C quietly builds a solid bottom at 0.20 amid the dual panic of 'halving + oversold,' with huge buy orders lurking. As long as it stabilizes at the value center of 0.262, it can bounce back to above 0.30, completing a textbook-style quick switch from 'fear to greed'.

Key interval structure and trading volume distribution
1. Value anchoring area: POC 0.262 (110 million trading volume) is the mid-term bull-bear dividing line, with the current price deviating by -22%, possessing mean reversion attraction.
2. High trading volume area: HVN 0.252-0.258, 0.260-0.265 form two layers of 'buffer pads'; breaking above either area is likely to trigger a chasing uptrend.
3. Low trading volume gap: The lower LVN 0.203-0.205 (only 3-5.4 million trading) is a bear trap, and if it breaks down with volume, it will quickly explore to the liquidity pool at 0.08; the upper LVN 0.306-0.309 is the first acceleration zone after the breakout.
4. 70% trading volume coverage area: 0.225-0.298, the current price is at the lower edge of the range, RSI 27 + Bollinger Bands lower band, a typical oversold edge.
Momentum verification: POC area Up/Down ≈ 49/51, a momentary balance between bulls and bears; in the 0.20-0.21 area, Down Volume > 90%, the bear's outpouring is nearing its end.
Auxiliary judgment: MA200 0.236, cost basis 0.233 are both far above the current price, with excessive divergence; the contract OI increased by 5.9% alongside a 17% increase in long positions, indicating that funds are 'left-side catching the knife' at low levels.
Order book: Buy orders/sell orders = 1.98, with the near-end buy orders exceeding 19,000, indicating short-term upward momentum.

Market cycle: In the transition phase of 'panic overselling → bottom building oscillation' at the end of a bear market, there are currently no clear bull market signals, but there is a rebound window.

Trading strategy
• Entry:
Aggressive — Buy in the current price range of 0.204-0.206;
Stable — Wait for a pullback to LVN 0.203 and enter after a 15m-level Pin Bar appears;
Conservative — Enter after breaking and stabilizing above HVN 0.252.
• Stop loss: 0.200 (below LVN + whole number), approximately -2% risk.
• Target: First target HVN 0.252 (+23%), second target POC 0.262 (+28%), take profit in batches.
• Risk-reward ratio: Based on a stable entry price of 0.204, (0.252-0.204)/(0.204-0.200)=12:1; a conservative entry price of 0.252 gives a risk-reward ratio of 2.8:1.
Risk warning: If the daily close falls below 0.20 with volume, the strategy fails, and a short position should be taken.

LP market-making suggestion
It is recommended to do LP in the range of 0.200-0.265:
• The lower limit of 0.200 serves as a stop loss for bulls and a liquidity gathering area, with strong protection at the lower limit;
• The upper limit of 0.265 is close to POC, with dense trading and rich order filling;
• HVN is dense within the range, and the probability of price oscillating back and forth is high, with considerable transaction fee income and controllable risk.

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