“OP breaks below 0.71, should we buy the dip or escape the peak? 3 hardcore signals give you the answer!”
【Market Snapshot】
OP is experiencing a shrinking decline below the value anchor of 0.76, with contract holdings decreasing for 5 consecutive days, while spot quietly accumulates, resembling the “darkness before dawn” at the end of a bear market.
【Key Interval Structure】
1. Value Anchoring Area: POC 0.7609 (maximum transaction in 2 weeks), with 144 million USDT accumulated above, becoming the midpoint for bulls and bears; if volume returns to this area, it can be seen as bulls regaining dominance.
2. High Transaction Volume Area: HVN 0.7195-0.7229, 0.7540-0.7609, the former is a short-term “iron bottom,” and the latter is the first target for a rebound.
3. Low Transaction Volume Gap: LVN 0.6126-0.6264 (lower vacuum zone) and 0.8678-0.8850 (upper vacuum zone), once the price enters, it will accelerate.
4. 70% Transaction Volume Coverage Area: 0.6506-0.8196, the current price of 0.7089 is at the lower edge, technically on the verge of slight overselling.
【Momentum Verification】
• POC Area Up/Down=51:49, balanced between bulls and bears;
• 0.7195 HVN Up/Down=52:48, buyers slightly dominant;
• 0.6126 LVN Down Vol=100%, if it breaks down with volume, it will trigger panic selling.
The lower Bollinger Band at 0.7036 and the upper edge of LVN at 0.6264 form a “bear trap” area, need to monitor if the transaction volume expands by more than 1.5 times to confirm the breakout.
【Market Cycle】
In the oscillation bottoming phase at the end of a large-scale bear market: 14-day holdings decreased by 5.06%, funding rates are slightly negative, conforming to the “grinding bottom” characteristics.
【Trading Strategy】
• Aggressive: Light long near the current price of 0.709, stop-loss at 0.700 (buy-side liquidity wall), first target at 0.7229 HVN, risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.3.
• Conservative: Wait for a pullback to the LVN 0.626-0.630 area, intervene again when a Pinbar + Up Vol > 60% appears, stop-loss at 0.620, target at 0.719, risk-reward ratio ≈ 3.4.
• Cautious: Chase long after breaking and stabilizing above POC 0.761, stop-loss at 0.754, target at 0.8196 (upper edge of 70% area), risk-reward ratio ≈ 2.8.
Risk Warning: If the daily close falls below 0.700 with volume, the strategy becomes invalid, reverse to short with a target of 0.626.
【LP Market Making Suggestions】
It is recommended to do narrow interval LP in the range of 0.700-0.722: thick buy wall, low volatility, negative funding rate, earning fees + market making rebates for dual benefits; if the price breaks 0.722, move the range up to 0.722-0.754.
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