as everyone knows the market does not expect a rate cut, but Powell's speech is. #美联储FOMC会议 #币圈 #区块链 #鲍威尔讲话 #美联储连续第七次维持基准利率不变

#鲍威尔讲话 Powell: Current inflation is above target, and the Federal Reserve cannot act preemptively. According to Jinshi data, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell stated that the current economic situation is different from that of 2019, and it is not possible to preemptively cut interest rates. In 2019, the inflation rate was below the Federal Reserve's 2% target, whereas now the inflation rate is above the target. Powell pointed out that due to the impact of tariffs, inflation is expected to face upward pressure. He emphasized that the Federal Reserve cannot determine the correct policy response until more data is seen.

Verify last night's forecast, Powell's speech is impossible🈳of#美联储FOMC会议 #鲍威尔讲话 #币圈暴富 #区块链

Key Economic Data and Events to Focus on Today: May 7, 2025, Wednesday
① Pending China April Foreign Exchange Reserves
② 14:45 France March Trade Balance
③ 17:00 Eurozone March Retail Sales Month-on-Month
④ 22:30 U.S. EIA Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending May 2
⑤ 22:30 U.S. EIA Cushing Crude Oil Inventories for the Week Ending May 2
⑥ 22:30 U.S. EIA Strategic Petroleum Reserve Inventories for the Week Ending May 2
⑦ Next Day 02:00 Federal Reserve FOMC Announces Interest Rate Decision #美联储FOMC会议
⑧ Next Day 02:30 Federal Reserve Chair Powell Holds Press Conference #鲍威尔讲话

The trend has changed, interest rate cuts are not far away. This time there is a high probability that there will not be a rate cut, but a rate cut is certain in June. The surge at the end of April was too strong; recent trends will mainly be characterized by fluctuations.
Don’t rush, what’s meant to come will come.... Everyone should pay special attention to this! #美联储FOMC会议 #鲍威尔讲话

Good news becomes bad news; the 2 o'clock Federal Reserve meeting has been validated. What about the speech 15 minutes later? Let's wait and see $ETH #美联储FOMC会议 #鲍威尔讲话

Good morning, investment friends. On Thursday, the market's movement was not significantly affected by the news overnight, and the cryptocurrency prices have maintained a range-bound fluctuation.

Despite the lack of substantial impact from overnight news on the overall market trend, the current observation shows that the cryptocurrency prices are still fluctuating within the range we previously mentioned. Currently, the price of Bitcoin is approaching the key resistance level of 97800. Although Bitcoin continues to attempt an upward breakthrough, whether it can successfully cross this level will have a fundamentally different impact on the subsequent trend.

In this context, we continue our previous strategy, choosing to place short positions near the resistance level, patiently waiting for the market to come under pressure and retreat. If the price successfully breaks through this key point, we will adjust our strategy in a timely manner and switch to a long position to ensure operational flexibility and risk control.

Morning trading suggestions:
Bitcoin: Short at 97500-97800, target at 96000

Ethereum: Short at 1830-1840, target at 1750
#美联储FOMC会议 #比特币预测 #Strategy增持比特币 #鲍威尔讲话 #Pectra升级

Is this person male or female (gender unclear)? I suspect it's a team running this account together. I looked at the comments today, and they are all insulting 😀. The level is really average, always earning and fake goods. At least 1 in 10 times can be confused 😓. I see they have quite a few followers, I've come across them a few times in the square... What does this person do...? Does anyone know? I've only been here for a month, and I'm not very familiar as a newcomer... $BTC $ETH $SOL #比特币预测 #鲍威尔讲话

$BTC $ETH $SOL I currently hold both long and short positions in the range of 929-977. This morning I opened a short position for the second time, previously in the range of 929-979. My viewpoint is the same as Master Bao's, remaining unchanged... temporarily holding steady... #鲍威尔讲话 #比特币预测

$BTC $ETH $SOL The Federal Reserve maintains the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations, remaining unchanged for the third consecutive meeting...#比特币预测 #鲍威尔讲话

#鲍威尔讲话 #美国非农就业人数 The market reaction was flat and began to fluctuate again…
I thought it was a powerful nuclear bomb, but it turned out to be a dud.

#美国非农就业人数 #鲍威尔讲话 Tonight, the financial markets are about to face a highly influential "data and policy storm."

As a core indicator of the U.S. labor market, non-farm payroll data and unemployment rates will be released simultaneously. The former intuitively reflects the employment scale and trends in the U.S. non-agricultural sector, while the latter precisely measures the health of the economic operation. Historical experience shows that even minor fluctuations in both can lead to significant adjustments in the valuations of multiple asset classes in the market.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will deliver a speech. Given the profound impact of Federal Reserve monetary policy on global financial markets, Powell's remarks will undoubtedly become an important basis for the market's judgment on the future direction of monetary policy, significantly influencing investor expectations.

In light of the impact of non-farm data, unemployment rates, and Powell's speech on the market, there may be severe fluctuations in the stock, bond, foreign exchange, and commodity markets. It is essential to strengthen risk management, closely monitor market dynamics, and timely adjust investment portfolios to strive for steady progress in a complex and volatile market environment.

#鲍威尔讲话 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech at the Chicago Economic Club, with the key points of his remarks:

1. Tariff Policy Impact: The uncertainty surrounding the potential impacts of the Trump administration's tariff policy is increasing, which may put the Federal Reserve in a dilemma between "controlling inflation" and "supporting economic growth." Tariffs are almost certain to lead to a temporary rise in inflation, and the effects of inflation may be more persistent.

2. Monetary Policy Stance: The Federal Reserve is in a favorable position to "wait for more clear signals" and does not need to adjust its policy stance immediately.

3. "Federal Reserve Put Option": Denied the notion of a "Federal Reserve put option," which suggests the Fed would intervene to support the market during significant downturns, stating that the market's expectation for the Fed to step in to calm volatility may be misguided, and market volatility may persist for some time.

4. Inflation and Employment Goals: If there is a conflict between inflation and employment targets, the Federal Reserve may prioritize controlling inflation. The labor market is solid and generally in balance, and there is currently no conflict between the dual policy goals of full employment and price stability. Forecast data shows that March PCE inflation rose by 2.3%, with the core inflation rate at 2.6%.

5. Stablecoins and Banking Regulation: There is a need for a stablecoin regulatory framework, which is expected to relax regulation on the banking sector regarding cryptocurrency issues.

6. Bank System Status: The capital status of the banking system is good and quite resilient; in my personal opinion, the U.S. should complete the implementation of the Basel III framework.

7. Federal Reserve Independence: The independence of the Federal Reserve is granted by U.S. law, and (the Trump administration) cannot arbitrarily dismiss Federal Reserve officials. The U.S. Supreme Court's ruling (catering to Trump’s layoffs) does not apply to the Federal Reserve.

Good morning, everyone!
$BTC

This morning, with Powell's speech, friends who originally had hopes on both the long and short sides were left dumbfounded, resulting in a dual massacre for both sides. Everyone must be stunned!

Powell's speech caused the market to fluctuate more than two thousand dollars, and friends with high-leverage contracts were hit hard if they weren't careful.

It's simply a lack of understanding; many friends without a clear strategy have suffered losses.

Most of the altcoins are practically motionless, only following the decline and not the rise!

Today, let's focus on the top three leaders as before! Jinbao will sweep the market! I will share operational strategies with you all shortly.

Follow Jinbao for daily sharing of valuable insights!
#鲍威尔讲话

$BTC When faced with uncertainty, ask the spring breeze. The spring breeze remains silent, following your true heart❗️❗️ Suppress it❗️❗️#鲍威尔讲话

#BTC☀

《Increased Volatility — Current Market Analysis》

After a day of fluctuations and rebounds, the market can quickly lose a day's gains as time passes. The crypto market will face another severe test tonight. This is not alarmist; it requires special attention.

Bitcoin began to rebound after touching support near 81300, and resistance still exists around 84500. Bitcoin has tested support, dropping to around the 81000 mark, with a brief support near 82800.

Ethereum's resistance is around 1850; before reaching it, it was pulled down by Bitcoin's drop. There is brief support at the 1800 mark, and as it tests support again, it has returned to the recent low around 1750.

The unemployment rate and non-farm payrolls at 8:30, the U.S. stock market at 9:30, and Powell's speech at 11:25 are undoubtedly significant news for the current crypto market. Stay tuned to Taco for valuable insights.

#加密市场回调
#美国加征关税
#非农就业数据
#鲍威尔讲话