At 8 PM tonight, Trump's CNBC interview will focus on core topics such as the economy, Federal Reserve policy, tariffs, etc. - these contents directly influence the US dollar and US stock trends, thus pouring 'hot oil' on the crypto market: if signals of 'tariff easing, stimulating the economy' are released, bulls may surge directly; if 'hardline trade, supporting rate hikes' rhetoric is released, bears may strike at any moment. Volatility is bound to be severe, prepare in advance:
1. BTC market breakdown (5-minute level)
Current trend: After a peak of 115686, it retreated to a low of 113650, currently 114341 fluctuating, in a state of long and short stalemate.
Key levels:
Resistance: 114800 (MA99 moving average resistance), 115000 (previous day's high, breakout will open up space)
Support: 113650 (today's low, breaking will turn sentiment bearish), 113000 (psychological level)
Technical signals: MACD low-level golden cross, but rebound volume decreasing (bulls waiting), increasing volume during declines (panic selling), waiting for news to break the balance.
2. ETH market breakdown (5-minute level)
Current trend: synchronized with BTC, dropping from 3709 to 3598, rebounding to 3638, weak independence.
Key levels:
Resistance: 3660 (MA25 resistance), 3700 (previous day's high, breakout will follow)
Support: 3598 (today's low), 3550 (psychological level)
Technical signals: moving averages turning but rebound strength is weaker than BTC (capital more inclined to risk aversion), but strong correlation - when BTC moves, ETH must follow.
3. Operational strategy: split into two steps, risk control first
Strategy 1: Ambush before the news (light position to speculate on expectations)
BTC: 114000-114200 light position to try going long, stop loss at 113500 (breaking today's low = bearish signal), target 115000-115500 (holding if breaking resistance).
ETH: 3620-3640 light position to try going long, stop loss at 3590 (breaking today's low = correlated bearish), target 3680-3700 (holding if breaking resistance).
Strategy 2: Chase orders after the news lands (to grasp the certain direction)
If positive news (tariff easing / stimulating the economy):
BTC breaks 115000 go long, stop loss at 114700, target 116000+;
ETH breaks 3700 go long, stop loss at 3670, target 3750+.
If negative news (hardline tariffs / rate hike rhetoric):
BTC breaks 113500 go short, stop loss at 113800, target 112500+;
ETH breaks below 3590, go short, stop loss at 3610, target 3550+.
4. Key reminders: these 3 points determine life and death
Position should be tightly controlled: total position ≤ 30%! Light position testing before the news, gradually increasing holdings after the news, never go full position to bet on one side (liquidation often caused by greed).
Watch the market on time: 20:00 tune in to live broadcast / news, the first 10 minutes are the direction explosion period, make decisive decisions without hesitation.
If you don't understand, wait: if the news is ambiguous and the market is chaotic, it is better to stay out and watch, rather than act rashly - no matter how big the market is, capital safety is more important.
Tonight's core is not about 'guessing rises and falls', but 'being prepared to respond'. Trump's words may stir up trouble, but strictly following the strategy can lock in risks, only earning what you can grasp.
Daily focus: GAS OG DEXE
